Predictors of pathological upgrading and upstaging in patients eligible for active surveillance submitted to radical prostatectomy (RARP).
59 Background: To evaluate the pathological outcomes in patients who were suitable for Active Surveilance (AS) and underwent Radical Prostatectomy (RP) and to explore the potential predictive factors to identify Gleason upgrading and upstaging. Methods: A prospectively maintained database was used to evaluate 1,552 consecutive patients who underwent RP [Laparoscopic / Robotic] at our institution between 1998 and 2012. We identified 405 RP patients fulfilling the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center criteria for AS (PSA ≤10 ng/ml, clinical stage ≤2a, Gleason≤6, ≤2 + cores and less 50% cancer in any one core). In the final RP specimen, upgrading was defined as identification of Gleason >6 and upstaging as presence of ≥ pT3. The clinical and the pathological features of upstaged/upgraded patients were compared with the remaining patients and the cox’s regression model was applied to identify potential predictors. Kaplan Meir curve was used to identify Biochemical Recurrence Free Survival (BCR-FS) at 5 years. Results: We noticed upstaging in 195 (48%) patients and Gleason upgrading in 55 (13%) at RP specimen. Multivariate analysis showed percent of positive core had significant association with upstaging/upgrading. Positive Surgical Margin (PSM) was noted in 66(16%) patients, and the PSM rate was significantly higher in upstaged patients. The mean follow-up of the study population was 28 months and the predicted BCR-FS at 5 years was 92% and 88% in the patients who were not and were upstaged/upgraded. Conclusions: Percentage of positive cores in patients subjected to Active Surveillance appears to predict pathological upstaging/upgrading at radical prostatectomy. [Table: see text]