Patterns of adjuvant therapy use and survival outcomes in patients with rectal cancer not receiving neoadjuvant therapy in an Australian cohort.
675 Background: Consensus international guidelines recommend the use of neoadjuvant chemo-radiotherapy in patients with stage II-III rectal cancer. Despite this, due to factors including inaccurate/under-staging, patient co-morbidities and acute presentations, a proportion will undergo up-front surgical resection. The survival benefit of adjuvant therapy is unclear in this real world, non-trial population. Methods: A retrospective analysis of patients presenting with stage II-III rectal adenocarcinoma in South Western Sydney and Illawarra Shoalhaven Health Districts, Australia, between 2006 to 2015 was performed. Data was extracted from electronic health records, with institutional ethics approval. Treatment modalities, clinicopathological, recurrence and survival data were analyzed. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS) by treatment modality. Results: 549 patients were identified, of which 295 (54%) underwent up-front surgical resection without neoadjuvant therapy. Of this cohort, 137 (46%) had no adjuvant therapy (Group A), 103 (35%) had adjuvant chemotherapy alone (Group B), and 55 (19%) had adjuvant radiotherapy +/- chemotherapy (Group C). Receipt of any adjuvant treatment was significantly associated with improved OS (5 year OS 56 vs. 79%, HR 0.44, 95% CI 0.3 – 0.6, p < 0.0001) and recurrence free survival (5 yr RFS 25% vs. 47%, HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.5 – 0.9, p=0.01), but not cancer specific survival (5yr CSS 75 vs. 80%, HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.5 – 1.3, p = 0.30). Group B had improved OS compared to Group A (5 yr OS 56% vs. 80%, HR 0.35, 95% CI 0.22 – 0.55, p < 0.0001). There was a trend to improved OS in Group C vs. Group A (5yr OS 56.0% vs. 69.2%, HR 0.79 95% CI 0.6 – 1.01, p = 0.052). The improved OS in Group B versus Group A remained significant in multivariate analysis (HR 0.41, 95% CI 0.22 – 0.77, p = 0.005). Conclusions: Adjuvant chemotherapy improved OS in this real world cohort, and there was a trend to a benefit with adjuvant chemo-radiotherapy. However, the lack of difference in cancer specific survival suggests that this benefit may be partly driven by patient selection bias. Further exploratory analyses to identify sub-groups deriving a cancer specific survival benefit are required.