The stratospheric polar vortex and sub-vortex: fluid dynamics and midlatitude ozone loss

2019 ◽  
pp. 27-40
Author(s):  
M. E. McIntyre

It has been suggested on the basis of certain chemical observations that the wintertime stratospheric polar vortex might act as a chemical processor, or flow reactor, through which large amounts of air - of the order of one vortex mass per month or three vortex masses per winter - flow downwards and then outwards to middle latitudes in the lower stratosphere. If such a flow were to exist, then most of the air involved would become chemically ‘activated’, or primed for ozone destruction, while passing through the low temperatures of the vortex where fast heterogeneous reactions can take place on polar-stratospheric-cloud particles. There could be serious implications for our understanding of ozone-hole chemistry and for midlatitude ozone loss, both in the Northern and in the Southern Hemisphere. This paper will briefly assess current fluid-dynamical thinking about flow through the vortex. It is concluded that the vortex typically cannot sustain an average throughput much greater than about a sixth of a vortex mass per month, or half a vortex mass per winter, unless a large and hitherto unknown mean circumferential force acts persistently on the vortex in an eastward or ‘spin-up’ sense, prograde with the Earth’s rotation. By contrast, the ‘sub-vortex’ below pressure-altitudes of about 70 hPa (more precisely, on isentropic surfaces below potential temperatures of about 400 K) is capable of relatively large mass throughput depending, however, on tropospheric weather beneath, concerning which observational data are sparse.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergei P. Smyshlyaev ◽  
Pavel N. Vargin ◽  
Alexander N. Lukyanov ◽  
Natalia D. Tsvetkova ◽  
Maxim A. Motsakov

Abstract. The features of dynamical processes and changes in the ozone layer in the Arctic stratosphere during the winter-spring season 2019–2020 are analyzed using ozonesondes, reanalysis data and numerical experiments with a chemistry-transport model (CTM). Using the trajectory model of the Central Aerological Observatory (TRACAO) and the ERA5 reanalysis ozone mixing ratio data, a comparative analysis of the evolution of stratospheric ozone averaged along the trajectories in the winter-spring seasons of 2010–2011, 2015–2016, and 2019–2020 was carried out, which demonstrated that the largest ozone loss at altitudes of 18–20 km within stratospheric polar vortex in the Arctic in winter-spring 2019–2020 exceeded the corresponding values of the other two winter-spring seasons 2010–2011 and 2015–2016 with the largest decrease in ozone content in recent year. The total decrease in the column ozone inside the stratospheric polar vortex, calculated using the vertical ozone profiles obtained based on the ozonesondes data, in the 2019–2020 winter-spring season was more than 150 Dobson Units, which repeated the record depletion for the 2010–2011 winter-spring season. At the same time, the maximum ozone loss in winter 2019–2020 was observed at lower levels than in 2010–2011, which is consistent with the results of trajectory analysis and the results of other authors. The results of numerical calculations with the CTM with dynamical parameters specified from the MERRA-2 reanalysis data, carried out according to several scenarios of accounting for the chemical destruction of ozone, indicated that both dynamical and chemical processes make contributions to ozone loss inside the polar vortex. In this case, dynamical processes predominate in the western hemisphere, while in the eastern hemisphere chemical processes make an almost equal contribution with dynamical factors, and the chemical depletion of ozone is determined not only by heterogeneous processes on the surface of the polar stratospheric clouds, but by the gas-phase destruction in nitrogen catalytic cycles as well.


2020 ◽  
Vol 125 (22) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zachary D. Lawrence ◽  
Judith Perlwitz ◽  
Amy H. Butler ◽  
Gloria L. Manney ◽  
Paul A. Newman ◽  
...  

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (10) ◽  
pp. 5381-5403 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. L. Manney ◽  
Z. D. Lawrence ◽  
M. L. Santee ◽  
N. J. Livesey ◽  
A. Lambert ◽  
...  

Abstract. A sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) in early January 2013 caused the Arctic polar vortex to split and temperatures to rapidly rise above the threshold for chlorine activation. However, ozone in the lower stratospheric polar vortex from late December 2012 through early February 2013 reached the lowest values on record for that time of year. Analysis of Aura Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) trace gas measurements and Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations (CALIPSO) polar stratospheric cloud (PSC) data shows that exceptional chemical ozone loss early in the 2012/13 Arctic winter resulted from a unique combination of meteorological conditions associated with the early-January 2013 SSW: unusually low temperatures in December 2012, offspring vortices within which air remained well isolated for nearly 1 month after the vortex split, and greater-than-usual vortex sunlight exposure throughout December 2012 and January 2013. Conditions in the two offspring vortices differed substantially, with the one overlying Canada having lower temperatures, lower nitric acid (HNO3), lower hydrogen chloride, more sunlight exposure/higher ClO in late January, and a later onset of chlorine deactivation than the one overlying Siberia. MLS HNO3 and CALIPSO data indicate that PSC activity in December 2012 was more extensive and persistent than at that time in any other Arctic winter in the past decade. Chlorine monoxide (ClO, measured by MLS) rose earlier than previously observed and was the largest on record through mid-January 2013. Enhanced vortex ClO persisted until mid-February despite the cessation of PSC activity when the SSW started. Vortex HNO3 remained depressed after PSCs had disappeared; passive transport calculations indicate vortex-averaged denitrification of about 4 parts per billion by volume. The estimated vortex-averaged chemical ozone loss, ~ 0.7–0.8 parts per million by volume near 500 K (~21 km), was the largest December/January loss in the MLS record from 2004/05 to 2014/15.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zachary Duane Lawrence ◽  
Judith Perlwitz ◽  
Amy Hawes Butler ◽  
Gloria L Manney ◽  
Paul A. Newman ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
pp. 70-83
Author(s):  
N. D. TSVETKOVA ◽  
◽  
P. N. VARGIN ◽  
A. N. LUK'YANOV ◽  
B. M. KIRYUSHOV ◽  
...  

The estimates of chemical ozone depletion in winter-spring seasons are given for the Arctic stratosphere based on long-term observations of the vertical distribution of ozone. The features and possible causes for an unusually strong and stable stratospheric polar vortex in the Arctic in the winter 2019/2020, that led to a record ozone loss in recent years, and the dynamic processes associated with this polar vortex are analyzed. The TRACAO trajectory model and ERA5 reanalysis are used for the comparative analysis of ozone depletion in the polar vortex in the winter-spring seasons 2010/2011 and 2019/2020.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alice Portal ◽  
Paolo Ruggieri ◽  
Froila M. Palmeiro ◽  
Javier García-Serrano ◽  
Daniela I. V. Domeisen ◽  
...  

AbstractThe predictability of the Northern Hemisphere stratosphere and its underlying dynamics are investigated in five state-of-the-art seasonal prediction systems from the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) multi-model database. Special attention is devoted to the connection between the stratospheric polar vortex (SPV) and lower-stratosphere wave activity (LSWA). We find that in winter (December to February) dynamical forecasts initialised on the first of November are considerably more skilful than empirical forecasts based on October anomalies. Moreover, the coupling of the SPV with mid-latitude LSWA (i.e., meridional eddy heat flux) is generally well reproduced by the forecast systems, allowing for the identification of a robust link between the predictability of wave activity above the tropopause and the SPV skill. Our results highlight the importance of November-to-February LSWA, in particular in the Eurasian sector, for forecasts of the winter stratosphere. Finally, the role of potential sources of seasonal stratospheric predictability is considered: we find that the C3S multi-model overestimates the stratospheric response to El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and underestimates the influence of the Quasi–Biennial Oscillation (QBO).


2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (7) ◽  
pp. 3247-3276 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Hommel ◽  
K.-U. Eichmann ◽  
J. Aschmann ◽  
K. Bramstedt ◽  
M. Weber ◽  
...  

Abstract. Record breaking loss of ozone (O3) in the Arctic stratosphere has been reported in winter–spring 2010/2011. We examine in detail the composition and transformations occurring in the Arctic polar vortex using total column and vertical profile data products for O3, bromine oxide (BrO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), chlorine dioxide (OClO), and polar stratospheric clouds (PSC) retrieved from measurements made by SCIAMACHY (Scanning Imaging Absorption SpectroMeter for Atmospheric CHartography) on-board Envisat (Environmental Satellite), as well as total column ozone amount, retrieved from the measurements of GOME-2 (Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment) on MetOp-A (Meteorological Experimental Satellite). Similarly we use the retrieved data from DOAS (Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy) measurements made in Ny-Ålesund (78.55° N, 11.55° E). A chemical transport model (CTM) has been used to relate and compare Arctic winter–spring conditions in 2011 with those in the previous year. In late winter–spring 2010/2011 the chemical ozone loss in the polar vortex derived from SCIAMACHY observations confirms findings reported elsewhere. More than 70% of O3 was depleted by halogen catalytic cycles between the 425 and 525 K isentropic surfaces, i.e. in the altitude range ~16–20 km. In contrast, during the same period in the previous winter 2009/2010, a typical warm Arctic winter, only slightly more than 20% depletion occurred below 20 km, while 40% of O3 was removed above the 575 K isentrope (~23 km). This loss above 575 K is explained by the catalytic destruction by NOx descending from the mesosphere. In both Arctic winters 2009/2010 and 2010/2011, calculated O3 losses from the CTM are in good agreement to our observations and other model studies. The mid-winter 2011 conditions, prior to the catalytic cycles being fully effective, are also investigated. Surprisingly, a significant loss of O3 around 60%, previously not discussed in detail, is observed in mid-January 2011 below 500 K (~19 km) and sustained for approximately 1 week. The low O3 region had an exceptionally large spatial extent. The situation was caused by two independently evolving tropopause elevations over the Asian continent. Induced adiabatic cooling of the stratosphere favoured the formation of PSC, increased the amount of active chlorine for a short time, and potentially contributed to higher polar ozone loss later in spring.


2009 ◽  
Vol 66 (2) ◽  
pp. 495-507 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lawrence Coy ◽  
Stephen Eckermann ◽  
Karl Hoppel

Abstract The major stratospheric sudden warming (SSW) of January 2006 is examined using meteorological fields from Goddard Earth Observing System version 4 (GEOS-4) analyses and forecast fields from the Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System–Advanced Level Physics, High Altitude (NOGAPS-ALPHA). The study focuses on the upper tropospheric forcing that led to the major SSW and the vertical structure of the subtropic wave breaking near 10 hPa that moved low tropical values of potential vorticity (PV) to the pole. Results show that an eastward-propagating upper tropospheric ridge over the North Atlantic with its associated cold temperature perturbations (as manifested by high 360-K potential temperature surface perturbations) and large positive local values of meridional heat flux directly forced a change in the stratospheric polar vortex, leading to the stratospheric subtropical wave breaking and warming. Results also show that the anticyclonic development, initiated by the subtropical wave breaking and associated with the poleward advection of the low PV values, occurred over a limited altitude range of approximately 6–10 km. The authors also show that the poleward advection of this localized low-PV anomaly was associated with changes in the Eliassen–Palm (EP) flux from equatorward to poleward, suggesting an important role for Rossby wave reflection in the SSW of January 2006. Similar upper tropospheric forcing and subtropical wave breaking were found to occur prior to the major SSW of January 2003.


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