Why Does Trend Growth Affect Equilibrium Employment? A New Explanation of an Old Puzzle
2012 ◽
Vol 102
(4)
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pp. 1378-1413
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That the employment rate appears to respond to changes in trend growth is an enduring macroeconomic puzzle. This paper shows that, in the presence of a return to experience, a slowdown in productivity growth raises reservation wages, thereby lowering aggregate employment. The paper develops new evidence that shows this mechanism is important for explaining the growth-employment puzzle. The combined effects of changes in aggregate wage growth and returns to experience account for all the increase from 1968 to 2006 in nonemployment among low-skilled men and for approximately half the increase in nonemployment among all men. (JEL E24, J24, J31)
Technology and Geography in the Second Industrial Revolution: New Evidence from the Margins of Trade
2017 ◽
Vol 77
(1)
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pp. 39-89
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2015 ◽
Vol 23
(5)
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pp. 846-872
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Keyword(s):
2015 ◽
Vol 130
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pp. 105-119
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Keyword(s):
Keyword(s):