How Is Foreign Aid Spent? Evidence from a Natural Experiment

2009 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 225-244 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric Werker ◽  
Faisal Z Ahmed ◽  
Charles Cohen
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Natural Experiment ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Capital Flight ◽  
National Accounts ◽  
Financial Account ◽  
Domestic Savings ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

We use oil price fluctuations to test the impact of transfers from wealthy OPEC nations to their poorer Muslim allies. The instrument identifies plausibly exogenous variation in foreign aid. We investigate how aid is spent by tracking its short-run effect on aggregate demand, national accounts, and balance of payments. Aid affects most components of GDP though it has no statistically identifiable impact on prices or economic growth. Much aid is consumed, primarily in the form of imported noncapital goods. Aid substitutes for domestic savings, has no effect on the financial account, and leads to unaccounted capital flight. (JEL F35, O19)

Economic Structure of Pakistan.—By Khawaja Amjad Saeed. Accountancy and Taxation Service Institute, Lahore, 1977. pp. 396.

1978 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 264-265
Author(s):  
Moin-ud-din Moin-ud-din
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
International Comparisons ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Development Effort ◽  
Recent Past ◽  
World Economic ◽  
World Economic Order ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Vast Range

A number of books on Pakistan's economy have recently been published, but most of them do hot provide the latest statistical data or keep pace with events and development during the 1970's. The book under review, however, has admirably fulfilled the requirements. It covers a vast range of subjects concerning economic development in the country during the recent past The book is divided into nine parts and covers such diverse areas as development, industry, the price situation and the impact of inflation, Pakistan's planning and development effort, trade priorities and balance of payments situation, .taxation* foreign aid, and socio-economic reforms. The analysis is general, broadbased, and historical in perspective and a large amount of data have been put together. To bring out a clearer picture international comparisons are made whereever possible, especially in the last part of the book where the author reiterates on the need for a "New World Economic Order".

scholarly journals Foreign Aid and Economics Development Nexus: The Case of Sierra Leone

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 219-233
Author(s):  
Ezekiel Kalvin Duramany-Lakkoh
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Sierra Leone ◽  
Growth And Development ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Empirical Estimation ◽  
Economic Growth And Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the impact of foreign aid on economic growth in Sierra Leone using cointegration and error correction methodology by Johansen and Juselius (1990). Utilizing secondary data for the period 1970 to 2018, the empirical estimation revealed that foreign aid in Sierra Lone is positively and significantly related to economic growth both in the short run and long run, confirming the importance of the study. The policy implication of the study is that the Sierra Leone government should seek more foreign aid to accelerate economic growth and development.  

scholarly journals An econometric analysis of the impact of democratisation on domestic savings and investment in Nigeria

2014 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 478-497
Author(s):  
G Dinneya
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Econometric Analysis ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Empirical Relationships ◽  
Economic Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Composite Indices ◽  
Domestic Savings ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This study employs four-dimensional and one composite indices of democratization constructed to capture the democratization processes in Nigeria’s transition polity, to investigate the empirical relationships between the levels of democratization in Nigeria and two economic growth variables – domestic savings and domestic investment. As would be expected, the findings do not settle the debate in any direction. However, they could shed some light on the differences between the dimensional and the overall effects of democratization on economic variables.  The results of the analyses show that the short-run responses of growth variables to changes in democratization may differ from their long-run responses.

Reverse hysteresis? Persistent effects of autonomous demand expansions

2020 ◽  
Vol 44 (4) ◽  
pp. 835-869 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniele Girardi ◽  
Walter Paternesi Meloni ◽  
Antonella Stirati
Keyword(s):  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Participation Rate ◽  
Fixed Effects Model ◽  
Demand Shocks ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Demand Fluctuations ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Local Projections

Abstract Empirical works documenting highly persistent effects of negative demand shocks (‘hysteresis’) have questioned the prevailing wisdom that potential output is exogenous to aggregate demand fluctuations. We assess whether the effects of positive demand shocks also tend to persist beyond the short run. We estimate the impact of 126 aggregate demand expansions in OECD countries between 1960 and 2015 through local projections, using a dynamic two-way fixed-effects model and a propensity score-based specification. We find that demand expansions exert positive persistent effects on GDP, participation rate and capital stock. Effects on the unemployment rate and productivity are also strong and quite persistent, but evidence regarding their permanence is mixed. The effect on the inflation rate is positive but small and imprecisely estimated, and there is no sign of accelerating inflation. Our results bear relevant implications for existing models of hysteresis and for theories of demand-led growth.

Does Trade Liberalization Improve Trade Balance in Pakistan?

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 158-183
Author(s):  
Muhammad Arshad Khan ◽  
Atif Ali Jaffri ◽  
Faisal Abbas ◽  
Azad Haider
Keyword(s):  
Trade Liberalization ◽  
Trade Balance ◽  
Negative Association ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

This article examines the impact of trade liberalization, that is, reduction of tariff and non-tariff barriers on trade balance, in Pakistan over the period 1982–2013. The results reveal that reduction of average effective tariff rate improves trade balance in the short run, while lowering of non-tariff barriers deteriorates trade balance in the long run as well as in the short run. The analysis also suggests that depreciation of real effective exchange rate and foreign income causes an improvement in the trade balance, whereas domestic income deteriorates it. The negative association between the reduction in non-tariff barriers and trade balance worsens sustainability of current account of the balance of payments in Pakistan.

scholarly journals Role of Tax Revenue, Non-tax Revenue, and Foreign Aid to Increase the Size of Budget in Nepal

2020 ◽  
pp. 31-48
Author(s):  
Arjun Kumar Dahal ◽  
Ghanshyam Dhakal ◽  
Khagendra Kumar Thapa
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Fiscal Year ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Exploratory Research ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

Purpose: The purpose of the present study is to find the impact of tax revenue, non-tax revenue, and foreign aid to increase the size of the budget in Nepal. Methods: This study is based on descriptive, analytical, and exploratory research designs. The Johnsen Co-integration Test, VECM, Wald Test, and Granger Causality Test are used to find long-run relation, impact, short-run causality, and granger cause between the pairs of variables. Results: The tax revenue, non-tax revenue, foreign aid, and budget are co-integrated, or they have a long-run association ship. The result of VECM shows that tax revenue, non-tax revenue, foreign aid is nicely fitted, and they are jointly significant to explain the size of the budget in Nepal. Short-run causality was found between the size of budget and tax revenue and size of budget and foreign aid, but there was an absence of short-run causality between budget and non-tax revenue in Nepal. The granger cause was not found between the pair of variables. Implications: It seems to increase the tax revenue and decrease the dependency on foreign aid. Limitations: This study was based on the secondary data of 40 years from the fiscal year 1979/80 to 2018/19.  Only three variables, tax revenue, non-tax revenue, and foreign aid, are considered the effecting factor of the budget size. Hence, further study is necessary by employing other tools and variables. Originality: The author was not affected by the study and findings of others.

scholarly journals Empirical Investigation of Capital Flight and Illicit Financial Flows, Economic Growth in Palestine

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Nemer Badwan ◽  
Mohammed Atta
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
The State ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Capital Flight ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Financial Flows ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Illicit Financial Flows ◽  
The Impact

In the present study was to verify the relationship between capital flight and illicit financial flows, exhibiting the impact of stable economic growth in Palestine during the period (2009-2018). We also use models of the balance of payments of the State, the study results showed that the total illicit financial flows, about $14.42 million annually, 16.4% of GDP. In addition, through the application of the net omissions and style error in the balance of payments and expenditures, the total capital flight estimated at $26.61 million, 19.6% of GDP. The Granger causality test shows that economic growth granger causes both the illicit financial flows and the capital flight. The study also found that there is a negative and significant relationship between economic growth and capital flight. Furthermore, there is a positive relationship between illicit financial flows and capital flight. We have examined theory (Granger) causality, which shows that economic growth causes all of the illegal financial flows and capital flight. The study showed also negative correlation and significant between economic growth and capital flight. Besides, it can be this relationship is negative between illicit financial flows and capital flight. This relationship can be detailed in this research. It seems this experimental investigation is also a strong relationship and engagement between capital flight and financial flows from the standpoint of their impact on economic growth in Palestine. It can be summarized in the study that the process of capital flows and capital flight represent an important role in raising the rate of economic recovery in the country and that the flow of capital within the state is one of the most important factors for national economic growth.

Does institutional quality affect capital mobility? Evidence from developing countries

2009 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 207-223 ◽  
Author(s):  
JAVED YOUNAS
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Capital Mobility ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Institutional Quality ◽  
Democratic Accountability ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Savings Rate ◽  
Domestic Savings ◽  
The Impact

AbstractThis paper uses an augmented Feldstein–Horioka savings–investment methodology to examine the impact of institutional quality on the degree of capital mobility in developing countries. A high correlation between domestic investment and domestic savings can arise from the presence of institutional rigidities restricting the movement of capital across borders. We find that including different aspects of institutional quality raises the coefficient of the savings rate, implying lower capital mobility. However, the improvement in institutional quality that strengthens the legal system, reduces investment risks, and ensures democratic accountability, increases capital mobility in developing countries. Inclusion of foreign aid also has a positive impact on the coefficient of the savings rate.

scholarly journals Capital Flight and Domestic Investment in Nigeria: Evidence From ARDL Methodology

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 348
Author(s):  
Lionel Effiom ◽  
Alfa Charles Achu ◽  
Samuel Etim Edet
Keyword(s):  
Cumulative Effect ◽  
Local Economy ◽  
Capital Flight ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Impact

Capital flight is a challenge for many developing countries of the world. The problem is more severe in a nation like Nigeria where domestic investment has been terribly affected. This study undertakes an empirical investigation of the impact of capital flight on domestic investment in Nigeria between 1980 and 2017. Deploying the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) econometric methodology, the study finds that capital flight has negative and significant impact on domestic investment. In particular, the long run impact of capital flight on domestic investment (0.57) turns out to be more severe than its impact in the short run (0.27), implying that a continuous and persistent build-up of capital flight exerts a negative cumulative effect on domestic investment over time. The study further reveals that the quality of institutions in Nigeria is a disincentive to domestic investment. It therefore recommends the strengthening of institutions to rein in on the illegal outflow of capital from the Nigerian economy in order to guarantee the availability of investible funds. The real sector of the local economy must be grown to bolster the value of the naira. This will stem the tide of capital flight and attract investments into critical sectors.

Foreign aid and economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 147-168 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nihar Ranjan Jena ◽  
Narayan Sethi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Cointegration Test ◽  
Modeling Framework ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sub Saharan ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to empirically examine the effectiveness of foreign aid in improving economic growth prospects in the sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) region from 1993 to 2017. Design/methodology/approach A sample of 45 SSA countries for the period 1993–2017 is considered for this study. The study uses various econometrics tools such as Pedroni and Kao’s cointegration test, Johansen-Fisher Panel cointegration test, FMOLS and PDOLS in order to ascertain the long-run and short-run dynamics among the variables under consideration. Findings The empirical results find that long-run and short-run relationships exist among foreign aid, economic growth, investment, financial deepening, price stability and trade openness of the SSA economies. The authors also find unidirectional causality running from foreign aid to economic growth. The policymakers in these countries are well-advised to implement suitable policy measures to build on the growth momentum created by foreign aid inflows. Originality/value The study uses a dynamic macroeconomic modeling framework to assess the impact of aid flows on economic growth in the SSA region. Taking into account the diversity of level of growth experienced by the 45 countries in the region, the study uses an appropriate regression technique, i.e., panel dynamic OLS whose results are robust. The finding is also supported by the Granger-causality test and robust cointegration techniques.

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