scholarly journals Vulnerability of Water Resources System in Hanjiang River Basin to Climate Change

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing GUO ◽  
Jia-Li GUO ◽  
Dan-Ying WANG ◽  
Jin-Hua LIU
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Water Resources System ◽  
Hanjiang River

scholarly journals Impact assessment on water resources management under extreme climate change

2018 ◽  
Vol 246 ◽  
pp. 01018
Author(s):  
Zhiming Liu ◽  
Yongqiang Wang ◽  
Jin Chen ◽  
Jijun Xu ◽  
Shaokun He
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
Water Supply ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Water Resources Management ◽  
Flood Control ◽  
Extreme Condition ◽  
Resources Management ◽  
Hanjiang River ◽  
Precipitation And Temperature

River flows would be influenced greatly by climate change, which may cause further stress on water resources management by altering the quantity and distribution of runoff. In this paper, taking the Hanjiang River basin for instance, projections of precipitation and temperature are generated from two GCMs under RCP8.5 scenario, an extreme condition. Then the outputs are statistically downscaled and corrected by the daily bias correction method, a hybrid method of combining the daily translation and the local intensity scaling method. The VIC distributed hydrological model is used for the runoff simulation. Results show that the projections of two GCMs consistent with each other. There is a general increase in the annual mean precipitation and temperature in the Hanjiang River Basin in the future period (2021-2099), and the annual mean runoff of the Danjiangkou reservoir increases significantly compared with historical period (1980-2010). However, the annual runoff variability would increase the flood control pressure in wet season, aggravate the conflict between power generation and water supply in dry season despite increasing the water supply capacity in storage season.

Runoff Forecast and Analysis of the Probability of Dry and Wet Transition in the Hanjiang River Basin

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haoyu Jin ◽  
Xiaohong Chen ◽  
Ruida Zhong
Keyword(s):  
Water Resources ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Transition Probability ◽  
Conversion Model ◽  
Drought And Flood ◽  
Runoff Prediction ◽  
Runoff Forecast ◽  
Hanjiang River ◽  
Basin Area ◽  
Regional Water

Abstract Runoff prediction has an important guiding role in the planning and management of regional water resources, flood prevention and drought resistance, and can effectively predict the risk of changes in regional water resources. This study used 12 runoff prediction methods to predict the runoff of four hydrological stations in the Hanjiang River Basin (HRB). Through the MCMC method, the HRB runoff probability conversion model from low to high (high to low) is constructed. The study found that the runoff of the HRB had a decreasing trend. In the mid-1980s, the runoff had a significant decreasing trend. The smoother the runoff changes, the easier it is to make accurate prediction. On the whole, the QS-MFM, MFM, MA-MFM, CES and DNN methods have strong generalization ability and can more accurately predict the runoff of the HRB. The Logistic model can accurately simulate the change of runoff status in the HRB. Among them, the HLT station has the fastest conversion rate of drought and flood, and the flow that generates floods is 6 times that of drought. The smaller the basin area, the larger the gap between drought and flood discharge. Overall, this research provides important technical support for the prediction of change in water resources and the transition probability from drought to flood in the HRB.

scholarly journals Water resources change in response to climate change in Changjiang River basin

2010 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 3159-3188 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Huang ◽  
W. F. Yang ◽  
L. Chen
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Climate Change Impact ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Yangtze River Basin ◽  
Changjiang River ◽  
Runoff Change ◽  
The Future ◽  
Change Impact

Abstract. Doubtlessly, global climate change and its impacts have caught increasing attention from all sectors of the society world-widely. Among all those affected aspects, hydrological circle has been found rather sensitive to climate change. Climate change, either as the result or as the driving-force, has intensified the uneven distribution of water resources in the Changjiang (Yangtze) River basin, China. In turn, drought and flooding problems have been aggravated which has brought new challenges to current hydraulic works such as dike or reservoirs which were designed and constructed based on the historical hydrological characteristics, yet has been significantly changed due to climate change impact. Thus, it is necessary to consider the climate change impacts in basin planning and water resources management, currently and in the future. To serve such purpose, research has been carried out on climate change impact on water resources (and hydrological circle) in Changjiang River. The paper presents the main findings of the research, including main findings from analysis of historical hydro-meteorological data in Changjiang River, and runoff change trends in the future using temperature and precipitation predictions calculated based on different emission scenarios of the 24 Global Climate Modes (GCMs) which has been used in the 4th IPCC assessment report. In this research, two types of macro-scope statistical and hydrological models were developed to simulate runoff prediction. Concerning the change trends obtained from the historical data and the projection from GCMs results, the trend of changes in water resources impacted by climate change was analyzed for Changjiang River. Uncertainty of using the models and data were as well analyzed.

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