The Causal Links Between Foreign Direct Investment And Economic Growth In Pakistan

Author(s):  
Najid Ahmad ◽  
Muhammad Farhat Hayat ◽  
Muhammad Luqman ◽  
Shafqat Ullah

This paper investigates the relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth in Pakistan. The co-integration and error correction model is used to show the relationship between foreign direct investment and gross domestic product in Pakistan. Gross domestic product is taken as dependent variable while foreign direct investment, labor force and domestic capital as independent variables. The results suggest that there is a positive relation between foreign direct investment and gross domestic product in short as well as long run. If we want to make economic progress then there is a need to invite foreign investors because foreign direct investment increases GDP that is economic growth.

Author(s):  
Kimberly Racquel Elizabeth Chin

In order to objectively analyze Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) contribution to Guinea’s mining sector, the granger casualty test was used to determine the relationship among variables and to determine whether any of these variables affect others and how. The variables used are Gross Domestic Product, Government Income, Trade, FDI inflow into Guinea mining sector and the exchange rate. The granger casualty test produced evidence of a bidirectional casualty relationship which suggests that FDI’s influence on efficiency lies in the government relaxing its dependency on the mining industry for economic  growth.


2016 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 90-111
Author(s):  
Naliniprava Tripathy ◽  
Maram Srikanth ◽  
Lagesh Aravalath

This study examines the long-run and short-run relationship between investment in infrastructure and economic growth in the Indian economy by using Auto Regressive Distributed Lag Model, Error Correction Model, and Granger Causality Test. The study reports that there is no short-run relationship among gross domestic product, gross domestic capital formation, revenue of the governmentand exports. However, the study finds that unidirectional causality exists between employment and gross domestic product; gross domestic productandinflation. It implies that employmentlevel in organised sector and inflationinfluence the economic growth in India for a short period. The study finds that there is a long-run relation exists between economic growth, domestic investment, inflation and government revenue. Therefore, emphasis should be placed on capital formation, government income and inflation to accelerate growth and development in the Indian economy. The error correction term is indicating that long term relationship is stable and any disequilibrium created in short termwill be temporary and will correct over a period. However, it is suggested to maintain balance among inflation,gross domestic product, employment, exports, savings, investment and government revenue to keep an economy growing. These findings have important policy implications since an economy built on investment in infrastructural development.


2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (3) ◽  
pp. 95-108
Author(s):  
Arshad Ullah Jadoon ◽  
Yangda Guang ◽  
Anwar Ahmad ◽  
Sajad Ali

The research investigated the determinants of Pakistan’s exports by using time series data from 1990–2016. Certain econometric tests were also applied to check cointegration among variables. A unit root test was used to check the stationarity of selected variables. After the stationarity of the data, a vector error correction model is used to estimate the effect of regressors, like foreign direct investment, gross domestic product, employment level, and consumption expenditures on a dependent variable, i.e. exports in the short run. The result shows the positive relationships that foreign direct investment, gross domestic product and employment level have on exports, and the adverse impact of consumption expenditures on the dependent variable. The study uses Johansen’s cointegration test for the long run. The results show that all the variables are co‑integrated in the long run. It is suggested that the government should encourage foreign direct investment and gross domestic product, which would help accelerate Pakistan’s exports. It is also suggested that whenever policymakers provide a trade policy, in particular, in relation to exports, then the adverse effect of exchange rate depreciation, external debt burdens, taxes, sanctions and protectionism should be quantified, and necessary measures be suggested so as to minimize any repercussions.


Author(s):  
Keshar Bahadur Kunwar

There are a number of theories illustrating the relationship between money supply and gross domestic product. Money supply can be defined as the total stock of money circulating in the economy. The circulating money involves the currency, printed notes, money in the deposit accounts, and in the form of other liquid assets. Valuation of money supply helps analysts and policy makers to frame the policy or to alter the existing policy of increasing or reducing the supply of money. The valuation is important as it ultimately affects the business cycle and thereby affecting the economy. This study sought to provide answers to the question, what are the effects of money supply on the gross domestic product in Nepal? The study undertook a causal research design using time series data from the period 1974/75 to 2017/18 to critically investigate the relationship between money supply and economic growth by establishing an empirical relationship that exists between them. The study employed the Augmented Diky fuller test and ARDL- VECM model. The results indicate the existence of a significant long-run relationship between money supply and economic growth as measured by GDP. LNBM is significant to LNGDP and LNGDP is also significant to LNBM so there is bi-directional causality. There is unidirectional relationship existing between LNINF to LNGDP and LNINF to LNBM. ECTcoefficient vale are negative and the p-value of above three approaches are also less than 5 percent which is desirable for the ARDL model.


2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 473-489 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pooja Sengupta ◽  
Roma Puri

Foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows have been a trigger for accelerating economic growth in a number of countries. The pattern of FDI flows into India and its neighbourhood has been varied and so has been its impact on the economic growth in each of the countries. Although a lot of research has been carried out to establish causality between FDI and economic growth, the results are sometimes varied and conflicting. This study attempted to study the pattern of FDI into the Indian subcontinent and India’s neighbours, such as Pakistan, Nepal, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka, and explore the causality between FDI and gross domestic product (GDP). The results showed that the different economic policies of the respective countries had a role to play in explaining the difference in the quantum of the flow and there is an association between FDI and GDP, and in all the cases, FDI is instrumental in enhancing the economic growth of the countries included in the study.


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 8
Author(s):  
Erasmus L Owusu

<p><em>The paper empirically investigates the short and long-run causal relationship between</em> <em>foreign direct investment, credit to the private sector, trade openness, gross national expenditure and economic growth in Botswana. In doing this, the paper employs multivariate Granger-Causality within an ARDL-bounds approach to co-integration and unrestricted error correction model (UECM). The paper finds that FDI inflow does not spur economic growth but rather, it is economic growth which promotes FDI inflow, credit to the private sector, trade and national expenditure. However, the paper finds</em> <em>a bi-directional relationship between FDI inflow and credit to the private sector both in the short and the long runs. Thus, policies should be targeted at improving the investment climate for existing domestic and foreign investors through infrastructure development and that external capital inflow should be complemented by domestic savings and investors on other to boost economic growth in Botswana.</em></p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 06 (11) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joan Serem ◽  

The Objective of this study is to find out the effect of capital flows on economic growth in Kenya, With Three specific objectives; To investigate the effect of foreign direct investment on economic growth in Kenya, to find out the effect of foreign portfolio investment on economic growth in Kenya, and to determine the effect of diaspora remittances on economic growth in Kenya. Quarterly data from 2002 to 2017 was used in the study, and Descriptive research design and inferential research design were used to analysis the data. Descriptively, mean and standard deviation were used and Inferentially the Auto regressive distribution Lag technique using the STATA software Version 15. Diagnostic tests were conducted on the data; Normality test using Jarque Bera test supported by the skewness and Kurtosis results; Unit root was tested using the Augmented Dickey Fuller Test .The Auto Regressive Distributed Lag regression short run results show that, foreign direct investment had an positive and insignificant effect on gross domestic product, whereas foreign portfolio investment had a positive and statistically significant short run effect on gross domestic product at 1% level of significance and diaspora remittances had a positive and very significant effect of gross domestic product at 5% level of significance. The Error Correction Model regression results showed that in the long run, Foreign Direct Investment, Foreign Portfolio Investment, and Diaspora Remittances had a positive and very significant effect on the economic growth at 1% level of significance.


Author(s):  
Charles Okechukwu Aronu ◽  
Lucky Oghenechovwe Arhovwon ◽  
John Obatarhe Emunefe ◽  
Godspower Onyekachukwu Ekwueme ◽  
Nkechi Udochukwu Otty

Aims: Economic openness has been identified as a tool that provides countries with an avenue to explore advances on technology, creation of exchanges through the reallocation of resources especially from less efficient to efficient producer, and economic growth. This study examined the short-run and long-run impact of economic determinants such as foreign direct investment, unemployment rate and percentage of the urban population on economic openness in Nigeria.  Place and Duration of Study: The study employed a secondary source of data collection obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Statistical Bulletin and National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Annual Publication. The data comprises of variables such as economic openness which is proxy by trade openness, foreign direct investment, unemployment rate and percentage of the urban population from 2006 - 2019. Methodology: The impacts of the economic determinants considered in this study were examined using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) co-integration technique and the error correction parameterization of the ARDL model. The R-3.6.3 programming package was used to perform the analysis. Results: The outcome of the study revealed that the appropriate ARDL model for estimating economic openness was the ARDL (1,1,1,1) selected based on the Schwarz Bayesian Criterion. Also, the error correction model identified the sizable speed of adjustment by 30.0% of disequilibrium correction yearly for reaching the long-run equilibrium steady-state position. It was found that the lag of the Unemployment Rate (UNER) and the percentage of the urban population have a significant short-term effect on economic openness. Also, the distribution of economic openness was found to be stable over the observed period. Also, it was found that the relationship amongst the variables was independent except for the relationship between the percentage of the Urban Population (PUP) and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) which was found to be is unidirectional. Conclusion: The outcome of this study suggested the urgent need for policymakers to implement policies such as the "ease of doing business"  of the federal government of Nigeria which is anticipated to make foreign direct investment more attractive and in turn is expected to boost economic growth and thereby impact positively on urbanization in Nigeria.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gurmeet Singh

The study investigates the relationships between the FDI and economic growth, namely, Gross Domestic Product, exports and foreign exchange reserves over the period 1994 to 2013. Johansen’s co-integration and vector error correction model have been applied to explore the long-run equilibrium relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth. The analysis reveals that economic growth and the foreign direct investment are co-integrated and, hence, a long-run equilibrium relationship exists between them. It is observed that the foreign direct investment is positively related to gross domestic product and foreign exchange reserves but negatively related to exports. Exports are found to be insignificant in determining FDI. In the Granger causality sense, FDI causes GDP in both long run and short-run. No bidirectional causality is observed between any variables under study. Furthermore, the findings of VECM and Granger Causality test show that FDI creates a long run relationship with economic growth but in short run no causality is found between FDI, exports and foreign exchange reserves.


Author(s):  
Yılmaz Köprücü

From the second half of the 20th century, foreign direct investment (fdi) has gone to the developing countries and has affected economic growth. The so-called effect has taken attention of some researchers and they have provided a considerable amount of papers for growth literature. Hence, theories about fdi were improved by scientists. In this paper, the long run relationship between fdi and growth in Turkey for the years 1980-2011will be examined. The method used for investigating the relationship is Johansen coentegration. The variables are the growth rate of GDP per person (y), foreign direct investment (fdi), human capital (hc), openness (open) and investment (i). We use natural logarithm of GDP per person and investment variables. The data acquired from World Bank web site and Penn World Tables web site. According to analytical findings, we monitored that the variables’ first differences are stationary and there is a long run relationship between fdi and economic growth.


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