scholarly journals The Modified Mixed Exponentially Weighted Moving Average-Cumulative Sum Control Charts for Autocorrelated Process

Author(s):  
Dushyant Tyagi ◽  
Vipin Yadav

Statistical Process Control (SPC) is an efficient methodology for monitoring, managing, analysing and recuperating process performance. Implementation of SPC in industries results in biggest benefits, as enhanced quality products and reduced process variation. While dealing with the theory of control chart we generally move with the assumption of independent process observation. But in practice usually, for most of the processes the observations are autocorrelated which degrades the ability of control chart application. The loss caused by autocorrelation can be obliterated by making modifications in the traditional control charts. The article presented here refers to a combination of EWMA and CUSUM charting techniques supplementing modifications in the control limits. The performance of the referred scheme is measured by comparing average run length (ARL) with existing control charts. Also, the referred scheme is found reasonably well for detecting particularly smaller displacements in the process.

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 114-124
Author(s):  
Aulia Resti ◽  
Tatik Widiharih ◽  
Rukun Santoso

Quality control is an important role in industry for maintain quality stability.  Statistical process control can quickly investigate the occurrence of unforeseen causes or process shifts using control charts. Mixed Exponentially Weighted Moving Average - Cumulative Sum (MEC) control chart is a tool used to monitor and evaluate whether the production process is in control or not. The MEC control chart method is a combination of the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) and Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) charts. Combining the two charts aims to increase the sensitivity of the control chart in detecting out of control. To compare the sensitivity level of the EWMA, CUSUM, and MEC methods, the Average Run Length (ARL) was used. From the comparison of ARL values, the MEC chart is the most sensitive control chart in detecting out of control compared to EWMA and CUSUM charts for small shifts. Keywords: Grafik Pengendali, Exponentially Weighted Moving Average, Cumulative Sum, Mixed EWMA-CUSUM, Average Run Lenght, EWMA, CUSUM, MEC, ARL


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Johnson A. Adewara ◽  
Kayode S. Adekeye ◽  
Olubisi L. Aako

In this paper, two methods of control chart were proposed to monitor the process based on the two-parameter Gompertz distribution. The proposed methods are the Gompertz Shewhart approach and Gompertz skewness correction method. A simulation study was conducted to compare the performance of the proposed chart with that of the skewness correction approach for various sample sizes. Furthermore, real-life data on thickness of paint on refrigerators which are nonnormal data that have attributes of a Gompertz distribution were used to illustrate the proposed control chart. The coverage probability (CP), control limit interval (CLI), and average run length (ARL) were used to measure the performance of the two methods. It was found that the Gompertz exact method where the control limits are calculated through the percentiles of the underline distribution has the highest coverage probability, while the Gompertz Shewhart approach and Gompertz skewness correction method have the least CLI and ARL. Hence, the two-parameter Gompertz-based methods would detect out-of-control faster for Gompertz-based X¯ charts.


2015 ◽  
Vol 35 (6) ◽  
pp. 1079-1092 ◽  
Author(s):  
Murilo A. Voltarelli ◽  
Rouverson P. da Silva ◽  
Cristiano Zerbato ◽  
Carla S. S. Paixão ◽  
Tiago de O. Tavares

ABSTRACT Statistical process control in mechanized farming is a new way to assess operation quality. In this sense, we aimed to compare three statistical process control tools applied to losses in sugarcane mechanical harvesting to determine the best control chart template for this quality indicator. Losses were daily monitored in farms located within Triângulo Mineiro region, in Minas Gerais state, Brazil. They were carried over a period of 70 days in the 2014 harvest. At the end of the evaluation period, 194 samples were collected in total for each type of loss. The control charts used were individual values chart, moving average and exponentially weighted moving average. The quality indicators assessed during sugarcane harvest were the following loss types: full grinding wheel, stumps, fixed piece, whole cane, chips, loose piece and total losses. The control chart of individual values is the best option for monitoring losses in sugarcane mechanical harvesting, as it is of easier result interpretation, in comparison to the others.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 9-16
Author(s):  
O. L. Aako ◽  
J. A. Adewara ◽  
K. S Adekeye ◽  
E. B. Nkemnole

The fundamental assumption of variable control charts is that the data are normally distributed and spread randomly about the mean. Process data are not always normally distributed, hence there is need to set up appropriate control charts that gives accurate control limits to monitor processes that are skewed. In this study Shewhart-type control charts for monitoring positively skewed data that are assumed to be from Marshall-Olkin Inverse Loglogistic Distribution (MOILLD) was developed. Average Run Length (ARL) and Control Limits Interval (CLI) were adopted to assess the stability and performance of the MOILLD control chart. The results obtained were compared with Classical Shewhart (CS) and Skewness Correction (SC) control charts using the ARL and CLI. It was discovered that the control charts based on MOILLD performed better and are more stable compare to CS and SC control charts. It is therefore recommended that for positively skewed data, a Marshall-Olkin Inverse Loglogistic Distribution based control chart will be more appropriate.


2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Darmanto Darmanto

<p><em>The manufacturing production process that is currently trend is short-run. Short-run process is a job shop and a just in-time. These causes the process parameters to be unknown due to unavailability of data and generally a small amount of product. The control chart is one of the control charts which  designed for the short run. The procedure of the control chart follows the concept of succesive difference and under the assumption of the multivariate Normal distribution. The sensitivity level of a control chart is evaluated based on the average run length (ARL) value. In this study, the ARL value was calculated based on the shift simulation of the average vector by recording the first m-point out of the control limits. The average vector shift simulation of the target () is performed simultaneously with the properties of a positive shift (=+ δ). Variations of data size and many variables in this study were m = 20, 50 and p = 2, 4, 8, respectively. Each scheme (a combination of δ, m and p) is iterated 250,000 times. The simulation results show that for all schemes when both parameters are known ARL<sub>0 </sub>≈ 370. But, when parameters are unknown, ARL<sub>1</sub> turn to smaller. This conclusion also implied when the number of p and n are increased, it reduce the sensitivity of the control chart.</em></p>


2002 ◽  
Vol 124 (4) ◽  
pp. 891-898 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel W. Apley

Time series control charts are popular methods for statistical process control of autocorrelated processes. In order to implement these methods, however, a time series model of the process is required. Since time series models must always be estimated from process data, model estimation errors are unavoidable. In the presence of modeling errors, time series control charts that are designed under the assumption of a perfect model may have an actual in-control average run length that is substantially shorter than desired. This paper presents a method for incorporating model uncertainty information into the design of time series control charts to provide a level of robustness with respect to modeling errors. The focus is on exponentially weighted moving average charts and Shewhart individual charts applied to the time series residuals.


Author(s):  
MARCUS B. PERRY ◽  
JOSEPH J. PIGNATIELLO ◽  
JAMES R. SIMPSON

Statistical process control charts are intended to assist operators in detecting process changes. If a process change does occur, the control chart should detect the change quickly. If the operator is provided with an estimate as to when the process changed, the search to find the special cause can be more easily facilitated. We investigate a process-monitoring tool for Poisson count data that quickly responds to process mean count rate changes regardless of the magnitude of the change, while supplying useful diagnostic information. A likelihood ratio approach was used to develop a control chart for a permanent step change in a Poisson process rate parameter. The average run length (ARL) performance of this chart is compared to that of several Poisson cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts. Our performance results show that the proposed chart performs better than any one CUSUM chart over a wide range of potential shift magnitudes. The proposed chart also provides maximum likelihood estimates of the time and the magnitude of the process shift. These crucial change point diagnostics can greatly enhance the special cause investigation.


Author(s):  
Kim Phuc Tran ◽  
Philippe Castagliola ◽  
Thi Hien Nguyen ◽  
Anne Cuzol

In the literature, median type control charts have been widely investigated as easy and efficient means to monitor the process mean when observations are from a normal distribution. In this work, a Variable Sampling Interval (VSI) Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) median control chart is proposed and studied. The Markov chains are used to calculate the average run length to signal (ARL). A performance comparison with the original EWMA median control chart is made. The numerical results show that the proposed chart is considerably more effective as it is faster in detecting process shifts. Finally, the implementation of the proposed chart is illustrated with an example in food production process.


Information ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (12) ◽  
pp. 312 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Zahir Khan ◽  
Muhammad Farid Khan ◽  
Muhammad Aslam ◽  
Seyed Taghi Akhavan Niaki ◽  
Abdur Razzaque Mughal

Conventional control charts are one of the most important techniques in statistical process control which are used to assess the performance of processes to see whether they are in- or out-of-control. As traditional control charts deal with crisp data, they are not suitable to study unclear, vague, and fuzzy data. In many real-world applications, however, the data to be used in a control charting method are not crisp since they are approximated due to environmental uncertainties and systematic ambiguities involved in the systems under investigation. In these situations, fuzzy numbers and linguistic variables are used to grab such uncertainties. That is why the use of a fuzzy control chart, in which fuzzy data are used, is justified. As an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) scheme is usually used to detect small shifts, in this paper a fuzzy EWMA (F-EWMA) control chart is proposed to detect small shifts in the process mean when fuzzy data are available. The application of the newly developed fuzzy control chart is illustrated using real-life data.


Technologies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 69
Author(s):  
Muhammad Mughal ◽  
Muhammad Azam ◽  
Muhammad Aslam

Among the Statistical Process Control (SPC) techniques, control charts are considered to be high weight-age due to their effectiveness in process variation. As the Shewhart’s charts are not that active in monitoring small and moderate process variations, the statisticians have been making efforts to improve the performance of the control chart by introducing several techniques within the tool. These techniques consist of experimenting with different estimators, different sampling selection techniques, and mixed methodologies. The proposed chart is one of the examples of a mixed chart technique that has shown its efficiency in monitoring small variations better than any of the existing techniques in the specific situation of auxiliary information. To show and compare its performance, average run length (ARL) tables and ARL curves have been presented in the article. An industrial example has also been included to show the practical application of the proposed chart in a real scenario.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document