The Future of U.S.-China Relations and the Korean Peninsula

2002 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 111-129
Author(s):  
Avery Goldstein
Keyword(s):  
Korean Peninsula ◽  
The Future

The Future of the Korean Peninsula: Unification and Security Options for the 21st Century

1999 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 163-196
Author(s):  
Tae-Hwan Kwak ◽  
Seung-Ho Joo
Keyword(s):  
21St Century ◽  
Korean Peninsula ◽  
The Future

Dealing by a Truculent Ally: A Comparative Perspective on China's Handling of North Korea

2005 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 35-75 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael R. Chambers
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Risk Taking ◽  
Korean Peninsula ◽  
North Korea ◽  
Economic Reforms ◽  
Comparative Perspective ◽  
The Future ◽  
Nuclear Crisis ◽  
Made In

Fearing war on the Korean peninsula as a result of the current nuclear crisis, China has attempted to restrain its risk-taking ally in North Korea and push it toward a negotiated solution. In the process, Beijing has reneged on security commitments made in its bilateral alliance with Pyongyang. We should not be surprised by this behavior because China has acted similarly in other alliances with Asian neighbors. In particular, the PRC has demonstrated a wariness of being dragged into unwanted conflicts, has (since the economic reforms began in 1978) placed its own strategic economic development interests over fulfilling security pledges to allies, and has taught unruly allies a lesson for defying Chinese interests and advice by allowing them to be bloodied in combat. China's refusal to honor its security commitments in order to restrain North Korea and avoid entrapment in an undesired war raises the issue of the future of this alliance.

scholarly journals The Future of Extreme Climate Change in the Korean Peninsula Using National Standard Climate Change Scenarios and the ETCCDI Index

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (7) ◽  
pp. 105-115
Author(s):  
Sejin Jeung ◽  
Jongyul Park ◽  
Dongmin Yang ◽  
Byungsik Kim
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Korean Peninsula ◽  
National Standard ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Extreme Climate ◽  
The Future

scholarly journals Water-Centric Nexus Approach for the Agriculture and Forest Sectors in Response to Climate Change in the Korean Peninsula

Agronomy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 1657
Author(s):  
Chul-Hee Lim
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Balance ◽  
Water Supply ◽  
Water Demand ◽  
Korean Peninsula ◽  
Spatial Models ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Agricultural Water ◽  
Adaptation To Climate Change ◽  
The Future

Climate change has inherent multidisciplinary characteristics, and predicting the future of a single field of work has a limit. Therefore, this study proposes a water-centric nexus approach for the agriculture and forest sectors for improving the response to climate change in the Korean Peninsula. Two spatial models, i.e., Environmental Policy Integrated Climate and Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs, were used to assess the extent of changes in agricultural water demand, forest water supply, and their balance at the watershed level in the current and future climatic conditions. Climate changed has increased the agricultural water demand and forest water supply significantly in all future scenarios and periods. Comparing the results with RCP8.5 2070s and the baseline, the agricultural water demand and forest water supply increased by 35% and 28%, respectively. Water balance assessment at the main watershed level in the Korean Peninsula revealed that although most scenarios of the future water supply increases offset the demand growth, a risk to water balance exists in case of a low forest ratio or smaller watershed. For instance, the western plains, which are the granary regions of South and North Korea, indicate a higher risk than other areas. These results show that the land-use balance can be an essential factor in a water-centric adaptation to climate change. Ultimately, the water-centric nexus approach can make synergies by overcoming increasing water demands attributable to climate change.

scholarly journals Future Projections and Uncertainty Assessment of Precipitation Extremes in the Korean Peninsula from the CMIP6 Ensemble with a Statistical Framework

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 97
Author(s):  
Yonggwan Shin ◽  
Yire Shin ◽  
Juyoung Hong ◽  
Maeng-Ki Kim ◽  
Young-Hwa Byun ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Korean Peninsula ◽  
Computing Time ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Generalized Extreme Value Distribution ◽  
Test Method ◽  
Precipitation Extremes ◽  
Return Level ◽  
Shape Parameters ◽  
Weighting Method ◽  
The Future

Scientists occasionally predict projected changes in extreme climate using multi-model ensemble methods that combine predictions from individual simulation models. To predict future changes in precipitation extremes in the Korean peninsula, we examined the observed data and 21 models of the Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) over East Asia. We applied generalized extreme value distribution (GEVD) to a series of annual maximum daily precipitation (AMP1) data. Multivariate bias-corrected simulation data under three shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) scenarios—namely, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5—were used. We employed a model weighting method that accounts for both performance and independence (PI-weighting). In calculating the PI-weights, two shape parameters should be determined, but usually, a perfect model test method requires a considerable amount of computing time. To address this problem, we suggest simple ways for selecting two shape parameters based on the chi-square statistic and entropy. Variance decomposition was applied to quantify the uncertainty of projecting the future AMP1. Return levels spanning over 20 and 50 years, as well as the return periods relative to the reference years (1973–2010), were estimated for three overlapping periods in the future, namely, period 1 (2021–2050), period 2 (2046–2075), and period 3 (2071–2100). From these analyses, we estimated that the relative increases in the observations for the spatial median 20-year return level will be approximately 18.4% in the SSP2-4.5, 25.9% in the SSP3-7.0, and 41.7% in the SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively, by the end of the 21st century. We predict that severe rainfall will be more prominent in the southern and central parts of the Korean peninsula.

Vulnerability of subalpine fir species to climate change: using species distribution modeling to assess the future efficiency of current protected areas in the Korean Peninsula

2018 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 341-350 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jong‐Hak Yun ◽  
Katsuhiro Nakao ◽  
Ikutaro Tsuyama ◽  
Tetsuya Matsui ◽  
Chan‐Ho Park ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Protected Areas ◽  
Species Distribution ◽  
Korean Peninsula ◽  
Species Distribution Modeling ◽  
Subalpine Fir ◽  
Distribution Modeling ◽  
The Future

scholarly journals The Future of the Korean Peninsula: Topical Issues and Possible Solutions

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 86-101
Author(s):  
V. I. Denisov ◽  
A. S. Pyatachkova
Keyword(s):  
Korean Peninsula ◽  
Potential Role ◽  
The United States ◽  
Comprehensive Analysis ◽  
Xi Jinping ◽  
Security Threat ◽  
The North ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Points Of View

The DPRK has become one of the most striking news-maker of 2018. Kim Jong-un took decisive steps to establish cooperation with the ROK – the parties had quite coordinated interaction during the Olympic Games in Pyeongchang, and hold three Inter-Korean summits in April, May and September 2018. Kim Jong-un have hold three meetings with Xi Jinping. The summit of Kim Jong-un and Trump in Singapore was equally resonant. The President of the Russian Federation during the WEF invited Kim Jongun to Russia, earlier the leader of North Korea had a meeting with S.V. Lavrov and V.I. Matvienko. These steps look  particularly important against the previous period, when the DPRK was mainly presented by the United States and other states as a security threat. However, despite the changes that took place and the fact that Kim Jong-un is attempting to build a dialogue in different areas, the position remains about the real interests and intentions of the DPRK and the future of the North Korean regime remains ambiguous. The article analyzes existing points of view on the issue and identifies and the prospects’ of the problem development. At the beginning of the study, a comprehensive analysis of the problem of the Korean Peninsula is presented. It examines the features of the interaction of the DPRK with key  international players, the question of sanctions against the country, and the peculiarities of the internal political line of the DPRK. Further analysis focuses on the current foreign policy line of Kim Jong Yin, assesses the results of major international meetings, including the opinion of experts and the analysis of the significance of specific agreements for understanding possible scenarios. Specific attention is payed to the Russian policy towards the inter-Korean settlement and Russian potential role in this process.

Touring Korea and China

2019 ◽  
pp. 41-58
Author(s):  
David O. McKay
Keyword(s):  
Korean Peninsula ◽  
Northern China ◽  
The Future ◽  
Korean Chinese

On January 6, 1921, McKay and Cannon departed from Shimonoseki, Japan, on a steamer bound for Pusan, Korea. Over the next ten days, they traveled up the Korean peninsula towards Manchuria, eventually entering northern China. After arriving in Beijing (Peking), McKay dedicated the “Chinese realm” for the future preaching of Mormonism. McKay spent time observing the Asiatic customs of the day, frequently making comparisons between the Korean, Chinese, and Japanese peoples. McKay made clear his frustrations with local beggars and commented on the poverty-stricken state of the Asian countryside. Having completed their tour, the two men traveled south to Shanghai, where, on January 16, they departed on the steamer Tenyo Maruru for Yokohama to conclude their tour of the Japan Mission.

Jae Ho Chung, The Rise of China and the Future of the Korean Peninsula

Asia Review ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 175
Author(s):  
Sang-Jin Han
Keyword(s):  
Korean Peninsula ◽  
The Future ◽  
Rise Of China ◽  
The Rise Of China
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