scholarly journals Nonlinear Rainfall Yearly Prediction based on Autoregressive Artificial Neural Networks Model in Central Jordan using Data Records: 1938-2018

Author(s):  
Suhail Sharadqah ◽  
Ayman M ◽  
Mohammad A ◽  
Ramiro Marbello ◽  
Soraya Mercedes
Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 2332
Author(s):  
Cecilia Martinez-Castillo ◽  
Gonzalo Astray ◽  
Juan Carlos Mejuto

Different prediction models (multiple linear regression, vector support machines, artificial neural networks and random forests) are applied to model the monthly global irradiation (MGI) from different input variables (latitude, longitude and altitude of meteorological station, month, average temperatures, among others) of different areas of Galicia (Spain). The models were trained, validated and queried using data from three stations, and each best model was checked in two independent stations. The results obtained confirmed that the best methodology is the ANN model which presents the lowest RMSE value in the validation and querying phases 1226 kJ/(m2∙day) and 1136 kJ/(m2∙day), respectively, and predict conveniently for independent stations, 2013 kJ/(m2∙day) and 2094 kJ/(m2∙day), respectively. Given the good results obtained, it is convenient to continue with the design of artificial neural networks applied to the analysis of monthly global irradiation.


2006 ◽  
Vol 23 (11) ◽  
pp. 1593-1603 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. N. Londhe ◽  
Vijay Panchang

Abstract Sophisticated wave models like the Wave Model (WAM) and Simulating Waves Nearshore (SWAN)/WAVEWATCH are used nowadays along with atmospheric models to produce forecasts of ocean wave conditions. These models are generally run operationally on large ocean-scale domains. In many coastal areas, on the other hand, operational forecasting is not performed for a variety of reasons, yet the need for wave forecasts remains. To address such cases, the production of forecasts through the use of artificial neural networks and buoy measurements is explored. A modeling strategy that predicts wave heights up to 24 h on the basis of judiciously selected measurements over the previous 7 days was examined. A detailed investigation of this strategy using data from six National Data Buoy Center (NDBC) buoys with diverse geographical and statistical properties demonstrates that 6-h forecasts can be obtained with a high level of fidelity, and forecasts up to 12 h showed a correlation of 67% or better relative to a full year of data. One limitation observed was the inability of the artificial neural network model to correctly predict the magnitude of the highest waves; although the occurrence of high waves was predicted, the peaks were underestimated. The inclusion of several years of data and the judicious selection of the training set, especially the inclusion of extreme events, were shown to be crucial for the model to recognize interannual variability and provide more reliable forecasts. Real-time simulations performed for April 2005 demonstrate the efficiency of this technology for operational forecasting.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wan Nur Azah binti Wan Nahar ◽  
Rahimah binti Mohamed Yunos

Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) approach is an alternate way to classical methods. As a computation and learning paradigm, the approach is used to solve complicated practical problems in numerous fields, such as accounting and business, engineering, medical and healthcare, geological and energy. The application varies from modelling, identification, prediction, and forecasting. In contrast to conventional procedure, ANN is trained using data exemplifying the behaviour of a system. This paper presents applications of ANN in various fields of study. The applications are in the form of designing and modelling, identification and evaluation, and prediction and control. Published literature presented in this study serves as evidence that ANN is a useful tool in various disciplines across many industries. This paper will encourage researchers and professionals to explore ANN.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. e0120901 ◽  
Author(s):  
Regina H. Magierowski ◽  
Steve M. Read ◽  
Steven J. B. Carter ◽  
Danielle M. Warfe ◽  
Laurie S. Cook ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iason Iakovidis ◽  
Konstantinos Morfidis‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌

<p>A Finite Element (FE) model of bridge Z24 was developed to reflect its dynamic response and investigate the physical reasons behind the large variations observed on its natural modal properties during a 7-month continuous monitoring campaign conducted before its demolition in 1997. A significant increase in natural frequencies was observed especially during the winter period, something which was explained as a consequence of deck stiffness increase and boundary conditions change, due to the formation of ice layers on the deck and supports.</p><p>The paper concentrates on the procedure of developing a FE model update process, which employs Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), which are trained using data generated through the Monte Carlo process and analysed within the FE model of the bridge. The aim of this procedure is to calibrate the FE update sensitivity parameters in such a way as to replicate the dynamic behaviour of the bridge based on real-time measured eigenvalues obtained during monitoring for five different temperature states at -10 oC, -5 oC, 0 oC, 5 oC and 10oC.</p>


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (7) ◽  
pp. 1845
Author(s):  
Annalisa Santolamazza ◽  
Daniele Dadi ◽  
Vito Introna

Wind energy has shown significant growth in terms of installed power in the last decade. However, one of the most critical problems for a wind farm is represented by Operation and Maintenance (O&M) costs, which can represent 20–30% of the total costs related to power generation. Various monitoring methodologies targeted to the identification of faults, such as vibration analysis or analysis of oils, are often used. However, they have the main disadvantage of involving additional costs as they usually entail the installation of other sensors to provide real-time control of the system. In this paper, we propose a methodology based on machine learning techniques using data from SCADA systems (Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition). Since these systems are generally already implemented on most wind turbines, they provide a large amount of data without requiring extra sensors. In particular, we developed models using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) to characterize the behavior of some of the main components of the wind turbine, such as gearbox and generator, and predict operating anomalies. The proposed method is tested on real wind turbines in Italy to verify its effectiveness and applicability, and it was demonstrated to be able to provide significant help for the maintenance of a wind farm.


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