Fuel Price Forecasting Combining Wavelet Neural Network and Adaptive Differential Evolution

Author(s):  
Claudimar Pereira Da Veiga ◽  
Leandro Dos Santos Coelho ◽  
Welsey Vieira ◽  
Carlos Eduardo Klein ◽  
Viviana Mariani
Author(s):  
Carlos Eduardo Klein ◽  
Wesley Vieira Da Silva ◽  
Claudimar Pereira Da Veiga ◽  
Viviana Cocco Mariani ◽  
Leandro Dos Santos Coelho

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 1574
Author(s):  
Shabana Urooj ◽  
Satya P. Singh ◽  
Areej Malibari ◽  
Fadwa Alrowais ◽  
Shaeen Kalathil

Effective and accurate diagnosis of Alzheimer’s disease (AD), as well as early-stage detection, has gained more and more attention in recent years. For AD classification, we propose a new hybrid method for early detection of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) using Polar Harmonic Transforms (PHT) and Self-adaptive Differential Evolution Wavelet Neural Network (SaDE-WNN). The orthogonal moments are used for feature extraction from the grey matter tissues of structural Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) data. Irrelevant features are removed by the feature selection process through evaluating the in-class and among-class variance. In recent years, WNNs have gained attention in classification tasks; however, they suffer from the problem of initial parameter tuning, parameter setting. We proposed a WNN with the self-adaptation technique for controlling the Differential Evolution (DE) parameters, i.e., the mutation scale factor (F) and the cross-over rate (CR). Experimental results on the Alzheimer’s disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database indicate that the proposed method yields the best overall classification results between AD and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) (93.7% accuracy, 86.0% sensitivity, 98.0% specificity, and 0.97 area under the curve (AUC)), MCI and healthy control (HC) (92.9% accuracy, 95.2% sensitivity, 88.9% specificity, and 0.98 AUC), and AD and HC (94.4% accuracy, 88.7% sensitivity, 98.9% specificity and 0.99 AUC).


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
Tuan Vu Dinh ◽  
Hieu Nguyen ◽  
Xuan-Linh Tran ◽  
Nhat-Duc Hoang

Soil erosion induced by rainfall is a critical problem in many regions in the world, particularly in tropical areas where the annual rainfall amount often exceeds 2000 mm. Predicting soil erosion is a challenging task, subjecting to variation of soil characteristics, slope, vegetation cover, land management, and weather condition. Conventional models based on the mechanism of soil erosion processes generally provide good results but are time-consuming due to calibration and validation. The goal of this study is to develop a machine learning model based on support vector machine (SVM) for soil erosion prediction. The SVM serves as the main prediction machinery establishing a nonlinear function that maps considered influencing factors to accurate predictions. In addition, in order to improve the accuracy of the model, the history-based adaptive differential evolution with linear population size reduction and population-wide inertia term (L-SHADE-PWI) is employed to find an optimal set of parameters for SVM. Thus, the proposed method, named L-SHADE-PWI-SVM, is an integration of machine learning and metaheuristic optimization. For the purpose of training and testing the method, a dataset consisting of 236 samples of soil erosion in Northwest Vietnam is collected with 10 influencing factors. The training set includes 90% of the original dataset; the rest of the dataset is reserved for assessing the generalization capability of the model. The experimental results indicate that the newly developed L-SHADE-PWI-SVM method is a competitive soil erosion predictor with superior performance statistics. Most importantly, L-SHADE-PWI-SVM can achieve a high classification accuracy rate of 92%, which is much better than that of backpropagation artificial neural network (87%) and radial basis function artificial neural network (78%).


2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (10) ◽  
pp. 155014771988134 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Zhang ◽  
Jiawen Zhang ◽  
Lin Luo ◽  
Xiaorong Gao

It is beneficial for maintenance department to make maintenance strategy and reduce maintenance cost to forecast the hidden danger index value. Based on the analysis of the research status of wheel-to-life prediction at home and abroad and the repair of wheel-set wear and tear, this article designs and implements an adaptive differential evolution algorithm Levenberg–Marquardt back propagation wheel-set size prediction model. Aiming at the shortcomings of back propagation neural network, it is easy to fall into local extreme value. The back propagation algorithm is improved by Levenberg–Marquardt numerical optimization algorithm. Aiming at the shortcomings of back propagation neural network algorithm for randomly initializing connection weights and thresholds to fall into local extreme value, the differential evolution algorithm is used to optimize the initial connection weights and thresholds between the layers of the neural network. In order to speed up the search of the optimal initial weights and thresholds of the differential evolution algorithm Levenberg–Marquardt back propagation neural network, the initial values are further optimized, and an adaptive differential evolution algorithm Levenberg–Marquardt back propagation wheel-set size prediction model is designed and implemented. Compared with the proposed combine adaptive differential evolution algorithm with LMBP optimization (ADE-LMBP) is effective and significantly improves the prediction accuracy.


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