From Earthquake Geophysical Measures to Insurance Premium: A Generalised Method for the Evaluation of Seismic Risk, with Application to Italy’s Housing Stock

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Riccardo Cesari ◽  
Leandro D’Aurizio

Abstract Following the increasing necessity of quantitative measures for the impact of natural catastrophes, this paper proposes a new technique for a probabilistic assessment of seismic risk by using publicly available data on the earthquakes that have occurred in Italy. We implement an insurance-oriented methodology to produce a new map of the seismic risk and to evaluate, under various hypotheses, the costs of insuring all the Italian housing units against it. The model is compared with two main privately developed models, well known in the reinsurance industry, providing fairly similar results.

Author(s):  
Vladimir A. Lapin ◽  
Erken S. Aldakhov ◽  
S. D. Aldakhov ◽  
A. B. Ali

For the first time in Almaty full passport of apartment stock of multiapartment building was carried out. The structure of the housing stock was revealed with the allocation of groups of buildings according to structural solutions and assessment of their seismic resistance. Based on the results of certification, quantitative estimates of failure probability values for different types of buildings were obtained. Formulas for estimation of quantitative value of seismic risk are obtained. The number of deaths in the estimated zem-shakes was estimated. The results of the assessments will be used for practical recommendations to reduce risk and expected losses in possible earthquakes.


Author(s):  
O. Knotek ◽  
B. Bosserhoff ◽  
A. Schrey ◽  
T. Leyendecker ◽  
O. Lemmer ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 150 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng Chen ◽  
Justin Kurland

“Strike Hard” is an enhanced law-enforcement strategy in China that aims to suppress crime, but measurement of the crime-reducing effect and potential changes in the spatiotemporal concentration of crime associated with “Strike Hard” remain unknown. This paper seeks to examine the impact, if any, of “Strike Hard” on the spatiotemporal clustering of burglary incidents. Two and half years of residential burglary incidents from Chaoyang, Beijing are used to examine repeat and near-repeat burglary incidents before, during, and after the “Strike Hard” intervention and a new technique that enables the comparison of repeat and near repeat patterns across different temporal periods is introduced to achieve this. The results demonstrate the intervention disrupted the repeat pattern during the “Strike Hard” period reducing the observed ratio of single-day repeat burglaries by 155%; however, these same single-day repeat burglary events increased by 41% after the cessation of the intervention. Findings with respect to near repeats are less remarkable with nominal evidence to support that the intervention produced a significant decrease, but coupled with other results, suggest that spatiotemporal displacement may have been an undesired by-product of “Strike Hard”. This study from a non-Western setting provides further evidence of the generalizability of findings related to repeat and near repeat patterns of burglary and further highlights the limited preventative effect that the “Strike Hard” enhanced law enforcement campaign had on burglary.


2001 ◽  
Vol 31 (6) ◽  
pp. 965-968 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ken Vallens ◽  
Eric Bescher ◽  
J.D Mackenzie ◽  
Ed Rice

2005 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 107-109 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter M. Vishton

This article describes and evaluates a new technique for teaching students to interpret studies of patients with brain injuries. This technique asks students to consider how knives and blenders lose specific functionality when they are damaged. This approach better prepares students to make proper inferences from behavioral deficits observed after brain injury, specifically with reference to single and double dissociation. Significantly improved performance on multiple-choice and identification questions included in midterm examinations suggests that the impact of these thought experiments was substantive and long lasting.


1992 ◽  
Vol 54-55 ◽  
pp. 102-107 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. Knotek ◽  
B. Bosserhoff ◽  
A. Schrey ◽  
T. Leyendecker ◽  
O. Lemmer ◽  
...  

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