scholarly journals Performance Analysis of Indonesia’s Mining Sector Price Index

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 357-370
Author(s):  
Hastra Reza Satyatama ◽  
Riwi Sumantyo

Subprime mortage’s crisis in United States 2008 giving effect to the global capital markets especially the stock price index of the mining sector Indonesia. This research analyzes the effect of BI Rate, exchange rate, world gold price, crude oil price, and Dow Jones Industrial Average on the stock price index of the mining sector. This research employs time series monthly data of 2009-2016 with Error Correction Model-Engle Granger (ECM-EG) as the method. The analysis showed that the BI rate, exchange rate and world gold price, has a negative and significant effect. World oil prices affect positively but not significant meanwhile the Dow Jones Industrial Average has a positive and significant impact on the stock price index of the mining sector. For investors in the mining sector, should pay attention to the exchange rate of the rupiah and Dow Jones Index significantly in the mining sector of the stock price index.DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v6i2.5395 

2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nuryasman MN ◽  
Verencia Permatasari

The objective of this research was to examine the macroeconomics variable and global stock price index that influencing LQ45 stock price. There were three fundamental macroeconomics variables in this study such as Exchange rate of Rupiah, Interest Rate (SBI), and gold prices which used with global stock price index (Dow Jones Industrial Average) to examine their influence to LQ45 stock price.The sampling data used are 69 months from 2009 January until 2014 September. The selection ofthe sample usedisa non-probability sampling method, using purposive sampling technique. The method usedis multiple regression analysis and Error Correction Model (ECM)using softwareEviews6.0witha significance level of5%. The result of t-test show that gold prices have not influence LQ45 stock price. While the Exchange rate of Rupiah, Interest Rate (SBI), and Dow Jones Industrial Average have influence LQ45 stock price.The result of F- test (jointly test) showthat there are significantjointlybetween Exchange rate of Rupiah, Interest Rate (SBI), gold price, and Dow Jones Industrial Averageon LQ45 stock price.The result of ECM Models show that  between Exchange rate of Rupiah, Interest Rate (SBI), gold price, and Dow Jones Industrial Averageon LQ45 stock price, there was notable toachieve abalance inthe long run.


KINDAI ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 542-562
Author(s):  
Delila Putri Syarina

Abstract: This study aims to study both partially and simultaneously, large, Analysis, Analysis, Value, Exchange, Inflation, and the Dow Jones Index Against the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) and the dominant dominant variable on the Price Index Joint Stock (CSPI)).The method used in this study is a quantitative method and with a population of 10 (ten) years, samples were taken with census sampling techniques of 10 (ten) years per year-end period, research instruments using classical data assumptions - data used using regression linear multiple.The results of this study indicate that (1) Rupiah Exchange Rates, Inflation and the Dow Jones Index influence simultaneously on the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (2) the Dow Jones Index is partially related to the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) in The Indonesian Stock Exchange, while the Rupiah Exchange Rate and Inflation are not partially on the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (3) The dominant dominant variable on the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) on the Indonesia Stock Exchange is the Dow Jones Index..Keywords  : Rupiah Exchange Rate, Inflation, Dow Jones Index and Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI)   Abstrak: Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui baik secara parsial dan simultan seberapa besar Analisis Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Rupiah, Inflasi Dan Indeks Dow Jones Terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) Di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) serta variabel yang berpengaruh dominan terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG). Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah metode kuantitatif dan dengan populasi sebanyak 10 (sepuluh) tahun, diambil sampel dengan teknik sampling sensus sebanyak 10 (sepuluh) tahun per periode akhir tahun, instrument penelitian uji asumsi klasik data – data diuji dengan menggunakan regresi linear berganda. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa (1) Nilai Tukar Rupiah, Inflasi dan Indeks Dow Jones berpengaruh secara simultan terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) di Bursa Efek Indonesia (2) Indeks Dow Jones berpengaruh secara parsial terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) di Bursa Efek Indonesia, sedangkan Nilai Tukar Rupiah dan Inflasi tidak berpengaruh secara parsial terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) di Bursa Efek Indonesia (3) Variabel yang berpengaruh dominan terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) di Bursa Efek Indonesia adalah Indeks Dow Jones. . Kata kunci :     Nilai Tukar Rupiah, Inflasi, Indeks Dow Jones dan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG).


2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 42
Author(s):  
Margarita Ekadjaja ◽  
Daisy Dianasari

This research is done with the aim to know whether some macroeconomic variables, which are inflation rate, certificate of Bank Indonesia (SBI) rate, and exchange rate of IDR/USD have an impact on the movement of the composite stock price index (IHSG) at the Indonesia stock exchange (BEI) partially and simultaneously in the period of 2006–2014. The research population is inflation rate, SBI rate, and exchange rate of IDR/USD. Data analysis in this research is multiple regression by using time series monthly data of 2006–2014. Research results show that partially inflation rate gives positive significant impact on IHSG, SBI rate has negative significant impact on IHSG, and exchange rate of IDR/USD has positive significant impact on IHSG.  Simultaneously it shows that inflation, SBI rate, and exchange rate of IDR/USD have an impact on IHSG at BEI to the period of year 2006 – 2014.  Those variables affect IHSG by 58,74%, while other variables affect IHSG by 41,26%.  That information can be used by investors to make decision on their investment.Keywords: inflation, SBI, exchange rate, IHSG, BEI.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 55-64
Author(s):  
Fadhel Kesarditama ◽  
Haryadi Haryadi ◽  
Yohanes Vyn Amzar

This study aims to analyze the trend of macroeconomic variables and gold prices in Indonesia and to determine the effect of macroeconomic variables on gold prices in Indonesia. This study uses a quantitative approach. The data used is secondary data from January 2014-December 2019. The analytical tools and techniques used are trend analysis with a linear trend approach and multiple linear regression models using the Ordinary Least Square method. The five research variables that were processed showed that there were differences in the direction of the data trend. Where the variables of Gold Price, Exchange Rate, and Composite Stock Price Index show a positive trend, while the variables of Inflation and World Crude Oil Prices show a negative trend. Furthermore, the variables of Exchange Rate, world Crude Oil Price, and Composite Stock Price Index show a positive and significant influence on the Gold Price in Indonesia. While the inflation variable shows a negative and significant effect on the Gold Price in Indonesia. Keywords: Inflation, foreign exchange,crude oil prices, idx composite and gold prices


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 362-368
Author(s):  
Amanah Amanah

This study aims to examine the effect of the Dow Jones Index (X1) with the Composite Stock Price Index (Y) in Indonesia and the influence between the rupiah exchange rate (X2) on the Composite Stock Price Index (Y) in Indonesia in the period 2013-2017. In statistical testing, the number 0.2212 was obtained related to the influence of X1 and Y, which means that every change in one unit of X1 can lead to changes in Y by 22 %, and means there is a weak influence between variables X1 and Y partially, while for the purpose of X2 and Y obtained the number 0.6531, which means that every change in unit X2 can result in a change in Y by 65 %, which means there is a high influence between variables X2 and Y partially. In the F test, P Value is generated 0.00000 <0.05, which means there is a simultaneous influence between the two independent variables on the dependent variable, while the Determination Coefficient results in R-Squared value of 0.975966, which means a set of predictor variables in the model can explain the response variable 97 %, while the rest is explained by other variables outside the model under study.  Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji pengaruh Indeks Dow Jones (X1) dengan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (Y) di Indonesia dan pengaruh antara nilai tukar rupiah (X2) terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (Y) di Indonesia pada periode 2013-2017. Dalam pengujian statistik, angka 0,2212 diperoleh terkait dengan pengaruh X1 dan Y, yang berarti bahwa setiap perubahan dalam satu unit X1 dapat menyebabkan perubahan Y sebesar 22%, dan berarti ada pengaruh yang lemah antara variabel X1 dan Y sebagian, sedangkan untuk keperluan X2 dan Y diperoleh angka 0,6531, yang berarti bahwa setiap perubahan dalam unit X2 dapat menghasilkan perubahan Y sebesar 65%, yang berarti ada pengaruh yang tinggi antara variabel X2 dan Y secara parsial. Dalam uji F, Nilai P dihasilkan 0,00000 <0,05, yang berarti ada pengaruh simultan antara dua variabel independen pada variabel dependen, sedangkan Koefisien Determinasi menghasilkan nilai R-Squared 0,975966, yang berarti satu set variabel prediktor dalam model dapat menjelaskan variabel respon 97%, sedangkan sisanya dijelaskan oleh variabel lain di luar model yang diteliti.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. Layouting
Author(s):  
Afla Afifa Aminarta ◽  
Mahrus Lutfi Adi Kurniawan

The Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) is one indicator to determine economic growth. The Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) is formed by counting the stocks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). Macroeconomic conditions can influence the movement of the CSPI in a country. Macroeconomic indicators that affect the CSPI include inflation, exchange rates, and interest rates represented by the BI rate. This study aimed to determine how much influence the selected macroeconomic indicators had on the CSPI and determine the CSPI movement forecast. This study uses the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) as an estimation method. The research shows that the inflation, exchange rate, and BI rate variables do not affect the CSPI in the short term, and only the exchange rate variable affects the long term. Forecasting performed on variables shows an over-optimistic forecast for the exchange rate and BI rate variables.


2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
DESY TRISHARDIYANTI ADININGTYAS

Abstract. The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Sharia Stock Price Index (Case Study in Indonesia and Malaysia). The purpose of this research is to know the effect of macroeconomic variables (inflation, exchange rate, world crude oil price and world gold price) on sharia stock price index in Indonesia and Malaysia. By using Error Correction Model as the method, this research utilizes time series monthly data from March 2015 until February 2018. The finding shows that in long-term, inflation in Indonesia, exchange rate of rupiah, world crude oil price and world gold price had significant effect on Jakarta Islamic Index. In short-term, inflation in Indonesia, world crude oil price, world gold price had not significant effect on Jakarta Islamic Index and exchange rate of rupiah had significant effect on Jakarta Islamic Index. Meanwhile, inflation in Malaysia, world crude oil price, world gold price had not significant effect on FTSE Bursa Malaysia Hijrah Syariah Index in long-term and short-term. And exchange rate of ringgit had significant effect on FTSE Bursa Malaysia Hijrah Syariah Index in long-term and short-term.   Abstrak. Pengaruh Variabel Makroekonomi Terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Syariah (Studi Kasus di Indonesia dan Malaysia). Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui pengaruh variabel makroekonomi (inflasi, kurs, harga minyak mentah dunia dan harga emas dunia) terhadap indeks harga saham syariah di Indonesia dan Malaysia. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode Error Correction Model, dengan data time series bulanan dari Maret 2015 sampai dengan Februari 2018. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukan bahwa pada jangka panjang, inflasi Indonesia, kurs rupiah, harga minyak mentah dunia dan harga emas dunia berpengaruh terhadap Jakarta Islamic Index. Pada jangka pendek, inflasi Indonesia, harga minyak mentah dunia, harga emas dunia tidak berpengaruh terhadap Jakarta Islamic Index dan kurs rupiah berpengaruh terhadap Jakarta Islamic Index. Sementara itu, inflasi Malaysia, harga minyak mentah dunia, harga emas dunia tidak berpengaruh terhadap FTSE Bursa Malaysia Hijrah Syariah Index pada jangka panjang dan jangka pendek. Dan kurs ringgit berpengaruh terhadap FTSE Bursa Malaysia Hijrah Syariah Index pada jangka panjang dan jangka pendek.


Media Ekonomi ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 47
Author(s):  
Nency Megawati ◽  
M. Noor Salim

<em>This study aims to analyze the macroeconomic variables that affect the Composite Stock Price Index </em>(<em>CSPI)</em>. <em>Data analysis using multiple linear regression analysis with 32 stock samples during the period of Quarter I 2009 to Quarter IV 2016. <em>The results showed that the Exchange Rate and Dow Jones Index had a positive and significant effect on the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI), Inflation and the BI Rate had no significant effect on the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI).</em></em><em></em>


2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (01) ◽  
pp. 23-32
Author(s):  
Wiwik Handayani ◽  
Safitri Oktavia

  A capital market is a meeting place for stock sellers and buyers with the aim of getting maximum profits. To get these benefits, investors need information about the stock price index. Factors that influence the Stock Price Index are important information for investors. The composite stock price index (CSPI) is one of the main indicators that reflects the performance of the capital market whether it is experiencing an increase or is experiencing a decline. These factors include the rupiah exchange rate, GDP growth, and the Dow Jones index. This study aims to prove and analyze the effect of the rupiah exchange rate, GDP growth, and the Dow Jones index Average (DJIA) on the composite stock price index on the Indonesia stock exchange for the period 2012-2015. The population and sample of this study are forty-eight CSPI data from the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Data is collected by means of documentation and then analyzed. The data analysis technique used in this study is multiple linear regression analysis techniques. Based on the results of the analysis it is known that the rupiah exchange rate has no effect on the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI). While GDP growth and the Dow Jones index Average (DJIA) have affected the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI). For further research, it is considered necessary to review other factors that can influence the movement of the stock price index, for example, the company's fundamental factors such as profit, loss, financial ratios, and others. Keywords: Exchange Rate, GDP Growth, The Dow Jones (DJIA), Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI).


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