scholarly journals Development of decision approval rules in multichannel decision-making systems

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (2(62)) ◽  
pp. 6-9
Author(s):  
Oksana Mulesa ◽  
Yurii Bilak ◽  
Yevhenii Kykyna ◽  
Dmytro Ferens

The research is devoted to the development of rules for the coordination of decisions in multichannel decision-making systems. Systems are considered that in an automated continuous mode process incoming signals from different channels and, on their basis, make the final decision. One of the most problematic stages in the operation of such systems is their own coordination of solutions received from different channels. There may be cases where different channels provide signals with opposite values. Then the choice of the decisive solution should depend on the reliability of the channels under consideration. The object of research is the processes that take place during the coordination of decisions in multichannel decision-making systems. The development and implementation of such systems will allow in an automated mode to generalize the solution obtained through different channels, to increase the reliability and efficiency of the systems as a whole. During the study, the following methods were used: – a systematic approach – when analyzing the structure and functioning of multichannel one-stage decision-making systems; – method of mathematical modeling – for formalizing the problem of coordinating decisions in multichannel decision-making systems; – method of analysis – when developing rules for agreeing decisions. The authors analyzed the structure of a one-stage multichannel decision-making system. The case is considered when the channels, based on the initial data entering the system, decide on the presence or absence of a certain fact. That is, the channels send signals from the set {True, False}. In the study, decision rules for the coordination of decisions were developed, taking into account not only the signals received from different channels, but also the reliability of the channels themselves. As is usual in decision theory, different rules can give different results for the same initial data. The choice of the decision rule depends on the decision maker, its personal psychological qualities and the scope of the system.

2005 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 133-166
Author(s):  
M. Iqbal

ABSTRACTIn the recent past life companies have made many decisions which they have had cause to deeply regret. This paper looks at the range of decision making theories available. It then examines recent examples of decisions that had unfavourable consequences and explores why they were taken, and goes on to describe a systematic approach to decision making which can help management assess more objectively the difficult choices confronting them today. The approach does not require espousal of any specific decision theory or method of value measurement. The focus is on the decision making process and the organisation's capacity to handle change. The paper identifies the three requirements for effective decision making.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (4.7) ◽  
pp. 209
Author(s):  
Korneev A.M ◽  
Salfetnikov M.V

In current work methods of intellectual support of acceptance of administrative decisions on risks of occurrence of extreme situations are considered. The relationship between human activity, the emergence emergencies and the state of the environment is systemic. An important role is given to the analysis of the causes of incidents and emergencies of technogenic nature. Emergencies refers to complex multi-level systems, so a systematic approach is needed to model them. When choosing models of complex systems, factors related to the natural properties of the constituent elements and subsystems, and the patterns of the functioning of the system as a whole are investigated. Various methods of mathematical modeling are used to determine the risks of emergencies. The problem of optimization of decision-making algorithms in the event of emergencies is solved.  


2004 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 155-170
Author(s):  
Peng-Sheng You

Consider a multi-period multi-fare class airline booking problem related to a two-leg airline network. Travel requests include outbound, inbound trip, and round trips. The round-trip refers to a journey comprising both outbound and inbound trips. To develop a dynamic-nested booking decision-making system for the airline network, this study designs a dynamic model that enables the airline reservations system to devise a set of dynamic decision rules for any given booking status. The booking process is found to be controlled by some set of booking thresholds.


2011 ◽  
Vol 267 ◽  
pp. 46-49 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ju Li ◽  
Wen Bin Xu ◽  
Wei Yuan Tu ◽  
Xing Wang ◽  
Wei Zhang ◽  
...  

Based on the study of customer relationship management. First, we got the data from the database, transformed the corresponding decision table, then got the data in decision-making table for further simplification, generated the final decision rules. and got good results, experimental results showed that the method provided some practical value.


2004 ◽  
Vol 14 (01) ◽  
pp. 57-68 ◽  
Author(s):  
ELSAYED RADWAN ◽  
EIICHIRO TAZAKI

We purpose to find a new beneficial method for accelerating the Decision-Making and classifier support applied on imprecise data. This acceleration can be done by integration between Rough Sets theory, which gives us the minimal set of decision rules, and the Cellular Neural Networks. Our method depends on Genetic Algorithms for designing the cloning template for more accuracy. Some illustrative examples are given to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, whose advantages and limitations are also discussed.


2020 ◽  
pp. 83-102
Author(s):  
Grzegorz M. Malinowski

Zasada ostrożności (ZO) traktowana jest w literaturze przedmiotu jako reguła decyzyjna, która powinna być stosowana w sytuacjach charakteryzujących się niepewnością. Jednakże w ramach teorii decyzji już znacznie wcześniej wypracowano algorytmy postępowania w warunkach niepewności. Celem niniejszego artykułu jest porównanie klasycznych reguł decyzyjnych z zasadą ostrożności i odpowiedź na pytanie: czy zasadę ostrożności można zredukować do którejś z klasycznych reguł. Okazuje się, że taka redukcja nie jest możliwa. Precautionary Principle vs Formal Decision: Making Criteria Precautionary principle (PP) is commonly understood as a criterion that should be used in decision-making under risk and/or uncertainty. Yet, long before the approval of PP in the literature – a set of concrete, formal criterions existed in the field of decision theory. Therefore the main goal of this paper is to compare these classical decision – rules with PP. This very comparison will bring us to answer the question: if PP may be reduced to any of the classical criterions? It will tur out that such a reduction cannot be done. Therefore PP has got its own specificity.


2020 ◽  
pp. paper24-1-paper24-10
Author(s):  
Anna Trubakova ◽  
Andrey Trubakov

It is very important to visualize the initial data in a decision-making system with human participation in a proper way. Decision-making complexity, the correctness of the decisions made often depend on it. Nowadays there are many different data visualizations today such as graphs, bar charts, pie and histograms, etc. However, the situation becomes more difficult, if it comes to visualizing the dynamics of changes of structured data. Structured data is understood in this paper as data in which the observed value has an internal structure and consists of a large number of components (characteristics). This paper provides a formal description of structured data and proposes an approach to displaying the graph of their change, by which one can judge not only the general process of the observed value, but also the change in the internal structure (components included in it and their influence on human decision-making). The area of potential application of this approach, as well as its structure features and capabilities are demonstrated in the work. The description of the developed software is given for modeling the situation with the spread of COVID-19 in Bryansk region where the proposed version of visualization is used. Examples of specific situations are considered in which this approach turned out to be useful and helpful. The possibility to use the proposed method in other applied areas is described at the end of the work.


2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-77
Author(s):  
Li Zhang ◽  
Xulu Xue

Abstract “Rough set” is a theory put forward by the polish scholar Z. Pawlak, which is a useful mathematics tool for dealing with vague and uncertain information. Rough set theory can achieve a subset of all attribute which preserves the discernible ability of original features, by using the data only with no additional information. As a typical system of multi-agent, the decision-making system of soccer robot has the features of multi-layered, antagonism, and cooperation. On the bases of rough set theory, this paper established a decision making system with complete information for soccer robot, and then reduce the condition and decision attributes and their values, to get the simply decision rules. On the otherwise, considering the situation of information loss, we study decision making of imperfect information system, extract the decision rules and calculate the reliability, so that the rules can assist the agent to make right decision in competition. The simulation result shows that the algorithm is correct and effective.


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