scholarly journals Return and Liquidity Relationships on Market and Accounting Levels in Brazil

2016 ◽  
Vol 27 (71) ◽  
pp. 259-272
Author(s):  
Fernanda Finotti Cordeiro Perobelli ◽  
Rubens Famá ◽  
Luiz Claudio Sacramento
Keyword(s):  
Net Present Value ◽  
Market Risk ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Financial Constraint ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Liquidity Premium ◽  
Publicly Traded ◽  
Expected Return ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Basic Hypothesis

ABSTRACT This article discusses profitability-liquidity relationships on accounting and market levels for 872 shares of publicly-traded Brazilian companies, observed between 1994 and 2013. On the market level, the assumption is that share liquidity is able to reduce some of the risks incurred by investors, making them more willing to pay a higher price for liquid shares, which would lower expected market returns. On the accounting level, the basic hypothesis argues that a firm's holding more liquid assets is related to a conservative investment policy, possibly reducing accounting returns for shareholders. Under the assumption of financial constraint, however, more accounting liquidity would allow positive net present value investments to be carried out, increasing future accounting returns, which would positively affect market liquidity and share prices in an efficient market, resulting in a lower market risk/expected return premium. Under the assumption of no financial constraint, however, more accounting liquidity would only represent a carry cost, compromising future accounting returns, which would adversely affect market liquidity and share prices and result in a higher market risk/expected return premium. Among the hypotheses, the presence of a negative market liquidity premium was verified in Brazil, with shares that traded more exhibiting a higher expected market return. On the margins of the major theories on the subject, only two negative relationships between excess accounting liquidity and market liquidity and accounting return, supporting the carry cost assumption for financially unconstrained firms, were verified. In terms of this paper's contributions, there is the analysis, unprecedented in Brazil as far as is known, of the relationship between liquidity and return on market and accounting levels, considering the financial constraint hypothesis to which the firms are subject.

Risk-Relevance of Fair-Value Income Measures for Commercial Banks

2006 ◽  
Vol 81 (2) ◽  
pp. 337-375 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leslie D. Hodder ◽  
Patrick E. Hopkins ◽  
James M. Wahlen
Keyword(s):  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Fair Value ◽  
Net Income ◽  
Income Volatility ◽  
Expected Return ◽  
Market Pricing ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Comprehensive Income

We investigate the risk relevance of the standard deviation of three performance measures: net income, comprehensive income, and a constructed measure of full-fair-value income for a sample of 202 U.S. commercial banks from 1996 to 2004. We find that, for the average sample bank, the volatility of full-fair-value income is more than three times that of comprehensive income and more than five times that of net income. We find that the incremental volatility in full-fair-value income (beyond the volatility of net income and comprehensive income) is positively related to marketmodel beta, the standard deviation in stock returns, and long-term interest-rate beta. Further, we predict and find that the incremental volatility in full-fair-value income (1) negatively moderates the relation between abnormal earnings and banks' share prices and (2) positively affects the expected return implicit in bank share prices. Our findings suggest full-fair-value income volatility reflects elements of risk that are not captured by volatility in net income or comprehensive income, and relates more closely to capital-market pricing of that risk than either net-income volatility or comprehensiveincome volatility.

Conditional stock liquidity premium: is Warsaw stock exchange different?

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Szymon Stereńczak
Keyword(s):  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Investment Horizon ◽  
Liquidity Premium ◽  
Stock Liquidity ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Bear Market

Purpose This paper aims to empirically indicate the factors influencing stock liquidity premium (i.e. the relationship between liquidity and stock returns) in one of the leading European emerging markets, namely, the Polish one. Design/methodology/approach Various firms’ characteristics and market states are analysed as potentially affecting liquidity premiums in the Polish stock market. Stock returns are regressed on liquidity measures and panel models are used. Liquidity premium has been estimated in various subsamples. Findings The findings vividly contradict the common sense that liquidity premium raises during the periods of stress. Liquidity premium does not increase during bear markets, as investors lengthen the investment horizon when market liquidity decreases. Liquidity premium varies with the firm’s size, book-to-market value and stock risk, but these patterns seem to vanish during a bear market. Originality/value This is one of the first empirical papers considering conditional stock liquidity premium in an emerging market. Using a unique methodological design it is presented that liquidity premium in emerging markets behaves differently than in developed markets.

scholarly journals On the estimation of the value of voting rights: Evidence from Taiwan

2006 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 15-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
I-Hsiang Huang
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Voting Rights ◽  
Publicly Traded ◽  
Private Benefit ◽  
Expected Return ◽  
Equity Ownership ◽  
Publicly Traded Firms

This paper proposes that the value of voting rights can be measured as the abnormal return of the date after the ex-voting rights date. The merit of this method is that it is applicable to all publicly traded firms. Whatever the expected return model is adopted, the vote value hypothesis of Manne (1962) is hold by using a sample of firms listed on Taiwan Stock Market whose annual shareholder meetings have a board election. Moreover, the result shows that the value of voting rights is negatively related to prior year’s market value of equity, managerial equity ownership, and return on asset. It is consistent with the hypothesis that the source of vote value comes from private benefit of control and improved management

scholarly journals Effect Of Macroeconomic Variables On Stock Market Returns For Four Emerging Economies: Brazil, Russia, India, And China

2011 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert D. Gay, Jr.
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Market Index ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
India And China

The relationship between share prices and macroeconomic variables is well documented for the United States and other major economies. However, what is the relationship between share prices and economic activity in emerging economies? The goal of this study is to investigate the time-series relationship between stock market index prices and the macroeconomic variables of exchange rate and oil price for Brazil, Russia, India, and China (BRIC) using the Box-Jenkins ARIMA model. Although no significant relationship was found between respective exchange rate and oil price on the stock market index prices of either BRIC country, this may be due to the influence other domestic and international macroeconomic factors on stock market returns, warranting further research. Also, there was no significant relationship found between present and past stock market returns, suggesting the markets of Brazil, Russia, India, and China exhibit the weak-form of market efficiency.

scholarly journals On the Validity of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
M. J. Alhabeeb
Keyword(s):  
Asset Pricing ◽  
Market Risk ◽  
Capital Asset Pricing Model ◽  
Capital Asset Pricing ◽  
Pricing Model ◽  
Capital Asset ◽  
Technical Tool ◽  
Expected Return ◽  
Asset Pricing Model

This study exposes the meaning and role of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and lays out the key elements that make it work. It shows the model’s theoretical strength and examines its applicability and validity as a technical tool to measure the expected return to the investment in stock, along with assessing the market risk associated with that investment.

scholarly journals Monetary Policy and Liquidity of Vietnam’s Stock Market

2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (02) ◽  
pp. 02-21
Author(s):  
Ly Tran Thi Hai
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Industrial Production ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Var Model ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Liquidity Measures ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the impact of monetary policy on liquidity of Vietnam’s stock market from September 2007 to November 2014. Time series of liquidity are determined by monthly liquidity data for 643 enterprises in the surveyed period. Two variables of the monetary policy, including growth in money supply and interbank rate, are employed in VAR model along with four different measures of market liquidity. The results show that unexpected variance in the two monetary policy variables has no significant impact on the market liquidity, which, in turn, may be improved by the positive shocks of market returns, inflation, and growth in industrial production. Market variance does produce certain effects, but discrepancies occur in the signs of various liquidity measures.

scholarly journals Measuring Market Risk of Commercial Banks Implementing VaR with Historical Simulation Approach

2021 ◽  
pp. 79-99
Author(s):  
Minhaz-Ul Haq
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Value At Risk ◽  
First Generation ◽  
Market Risk ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Simulation Approach ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Historical Simulation ◽  
The Impact

This paper attempts to picture the impact of the market risk of ten commercial banks located in Bangladesh with the help of a non-parametric model known as the Historical Simulation Approach over the course of eight years. These banks' daily stock prices were used as inputs and analyzed in Microsoft Excel by means of Percentile and LN function. The study revealed market risk exposure as third, second-and first-generation banks from the least to the highest. It also pointed out the ups and downs of these banks' share prices in the selected period. Further analysis showed the portfolio VaR estimation for different time intervals. JEL classification numbers: G32. Keywords: Value-at-risk, Historical Simulation, Market Risk, Confidence Interval.

scholarly journals State-Dependent Stock Liquidity Premium: The Case of the Warsaw Stock Exchange

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 13
Author(s):  
Szymon Stereńczak
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Liquidity Premium ◽  
Stock Liquidity ◽  
Holding Period ◽  
State Dependent ◽  
Warsaw Stock Exchange

The effect of stock liquidity on stock returns is well documented in the developed capital markets, while similar studies on emerging markets are still scarce and their results ambiguous. This paper aims to analyze the state-dependent variance of liquidity premium in the Polish stock market. The Polish capital market may serve as a benchmark for other emerging markets in the region of Central and Eastern Europe, hence the results of this research should be of great interest for investors and policy makers in Poland and other post-communist European countries. In the empirical, study a unique empirical methodology has been applied, which guarantees the uniqueness of the results obtained. The results obtained suggest that on the Polish stock market exists stock liquidity premium, which is statistically significant, but constitutes only a small fraction of returns. It also does not increase during periods of bearish market, what results from the lengthening of average holding period when market liquidity decreases.

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