Scientists Debate Nuclear Source Terms

1985 ◽  
Vol 28 (6) ◽  
pp. 17-23
Author(s):  
John Graham

The nuclear source term, defined as the quantity, timing, and characteristic of the release of radioactive material to the environment following a core-melt accident, was thoroughly debated in 1985. This debate, summarized here, turns on the Nuclear Regulatory Commission's (NRC) source term for radioactive iodine, which is postulated as potentially the most life-threatening radionuclide that might escape in a nuclear power-plant accident. A generic radioiodine source term has been used by NRC as the surrogate for all others; thus, it has become one of the bases on which nuclear-safety regulations are founded. Following the Three Mile Island (TMI) accident, from which only traces of radioiodine escaped, scientists began arguing that nuclear regulations based on source-term calculations are erroneous and should be modified. The American Nuclear Society (ANS) and industry researchers have concluded that warranted reductions in the NRC source terms could range from a factor of ten to several factors of ten in most accident scenarios. The American Physical Society (APS), after agreeing with a large body of the conclusions from the other research groups, has told NRC that its source-term data base is still inadequate because of the existence of a number of uncertainties it found therein. Although APS presented no such conclusion, its findings made clear to NRC that an early reduction of all source terms is not warranted. The anti-nuclear lobby agrees with APS. The NRC has taken a cautious, conservative approach to the revision of its regulations based on new source-term data, although it too concedes that its old methodologies and conclusions must be revised and ultimately superceded.

Author(s):  
Jun Ishikawa ◽  
Ken Muramatsu ◽  
Toru Sakamoto

The THALES-2 code is an integrated severe accident analysis code developed at the Japan Atomic Energy Research Institute in order to simulate the accident progression and transport of radioactive material for probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) of a nuclear power plant. As part of a level 3 PSA being performed at JAERI for a 1,100MWe BWR-5 with a Mark-II containment, a series of calculations were performed by THALES-2 to evaluate the source terms for extensive accident scenarios. For some of the containment failure modes not modeled in THALES-2, such as steam explosion, simple models were coupled with the analysis results of THALES-2 to estimate the source terms. This paper presents the methods and insights from the analyses. An insight from the analyses was that the source terms depend more strongly on the differences in the containment function failure scenarios, such as overpressure failure, controlled containment venting, and small leakage to the reactor building, than those core damage sequences.


Kerntechnik ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 86 (3) ◽  
pp. 217-223
Author(s):  
J.-R. Wang ◽  
S.-S. Chen ◽  
Y. Chiang ◽  
C. Shih ◽  
J.-H. Yang ◽  
...  

Abstract A methodology for analyzing accidents with radioactive material release with EPZDose code was established. This code assesses doses and it is designed and developed by NTHU (National Tsing Hua University). To confirm the capacity of EPZDose, three postulated accident scenarios Taiwanese NPPs Chinshan (BWR/4) and Maanshan (PWR) are analyzed. All these scenarios are SBO (station blackout) transients because it is assumed that they result in a release of radioactive material. In this study, the source term data for EPZDose are taken from MELCOR or RASCAL calculations. In addition, calculated results of RASCAL code are compared with the results of EPZDose for these scenarios. The comparison show that the EPZDose predictions are consistent with the data of RASCAL. This indicates that the EPZDose has a respectable accuracy in the analysis of radioactive material release accidents.


Author(s):  
Hiroto Itoh ◽  
Xiaoyu Zheng ◽  
Hitoshi Tamaki ◽  
Yu Maruyama

The influence of the in-vessel melt progression on the uncertainty of source terms was examined in the uncertainty analysis with integral severe accident analysis code MELCOR (Ver. 1.8.5), taking the accident at Unit 2 of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant as an example. The 32 parameters selected from the rough screening analysis were sampled by Latin hypercube sampling technique in accordance with the uncertainty distributions specified for each parameter. The uncertainty distributions of the outputs, including the source terms of the representative radioactive materials (Cs, CsI, Te and Ba), the total mass of in-vessel H2 generation and the total debris mass released from the reactor pressure vessel to the drywell, were obtained through the uncertainty analysis with an assumption of the failure of drywell. Based on various types of correlation coefficient for each parameter, 9 significant uncertain parameters potentially dominating the source terms were identified. These 9 parameters were transferred to the subsequent sensitivity and uncertainty analyses, in which the influence of the transportation of radioactive materials was taken into account.


Author(s):  
Kenneth C. Wagner ◽  
David L. Y. Louie

Abstract The work presented in this paper applies the MELCOR code developed at Sandia National Laboratories to evaluate the source terms from potential accidents in non-reactor nuclear facilities. The present approach provides an integrated source term approach that would be well-suited for uncertainty analysis and probabilistic risk assessments. MELCOR is used to predict the thermal-hydraulic conditions during fires or explosions that includes a release of radionuclides. The radionuclides are tracked throughout the facility from the initiating event to predict the time-dependent source term to the environment for subsequent dose or consequence evaluations. In this paper, we discuss the MELCOR input model development and the evaluation of the potential source terms from the dominated fire and explosion scenarios for a spent fuel nuclear reprocessing plant.


2014 ◽  
Vol 986-987 ◽  
pp. 564-571
Author(s):  
Xin Hua Liu ◽  
Lan Fang ◽  
Zhao Wen Zhu

The problems occurring in the fission product source term calculations for M310/CPR1000, EPR and AP1000 are briefly analyzed, based on the related regulations and standards, as well as operational feedback, review experiences and recent research achievements for nuclear power plants in China. The framework of fission product source term proper to China has been first studied and proposed in perspective of the purpose of source terms. The calculation processes of fission product source term are rearranged and the requirements for deferent reactor types are specified. The proposed framework can be taken as a foundation for solution of the long-standing problems in the calculation of fission product source term and provide reference for source term calculation.


Author(s):  
Xiaoyu Zheng ◽  
Hiroto Itoh ◽  
Hitoshi Tamaki ◽  
Yu Maruyama

The quantitative evaluation of the fission product release to the environment during a severe accident is of great importance. In the present analysis, integral severe accident code MELCOR 1.8.5 has been applied to estimating uncertainty of source term for the accident at Unit 2 of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant (NPP) as an example and to discussing important models or parameters influential to the source term. Forty-two parameters associated with models for the transportation of radioactive materials were chosen and narrowed down to 18 through a set of screening analysis. These 18 parameters in addition to 9 parameters relevant to in-vessel melt progression obtained by the preceding uncertainty study were input to the subsequent sensitivity analysis by Morris method. This one-factor-at-a-time approach can preliminarily identify inputs which have important effects on an output, and 17 important parameters were selected from the total of 27 parameters through this approach. The selected parameters have been integrated into uncertainty analysis by means of Latin Hypercube Sampling technique and Iman-Conover method, taking into account correlation between parameters. Cumulative distribution functions of representative source terms were obtained through the present uncertainty analysis assuming the failure of suppression chamber. Correlation coefficients between the outputs and uncertain input parameters have been calculated to identify parameters of great influences on source terms, which include parameters related to models on core components failure, models of aerosol dynamic process and pool scrubbing.


Author(s):  
Genn Saji

The term ‘ultimate risk’ is used here to describe the probabilities and radiological consequences that should be incorporated in siting, containment design and accident management of nuclear power plants for hypothetical accidents. It is closely related with the source terms specified in siting criteria which assures an adequate separation of radioactive inventories of the plants from the public, in the event of a hypothetical and severe accident situation. The author would like to point out that current source terms which are based on the information from the Windscale accident (1957) through TID-14844 are very outdated and do not incorporate lessons learned from either the Three Miles Island (TMI, 1979) nor Chernobyl accident (1986), two of the most severe accidents ever experienced. As a result of the observations of benign radionuclides released at TMI, the technical community in the US felt that a more realistic evaluation of severe reactor accident source terms was necessary. In this background, the “source term research project” was organized in 1984 to respond to these challenges. Unfortunately, soon after the time of the final report from this project was released, the Chernobyl accident occurred. Due to the enormous consequences induced by then accident, the one time optimistic perspectives in establishing a more realistic source term were completely shattered. The Chernobyl accident, with its human death toll and dispersion of a large part of the fission fragments inventories into the environment, created a significant degradation in the public’s acceptance of nuclear energy throughout the world. In spite of this, nuclear communities have been prudent in responding to the public’s anxiety towards the ultimate safety of nuclear plants, since there still remained many unknown points revolving around the mechanism of the Chernobyl accident. In order to resolve some of these mysteries, the author has performed a scoping study of the dispersion and deposition mechanisms of fuel particles and fission fragments during the initial phase of the Chernobyl accident. Through this study, it is now possible to generally reconstruct the radiological consequences by using a dispersion calculation technique, combined with the meteorological data at the time of the accident and land contamination densities of 137Cs measured and reported around the Chernobyl area. Although it is challenging to incorporate lessons learned from the Chernobyl accident into the source term issues, the author has already developed an example of safety goals by incorporating the radiological consequences of the accident. The example provides safety goals by specifying source term releases in a graded approach in combination with probabilities, i.e. risks. The author believes that the future source term specification should be directly linked with safety goals.


1990 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 203-210 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Rank ◽  
F. J. Maringer ◽  
W. Papesch ◽  
V. Rajner

Water, sediment, and fish samples were collected during the Danube excursion 1988, within a coordinated sampling program of the Radiology Working Group of the “Internationale Arbeitsgemeinschaft Donauforschung ” (K.Hübel, Munich; I. Kurcz, Budapest; D.Rank, Vienna). The H-3 content of the river water and the radioactivity of the bottom sediments were measured at the BVFA Arsenal, Vienna. The determined H-3 content of the Danube water corresponds with the long-term trend in the H-3 content of the hydrosphere; the values lie in the range of 3 Bq/kg downstream from Belgrade, upstream from Belgrade they are about 4 Bq/kg. It was only in the waste water plume of the nuclear power station of Kozloduj that a slightly elevated H-3 value - 6 Bq/kg - was determined. The content of the sediments of artificial radionuclides was found, at the time of the Danube field excursion, to be almost exclusively due to the radioactive material released following the reactor accident at Chernobyl in April 1986 (mainly Cs-137 and Cs-134). As a consequence of the air currents and precipitation conditions prevailing at the time of the accident, the bottom sediments in the lower course of the Danube were less contaminated than those in the upper course. The fine sediments were found to contain over 3000 Bq/kg of Cs-137 in the upper course of the Danube.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-56 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Yamauchi ◽  
M. Takeda ◽  
M. Makino ◽  
T. Owada ◽  
I. Miyagi

Abstract. Radioactive materials from the accident at Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear power plant (FNPP) in March 2011 spread over a large area, increasing the atmospheric electric conductivity by their ionizing effect, and reducing the vertical (downward) component of the DC electric field near the ground, or potential gradient (PG). PG data at Kakioka, 150 km away from the FNPP, showed independent changes compared to the radiation dose rate, and a comparison of these data revealed the local dynamics of the radioactive dust. (1) The initial drop of the PG to almost zero during 14–15 March is most likely due to radioactive dust suspended in the air near the ground during cloudy weather. (2) An episode of PG increase to more than 50 V m−1 on 16 March is most likely due to the re-suspension of the radioactive dust from the surface and subsequent removal from Kakioka by the strong wind from the non-contaminated area. (3) Low but finite values of the PG during 16–20 March most likely reflect a reduced amount of radioactive material near the ground after the above wind transported away the majority of the suspended radioactive dust. (4) Very low values of the PG after substantial rain on 20–22 March most likely reflect settlement of the radioactive material by rain-induced fallout. (5) Temporal recovery of daily variations from the end of March to the middle of April with low nighttime fair-weather baseline PG most likely reflects re-suspension of the radioactive dust into the air from the ground and trees, and subsequent transport to the other region or fallout to the ground until late April. (6) Weakening of the daily variation and gradual recovery of the nighttime fair-weather baseline after mid-April suggests a complete settlement of the radioactive material to the ground with partial migration to the subsurface.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document