scholarly journals The effect of central bank transparency on inflation persistence

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 58-68
Author(s):  
Georgios Oikonomou ◽  
Stephanos Papadamou ◽  
Eleftherios Spyromitros
Keyword(s):  
Central Bank ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Unit Labour Cost ◽  
Economic Openness ◽  
Inflation Persistence ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Central Bank Transparency ◽  
Yearly Data ◽  
Monetary Policy Transparency

In this paper, we examine the effect of central bank transparency on inflation persistence, using panel data analysis. The existing literature has shown a significant impact of central bank transparency on macroeconomic variables, such as inflation, but not many efforts have been made about its effect on inflation persistence. We use yearly data for 14 countries and the Eurozone (ECB). We find that monetary policy transparency has a negative statistically significant impact on inflation persistence, while controlling also for important variables such as GDP growth, interest rates, economic openness and unit labour cost.

scholarly journals The Influence of Financial Inclusion and Macroeconomic on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Flows in The Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 71
Author(s):  
Farma Andiansyah
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
Foreign Capital ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Financial Inclusion ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Foreign Capital Flows

Foreign capital flows are important factors in the development of sustainable economies, especially in developing countries such as the OIC countries. Lately, the rapid development of the financial sector and macroeconomic stability became a serious concern by foreign investors, where financial inclusion and macroeconomics played an important role in attracting direct foreign capital flows (FDI). The study aims to investigate the role of financial inclusion and macroeconomic variables on the foreign direct flow of capital (FDI) by using data panels in 8 OKI member States during the 2012-2018 time span. The research uses the Fix Effect Model (FEM) Panel data Analysis tool, which is believed to be able to explain the correlation between independent variables and more accurate dependents. As for the results of the study showed that in partial only variable avaibility (the number of branches of the bank/100,000 adults) is a significant positive draws FDI in the OKI country. While on macroeconomic variables the exchange rates have significant negative effect on FDI, while interest rates and economic growth have significant positive relationships in attracting FDI.

Central bank transparency, inflation targeting and monetary policy: a panel data approach

2018 ◽  
Vol 45 (6) ◽  
pp. 1159-1174 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabriel Caldas Montes ◽  
Cristiane Gea
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Central Bank Transparency ◽  
Policy Interest

Purpose The evidence concerning the effects of the inflation targeting (IT) regime as well as greater central bank transparency on monetary policy interest rates is not conclusive, and the following questions remain open. What is the effect of adopting IT on both the level and volatility of monetary policy interest rate? Does central bank transparency affect the level of the monetary policy interest rate and its volatility? Are these effects greater in developing countries? The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the literature by answering these questions. Hence, the paper analyzes the effects of IT and central bank transparency on monetary policy. Design/methodology/approach The analysis uses a sample of 48 countries (31 developing) comprising the period between 1998 and 2014. Based on panel data methodology, estimates are made for the full sample, and then for the sample of developing countries. Findings Countries that adopt the IT regime tend to have lower levels of monetary policy interest rates, as well as lower interest rate volatility. The effect of adopting IT on both the level and volatility of the basic interest rate is smaller in developing countries. Besides, countries with more transparent central banks have lower levels of monetary policy interest rates, as well as lower interest rate volatility. In turn, the effect of central bank transparency on both the level and volatility of the basic interest rate is greater in developing countries. Practical implications The study brings important practical implications regarding the influence of both the IT regime and central bank transparency on monetary policy. Originality/value Studies have sought to analyze whether IT and central bank transparency are effective to control inflation. However, few studies analyze the influence of IT and central bank transparency on interest rates. This study differs from the few existing studies since: the analysis is done not only for the effect of transparency on the level of the monetary policy interest rate, but also on its volatility; the central bank transparency index that is used has never been utilized in this sort of analysis; and the study uses panel data methodology, and compares the results between different samples.

scholarly journals Does Central Bank Transparency Reduce Interest Rates?

2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Petra M. Geraats ◽  
Sylvester C. W. Eijffinger ◽  
Carin van der Cruijsen
Keyword(s):  
Central Bank ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Central Bank Transparency

scholarly journals A Theory of Foreign Exchange Interventions

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastián Fanelli ◽  
Ludwig Straub
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Bond Markets ◽  
Pecuniary Externality ◽  
Optimal Intervention ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Intervention Policy

Abstract We study a real small open economy with two key ingredients (1) partial segmentation of home and foreign bond markets and (2) a pecuniary externality that makes the real exchange rate excessively volatile in response to capital flows. Partial segmentation implies that, by intervening in the bond markets, the central bank can affect the exchange rate and the spread between home- and foreign-bond yields. Such interventions allow the central bank to address the pecuniary externality, but they are also costly, as foreigners make carry trade profits. We analytically characterize the optimal intervention policy that solves this trade-off: (1) the optimal policy leans against the wind, stabilizing the exchange rate; (2) it involves smooth spreads but allows exchange rates to jump; (3) it partly relies on “forward guidance,” with non-zero interventions even after the shock has subsided; (4) it requires credibility, in that central banks do not intervene without commitment. Finally, we shed light on the global consequences of widespread interventions, using a multi-country extension of our model. We find that, left to themselves, countries over-accumulate reserves, reducing welfare and leading to inefficiently low world interest rates.

Central Bank Liquidity Management and the Signal Extraction Problem on the Money Market / Die Liquiditätssteuerung der Notenbank und das Signal-extraktionsproblem am Geldmarkt

2000 ◽  
Vol 220 (3) ◽  
pp. 284-301
Author(s):  
Ulrich Bindseil
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Term Structure ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Money Market ◽  
Signal Extraction ◽  
Maintenance Period ◽  
Liquidity Management ◽  
Expectation Theory

Summary Understanding the factors determining overnight rates is crucial both for central bankers and private market participants, since, assuming the validity of the expectation theory of the term structure of interest rates, expectations with regard to this “monadic” maturity should determine longer term rates, which are deemed to be relevant for the transmission of monetary policy. The note proposes a simple model of the money market within a two-day long reserve maintenance period to derive relationships between the relevant quantities, expectations concerning these quantities for the rest of the reserve maintenance period, and overnight rates. It is argued that a signal extraction problem faced by banks when observing quantities such as their aggregate reserve holdings and allotment amounts of monetary policy operations is at the core of these relationships. The usefulness of the model is illustrated by applying it to the analysis of three alternative liquidity management strategies of a central bank.

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