Estimation of maximum magnitude and recommended seismic zone changes in the western Great Basin

1980 ◽  
Vol 70 (5) ◽  
pp. 1573-1581
Author(s):  
Alan S. Ryall ◽  
J. D. VanWormer

abstract Recent seismic zone maps show large values of maximum expected ground motion for the zone of large historic earthquakes in central Nevada, but low values along a zone of major faults in the Sierra Nevada-Great Basin boundary zone (SNGBZ). Estimates of maximum magnitude for this zone, based on a comparison of mapped faults with seismicity, range from 8.0 or greater in the area south of Bishop to 7.5 to 7.8 in the area between Bishop and Susanville. With population concentrations in the Reno-Carson City-Tahoe area, the northern SNGBZ represents the most serious seismic risk for the Nevada-eastern California region, and seismic zone maps should be changed to reflect this risk. In compiling these maps, magnitude-acceleration relationships should be used that are appropriate to source types and propagation paths in the Great Basin. Relationships between maximum acceleration and magnitude based on source-receiver paths along the California coast (i.e., Schnabel and Seed, 1973) may overestimate near-source acceleration in the Great Basin by a factor of 2 or more.

1980 ◽  
Vol 70 (5) ◽  
pp. 1547-1555
Author(s):  
Malcolm R. Somerville ◽  
William A. Peppin ◽  
J. D. VanWormer

abstract The Diamond Valley, California, earthquakes of September 1978 occurred near the southern termination of the north-striking, east-dipping Genoa Fault, a major normal fault exhibiting cumulative Holocene offsets of up to 10 meters along the eastern margin of the Carson Range. Master-event location of the 14 largest events (ML ≧ 3.0), using two close-in temporary stations for control, revealed a tight cluster 2 km in extent. P-wave first motions for the main shock (ML = 5.0) resolve a strike-slip mechanism with an east-west axis of minimum compressive stress. Faulting (right-lateral) was assigned to the southeast-striking plane on the basis of aftershock migration in that direction. This style of faulting partially accommodates the regional stress field in zones separating left-stepping normal faults of the Sierra Nevada-Great Basin boundary zone. Seismic moments, Wood-Anderson magnitudes, and stress drops were computed for aftershocks using close-in digital seismograms; stress drops were higher than those found by Douglas and Ryall (1972) for aftershocks of the 1954 Fairview Peak earthquake some 130 km to the east. One identifiable characteristic of this sequence is that the ratio of P-to S-wave spectral corner frequencies is considerably greater (2.5) than unity.


1971 ◽  
Vol 61 (5) ◽  
pp. 1413-1432 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank J. Gumper ◽  
Christopher Scholz

abstract Microseismicity, composite focal-mechanism solutions, and previously-published focal parameter data are used to determine the current tectonic activity of the prominent zone of seismicity in western Nevada and eastern California, termed the Nevada Seismic Zone. The microseismicity substantially agrees with the historic seismicity and delineates a narrow, major zone of activity that extends from Owens Valley, California, north past Dixie Valley, Nevada. Focal parameters indicate that a regional pattern of NW-SE tension exists for the western Basin and Range and is now producing crustal extension within the Nevada Seismic Zone. An eastward shift of the seismic zone along the Excelsior Mountains and left-lateral strike-slip faulting determined from a composite focal mechanism indicate transform-type faulting between Mono Lake and Pilot Mountain. Based on these results and other data, it is suggested that the Nevada Seismic Zone is caused by the interaction of a westward flow of mantle material beneath the Basin and Range Province with the boundary of the Sierra Nevada batholith.


1980 ◽  
Vol 70 (5) ◽  
pp. 1557-1572
Author(s):  
J. D. VanWormer ◽  
Alan S. Ryall

abstract Precise epicentral determinations based on local network recordings are compared with mapped faults and volcanic features in the western Great Basin. This region is structurally and seismically complex, and seismogenic processes vary within it. In the area north of the rupture zone of the 1872 Owens Valley earthquake, dispersed clusters of epicenters agree with a shatter zone of faults that extend the 1872 breaks to the north and northwest. An area of frequent earthquake swarms east of Mono Lake is characterized by northeast-striking faults and a crustal low-velocity zone; seismicity in this area appears to be related to volcanic processes that produced thick Pliocene basalt flows in the Adobe Hills and minor historic activity in Mono Lake. In the Garfield Hills between Walker Lake and the Excelsior Mountains, there is some clustering of epicenters along a north-trending zone that does not correlate with major Cenozoic structures. In an area west of Walker Lake, low seismicity supports a previous suggestion by Gilbert and Reynolds (1973) that deformation in that area has been primarily by folding and not by faulting. To the north, clusters of earthquakes are observed at both ends of a 70-km-long fault zone that forms the eastern boundary of the Sierra Nevada from Markleeville to Reno. Clusters of events also appear at both ends of the Dog Valley Fault in the Sierra west of Reno, and at Virginia City to the east. Fault-plane solutions for the belt in which major earthquakes have occurred in Nevada during the historic period (from Pleasant Valley in the north to the Excelsior Mountains on the California-Nevada Border) correspond to normaloblique slip and are similar to that found by Romney (1957) for the 1954 Fairview Peak shock. However, mechanisms of recent moderate earthquakes within the SNGBZ are related to right- or left-lateral slip, respectively, on nearly vertical, northwest-, or northeast-striking planes. These mechanisms are explained by a block faulting model of the SNGBZ in which the main fault segments trend north, have normal-oblique slip, and are offset or terminated by northwest-trending strike-slip faults. This is supported by the observation that seismicity during the period of observation has been concentrated at places where major faults terminate or intersect. Anomalous temporal variations, consisting of a general decrease in seismicity in the southern part of the SNGBZ from October 1977 to September 1978, followed by a burst of moderate earthquakes that has continued for more than 18 months, is suggestive of a pattern that several authors have identified as precursory to large earthquakes. The 1977 to 1979 variations are particularly noteworthy because they occurred over the entire SNGBZ, indicating a regional rather than local cause for the observed changes.


Ursus ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2019 (30e3) ◽  
pp. 40
Author(s):  
Jennapher Teunissen van Manen ◽  
Carl W. Lackey ◽  
Jon P. Beckmann ◽  
Lisa I. Muller ◽  
Zheng-Hua Li

1992 ◽  
Vol 63 (2) ◽  
pp. 139-152 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. A. Bollinger ◽  
M. S. Sibol ◽  
M. C. Chapman

Abstract The process of maximum magnitude estimation is intrinsically subjective and depends directly on the experience and judgment of the analyst. Coppersmith et al. (1987; Table 1) discuss six methods for determining the maximum magnitude earthquake for a seismogenic zone. Those include: (I) Addition of an increment to the largest historical earthquake, (II) Extrapolation of magnitude recurrence relations, (III) Use of source dimensions to estimate magnitude, (IV) Statistical approaches (application of extreme value theory and maximum likelihood techniques), (V) Strain rate or moment release rate methods, and (VI) Reference to a global data base. Each technique has associated uncertainties in its applicability to the zone under consideration as well as in the specification of the key parameters involved. Of the six techniques listed above, only the first three are applicable to the data bases presently available for intraplate areas. Application of methods I, II, and III, to the Giles County, Virginia, seismic zone leads to the following results: MS,I = 6.9 (second subscript indicating which of the six methods was used) from adding a 1.0 increment to the maximum historical earthquake known to have occurred in the zone (May 31, 1897; MMI = VIII; mb = 5.8, MS = 5.9), MS,II = 7.0 from extension of the magnitude recurrence curve for the zone to a recurrence interval of 1000 years, and MS,III = 6.5 from the average of six estimates for the fault zone area. For a single estimate of maximum magnitude, the average of the above three values MS = 6.8 or equivalently, mb = 6.3 can be used.


2021 ◽  
pp. 183-199
Author(s):  
Steve P. Lund ◽  
Larry V. Benson

ABSTRACT This paper summarizes the hydrological variability in eastern California (central Sierra Nevada) for the past 3000 yr based on three distinct paleoclimate proxies, δ18O, total inorganic carbon (TIC), and magnetic susceptibility (chi). These proxies, which are recorded in lake sediments of Pyramid Lake and Walker Lake, Nevada, and Mono Lake and Owens Lake, California, indicate lake-level changes that are mostly due to variations in Sierra Nevada snowpack and rainfall. We evaluated lake-level changes in the four Great Basin lake systems with regard to sediment-core locations and lake-basin morphologies, to the extent that these two factors influence the paleoclimate proxy records. We documented the strengths and weaknesses of each proxy and argue that a systematic study of all three proxies together significantly enhances our ability to characterize the regional pattern, chronology, and resolution of hydrological variability. We used paleomagnetic secular variation (PSV) to develop paleomagnetic chronostratigraphies for all four lakes. We previously published PSV records for three of the lakes (Mono, Owens, Pyramid) and developed a new PSV record herein for Walker Lake. We show that our PSV chronostratigraphies are almost identical to previously established radiocarbon-based chronologies, but that there are differences of 20–200 yr in individual age records. In addition, we used eight of the PSV inclination features to provide isochrons that permit exacting correlations between lake records. We also evaluated the temporal resolution of our proxies. Most can document decadal-scale variability over the past 1000 yr, multidecadal-scale variability for the past 2000 yr, and centennial-scale variability between 2000 and 3000 yr ago. Comparisons among our proxies show a strong coherence in the pattern of lake-level variability for all four lakes. Pyramid Lake and Walker Lake have the longest and highest-resolution records. The δ18O and TIC records yield the same pattern of lake-level variability; however, TIC may allow a somewhat higher-frequency resolution. It is not clear, however, which proxy best estimates the absolute amplitude of lake-level variability. Chi is the only available proxy that records lake-level variability in all four lakes prior to 2000 yr ago, and it shows consistent evidence of a large multicentennial period of drought. TIC, chi, and δ18O are integrative proxies in that they display the cumulative record of hydrologic variability in each lake basin. Tree-ring estimations of hydrological variability, by contrast, are incremental proxies that estimate annual variability. We compared our integrated proxies with tree-ring incremental proxies and found a strong correspondence among the two groups of proxies if the tree-ring proxies are smoothed to decadal or multidecadal averages. Together, these results indicate a common pattern of wet/dry variability in California (Sierra Nevada snowpack/rainfall) extending from a few years (notable only in the tree-ring data) to perhaps 1000 yr. Notable hydrologic variability has occurred at all time scales and should continue into the future.


2010 ◽  
Vol 138 (7) ◽  
pp. 2528-2545 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gregory L. West ◽  
W. James Steenburgh

Abstract High-resolution analyses and MesoWest surface observations are used to examine the life cycle and mesoscale frontal structure of the “Tax Day Storm,” an intermountain cyclone that produced the second lowest sea level pressure observed in Utah during the instrumented period and the strongest cold frontal passage at the Salt Lake City International Airport in the past 25 years. A key mesoscale surface feature contributing to the cyclone’s evolution is a confluence zone that extends downstream from the Sierra Nevada across the Great Basin. Strong contraction (i.e., deformation and convergence) within this Great Basin confluence zone (GBCZ) forms an airstream boundary that is initially nonfrontal but becomes the locus for surface frontogenesis as it collects and concentrates baroclinicity from the northern Great Basin, including that accompanying an approaching baroclinic trough. Evaporative and sublimational cooling from postfrontal precipitation, as well as cross-front contrasts in surface sensible heating, also play an important role, accounting for up to 40% of cross-front baroclinicity. As an upper-level cyclonic potential vorticity anomaly and quasigeostrophic forcing for ascent move over the Great Basin, cyclone development occurs along the GBCZ and developing cold front rather than within the Sierra Nevada lee trough, as might be inferred from classic models of lee cyclogenesis. Front–mountain interactions ultimately produce a very complex frontal evolution over the basin-and-range topography of northern Utah. The analysis further establishes the role of the GBCZ in intermountain frontogenesis and cyclone evolution. Recognition of this role is essential for improving the analysis and prediction of sensible weather changes produced by cold fronts and cyclones over the Intermountain West.


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