scholarly journals Nominal Interest Rate, Inflation Money and Market Link in Bangladesh: An Econometric Analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-68
Author(s):  
Sanjida Akter Chowdhury ◽  
Md. Yousuf ◽  
Md. Nezum Uddin ◽  
Mohammed Jashim Uddin
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Money Market ◽  
Nominal Interest Rate ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Nominal Interest Rates ◽  
Fisher Hypothesis

This paper pursues to establish a connection among the nominal interest rate, the money market, and the inflation rate in Bangladesh using monthly time series data from June 2005 to March 2019. Because some data are stationary at the level and others are stationary at the 1st difference, the ARDL model is applicable for checking the link. There is a strong positive short-term and long-term relationship between inflation and nominal interest rates, suggesting that Bangladeshi data support the Fisher hypothesis for that time. For this study, the T bill, the call money rate is used as a measure of the money market. The research indicates that regulators should concentrate on call money rates in short-term and T-bill and call money rates in the long-term to control Bangladesh's nominal interest rate.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH VARIABEL MAKRO EKONOMI TERHADAP INVESTASI ASING LANGSUNG (STUDY KASUS CHINA-INDONESIA).

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 103
Author(s):  
Ririn Martini Rezki ◽  
Yeniwati Yeniwati ◽  
Mike Triani
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term

This research to analyze the influence of macro economic variables impact on Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in Indonesia. The influence of China’s economic growth, Indonesia’s economic growth, interest rates, inflation and exchange rates against Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) China in Indonesia in the long term and short term. Type of this research is descriptive research, the secondary data use form time series data, from 2001Q1 – 2016Q4, taken  from agencies and related institution, the analysis using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Error Correction Model (ECM) to see the influence in a long term and impact in the short term. This research show that Indonesia’s economic growth of China’s economic growth and inflation is have a significant effect in the long term Chinas’s FDI in Indonesia. Variable economic growth of Indonesia’s, interest rates, inflation, exchange rate in the short term influence China’s Foreign Direct Investment in Indonesia. How ever in the long term interest rates and exchange rate do not influence significantly, to China’s FDI in Indonesia.

scholarly journals THE ANALYSIS OF THE TRANSMISSION MECHANISM OF MONETARY POLICY IN CONVENTIONAL AND SHARIA AGAINST INFLATION IN INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Julika Rahma Siagian
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Short Term

This study aims to analyze the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in Indonesia in controlling inflation, both in terms of sharia and conventional terms. The data used in this empirical study is time series data during 2011:1-2017:4 originating from (Bank Indonesia), Financial Services Authority (FSA) and Ministry of Finance (Kemenkue). The analysis tool used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). This study analyzes the relationship between independent and dependent variables both in the short and long term. The results of this study throuht the asset prices indicate that from conventional monetary variable SBI (certifikat of bank indonesia) variables that have a positive and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. Where as in the long term the variable money supply has a positive effect and variable interest rates on Bank Indonesia, bonds have a positive and significant effect on inflation. In Islamic monetary variables, SBIS have a positive and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. Islamic bond variables (Sukuk) have a negative and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. While in the long-term the variable money supply, Islamic interest rates, and Islamic bonds have a positive and significant effect on inflation.

scholarly journals THE ANALYSIS OF THE TRANSMISSION MECHANISM OF MONETARY POLICY IN CONVENTIONAL AND SHARIA AGAINST INFLATION IN INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 46
Author(s):  
Julika Rahma Siagian
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Short Term

This study aims to analyze the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in Indonesia in controlling inflation, both in terms of sharia and conventional terms. The data used in this empirical study is time series data during 2011:1-2017:4 originating from (Bank Indonesia), Financial Services Authority (FSA) and Ministry of Finance (Kemenkue). The analysis tool used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). This study analyzes the relationship between independent and dependent variables both in the short and long term. The results of this study throuht the asset prices indicate that from conventional monetary variable SBI (certifikat of bank indonesia) variables that have a positive and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. Where as in the long term the variable money supply has a positive effect and variable interest rates on Bank Indonesia, bonds have a positive and significant effect on inflation. In Islamic monetary variables, SBIS have a positive and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. Islamic bond variables (Sukuk) have a negative and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. While in the long-term the variable money supply, Islamic interest rates, and Islamic bonds have a positive and significant effect on inflation.

scholarly journals PENGARUH SUKU BUNGA, PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP EKSPOR DI INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 300-317
Author(s):  
Okta Rabiana Risma ◽  
T. Zulham ◽  
Taufiq C. Dawood
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Difference

This research aims to analyze the level of exports in Indonesia by using Time Series data from the year 1990 to 2015 against a variable interest rate loands, gross domestic product, and the exchange rate. Methods of analysis used i.e, Auto Regressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL). The results showed that the three variables have no Granger which is caused by the difference of the order on the test stasioner. Based on a test of wald for the short term that gained and the long-term gross domestic product, exchange rates and interest rates significantly influential credit toward export.Keywords:ARDL, export, interest rate loands, gross domestic product, exchange rates.AbstrakPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis tingkat ekspor di Indonesia dengan menggunakan data Time Series dari tahun 1990 sampai 2015 terhadap variabel suku bunga kredit, produk domestik bruto, dan nilai tukar. Metode analisis yang digunakan yaitu AutoRegressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL).Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa ketiga variabel tidak memiliki kointegrasi yang disebabkan oleh perbedaan ordo pada uji stasionernya. Berdasarkan uji wald didapat bahwa untuk jangka pendek dan jangka panjang produk domestik bruto, nilai tukar dan suku bunga kredit berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap ekspor.

scholarly journals The Impact of Short- Term Interest Rates on Bank Funding Costs

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (3(J)) ◽  
pp. 141-148
Author(s):  
Azasakhe Nkcubeko Nomsobo ◽  
Roscoe Bertrum Van Wyk
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Bank Capital ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Government Bonds ◽  
Bank Funding ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of short- term interest rates on bank funding costs in South Africa. Literature suggests that rising short- term interest rates may cause similar financial crises experienced in 2007/08 (Bonner & Eijffinger, 2013; Turner, 2013; Saraç & Karagoz, 2016). It is vital to study short- term interest rates and bank funding costs in order to achieve financial stability. The study uses quarterly time series data for the period 2000 to 2014. To estimate the regression, the study uses the Vector Autoregressive model (VAR) and the data is found stationary at first difference. The 3 months Johannesburg Interbank Agreed Rate (JIBAR) is used as a proxy for bank funding costs whilst the prime overdraft rate, 10 -year government bonds and capital ratio are used as proxies for short- term, long- term interest rates and bank capital, respectively. The results show a positive and significant long- term relationship between the variables. The results for prime overdraft rate, 10 -year government bonds and capital ratio conform to the apriori expectations. For GDP growth the results show a positive relationship which does not conform to apriori expectations. Using the variance decomposition, the study illustrates fluctuations in JIBAR was due to changes in its value and fluctuations in the prime rate are also due to JIBAR. The study presents policy options whereby regulatory efforts need to strengthen the capital buffers of banks to reduce bank funding costs and therefore reduce short- term interest rates imposed on borrowers.

Economic Turmoil in Islamic Banking Investment

ETIKONOMI ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Budiandru Budiandru ◽  
Sari Yuniarti
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Islamic Banking ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Investment Financing ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Operational Activities

Investment financing is one of the operational activities of Islamic banking to encourage the real sector. This study aims to analyze the effect of economic turmoil on investment financing, analyze the response to investment financing, and analyze each variable's contribution in explaining the diversity of investment financing. This study uses monthly time series data from 2009 to 2020 using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) analysis. The results show that the exchange rate, inflation, and interest rates significantly affect Islamic banking investment financing in the long term. The response to investment financing is the fastest to achieve stability when it responds to shocks to the composite stock price index. Inflation is the most significant contribution in explaining diversity in investment financing. Islamic banking should increase the proportion of funding for investment. Customers can have a larger business scale to encourage economic growth, with investment financing increasing.JEL Classification: E22, G11, G24How to Cite:Budiandru., & Yuniarti, S. (2020). Economic Turmoil in Islamic Banking Investment. Etikonomi: Jurnal Ekonomi, 19(2), xx – xx. https://doi.org/10.15408/etk.v19i2.17206.

scholarly journals CANDIDE et la monnaie

2009 ◽  
Vol 52 (1) ◽  
pp. 75-103
Author(s):  
Jean-Pierre Aubry ◽  
Pierre Duguay
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Term Structure ◽  
Structural Equations ◽  
Reduced Form ◽  
Real Sector ◽  
Short Term ◽  
The Real ◽  
Structure Equations

Abstract In this paper we deal with the financial sector of CANDIDE 1.1. We are concerned with the determination of the short-term interest rate, the term structure equations, and the channels through which monetary policy influences the real sector. The short-term rate is determined by a straightforward application of Keynesian liquidity preference theory. A serious problem arises from the directly estimated reduced form equation, which implies that the demand for high powered money, but not the demand for actual deposits, is a stable function of income and interest rates. The structural equations imply the opposite. In the term structure equations, allowance is made for the smaller variance of the long-term rates, but insufficient explanation is given for their sharper upward trend. This leads to an overstatement of the significance of the U.S. long-term rate that must perform the explanatory role. Moreover a strong structural hierarchy, by which the long Canada rate wags the industrial rate, is imposed without prior testing. In CANDIDE two channels of monetary influence are recognized: the costs of capital and the availability of credit. They affect the business fixed investment and housing sectors. The potential of the personal consumption sector is not recognized, the wealth and real balance effects are bypassed, the credit availability proxy is incorrect, the interest rate used in the real sector is nominal rather than real, and the specification of the housing sector is dubious.

scholarly journals THE TESTING OF MONEY NEUTRALITY IN ECONOMIC GROWTH OF INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 12
Author(s):  
Muammil Sun’an ◽  
Amran Husen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Broad Sense ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Real Sector ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Correction Model

<p>This study aim is to test the money neutrality in a narrow sense (M1) and a broad sense (M2) to the growth of output (GDP) in Indonesia, both in short term and long term. This research uses quarterly time series data at 2010 - 2016 periods. The analysis tool used is Error Correction Model (ECM). The results show that short-term money supply (M1 and M2) affect on output growth. However, in the long term, only money circulation in a broad sense (M2) affects on output growth, which also means that money is not neutral because it affects the real sector (GDP).</p><p> <strong>Keywords:</strong> M1, M2, Population, Capital, and Economic Growth.</p>

scholarly journals Integration of Indonesian Coffee Markets with World Coffee Markets

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Haposan Orlando Napitupulu ◽  
Ana Arifatus Sa'diyah ◽  
Farah Mutiara
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Dynamic Equilibrium ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Robusta Coffee ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
Coffee Markets

This study aims to analyze the integration of the Arabica and Robusta coffee markets in Indonesia with world coffee prices. The study uses secondary data in the form of annual time series data during the period 1985 - 2015. The study uses the VECM analysis method. This method explains the relationship of long-term dynamic equilibrium and short-term equilibrium in a system of equations. The analysis shows that Indonesian and world Arabica coffee is not integrated in the long term or the short term. In Robusta coffee VECM estimation analysis shows that there is a significant value at the 10% level in a long-term relationship with a value of 0.08579, which means that there is a short-term relationship between world Robusta coffee prices and domestic Robusta coffee prices in the previous year, but no relationship in the long run.

scholarly journals Analisis Peningkatan Upah Minimum Terhadap Penyerapan Tenaga Kerja di Provinsi Jawa Tengah

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 134-143
Author(s):  
Annisa Yulianti ◽  
Hadi Sasana
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Minimum Wage ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Central Java ◽  
Meaningful Relationship ◽  
Short Time ◽  
Relationship Of

 This study aims to analyze the short-term and long-term relationship of increasing the minimum wage in Central Java on employment. The research method used is ECM. The variables of this study include labor, minimum wages, PMDN, and economic growth. The data used are time-series data from 1990-2020. The results show that the minimum wage has a positive and significant relationship to the employment in the long term but not significantly in the short time. PMDN has a negative but significant correlation in the short and long term. At the same time, the variable economic growth has a positive but not meaningful relationship to employment absorption in the long and short term.

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