scholarly journals Development of a Model for Predicting the Direction of Daily Price Changes in the Forex Market Using Long Short-Term Memory

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-67
Author(s):  
Watthana Pongsena ◽  
◽  
Prakaidoy Sitsayabut ◽  
Nittaya Kerdprasop ◽  
Kittisak Kerdprasop ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Price Changes ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
The Future ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Forex is the largest global financial market in the world. Traditionally, fundamental and technical analysis are strategies that the Forex traders often used. Nowadays, advanced computational technology, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has played a significant role in the financial domain. Various applications based on AI technologies particularly machine learning and deep learning have been constantly developed. As the historical data of the Forex are time-series data where the values from the past affect the values that will appear in the future. Several existing works from other domains of applications have proved that the Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM), which is a particular kind of deep learning that can be applied to modeling time series, provides better performance than traditional machine learning algorithms. In this paper, we aim to develop a powerful predictive model targeting to predicts the daily price changes of the currency pairwise in the Forex market using LSTM. Besides, we also conduct an extensive experiment with the intention to demonstrate the effect of various factors contributing to the performance of the model. The experimental results show that the optimized LSTM model accurately predicts the direction of the future price up to 61.25 percent.

scholarly journals Prediksi Penjualan Supermarket Menggunakan Pendekatan Deep Learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 160
Author(s):  
Marchel Thimoty Tombeng ◽  
Zalfie Ardian
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Time Series Model ◽  
Time Machine ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Berdasarkan data transaksi tahun 2014 sampai 2016 dari salah satu supermarket yang ada di Taiwan, penulis menghasilkan analisa model prediksi dengan menguji data menggunakan metode Deep Learning. Beberapa faktor yang berpengaruh telah di dipelajari dan berguna untuk input prediksi, antara lain keadaan cuacu, diskon, hari raya, dan lain sebagainya. Motivasi utama dari penelitian yang penulis lakukan adalah menggunakan teknologi yang berhubungan dengan eksplorasi data untuk memprediksikan penjualan dari produk-produk dan waktu berkunjung pelangan dalam industry retail, untuk mencari grup target yang tepat dan korelasi produk yang tinggi. Pada akhirnya penulis menciptakan sistem keputusan produk yang berisi analisa visual dan tindakan saran untuk manajer produk pemasaran serta pemangku kepentingan dalam pemasaran produk. Dengan adanya hasil prediksi ini, diharapkan dapat menbantu manajer atau pemangku kepentingan lainnya untuk dapat memasarkan serta menjual produk secara tepat sehingga dapat menghasilkan keuntungan yang banyak dengan menggunkan analisa prediksi yang kami buat. LSTM merupakan model yang sering dipakai dalam Recursive Neural Network (RNN), dan pada dasarnya berfungsi untuk memecahkan masalah dari Time Series. Model Deep Learning yang penulis gunakan adalah Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), dimana model ini menyediakan analisa dan prediksi dari serangkaian data. Sebagai contoh, pada saat akhir pekan pengunjungnya melonjat, maka time machine learning ini akan menambahkan pengartian dari nilai parameter akhir pekan dan nilai ouputnya memiliki korelasi yang kuat.Kata kunci—Predictions, Time Series, LSTM, RNN, Deep Learning

Prognostics and RUL Estimations of SAC305, SAC105 and SnAg Solders Under Temperature and Vibration Using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Deep Learning

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pradeep Lall ◽  
Tony Thomas ◽  
Ken Blecker
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Rectangular Pattern ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Abstract Prognostics and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimations of complex systems are essential to operational safety, increased efficiency, and help to schedule maintenance proactively. Modeling the remaining useful life of a system with many complexities is possible with the rapid development in the field of deep learning as a computational technique for failure prediction. Deep learning can adapt to multivariate parameters complex and nonlinear behavior, which is difficult using traditional time-series models for forecasting and prediction purposes. In this paper, a deep learning approach based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network is used to predict the remaining useful life of the PCB at different conditions of temperature and vibration. This technique can identify the different underlying patterns in the time series that can predict the RUL. This study involves feature vector identification and RUL estimations for SAC305, SAC105, and Tin Lead solder PCBs under different vibration levels and temperature conditions. The acceleration levels of vibration are fixed at 5g and 10g, while the temperature levels are 55°C and 100°C. The test board is a multilayer FR4 configuration with JEDEC standard dimensions consists of twelve packages arranged in a rectangular pattern. Strain signals are acquired from the backside of the PCB at symmetric locations to identify the failure of all the packages during vibration. The strain signals are resistance values that are acquired simultaneously during the experiment until the failure of most of the packages on the board. The feature vectors are identified from statistical analysis on the strain signals frequency and instantaneous frequency components. The principal component analysis is used as a data reduction technique to identify the different patterns produced from the four strain signals with failures of the packages during vibration. LSTM deep learning method is used to model the RUL of the packages at different individual operating conditions of vibration for all three solder materials involved in this study. A combined model for RUL prediction for a material that can take care of the changes in the operating conditions is also modeled for each material.

scholarly journals Long Short Term Memory Recurrent Network for Standard and Poor’s 500 Index Modelling

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (4.15) ◽  
pp. 25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Said Jadid Abdulkadir ◽  
Hitham Alhussian ◽  
Muhammad Nazmi ◽  
Asim A Elsheikh
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Recurrent Neural Network ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Forecasting time-series data are imperative especially when planning is required through modelling using uncertain knowledge of future events. Recurrent neural network models have been applied in the industry and outperform standard artificial neural networks in forecasting, but fail in long term time-series forecasting due to the vanishing gradient problem. This study offers a robust solution that can be implemented for long-term forecasting using a special architecture of recurrent neural network known as Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model to overcome the vanishing gradient problem. LSTM is specially designed to avoid the long-term dependency problem as their default behavior. Empirical analysis is performed using quantitative forecasting metrics and comparative model performance on the forecasted outputs. An evaluation analysis is performed to validate that the LSTM model provides better forecasted outputs on Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500) in terms of error metrics as compared to other forecasting models.  

scholarly journals Deep Learning with Long Short-Term Memory for Time Series Prediction

2019 ◽  
Vol 57 (6) ◽  
pp. 114-119 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuxiu Hua ◽  
Zhifeng Zhao ◽  
Rongpeng Li ◽  
Xianfu Chen ◽  
Zhiming Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Time Series Prediction ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

scholarly journals A Hybrid Approach for Turning Intention Prediction Based on Time Series Forecasting and Deep Learning

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (17) ◽  
pp. 4887
Author(s):  
Hailun Zhang ◽  
Rui Fu
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Hybrid Approach ◽  
Lateral Acceleration ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Lateral Velocity ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Turning Behavior ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

At an intersection with complex traffic flow, the early detection of the intention of drivers in surrounding vehicles can enable advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) to warn the driver in advance or prompt its subsystems to assess the risk and intervene early. Although different drivers show various driving characteristics, the kinematic parameters of human-driven vehicles can be used as a predictor for predicting the driver’s intention within a short time. In this paper, we propose a new hybrid approach for vehicle behavior recognition at intersections based on time series prediction and deep learning networks. First, the lateral position, longitudinal position, speed, and acceleration of the vehicle are predicted using the online autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) algorithm. Next, a variant of the long short-term memory network, called the bidirectional long short-term memory (Bi-LSTM) network, is used to detect the vehicle’s turning behavior using the predicted parameters, as well as the derived parameters, i.e., the lateral velocity, lateral acceleration, and heading angle. The validity of the proposed method is verified at real intersections using the public driving data of the next generation simulation (NGSIM) project. The results of the turning behavior detection show that the proposed hybrid approach exhibits significant improvement over a conventional algorithm; the average recognition rates are 94.2% and 93.5% at 2 s and 1 s, respectively, before initiating the turning maneuver.

Deep Network based on Long Short-Term Memory for Time Series Prediction of Microclimate Data inside the Greenhouse

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (02) ◽  
pp. 2050013
Author(s):  
Sawsan Morkos Gharghory
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Weather Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Lstm Network

An enhanced architecture of recurrent neural network based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is suggested in this paper for predicting the microclimate inside the greenhouse through its time series data. The microclimate inside the greenhouse largely affected by the external weather variations and it has a great impact on the greenhouse crops and its production. Therefore, it is a massive importance to predict the microclimate inside greenhouse as a preceding stage for accurate design of a control system that could fulfill the requirements of suitable environment for the plants and crop managing. The LSTM network is trained and tested by the temperatures and relative humidity data measured inside the greenhouse utilizing the mathematical greenhouse model with the outside weather data over 27 days. To evaluate the prediction accuracy of the suggested LSTM network, different measurements, such as Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE), are calculated and compared to those of conventional networks in references. The simulation results of LSTM network for forecasting the temperature and relative humidity inside greenhouse outperform over those of the traditional methods. The prediction results of temperature and humidity inside greenhouse in terms of RMSE approximately are 0.16 and 0.62 and in terms of MAE are 0.11 and 0.4, respectively, for both of them.

scholarly journals COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS AND EVALUATION OF THE APPLICATION OF DEEP LEARNING TECHNIQUES TO CYBERSECURITY DATASETS

10.6036/10007 ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 96 (5) ◽  
pp. 528-533
Author(s):  
XAVIER LARRIVA NOVO ◽  
MARIO VEGA BARBAS ◽  
VICTOR VILLAGRA ◽  
JULIO BERROCAL
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
High Performance ◽  
New Technologies ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Cybersecurity has stood out in recent years with the aim of protecting information systems. Different methods, techniques and tools have been used to make the most of the existing vulnerabilities in these systems. Therefore, it is essential to develop and improve new technologies, as well as intrusion detection systems that allow detecting possible threats. However, the use of these technologies requires highly qualified cybersecurity personnel to analyze the results and reduce the large number of false positives that these technologies presents in their results. Therefore, this generates the need to research and develop new high-performance cybersecurity systems that allow efficient analysis and resolution of these results. This research presents the application of machine learning techniques to classify real traffic, in order to identify possible attacks. The study has been carried out using machine learning tools applying deep learning algorithms such as multi-layer perceptron and long-short-term-memory. Additionally, this document presents a comparison between the results obtained by applying the aforementioned algorithms and algorithms that are not deep learning, such as: random forest and decision tree. Finally, the results obtained are presented, showing that the long-short-term-memory algorithm is the one that provides the best results in relation to precision and logarithmic loss.

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