scholarly journals Unemployment Rate Forecasting via Markov Chains

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (6) ◽  
pp. 1191-1194
Author(s):  
Meshal Harbi Odah
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chains ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Social Phenomenon ◽  
Critical Levels ◽  
Unemployment Rates ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Right

Unemployment is an economic and social phenomenon that has many effects and problems that directly affect society and could result in many problems in the future. Therefore, it is one of the most significant challenges confronting the globe today, as unemployment rates have reached critical levels. The aim of the research is to predict the unemployment rate for the coming years through the Markov chains method. The current variables of a particular phenomenon are analyzed in order to predict future variables to the phenomenon itself. The results indicated that the probability of an increase in the unemployment rate in the coming period, followed by a decrease in the unemployment rate and, finally, stability. The present findings can help decision makers to make the right decisions to face the problem of unemployment.

scholarly journals Why HAL 9000 is not the future of intelligence analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 40-60
Author(s):  
Giangiuseppe Pili
Keyword(s):  
New Technology ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Central Position ◽  
Present Moment ◽  
Intelligence Analysis ◽  
Course Of Action ◽  
The Future ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Universal Definition ◽  
The Right

Intelligence analysis is a core function of the intelligence process, and its goal is to synthesize reliable information to assist decision-makers to take a course of action toward an uncertain future. There is no escape from uncertainty, friction, and the fog of war. Since the dawn of human history, the present moment has been experienced as unpredictable, and the challenge of determining the right future through sound decisions has always existed. Investing in new technology, continually touted as the answer for analytic troubles, seems far less difficult in the short run than trying to find consensus about a long-term vision. It is easier to develop a nuclear missile, for example, than to give a universal definition of peace, and this is what the history of the XX century was all about. While intelligence analysis is still a necessary tool for decision-makers, it is unclear who or what will perform this function in the future. Though the solution cannot be only technological, the current trajectory tells a different story whereby the human analysts are removed from their central position to make way for Artificial Intelligence.

scholarly journals Methodology of Multi-criteria Analysis of Changes in Unemployment Rates in Selected World Economies and Forecasting with the ARIMA Model of the US Unemployment Rate for the Future

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-85
Author(s):  
Bartosz Kozicki ◽  
Jan Žukovskis ◽  
Grzegorz Mizura
Keyword(s):  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Unemployment Rates ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Future ◽  
Multi Criteria Analysis

W artykule przedstawiono metodykę wielokryterialnej analizy stóp procentowych bezrobocia w wybranych gospodarkach światowych oraz próby przeprowadzenia prognozowania stopy bezrobocia w USA na trzy przyszłe okresy. Badania rozpoczęto od analizy wielowymiarowej zmienności stóp procentowych bezrobocia w wybranych gospodarkach światowych w ujęciu sześciomiesięcznym w latach 2011-2018. Następnie przeprowadzono jej ocenę. Dalszym etapem badania była analiza i ocena szeregu czasowego danych dotyczących stóp procentowych bezrobocia w USA w ujęciu dynamicznym. Następnie zbudowano model prognostyczny ARIMA i wykonano prognozowanie na trzy przyszłe okresy.

Why Choose Cardiothoracic Surgery as a Career?

2011 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 142 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raja R. Gopaldas ◽  
Faisal G. Bakaeen ◽  
Danny Chu ◽  
Joseph S. Coselli ◽  
Denton A. Cooley
Keyword(s):  
Technological Progress ◽  
Artery Bypass ◽  
Cardiothoracic Surgery ◽  
Faculty Members ◽  
New Graduates ◽  
The Future ◽  
Cardiac Surgeon ◽  
The Right ◽  
Cardiac Surgeons ◽  
The Ideal

The future of cardiothoracic surgery faces a lofty challenge with the advancement of percutaneous technology and minimally invasive approaches. Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery, once a lucrative operation and the driving force of our specialty, faces challenges with competitive stenting and poor reimbursements, contributing to a drop in applicants to our specialty that is further fueled by the negative information that members of other specialties impart to trainees. In the current era of explosive technological progress, the great diversity of our field should be viewed as a source of excitement, rather than confusion, for the upcoming generation. The ideal future cardiac surgeon must be a "surgeon-innovator," a reincarnation of the pioneering cardiac surgeons of the "golden age" of medicine. Equipped with the right skills, new graduates will land high-quality jobs that will help them to mature and excel. Mentorship is a key component at all stages of cardiothoracic training and career development. We review the main challenges facing our specialty�length of training, long hours, financial hardship, and uncertainty about the future, mentorship, and jobs�and we present individual perspectives from both residents and faculty members.

Empirical Analysis of the Influence of Culture in Managerial Processes Based on the Hofstede Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 205-210
Author(s):  
Dumitru Iancu ◽  
Dorel Badea
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Analysis ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Cultural Characteristics ◽  
The Future ◽  
Organizational Problem ◽  
Cultural Structure

AbstractWe communicate and decide every day, but the complexity of the context in which we do these things is increasing. Today, the cultural structure of the organization’s members, due to the need to have competent employees in correlation with the established objectives, is somewhat puzzled and dynamical. Thus, the decision-makers must take into account (mandatory) the cultural basis of the subordinates when choosing the best alternative for solving an organizational problem. From this perspective, Hofstede’s model can be one of the explanatory modalities of the organization’s cultural characteristics as a basis to identify the action’s solutions in that organization for the future.

JUAL BELI TANAH YANG DILAKUKAN TANPA AKTA PPAT

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-107
Author(s):  
Cheri Bayuni Budjang
Keyword(s):  
Everyday Life ◽  
Government Regulation ◽  
Land Rights ◽  
The Other ◽  
Legal Certainty ◽  
Land Registration ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Right ◽  
Laws And Regulations

Buying and selling is a way to transfer land rights according to the provisions in Article 37 paragraph (1) of Government Regulation Number 24 of 1997 concerning Land Registration which must include the deed of the Land Deed Making Official to register the right of land rights (behind the name) to the Land Office to create legal certainty and minimize the risks that occur in the future. However, in everyday life there is still a lot of buying and selling land that is not based on the laws and regulations that apply, namely only by using receipts and trust in each other. This is certainly very detrimental to both parties in the transfer of rights (behind the name), especially if the other party is not known to exist like the Case in Decision Number 42 / Pdt.G / 2010 / PN.Mtp

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