scholarly journals Causality Relationship between Tourism, Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Taiwan

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 287-293
Author(s):  
Sung Yu-Chi ◽  
Hung-Pin Lin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Long Run ◽  
International Tourist ◽  
Causality Relationship

This study attempts to investigate the existence of Granger causality and cointegrated relationships among international tourist arrivals (ITA), foreign exchange income (FEI), foreign direct investment (FDI), and economic growth (GDP) using Taiwan’s tourism data from 1976 to 2016. The cointegrated results confirm the existence of long-run relationships among the variables, and the Granger causality results show that there is a bi-directional causality between GDP and ITA. In addition, there is a unidirectional causality running from one to another in each pair of these variables, while there is no causality between ITA and FDI. Based on such causality evidence, policy implications reveal that to promote GDP, paying attention to FDI to expand ITA is a feasible policy to achieve economic growth.

scholarly journals How do Foreign Direct Investment and Growth Interact in India?

2015 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gurmeet Singh
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Foreign Exchange Reserves ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship ◽  
Short Run

The study investigates the relationships between the FDI and economic growth, namely, Gross Domestic Product, exports and foreign exchange reserves over the period 1994 to 2013. Johansen’s co-integration and vector error correction model have been applied to explore the long-run equilibrium relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth. The analysis reveals that economic growth and the foreign direct investment are co-integrated and, hence, a long-run equilibrium relationship exists between them. It is observed that the foreign direct investment is positively related to gross domestic product and foreign exchange reserves but negatively related to exports. Exports are found to be insignificant in determining FDI. In the Granger causality sense, FDI causes GDP in both long run and short-run. No bidirectional causality is observed between any variables under study. Furthermore, the findings of VECM and Granger Causality test show that FDI creates a long run relationship with economic growth but in short run no causality is found between FDI, exports and foreign exchange reserves.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth In Indonesia: A Causality Analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Al Muizzuddin Fazaalloh
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Study Analyse ◽  
Causality Relationship

This study analyse the causality relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth in Indonesia over the period 1970-2015. The method used in this research is Granger causality approach. Results from the estimation show that there is no causal relationship between FDI and economic growth in short and long run. However, the results in this paper indicate that there is a unidirectional causal relationship running from economic growth to FDI in short and long run. It means that economic growth influences FDI inflows in Indonesia.

scholarly journals Relationship Economic Growth with Foreign Direct Investment

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 49-68
Author(s):  
Prince Charles Heston Runtunuwu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
The One

This study aims to determine the one-way causality relationship between foreign investment and economic growth, a one-way causality relationship between economic growth and foreign investment, and a two-way causality relationship between foreign investment and economic growth in Indonesia. This was conducted in Indonesia, the data are secondary data taken using the method time series from 1971 to 2018 from the official websites, the Investment Coordinating Board, and literature sources, Foreign Investment and Gross Domestic Product. (1) in the long run the Economic Growth variable has a significant effect on Foreign Direct Investment, and vice versa; and (2) the Foreign Direct Investment variable has a significant effect on Economic Growth; (3) in the short term, the Economic Growth variable has an influence on Foreign Direct Investment, and vice versa; and the Foreign Direct Investment variable has an influence on Economic Growth. It is possible to have a better long-term relationship, bringing positive impact on economic growth in Indonesia when investment in Indonesia increases. Conversely, when economic growth decreases, it means that foreign investment is also low. Granger Causality test, shows a two-way causality relationship between Economic Growth and Foreign Direct Investment and vice versa. It is necessary to maintain growth to attract foreign direct investment, as well as foreign investment. Investment climate needs to be improved enabling to invest in Indonesia.

scholarly journals Trade Openness and Economic Growth Nexus in Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol V (III) ◽  
pp. 22-33
Author(s):  
Ghulam Yahya Khan ◽  
Muhammad Masood Anwar ◽  
Aftab Anwar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Integration Approach ◽  
Long Run

This study explores the nexus amongst trade openness and economic growth for Pakistan for 1981-2019. Trade-openness is a dependent variable, and it is measured as imports plus exports to GDP ratio. Economic growth, Foreign Direct Investment, Inflation, Exchange rate, and interest rate are taken as explanatory variables. Co-integration approach by Johansen and Juselius (1988, 1991) has been used for long-run relationships. Results indicate that Trade-Openness has significantly affected the economic growth and other control variables of the study for Pakistan. There exist bidirectional Granger Causality in the selected variables.

scholarly journals Examining the impact of Exports and Exchange rate on Economic Growth of Turkey

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iftikhar Muhammad ◽  
Malik Shahzad Shabbir
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Purpose This study intends to analyze the long-run and short-run relationships along with the identification of causal links between exports, economic growth, and exchange rate in Turkey. Data/Design: This study uses auto-regressive distributed lags (ARDL) and Granger causality over time series monthly data from the year 2010–2018. The results indicate that exports are significantly positively related to economic growth while the exchange rate is found to be negatively related to economic growth. Findings: Moreover, findings from the test of Granger causality indicate that a unidirectional causal association is found from exports to foreign direct investment and economic growth and from economic growth to foreign direct investment. The Granger causality results indicate that an increase in exports accelerates the economic growth of Turkey and a change in growth rate and exchange rate leads to a change in foreign direct investment. Originality of work: The overall findings suggest that exports should be promoted along with the liberal-investment economic policies to boost the overall economic growth in Turkey.

scholarly journals Trade Openness and Economic Growth Nexus in Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol V (IV) ◽  
pp. 24-33
Author(s):  
Ghulam Yahya Khan ◽  
Muhammad Masood Anwar ◽  
Aftab Anwar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Integration Approach ◽  
Long Run

This study explores the nexus amongst trade openness and economic growth for Pakistan for 1981-2019. Trade-openness is a dependent variable, and it is measured as imports plus exports to GDP ratio. Economic growth, Foreign Direct Investment, Inflation, Exchange rate, and interest rate are taken as explanatory variables. Co-integration approach by Johansen and Juselius (1988, 1991) has been used for long-run relationships. Results indicate that Trade-Openness has significantly affected the economic growth and other control variables of the study for Pakistan. There exist bidirectional Granger Causality in the selected variables.

Does agricultural sector foreign direct investment promote economic growth of Pakistan? Evidence from cointegration and causality analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 196-207 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abbas Ali Chandio ◽  
Amir Ali Mirani ◽  
Rashid Usman Shar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Empirical Study ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Johansen Cointegration

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the linkage between agricultural sector foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth in Pakistan over the period from 1991 to 2013. Design/methodology/approach In this study, the stationary analysis is performed by using Phillips–Perron and Dickey–Fuller generalized least squares unit root tests and Johansen cointegration technique to determine the long-run linkage among the studied variables. The robustness of long-run linkage is checked by employing autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach, dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS), fully modified ordinary least square method (FMOLS) and the canonical cointegration regression (CCR). The causal linkage between the selected variables is investigated by the VECM Granger causality test. Findings The results of the Johansen cointegration test confirmed a cointegrating association between the variables. In addition, the results of the ARDL, DOLS, FMOLS and CCR showed that agricultural sector FDI has a strong positive significant effect on economic growth in long run. Moreover, the findings of the present empirical study revealed that there exists bidirectional Granger causality between the agricultural sector FDI and economic growth in both short run and long run. Originality/value The present empirical study filled the literature gap of applying the Granger causality based on error-correction model to examine this relevant issue for Pakistan.

scholarly journals Effect of Foreign Direct Investment on Bangladesh Economy: a Time Series Analysis from 1972 to 2013

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rumana Rashid ◽  
Sk. Sharafat Hossen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Export Performance ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on economic growth and examines the causality between FDI and economic growth in Bangladesh during 1972-2013. Gross Domestic Product (GDP), export performance (EXP), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), and Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) are considered to capture the objective of the study. The study methodology includes some systematic steps. As the data used in the study is time-series in nature, the author employs unit root tests, and in this case, Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP) tests are used. Then Johansen’s cointegration test, Granger causality test, regression with Newey-West Standard Error and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) are applied. By using the ADF and PP test the study reveals that the variables of four-time series are integrated of I (1) i.e. they are stationary at first difference. Regression analysis result demonstrates that FDI has a positive effect on economic growth. The Granger Causality test discloses that there is a unidirectional relationship between FDI and economic growth. But the VECM estimation finds that in the long run FDI negatively affects economic growth.

scholarly journals Exploring the linkages of Foreign Direct Investment in Spain since 1970’s: an ARDL approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-54
Author(s):  
Verónica Cañal Fernández ◽  
Julio Tascón Fernández ◽  
María Gómez Martín
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Relationship

This paper analyzes the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI), exports and economic growth in Spain using annual time series data for the period 1970 to 2016. To examine these linkages the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to cointegration for the long-run is applied. The results confirm a long-run relationship among the examined variables. The Granger causality test indicates a strong unidirectional causality between FDI and exports with direction from FDI to exports. Besides, the results for the relationship between FDI and economic growth are interesting and indicate that there is no significant Granger causality from FDI to economic growth and vice-versa.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment, Exports, and Long-Run Economic Growth in Asia: Panel Cointegration and Causality Analysis

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 26 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seng Sothan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Granger Causality Analysis ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Panel Granger Causality ◽  
Causal Impact

This paper examines the co-movement and causal impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) and exports on economic growth in 21 Asian countries over the period 1980 to 2013, using the panel cointegration and Granger causality analysis. Findings strongly confirm that there is a long-run steady-state relationship between FDI, exports, and GDP for the selected countries. Based on the panel Granger causality analysis, there is long-run bidirectional causality between FDI and GDP and between exports and GDP. This can be concluded that FDI and exports do have causal impact on long-run growth in the countries being investigated.

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