scholarly journals Forecasting Crude Oil Prices using Discrete Wavelet Transform with Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average and Least Square Support Vector Machine Combination Approach

Author(s):  
Nurull Qurraisha Nadiyya Md-Khair ◽  
Ruhaidah Samsudin ◽  
Ani Shabri
2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nurull Qurraisha Nadiyya Md-Khair ◽  
Ruhaidah Samsudin ◽  
Ani Shabri

This paper proposes a time series forecasting approach combining wavelet transform and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) to enhance the precision in forecasting crude oil spot prices series. Wavelet transform splits the original prices series into several subseries, then the most appropriate model of ARIMA is established to predict each respective series and finally all series are combined back to get the original series. The datasets for the experiment consist of crude oil spot prices from Brent North Sea (Brent) and West Texas Intermediate (WTI). Single forecasting model ARIMA and several existing forecasting approaches in the literatures are used to measure the performance of the proposed approach by utilizing the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) collected. Final results have depicted that the proposed approach outperforms other approaches with smaller MAE and RMSE values. Ultimately, it is proven that data decomposition, combined with forecasting method can increase the accuracy in time series forecasting.


2016 ◽  
Vol 79 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Suhail Khokhar ◽  
A. A. Mohd Zin ◽  
M. A. Bhayo ◽  
A. S. Mokhtar

The monitoring of power quality (PQ) disturbances in a systematic and automated way is an important issue to prevent detrimental effects on power system. The development of new methods for the automatic recognition of single and hybrid PQ disturbances is at present a major concern. This paper presents a combined approach of wavelet transform based support vector machine (WT-SVM) for the automatic classification of single and hybrid PQ disturbances. The proposed approach is applied by using synthetic models of various single and hybrid PQ signals. The suitable features of the PQ waveforms were first extracted by using discrete wavelet transform. Then SVM classifies the type of PQ disturbances based on these features. The classification performance of the proposed algorithm is also compared with wavelet based radial basis function neural network, probabilistic neural network and feed-forward neural network. The experimental results show that the recognition rate of the proposed WT-SVM based classification system is more accurate and much better than the other classifiers. 


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 215-224
Author(s):  
Abdelhakim Ridouh ◽  
Daoud Boutana ◽  
Salah Bourennane

We address with this paper some real-life healthy and epileptic EEG signals classification. Our proposed method is based on the use of the discrete wavelet transform (DWT) and Support Vector Machine (SVM). For each EEG signal, five wavelet decomposition level is applied which allow obtaining five spectral sub-bands correspond to five rhythms (Delta, Theta, Alpha, Beta and gamma). After the extraction of some features on each sub-band (energy, standard deviation, and entropy) a moving average (MA) is applied to the resulting features vectors and then used as inputs to SVM to train and test. We test the method on EEG signals during two datasets: normal and epileptics, without and with using MA to compare results. Three parameters are evaluated such as sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy to test the performances of the used methods.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document