scholarly journals The Impacts of China's Shadow Banking Credit Creation on the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 33-46
Author(s):  
Huiyi Zhang ◽  
Richard Skolnik ◽  
Yu Han ◽  
Jinpei Wu
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Shadow Banking ◽  
Leverage Ratio ◽  
Money Multiplier ◽  
Credit Creation ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Banking Credit ◽  
Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy

This paper researches the impact that shadow banking in China has upon credit creation and the potential effectiveness of monetary policy. Using a credit creation model, we derive the effect that shadow banking has upon the money multiplier and the money supply. The model shows that shadow banking can change the money multiplier, potentially increasing it during an expansion and decreasing it during a contraction. Introducing shadow banking in a CC-LM model results in a shift of the CC and LM curves resulting in a higher equilibrium output. A vector autoregressive model is used to empirically estimate the impact of shadow banking deposits' growth rate on the growth rates of the broad money supply, GDP, and the CPI. The results show that shadow banking's credit creation function in China has a pro-cyclical characteristic, potentially reducing the money supply's controllability and increasing the difficulty in effectively regulating monetary policy. This paper introduces shadow banking into the currency creation process of traditional commercial banks, accounting for the reserve requirement ratio, the excess reserve ratio, the shadow bank leakage rate, and the reserved deduction rate. Future research can determine whether coordinating monetary policy and leverage ratio regulation mitigates the impact of shadow banking. Another area of research is how the shadow banking of non-financial companies affect monetary policy.

scholarly journals Impact of Monetary Policy on Bank Credit in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 196-205
Author(s):  
Alade Ayodeji Ademokoya ◽  
Mubaraq Sanni ◽  
Lukman Adebayo Oke ◽  
Segun Abogun
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Bank Credit ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Credit Creation ◽  
Lending Rate ◽  
Ordinary Least Square Regression ◽  
The Impact

Objective – The aim of this study is to examine the impact of monetary policy on credit creation ability of banks in Nigeria. Specifically, it investigates the impact of monetary policy rate, money supply, liquidity ratio, and change in maximum lending rate on bank credit in Nigeria. Design/methodology – A monthly time series data from 2007-2019 were sourced from the Central Bank’s of Nigeria statistical bulletin. The sourced data was subjected to multiple regression analysis using the fully modified ordinary least square regression to estimate the parameters of the model. Results – Findings reveal that money supply significantly and positively influence bank credit in Nigeria; while liquidity ratio significantly but negatively influence bank credit in Nigeria. On the contrary, monetary policy rate and maximum lending rate were found not to significantly affect bank credit in the case of Nigeria.Policy Recommendation - Study therefore, recommend that monetary authorities especially, the Central Bank of Nigeria should pay more attention to lowering the liquidity ratio while increasing money supply in order to engender banks credit creation ability and further stimulate the Nigerian economy for growth.

Money Multiplier Bias Due to Informal Sector: An Extension of the Existing Money Multiplier

2021 ◽  
pp. 227797872097988
Author(s):  
Khurrum S. Mughal ◽  
Friedrich G. Schneider ◽  
Faheem Aslam ◽  
Alishba Tahir
Keyword(s):  
Money Supply ◽  
Informal Sector ◽  
Informal Economy ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Official Statistics ◽  
Jel Codes ◽  
Money Multiplier ◽  
Multiplier Effect ◽  
The Impact

To demonstrate the impact of informal economy on the official money multiplier in currency supply, we present an extension of the basic money multiplier model. The influence of economic policies may differ if they are based only on official statistics without considering the informal sector. Since most of the activities in informal sector are hidden from authorities, it is widely assumed that these activities are based on cash transactions, a part of total currency that cannot be attracted towards deposits due to the holder’s fear of prosecution and taxation, etc. Therefore, it is expected that such currency holdings can give biased results by playing a role in the money multiplier, a phenomenon that is usually ignored while attempting to alter money supply. The article also indicates that because of informal sector, the currency deposit ratio in the money multiplier is smaller than expected (depending on size of the informal sector), leading to a larger multiplier effect. JEL Codes: E26, E51, O17

scholarly journals Effect of Money Supply on the Stock Market

2017 ◽  
Vol 65 (2) ◽  
pp. 465-472 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vladimír Pícha
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Policy Framework ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Flow Of Funds ◽  
Portfolio Balance ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

This paper observes effect of money supply on the stock market through the portfolio balance channel as a transmission mechanism of monetary policy. National flow of funds accounts, specifically assets from US households’ portfolios, represent a key data source. Johansen’s cointegration methodology is employed in the empirical part of the paper to analyze both short term and long term relationships among researched variables. Estimates of vector error correction model help to reliably quantify intensity of the effect. Results show money supply excercises influence on valuation of S&P 500 index with 6 months lag. The impact is also distinguishable in the long run, whereas all observed asset classes can positively influence price of S&P 500. Findings are then contextualized in the concluding part of the paper using a monetary policy framework.

scholarly journals Impacts of Monetary Policy on Inflation in Bangladesh

2012 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 103-119
Author(s):  
Mohammad Nayeem Abdullah ◽  
Kamruddin Parvez ◽  
Rahat Bari Tooheen
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Open Market ◽  
Major Transitions ◽  
Classification Code ◽  
Inflation Rates ◽  
The Developed Countries ◽  
The Impact

The objective of this paper is to analyze and discuss the impacts of monetary policy on Bangladesh inflation, identify the major drawbacks of the policies in minimizing the inflation rate and suggest policy recommendations on some key issues of Bangladesh inflation. To estimate the effects of the monetary policy in Bangladesh, at first the impact of different monetary policy tools used by the “Central Banks” of the developed countries have been reviewed. Next, the impact of the monetary policy of Bangladesh Bank and government have been analyzed for which the data on money supply, growth of the GDP, changes in the price level, and changes in the unemployment rate have been quantitatively analyzed. We mainly used Consumer Price Index to determine the level on inflation in Bangladesh. Moreover, our study focuses on data collected from the 1950-2012, mainly focusing our study from the period of 2000-2012 as major transitions have been observed in the economy during the 12 years. We have further analyzed whether there is any correlation between (i) inflation rates and money supply, and (ii) inflation rates and growth of GDP. On the basis of the outcome of the qualitative and quantitative analysis, in the end findings and conclusion have been drawn. We have found the correlation, the impacts of monetary policy and inflation, their drawbacks and possible solutions such as independence of the monetary policy from the fiscal policy and enhancing the transparency, communication and signaling effect of policy moves, keeping the broad money in line with the estimated real GDP growth, borrowing from non-bank sources, and control money supply through various open market operations. Due to lack of access to sufficient data, some of our work is based on hypothesis and models. So some data vary according to the model being used. Lastly, even though, many works have been done from the perspective of developed and other developing countries, much work has not been carried out to establish the relationship between monetary policy and inflation in Bangladesh. GEL Classification Code: E31; E42; E50

scholarly journals Monetary Policy and Liquidity of Vietnam’s Stock Market

2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (02) ◽  
pp. 02-21
Author(s):  
Ly Tran Thi Hai
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Industrial Production ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Var Model ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Liquidity Measures ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the impact of monetary policy on liquidity of Vietnam’s stock market from September 2007 to November 2014. Time series of liquidity are determined by monthly liquidity data for 643 enterprises in the surveyed period. Two variables of the monetary policy, including growth in money supply and interbank rate, are employed in VAR model along with four different measures of market liquidity. The results show that unexpected variance in the two monetary policy variables has no significant impact on the market liquidity, which, in turn, may be improved by the positive shocks of market returns, inflation, and growth in industrial production. Market variance does produce certain effects, but discrepancies occur in the signs of various liquidity measures.

scholarly journals Monetary Transmission through Shadow Banks

2019 ◽  
Vol 33 (6) ◽  
pp. 2379-2420 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kairong Xiao
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Structural Model ◽  
Shadow Banking ◽  
Oxford University ◽  
Shadow Banks ◽  
Bank Deposits ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
The Impact

Abstract I find that shadow bank money creation significantly expands during monetary-tightening cycles. This “shadow banking channel” offsets reductions in commercial bank deposits and dampens the impact of monetary policy. Using a structural model of bank competition, I show that the difference in depositor clienteles quantitatively explains banks’ different responses to monetary policy. Facing a more yield-sensitive clientele, shadow banks are more likely to pass through rate hikes to depositors, thereby attracting more deposits when the Federal Reserve raises rates. My results suggest that monetary tightening could unintentionally increase financial fragility by driving deposits into the uninsured shadow banking sector. Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix, which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online.

scholarly journals Impact of Monetary Policy on Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence in Vietnam

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tang My Sang
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
The Impact

Through the secondary data collected from 2009 to 2018, the research used Var method to test the impact of monetary policy on economic growth in Vietnam. The results show that there is a relationship between the variables of monetary policy and economic growth, in which the money supply has a positive impact at a high significant level, interest rates have a negative impact on Vietnam economic growth. From the results obtained, the research proposed solutions for operating monetary policy.

scholarly journals ON THE IMPACT OF MONETARY POLICY ON THE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF RUSSIA

2019 ◽  
pp. 140-145
Author(s):  
S. V. Laptev
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Gradual Transition ◽  
Strategic Objectives ◽  
Factors Of Influence ◽  
Monetary And Fiscal Policy ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy

The approaches of various authors to the assessment of the impact of monetary policy on the development of the economy have been considered. The main factors of positive and negative influence of interest rate monetary policy on economic development have been established. Features of influence of monetary policy on development of the developed and developing States have been revealed. It has been defined, that the strength of the influence of individual factors on the effectiveness of monetary policy in individual countries varies, and the appropriateness of using monetary policy to support economic growth is determined by the ratio of the total positive and total negative impact. Recommendations on the construction of monetary policy taking into account its positive and negative impact on the development of the economy have been given. They aim at a gradual transition to the use of monetary policy to support growth, to take into account all the factors of influence and the integrated use of all instruments of monetary and fiscal policy to stimulate growth, the achievement of other strategic objectives.

scholarly journals Imperative of Exchange Rates Policy and Industrial Growth in Nigeria: A Time Series Analysis

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 187-198 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olatunji A. Shobande
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Industrial Growth ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Tax Incentive ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Speed Up ◽  
The Impact

Abstract This paper looks at the impact of foreign exchange rate policies on industrial growth in Nigeria between 1981 and 2016. The study employed the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) techniques, following the results of Johansen Cointegration techniques that shows the existence of long run relationship among the variables considered. While, VECM estimates showed that money supply (monetary policy) impacted positively effects, evidence on, TAX (fiscal policy) impacted negative on industrial growth. Besides, the Exchange rate and Inflation impacted negatively on industrial growth., suggesting that the issue of stability remained a challenge unresolved by the Apex bank. The emanating policy antidotes are that there is urgent need to use proactive monetary policy through money supply to speed up the rate of industrial growth on one hand, while providing tax incentive to various industrial good that can further have enhanced the contribution of the sector to industrial growth on the other. In all, the need to align the objective of exchange rate policy with broader macroeconomic goals is necessary for effective policy transmission mechanism to speed up the rate of industrial progress in the country.

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