scholarly journals Impacts of Monetary Policy on Inflation in Bangladesh

2012 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 103-119
Author(s):  
Mohammad Nayeem Abdullah ◽  
Kamruddin Parvez ◽  
Rahat Bari Tooheen

The objective of this paper is to analyze and discuss the impacts of monetary policy on Bangladesh inflation, identify the major drawbacks of the policies in minimizing the inflation rate and suggest policy recommendations on some key issues of Bangladesh inflation. To estimate the effects of the monetary policy in Bangladesh, at first the impact of different monetary policy tools used by the “Central Banks” of the developed countries have been reviewed. Next, the impact of the monetary policy of Bangladesh Bank and government have been analyzed for which the data on money supply, growth of the GDP, changes in the price level, and changes in the unemployment rate have been quantitatively analyzed. We mainly used Consumer Price Index to determine the level on inflation in Bangladesh. Moreover, our study focuses on data collected from the 1950-2012, mainly focusing our study from the period of 2000-2012 as major transitions have been observed in the economy during the 12 years. We have further analyzed whether there is any correlation between (i) inflation rates and money supply, and (ii) inflation rates and growth of GDP. On the basis of the outcome of the qualitative and quantitative analysis, in the end findings and conclusion have been drawn. We have found the correlation, the impacts of monetary policy and inflation, their drawbacks and possible solutions such as independence of the monetary policy from the fiscal policy and enhancing the transparency, communication and signaling effect of policy moves, keeping the broad money in line with the estimated real GDP growth, borrowing from non-bank sources, and control money supply through various open market operations. Due to lack of access to sufficient data, some of our work is based on hypothesis and models. So some data vary according to the model being used. Lastly, even though, many works have been done from the perspective of developed and other developing countries, much work has not been carried out to establish the relationship between monetary policy and inflation in Bangladesh. GEL Classification Code: E31; E42; E50

2020 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 139-155
Author(s):  
Obinna Franklin Ezeibekwe

AbstractEconomic theory suggests that monetary policy can be used to stabilize an economy. However, the ability of monetary policy targets—interest rates and money supply—to stabilize an economy depends on their ability to achieve price stability. Using data from 1981 to 2018 and applying the vector error correction model, this paper seeks to determine how the changes in the inflation rate affect the ability of monetary policy tools to stabilize the Nigerian economy and stimulate investment. Empirical results suggest that the impact of the interest rates on investment depends on the level of the inflation rate. The size of the effect of interest rates on investment gets weaker as the inflation rate increases suggesting that monetary policy tools, such as the monetary policy rate (MPR), that directly change the interest rates are robust stabilization tools during periods of declining inflation rates but not relevant during periods of rising inflation rates. This is attributable to low bank lending rates. Additionally, the impact of the money supply target on investment does not depend on the level of the inflation rate. This suggests that monetary policy tools, such as open market operations, that directly change the money supply can be relevant stabilization tools during economic booms and recessions. As a result, the Central Bank of Nigeria should work to deepen the scale, capacity, and efficiency of its open market operations by ensuring that most of the people can participate with minimal transaction cost and by making different financial instruments available.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 10263-10268

The paper presents a study of the outcomes of the unconventional monetary policy methods that the central banks of developed countries have been applying during and after the global financial crisis. Before the crisis central banks used the interest rate policy as their main tool. But the recent financial crisis has demonstrated the inefficiency of traditional methods (especially after the base interest rate has reached zero). Therefore in response to the global financial crisis, central banks of many countries have taken unconventional measures to overcome the crisis. The paper aims to study the main outcomes of unconventional monetary policy measures of the developed countries and formulate the recommendations for the developing countries. The following objectives are being met in the paper:to reveal the essence of the main mechanisms for implementing the unconventional monetary policy; to evaluate the efficiency of unconventional monetary policy in the US, Japan, United Kingdom;to model the impact of monetary policy of the European Central bank on the consumer price index in the Eurozone countries. Research methods: method of comparative analysis is usedto evaluate the efficiency of the unconventional monetary policy in the US, Japan, European Union and the United Kingdom.The model of themonetary policy impact on the consumer price index is based on econometric analysis and is constructed using the least squares method. The studied model includes both traditional and non-traditional methods.Observation period - quarterly data from 1999 to the second quarter of 2019. The results of the analysis show that unconventional monetary policy methods of the central banks of the developed countries reached major goals - to prevent bankruptcies of large financial institutions in national economies. Moreover, the results of the suggested model show that the European Central Bank policy has also reached its inflation target that supposed to stimulate economic growth; the most significant effect is observed in the first years after the launch of an unconventional monetary policy. At the same time the unconventional tools of monetary policy stimulate the extreme increase of the securities prices, which led to the “overheating” of the US stock market and the EU national bonds markets with the negative yield on government securities of several countries, which may become a trigger for a new global crisis in the future. The result of the analysis of monetary policy in Ukraine shows the limitations of the use of non-traditional measures for the developing countries.


2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 8-13
Author(s):  
Usama R. Alqalawi ◽  
Hail A. Jemel ◽  
Ahmad A. Alwaked ◽  
Rasha M.S. Istaiteyeh

This research aims to identify the main monetary policy tools in Jordan, then, to estimate their effect on price and output level. A time series data covering the period between 1993 and 2013 were utilized to estimate the targeted models using two-step regression. Firstly, the authors measured the impact of indirect policy tools on money supply and, secondly, they determined the impact of money supply on price and output levels. Results show that open market operations of the Central Bank of Jordan through issuance of certificates of deposit, especially at the beginning of 1993 and the repurchase agreements have been effective in influencing the money supply in Jordan. Unfortunately, this policy was not able to control the real or nominal output level even though it has an effect on the price level. Keywords: monetary policy, open market operations, required reserve ratio, discount rate, price and output. JEL Classification: E31, E42, E52, E58


2014 ◽  
Vol 6 (8) ◽  
pp. 636-646 ◽  
Author(s):  
Flavien Fokou Noumbissie

Like in many other countries, the South African financial market facilitates the process of raising capital by channelling funds to more productive economic activity, thereby building the nation's economy while enhancing job opportunities and wealth creation. The aim of this paper is to assess the impact of monetary policy on financial market in South Africa. It is important to constantly look into this interaction since policy decisions have a direct influence on financial market. A negative response from the market side may jeopardise economic stability. The study uses the vector autoregressive (VAR) model to evaluate the impact of monetary policy on financial market in South Africa. The model consists of five policy instruments as variables; namely: money supply (M3), real exchange rate(ER), discount Rate (R), consumer price index (CPI), gross domestic product (GDP) and the two market related variables: Stock market turnover (S) and Bond market turnover (B). Data is obtained from SARB and OECD databases for a period of 53 quarters from 2000:Q1 to 2013:Q1. By the use of impulse response function (IRF), the study found that given current economic situation in South Africa, stock market turnover reacts positively to money supply; discount rate; real exchange and GDP shocks. On the other hand stock market turnover reacts negatively to CPI economic shocks. To correct CPI negative impact on markets, we suggest that the policymakers could envisage a contractionary monetary policy translated by a proportional cut in money supply through the sales of government securities.


Author(s):  
T. Derkach ◽  
H. Alekseievska

In the period of globalization, the economic shocks that occurred in one country quickly spread to other countries. So the actions of the developed countries’ Central banks have a significant impact on other countries, in particular emerging markets countries. The paper considers an example of the impact of the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan's unconventional monetary policy on the Ukrainian economy. The purpose of the study is to assess the impact of the ECB, the Fed and the Bank of Japan's unconventional monetary policy on the financial indicators of Ukraine. The analysis is based on the event study methodology and constructing econometric models using the one least-squares method. The event study method allows to evaluate whether the time series of the studied indicators moves around a certain date. As a result, it was determined that the ECB's unconventional measures had the greatest impact on Ukrainian financial indicators, and the Bank of Japan had the least impact. Non-traditional measures of banks under study affected exchange rates and the yield of two-year government bonds. ECB and Fed’s Unconventional monetary policy had an impact on the MSCI stock index, and the ECB policy also affected the interbank three-month rate. On the whole, the first rounds of unconventional monetary policy of the central banks under study have the main influence on the financial indicators of Ukraine.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 86-92
Author(s):  
T. I. Minina ◽  
V. V. Skalkin

Russia’s entry into the top five economies of the world depends, among other things, on the development of the financial sector, being a necessary condition for the economic growth of a developed macroeconomic and macro-financial system. The financial sector represents a system of relationships for the effective collection and distribution of economic resources, their deployment according to public demand, reducing the risk of overproduction and overheating of the economy.Therefore, the subject of the research is the financial sector of the Russian economy.The purpose of the research was to formulate an approach to alleviating the risks of increasing financial costs in the real sector of the economy by reducing the impact of endogenous risks expressed as financial asset “bubbles” using the experience of developed countries in the monetary policy.The paper analyzes a macroeconomic model applied to the financial sector. It is established that the economic growth is determined by the growth and, more important, the qualitative development of the financial sector, which leads to two phenomena: overproduction in the real sector and an increase in asset prices in the financial sector, with a debt load in both the real and financial sectors. This results in decreasing the interest rate of the mega-regulator to near-zero values. In this case, since the mechanisms of the conventional monetary policy do not work, the unconventional monetary policy is used when the mega-regulator buys out derivative financial instruments from systemically important institutions. As a conclusion, given deflationally low rates, it is proposed that the megaregulator should issue its own derivative financial instruments and place them in the financial market.


2018 ◽  
Vol 68 (3) ◽  
pp. 311-335
Author(s):  
Abubakr Saeed ◽  
Yuhua Ding ◽  
Shawkat Hammoudeh ◽  
Ishtiaq Ahmad

This study examines the relationship between terrorism and economic openness that takes into account both the number and intensity of terrorist incidents and the impact of government military expenditures on trade-GDP and foreign direct investment-GDP ratios for both developed and developing countries. It uses the dynamic GMM method to account for endogeneity in the variables. Deaths caused by terrorism have a significant negative impact on FDI flows, and the number of terrorist attacks is also found to be significant in hampering the countries’ ability to trade with other nations. The study also demonstrates that the developing countries exhibit almost similar results to our main analysis. The developed countries exhibit a negative impact of terrorism, but the regression results are not significant.


Author(s):  
Vladimír Pícha

This paper observes effect of money supply on the stock market through the portfolio balance channel as a transmission mechanism of monetary policy. National flow of funds accounts, specifically assets from US households’ portfolios, represent a key data source. Johansen’s cointegration methodology is employed in the empirical part of the paper to analyze both short term and long term relationships among researched variables. Estimates of vector error correction model help to reliably quantify intensity of the effect. Results show money supply excercises influence on valuation of S&P 500 index with 6 months lag. The impact is also distinguishable in the long run, whereas all observed asset classes can positively influence price of S&P 500. Findings are then contextualized in the concluding part of the paper using a monetary policy framework.


Author(s):  
Нalyna Umantsiv ◽  
Yevheniia Polovyk

Relevance of the research topic. At the present stage of transformational transformation of the economy, the issue with the use of the XBRL format in Ukraine, which is a prerequisite for successful interaction of enterprises in the global financial market and enhancing the competitiveness of domestic enterprises. Problem statement. The absence of the practice of applying taxonomy of financial statements in Ukraine, causes the relevance of this study. The developed countries of the world have already introduced this format, because it allows to make the reporting not only transparent and accessible to potential investors, but also convenient for analysis. Analysis of recent studies and publications. The process of functioning of the financial reporting system in the format XBRL is the newest, it was researched in works: Kuznetsova S. A., Borisenko A. A., Boyko R. V., Ostrovskaya O. A., Khatib E., Yassin M., Harber M., Marx B., De Jager P. and other. Highlighting unexplored parts of a common problem. Particular attention is needed to develop solutions that will minimize potential problems associated with the implementation and use of the XBRL format in Ukraine. Setting of the task, objectives of the research. Analyzing the implementation of XBRL format in Ukraine. Identifying prospects for using and setting the potential issues in the preparation of new financial statements using global experience. Research method or methodology. Dialectical methods of scientific cognition, collection and analysis of information and inductive method were used in the course of the research. Basic material presentation (results of work). The article defines the essence of the XBRL format, analyzes the stages of its implementation in Ukraine. Prospects and typical errors in the preparation of financial statements using the format have been identified. Measures have been developed to minimize the likelihood of occurrence and to overcome problems associated with its application, taking into account world experience. Areas of application of the results. The results of this study may be applied in the preparation of financial statements in accordance with the specified format. Conclusions to the article. All of the benefits of implementing XBRL far outweigh the impact of its application Its use in Ukraine shall allow reporting entities to properly prepare financial statements, adjust the requirement for duplicating financial statements while presenting to regulators, and help woo investors through formation of the qualitative financial statements.


2007 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. 55-62
Author(s):  
Kgomotso H Moahi

This paper considers the impact that globalization and the knowledge economy have on the protection and promotion of indigenous knowledge. It is asserted that globalization and the knowledge economy have opened up the world and facilitated the flow of information and knowledge. However, the flow of knowledge has been governed by uneven economic and political power between the developed countries and the devel-oping countries. This has a number of ramifications for IK. The dilemma faced is that whichever method is taken to protect IK (IPR regimes, documenting IK etc) exposes IK to some misappropriation. Protecting it through IPR is also fraught with problems. Documenting IK exposes IK to the public domain and makes it that much easier to be misused. However, not protecting IK runs the danger of having it disappear as the custodians holding it die off, or as communities become swamped by the effects of globalization. The conclu-sion therefore is that governments have to take more interest in protecting, promoting and using IK than they have been doing.


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