Impact of Chinese Investment on Afghanistan Economic Growth

Author(s):  
Shinwari Riazullah ◽  
Bai Yongliang ◽  
Khan Baz

The purpose of this is study to examine the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on GDP growth in Afghanistan with particular emphasis on Chinese FDI under the Belt and Road economic strategy. Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) assumed to be benefiting a poor country like Afghanistan; the newly developed ARDL-bound testing procedure is used for the period of (2006 – 2016). The result show that long run cointegration holds between economic growth and Chinese investment. Granger causality results indicate that there is bidirectional short and long run causality between economic growth and Chinese investment. These finding are supported by impulse response analysis and suggest the applicability of modernization theory to explain economic growth and Chinese investment relationship. The results also reveal that agriculture and services has a deteriorating impact on economic growth. Moreover the importance and feasibility of Wakhan corridor and link directly Afghanistan with China, also the expending of CPEC to Afghanistan for discovering easy route to middle Asia and Europe.

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 23-45
Author(s):  
Jin-Hui Li ◽  
Chol-Ju An ◽  
Gwang-Nam Rim

Purpose: This paper analyzes the impact of transport infrastructure on Gross Regional Products in Chinese provinces under the “Belt and Road Initiative”. Methods: The impact of the key elements of transport infrastructure on Gross Regional Products is analyzed based on the data related to development levels of transport infrastructure and economic development. Correlation and regression analyses were used for data analysis. Results: It is found that railways and highways, which are the key elements of transport infrastructure, have a strong correlation with Gross Regional Products, and their effects are diverse among provinces under study. Implications: The findings demonstrate the position and role of diverse infrastructural elements in enhancing the economic benefits of infrastructural investment and promoting economic growth. Thus, it is expected to facilitate decision-making related to infrastructural investment under the “Belt and Road Initiative”.


2021 ◽  
Vol 275 ◽  
pp. 03020
Author(s):  
Ruolin Guo ◽  
Hongkai Zhao ◽  
Yingchu Zhang

The article regards “The Belt and Road” initiative as a quasi-natural experiment. Based on the county panel data from 1999 to 2017, difference-in-differences model (DID) is used to examine the impact of the “The Belt and Road” initiative on regional economic growth and economic innovation. The study found that the “The Belt and Road” initiative can significantly increase the economic growth and innovation of the region. Through the placebo test and the robustness test, it shows good policy uniqueness characteristics. The article further analyzes the heterogeneity of the initiative. The study found that the initiative has more obvious economic growth and innovation in the central region.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mui-Yin Chin ◽  
Sheue-Li Ong ◽  
Chew-Keong Wai ◽  
Yee-Qin Kon

Purpose This study aims to delve deeply into the role of infrastructure on economic growth in 59 belt and road initiative (BRI) participating countries from various regions of the world as the main objective of BRI is to encourage the participating countries to improve investment and trade facilitation via infrastructure. Besides, the development of infrastructure is in line with the United Nations’ 2030 sustainable development goals (SDG). Design/methodology/approach This study encompasses all of the important physical infrastructure factors to compute a composite infrastructure index. Thereafter, this study used both the panel cointegration and the panel Granger causality tests to investigate the impact of the infrastructure index and other essential factors on economic growth. Findings The empirical results signify the importance of infrastructure development on economic growth in both the long-run and short-run. Besides, it is evident that capital, expenditure on health and education, as well as exports, will accelerate economic growth. Originality/value The findings of this study could contribute to the literature regarding BRI in two ways. First, it will provide insight to the policymakers of China and the BRI participating countries on whether infrastructure development is worthy of huge investment so as to enhance the success of the BRI. Second, the outcome of this study will give policymakers a better understanding of the determinants of economic growth, which, in turn, will help them in designing effective policies.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 248-259
Author(s):  
Yidan Li

As a general technology, the Internet promotes economic growth in various forms. We apply a dynamic panel data approach to measure the impact of the Internet on the gross domestic product (GDP) using data from 65 countries in the Belt and Road Region during the period 1996–2014. The results show that the Internet has a positive and statistically significant effect on the economic growth. These effects strengthen along with the development of the Internet. Many factors such as capital, labor force, technology, industrial structure, international trade, and economic level are essential to explain the differences in the influence of the Internet on the economic growth among the Belt and Road countries. With R-type factor analysis, two factor components can summarize above indicators: one represents the level of economic development and the other represents the level of intensification of the economic development mode. According to the different national situations, the BRI countries must adopt various strategies to actively promote the development of their information industry, and jointly develop the “Digital Silk Road.”


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 1623
Author(s):  
Alnoah Abdulsalam ◽  
Helian Xu ◽  
Waqar Ameer ◽  
AL-Barakani Abdo ◽  
Jiejin Xia

This empirical study has examined the impact of Chinese investments, namely infrastructure, energy, services, other investment sectors, and trade openness on the economies of the 25 Asian and North African countries along with the Belt and Road (B&R) Initiative for a period of 2007 to 2016 using the Johansen Fisher Panel Cointegration Test, Panel Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (PDOLS) model, and the Toda and Yamamoto technique for testing causality. The findings revealed cointegration among the variables and that the impact of Chinese investments on economic growth in the host countries is positive, but it has a weaker effect, to a certain extent, in all sectors of the host countries while trade openness positively impacts the countries. Furthermore, there is evidence of a unidirectional causality between some FDI (foreign direct investment) economies while the investment in services and other sectors does not cause economic growth in the host countries. Based on the results, the paper proposes that the host countries increase the FDI in the sector of infrastructure, energy, and technology to enhance their economies.


2021 ◽  
Vol 104 (2) ◽  
pp. 003685042110180
Author(s):  
Mingde Guo ◽  
Hong Li ◽  
Wen Lin

Due to the high-quality development of the Chinese economy, the improvement of environmental efficiency in Chinese industries has become a significant task. Understanding the environmental efficiency of the logistics industry is essential for implementing effective environmental policies. This study aims to explore the impacts of economic growth, foreign direct investment (FDI), and innovation on the environmental efficiency of the logistics industry. In this paper, we apply the undesirable SBM model to calculate the environmental efficiency of the logistics industry and use the Tobit model to analyze the impacts of economic growth, foreign direct investment (FDI), and innovation on the environmental efficiency of the logistics industry in provinces along the Belt and Road in China from 2009 to 2018. Based on the results indicate the average environmental efficiency of the logistics industry in Chinese provinces along the Belt and Road is 0.7880, indicating that the environmental efficiency of the logistics industry was generally low in some regions along the belt and road. Innovation and FDI were found have a significant impact on the environmental efficiency, while economic growth fails to significantly impact on the environmental efficiency of the logistics industry in provinces along the Belt and Road. Therefore, we should encourage improvement of the level of environmental efficiency of the logistics industry. It is necessary to realize the co-ordinated development of the logistics industry and the environment through optimization of the development of innovation and transforming the FDI model in provinces along the Belt and Road.


2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (06) ◽  
pp. 20475-20182
Author(s):  
Ige Ayokunle O ◽  
Akingbesote A.O

The Belt and Road initiative is an important attempt by China to sustain its economic growth, by exploring new forms of international economic cooperation with new partners. Even though the B&R project is not the first attempt at international cooperation, it is considered as the best as it is open in nature and does not exclude interested countries. This review raised and answered three questions of how the B&R project will affect Nigeria’s economy?  How will it affect the relationship between Nigeria and China? What could go wrong?, The review concluded that Nigeria can only benefit positively from the project.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 3165
Author(s):  
Eva Litavcová ◽  
Jana Chovancová

The aim of this study is to examine the empirical cointegration, long-run and short-run dynamics and causal relationships between carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in 14 Danube region countries over the period of 1990–2019. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing methodology was applied for each of the examined variables as a dependent variable. Limited by the length of the time series, we excluded two countries from the analysis and obtained valid results for the others for 26 of 36 ARDL models. The ARDL bounds reliably confirmed long-run cointegration between carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in Austria, Czechia, Slovakia, and Slovenia. Economic growth and energy consumption have a significant impact on carbon emissions in the long-run in all of these four countries; in the short-run, the impact of economic growth is significant in Austria. Likewise, when examining cointegration between energy consumption, carbon emissions, and economic growth in the short-run, a significant contribution of CO2 emissions on energy consumptions for seven countries was found as a result of nine valid models. The results contribute to the information base essential for making responsible and informed decisions by policymakers and other stakeholders in individual countries. Moreover, they can serve as a platform for mutual cooperation and cohesion among countries in this region.


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