scholarly journals Research on the Decision-Making Mechanism of Live Commerce Supply Chain Based on Three-Party Evolutionary Game

Author(s):  
Jixiao Wu ◽  
Yinghui Wang

With the diversified development of media forms, livestreaming e-commerce has become a new sales model. Unlike the traditional sales model, this paper constructs a three-party game model composed of manufacturers, social media influencers and consumers based on the livestreaming model. It explores the equilibrium strategy selections of each participant in the supply chain system. In analyzing the evolutionary game stability of each participant, this paper obtains the equilibrium strategy and stability factors by analysis of the income and expenditure matrix. It uses the simulation model to analyze reasons for strategy selections of different game participants in the livestreaming e-commerce model. The results show that the strategies of manufacturers, social media influencers and consumers' selections have different impacts on their decision-making mechanism, and man-ufacturers are more sensitive to consumers' active participation in livestreaming e-commerce.

2021 ◽  
pp. 191-199
Author(s):  
А.А. Карпенко

Эксплуатация морского транспорта подвержена влиянию множества факторов, учет которого требует высокой трудоемкости. Как правило, моделирование морских транспортных систем, выступающих в роли связующего звена различных экономических процессов, производится на стадии предпроектной разработки. На этой стадии, помимо прочего, необходимо оценить влияние на проектируемую систему не только детерминированных, но и стохастических процессов. В данной работе описан алгоритм учета влияния ветро-волновых режимов морских участков на эксплуатацию морских транспортных судов. Данный алгоритм реализован на примере модели системы поставок сжиженного природного газа (СПГ) морским транспортом потребителям г. Мурманск. Научной новизной данной работы является комплексный подход к логико-математическому описанию эксплуатации морских транспортных средств. Этот подход включает в себя моделирование эксплуатации судна на базе агентного подхода, моделирование ветро-волновых режимов на основе анализа временных рядов и стохастических экспериментов и определение скорости движения судна на основе эмпирико-статистических формул расчета скорости судна и теории гидродинамики судна. В ходе выполнения данной работы была построена имитационная модель поставок СПГ в г. Мурманск морским транспортом. Результаты прогонов этой модели были верифицированы на основе технико-экономического обоснования АО «ЦНИИМФ». Алгоритм построения имитационной модели, описанный в данной работе, может быть применен для имитационного моделирования морских транспортных систем с различными целями функционирования. Marine transport operation is affected by a lot of factors taking into account of which requires a high laboriousness. In most cases modelling of marine transport operation as a link in various economic processes is performed at the pre-design development stage. By the way, evaluation of the impact of both deterministic and stochastic processes on the designed system is necessary at this stage. Evaluation of transport system efficiency based on pre-formed system of criteria is in progress at this stage. This paper describes an algorithm for modeling the operation of marine vessels taking into account wind-wave regime of sea areas. This algorithm is implemented by the model of liquified natural gas (LNG) supply chain system by marine transport to consumers of the city of Murmansk. Scientific novelty of this paper is a complex approach to logical-mathematical description of marine vehicles exploitation. This approach consists of agent-based simulation of vessel exploitation, modelling of wind-wave regimes by means of time series analysis and stochastic modelling and the speed determination of the vessel movement based on the empirical-statistical formulas for calculating the speed of the vessel and the theory of vessel hydrodynamics. During this research simulation model LNG supply chain system by marine transport to consumers of the city of Murmansk was developed. The results of the model have been verified by the feasibility study performed by CNIIMF JSC. The algorithm for constructing simulation model described in this paper could be implemented in modelling of marine transport system for various purposes.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (15) ◽  
pp. 4237 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaodong Zhu ◽  
Lingfei Yu ◽  
Wei Li

The closed-loop supply chain management model is an effective way to promote sustainable economic development and environmental protection. Increasing the sales volume of remanufactured products to stimulate green growth is a key issue in the development of closed-loop supply chains. By designing an effective warranty strategy, customer’s perceived value can be enhanced and market demand can be stimulated. This study cuts through the warranty period of closed-loop supply chain products. Based on the perspective of consumer behavior, game theory is used to construct the optimal decision-making model for closed-loop supply chains. The optimal warranty decision making for new products and remanufactured products under centralized and decentralized decision-making models is discussed. Further, the impact of the closed-loop supply chain system with warranty services and the design of contract coordination is also shown. We show that consumer preference has a positive impact on the sales of remanufactured products and the profits of enterprises; with the extension of the new product and remanufacturing warranty period, the profit of the supply chain system first increases and then decreases, and the value is maximized at the extreme point in the manufacturer-led decision-making model. Furthermore, the leader gains higher profits with bargaining power, but the profit of the supply chain system under decentralized decision model is less than that of the centralized decision model, reflecting the double marginalization effect. The revenue sharing contract and the two-charge contract designed in this study coordinate the closed-loop supply chain system with warranty services, so that the member companies in the supply chain can achieve Pareto improvement.


Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zheng Liu ◽  
Bin Hu ◽  
Bangtong Huang ◽  
Lingling Lang ◽  
Hangxin Guo ◽  
...  

Affected by the Internet, computer, information technology, etc., building a smart city has become a key task of socialist construction work. The smart city has always regarded green and low-carbon development as one of the goals, and the carbon emissions of the auto parts industry cannot be ignored, so we should carry out energy conservation and emission reduction. With the rapid development of the domestic auto parts industry, the number of car ownership has increased dramatically, producing more and more CO2 and waste. Facing the pressure of resources, energy, and environment, the effective and circular operation of the auto parts supply chain under the low-carbon transformation is not only a great challenge, but also a development opportunity. Under the background of carbon emission, this paper establishes a decision-making optimization model of the low-carbon supply chain of auto parts based on carbon emission responsibility sharing and resource sharing. This paper analyzes the optimal decision-making behavior and interaction of suppliers, producers, physical retailers, online retailers, demand markets, and recyclers in the auto parts industry, constructs the economic and environmental objective functions of low-carbon supply chain management, applies variational inequality to analyze the optimal conditions of the whole low-carbon supply chain system, and finally carries out simulation calculation. The research shows that the upstream and downstream auto parts enterprises based on low-carbon competition and cooperation can effectively manage the carbon footprint of the whole supply chain through the sharing of responsibilities and resources among enterprises, so as to reduce the overall carbon emissions of the supply chain system.


Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Qiuxiang Li ◽  
Mengmeng Li ◽  
Yimin Huang

Considering firm’s innovation input of green products and channel service, this paper, in dynamic environment, studies a dynamic price game model in a dual-channel green supply chain and focuses on the effect of parameter changing on the pricing strategies and complexity of the dynamic system. Using dynamic theory, the complex behaviors of the dynamic system are discussed; besides, the parameter adaptation method is adopted to restrain the chaos phenomenon. The conclusions are as follows: the stable scope of the green supply chain system enlarges with decision makers’ risk-aversion level increasing and decreases with service value increasing; excessive adjustment of price parameters will make the green supply chain system fall into chaos with a large entropy value; the attraction domain of initial prices shrinks with price adjustment speed increasing and enlarges with the channel service values raising. As the dynamic game model system is in a chaotic state, the profit of the manufacturer will be damaged, while the efficiency of the retailer will be improved. The system would be kept at a stable state and casts off chaos by the parameter adaptation method. Results are significant for the manager to make reasonable price decision.


2008 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 300-311 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruslan Klimov ◽  
Yuri Merkuryev

This paper investigates problems related to supply chain risk identification and simulation‐ based risk evaluation. Accordingly, the paper is divided into two logical parts. The first part represents earlier researches about risk recognition within the sphere of supply chains. The distinction between terms “uncertainty” and “risk” is discussed. Based on the predefined supply chain functions, additional risks connected with supply chain reliability are recognized. Then, a conception of simulation‐based risk evaluation approach is discussed. Within the second part of the paper, a numerical example is provided, within which a simplified supply chain system is defined and corresponding risk evaluation is performed. Santrauka Šiame straipsnyje nagrinėjamos problemos, susijusios su tiekimo grandinės rizikos identifikavimu ir modeliavimu pagrįstu rizikos įvertinimu. Straipsnis suskaidytas į dvi logines dalis. Pirmojoje dalyje aprašomi ankstesni tiekimo grandinėse slypinčių rizikų tyrimai. Aptariami terminų neapibrėžtumas ir rizika skirtumai. Remiantis pasirinktomis tiekimo grandinės funkcijomis, nustatytos naujos rizikos, kurios veikia tiekimo grandinės patikimumą. Toliau aptariama modeliavimu pagrįsta rizikos įvertinimo koncepcija. Antroje straipsnio dalyje pateiktas skaitmeninis pavyzdys, kuriame sudaroma supaprastinta tiekimo grandinės sistema ir įvertinama su ja susijusi rizika.


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