scholarly journals The loan-to-value ratio as a macroprudential tool and assessment of real estate in the post-crisis period

2020 ◽  
Vol 185 (9-10) ◽  
pp. 119-132
Author(s):  
Aleksandra Pisarska ◽  
◽  
Natalia Wasilewska ◽  

For more than a decade, banking systems of many countries around the world have been trying to recover from the effects of the global financial crisis. The dynamics of one of the most important indicators of the effective operation of the banking sector - the level of fulfilment of loan obligations by the debtor - is analysed in the present paper. A nonperforming loan ratio (NPL) more than doubled in the EU in the period from 2008 until 2012, and the value of this indicator increased more than 20 times in the period from 2008 until 2017 in Ukraine. Many countries worldwide have focused on activities that aim at minimizing the risks associated with lending. The experience of more than 4,000 banks in 46 countries shows that one of the most effective macroprudential tools used by European central banks for mortgage loans is the loan-to-value ratio (LTV). According to research, central banks have recommended lowering the level of LTV. Thus, in Poland, the loan-to-value ratio used to be 100% and even higher, but from 2017 the maximum level should not exceed 80%. In China, the LTV level has dropped to 40% for the secondary real estate market. In Germany, the maximum loan-to-value ratio is 80%, and mortgages with LTV of less than 60% are financed at more favourable conditions by banks. Using macroprudential policy has made it possible to stabilize the situation in the banking system, therefore in 2020 the average level of non-performing loans in the EU decreased to 2.8%. In Poland, the level of NPL is slightly higher and is 6.2%, however in Ukraine the figure remains high and reaches 41%. This study aims to identify the dependence between the adequacy of fulfilment of the collateral and the debtor’s loan obligations, which is extremely important in order to stabilize and increase the liquidity and profitability of banking institutions. The obtained results are based on the assessment of 200 loan cases for which the execution time has come.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gergana Mihaylova-Borisova ◽  

The economies are once again facing the challenges of another crisis related to the spread of coronavirus in 2020. The banking sector, being one of the main intermediaries in the economies, is also affected by the spread of the new crisis, which is different compared to the previous crises such as the global financial crisis in 2008 and the European debt crisis in 2012-2013. Still, the banking sector in Bulgaria suffers from the pandemic crisis due to decelerated growth rate of loans, provided to households and non-financial enterprises, as well as declining profits related to the narrowing spread between interest rates on loans and deposits. The pandemic crisis, which later turned into an economic one, is having a negative impact on the efficiency of the banking system. To prove the negative impact of the pandemic crisis on the efficiency of banks, the non-parametric method for measuring the efficiency, the so-called Data envelopment analysis (DEA), is used.


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 22-33
Author(s):  
Lyubov Khudoliy ◽  
Oleg Bronin

This article discusses the latest methodological recommendations of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision developed in response to the effects of the global financial crisis and known as Basel III. The purpose of the study is to explore scientific approaches to justifying bank regulation as a key condition for overcoming the economic crisis and improving financial sustainability. The object of research is Basel III instruments that will be implemented in the bank regulatory policy of Ukraine. The systematic approach and systemic thinking used in the article allow one to substantiate the expediency of Ukrainian banking institutions’ governance based on the risk-oriented approach and to determine the strategy of bank supervision for the next 1-3 years. The study evaluates the results of stress testing of the largest banks in Ukraine. Thus, the results confirm that the banking sector in Ukraine is sufficiently capitalized in the absence of macroeconomic shocks, but in case of a crisis, some of these banks are not protected. Therefore, the article formulates recommendations for improving the regulation of these banks, the phased implementation of Basel III, the application of new principles, standards, tools and methods, corporate governance and risk management in Ukrainian banks.


2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 145-168
Author(s):  
Yang Deng ◽  
◽  
Helen X. H. Bao ◽  
Pu Gong ◽  
◽  
...  

This study examines the tail dependence of returns in international public real estate markets. By using the daily returns of real estate securities in seven cities/countries from 2000 to 2018, we analyze how the interdependence of international securitized real estate markets has changed since the Global Financial Crisis. We divide our sampling period into the pre-crisis, crisis, and post-crisis periods, and estimate both upper and lower tail dependence coefficients for each sub- period. Our empirical results confirm that most city/country pairs have changed from tail-independent to tail-dependent since 2007. Strong tail dependence persists during the crisis and post-crisis periods. The findings from the post-crisis sub-sample provide new evidence on increased tail dependence in the global real estate market in recent years. We conclude that international real estate securities still offer diversification benefits nowadays but to a lesser extent than in the pre-crisis period. Investing in the global real estate securities markets is beneficial for cross-region, mixed-asset portfolios.


2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 59-67
Author(s):  
Yuliia Shapoval ◽  
Andrii Shkliar ◽  
Oleksii Shpanel-Yukhta ◽  
Kateryna Gruber

While financial inclusion is seen as a goal of socio-economic development, there is still no clear understanding of how to measure it. Following this concern, the paper deals with the computation of the financial inclusion index of the Ukrainian economy using an annual dataset spanning from 2008 to 2020 and following the Sarma methodology. The object of the study is a set of indicators of usage, access and quality of financial products and services. The obtained results demonstrate the medium level of financial inclusion. The improvement of financial inclusion is observed in 2012, 2013, 2020 (namely 0.55 – 0.56 in the range of 0 and 1). From 2015 (0.38) till 2018 (0.39), the revealed downward trend affirms that the withdrawal of banks from the market has deteriorated the level of quality and usage of financial products and services. Financial inclusion declined during the cleaning up of the banking system in 2014–2016, just as it did after the global financial crisis in 2009–2010. Despite the development of the payment infrastructure, there is a need to diversify access, increase quality, and quicken the usage of financial products and services due to existing distrust in national financial institutions. Improving financial literacy and consumer protection, and closing regulatory gaps in the non-banking sector are seen as ways to enhance financial inclusion. Thus, financial regulators should establish an upward trend in financial inclusion that will ensure full access to formal financial services and will not adversely affect the stability of financial system.


10.31732/ms ◽  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yana Koval

An important condition for sustainable economic growth of the country is the reliability and predictability of the banking sector of the economy. The global financial crisis, which has also affected Ukraine, indicates the inconsistency of domestic monetary policy with the requirements of the economic environment. Bringing in line with international standards of banking institutions revealed internal and external risks and threats that negatively affected the functioning of the entire banking system and led to a decrease in the number of Ukrainian banks from 180 at the beginning of 2014 to 77 at the beginning of 2019. Negative changes which took place in the banking system of Ukraine reduced the overall level of its economic security and necessitated the development of an effective mechanism for state regulation of anti-crisis management of economic security of banking institutions in Ukraine. The monograph is devoted to solving a scientific problem related to the development of a mechanism for state regulation of anti-crisis management of economic security of banking institutions of Ukraine on the basis of the development of conceptual, methodological and applied components. In the course of the work the theoretical bases of realization of the mechanism of state regulation by anti-crisis management of economic safety of banking institutions of Ukraine are investigated. Diagnosis of the current state of state regulation by anti-crisis management of economic security of banking institutions. The directions of improvement of the mechanism of the state regulation by anti-crisis management of economic safety of banking institutions of Ukraine are developed. The monograph is designed for a wide range of scientists, managers, specialists in public administration and economic security, teachers, graduate students and students of higher education institutions studying the mechanisms of state regulation of crisis management of economic security of banking institutions in Ukraine.


Author(s):  
Ranald C. Michie

The shock to the global financial system in 2020, caused by the coronavirus, provides is a test for the measures taken since the Global Financial Crisis of 2008. The coronavirus has caused a shock to the global economic system, disrupting both supply and demand, and this demands more direct government intervention than central banks are able to provide. Whereas the 2008 crisis was one centred on the global banking system that of 2020 was an event akin to a war, natural disaster, or a political revolution. In turn that had implications for the global financial system as it contained the potential to destabilize banks by threatening the solvency of those to whom they had made loans and extended credit. To forestall such an event central banks are called upon to act as lenders of last resort, particularly the Federal Reserve, as it was the only one capable of supplying the US$s on which all banks relied when making and receiving payments, and borrowing and lending, among themselves. From the outset that response appears to have learned lessons from the mistakes of the 2008 crisis, in terms of speed, scale, and co-ordination, while the global banking system is far more resilient.


2015 ◽  
Vol 53 (2) ◽  
pp. 142-161
Author(s):  
Mirjana Jemović ◽  
Borko Krstić

AbstractThe Republic of Serbia has successfully completed the first part in the European Union integration process, being granted candidate status for membership in the European Union (EU). The stage of accession negotiations is in progress, and it includes the full harmonization with the EU acquis, whereby the analytical review of legislation, the so-called screening is being carried out in 35 chapters. The global financial crisis that affected our country in 2008 has required a timely reaction of the National Bank of Serbia (NBS) in order to preserve the financial system stability, especially the banking sector as its most important segment. As the financial services sector adjusts within chapter 9, the aim of this paper is to assess the level of compliance of national legislation with the EU legislation regarding banking sector. Along with the regulatory initiatives in the field of preserving financial stability in the EU countries, the NBS has paid great attention to the harmonization of its financial stability policy with the financial stability policy of the European System of Central Banks (ESCB).


2015 ◽  
pp. 19-25
Author(s):  
Imre Balogh

The Slovenian economy has been through steep ups and downs post-EU accession (2004), and is at the crossroads again. The period 2004–2008 was characterized by balanced monetary and fiscal policies resulting in the adoption of the Euro (2007), coupled with overheated economic growth and propelling corporate indebtedness, fuelled by rapid credit expansion from cheap and abundant foreign funding. The global financial crisis has exposed the “home-grown” vulnerability of the Slovenian economy, bringing about the second largest GDP fall (9.4%) in the Eurozone after Greece, with a double-dip recession (2009, 2012–13). Growth rebounced in 2014 to 2.6% from its low, but the competitiveness of the Slovenian economy continued to slide in international rankings. For further recovery Slovenia, squeezed by high public debt at 82% of GDP, credit contraction despite EUR 5bn state aid injected into the 70% domestically (basically state) owned banking sector, and the continued threat of massive bankruptcy and debt overhang in the corporate sector, has 3 fundamentally different policy options. − Profound restructuring of the banking system and the real sector, on the basis of earnest privatization and voluminous FDI inflow. − Slow creditless recovery due to half-hearted reforms in the financial system and corporate sector. − Substituting wide-ranging micro level restructuring with Government-stimulated credit expansion, reproducing current tensions in even higher magnitudes in the future. In the current state of the Slovenian economy, equity-led growth, combined with far-reaching institutional reforms seems the only choice in laying the foundation for long-term sustainable economic development. This study outlines the critical further steps in re-invigorating the financial system, utilizing also the proposals elaborated by the author and his banking team for the Slovenian macro policy decision-makers.


Author(s):  
Jelena Radojičić ◽  
Borko Krstić

This paper analyzes alternative regulatory approaches for structural reforms of the banking sector, triggered by the global financial crisis. The structural bank regulation measures proposed or adopted in several jurisdictions are based on the Volcker Rule in the United States, Vickers Commission's proposals in the United Kingdom and Liikanen Report in the EU. Despite the different approaches by legislaturess, structural reforms have the same goal – a more resilient financial system. Their common element is to draw a line between commercial banking and  certain investment banking activities,, whose combination is seen as a source of systemic risk. Structural reforms are designed to reduce the implicit government guarantees and moral hazard of banks.


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