Heart Rate Variability Using The Analgesia Nociception Index as A Predictor of Illness Severity and Mortality in Critically Ill Patients with COVID-19.
Abstract Introduction A balance between the autonomic nervous system and the immune system against SARS-COV-2 is critical in the resolution of its severe macrophage proinflammatory activation. To demonstrate that most severely ill COVID-19 patients will show a depletion of the sympathetic nervous system and a predominance of parasympathetic tone. We hypothesized that a low energy of an autonomic nervous system and a high level of the high frequency component of heart rate variability may be related to the number of proinflammatory cytokines and could have a predictive value in terms of severity and mortality in critically ill patients suffering from COVID-19; Materials and Methods Single-centre, prospective, observational pilot study which included COVID-19 patients admitted to the Surgical Intensive Care Unit. High frequency (HF) component of heart rate variability (HRV) and energy of the autonomic nervous system were recorded using analgesia nociception index monitor (ANI). To estimate the severity and mortality we used the SOFA score and the date of discharge or date of death.Results A total of fourteen patients were finally included in the study. High-frequency component of heart rate variability (ANIm) were higher in the non-survivor group (p = 0.003) and were correlated with higher IL-6 levels (p = 0.002) Energy was inversely correlated with SOFA (p = 0.029). Limit value at 80 of ANIm, predicted mortalities with the sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 85.7%. In the case of energy, a limit value of 0.41 predicted mortality with all predictive values of 71.4%.Conclusion The different components of the spectral analysis of HRV allow us to infer the association between the autonomic nervous system and critically ill patients’ immune system. A low autonomic nervous system activity and a predominance of the parasympathetic system due to sympathetic depletion in patients are associated with a worse prognosis and higher mortality.