The Impact Of Waist Circumference And Diabetes On Incident Of Cardiovascular Death During 9 Years Of Follow Up In General Population

Author(s):  
Man Li ◽  
Shu-xia Wang ◽  
Yong-kang Su ◽  
Jin Sun ◽  
An-hang Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: It has been reported that obesity and diabetes are both the risk factors for the development of cardiovascular diseases (CVD). However, recent articles reported that compared with BMI, waist circumference (WC) can better reflect obesity, more closely related to visceral fat tissue which is positively associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular death. Moreover, few studies have both investigated the prognostic value of both WC and diabetes during a long-term follow up. We aimed to investigate whether higher level of WC measurements and diabetes were able to predict cardiovascular mortality in general population.Methods: In this prospective cohort study, a total of 1521 consecutive subjects free of clinical cardiovascular disease were included. The end point was cardiovascular death. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression models were used to evaluate the cumulative risk of outcome at different WC levels with or without diabetes.Results: During a median follow up of 9.2 years, there were 265 patients had the occurrence of cardiovascular death. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates indicated that the patients with higher levels of WC (WC>94cm) coexist with diabetes had significantly increased risk of cardiovascular death (log-rank p<0.05). After adjustment for potential confounders, multiple COX regression models showed that the incidence of cardiovascular death was significantly higher when patients with high WC coexisted with DM (HR 3.78; 95% CI: 3.35–3.98; p<0.001).Conclusion: Patients with high WC and diabetes represent a high-risk population for cardiovascular death. WC and diabetes may provide incremental prognostic value beyond traditional risks factors.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Man Li ◽  
Shu-xia Wang ◽  
Yong-kang Su ◽  
Jin Sun ◽  
An-hang Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Risk assessment is essential for the primary prevention of cardiovascular death among general population. Although studies have shown that waist circumference (WC) is positively associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular death among the general population, few studies have investigated the prognostic value of WC during a long-term follow up and the risk threshold of WC remains controversial. We aimed to investigate whether higher level of WC measurements was able to predict mortality in general population.Methods: In this prospective cohort study, a total of 1521 consecutive subjects free of clinical cardiovascular disease were included. The end point was cardiovascular death. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to evaluate the cumulative risk of outcome at different WC levels, and compared by log-rank tests. Univariate and multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models were used to investigate the association between WC and outcomes.Results: During a median follow up of 9.2 years, there were 265 patients died. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates indicated that the patients with higher levels of WC (WC> 94cm) had a significantly increased risk of cardiovascular death (log-rank p<0.001). After adjustment for potential confounders, multiple COX regression models showed that higher level of WC was an independent predictor in developing cardiovascular death (HR 3.02; 95% CI: 1.88–3.83; p<0.001). We saw a significant increase of (area under the curve) AUC in ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve after addition of WC to a clinical model, for long-term cardiovascular death the increase of AUC 0.766 vs 0.642 (95% CI: 0.787–0.846 p<0.001). The addition of WC to established risk factors significantly improved risk prediction of cardiovascular death (net reclassification index, and integrated discrimination improvement, all p<0.05).Conclusion: Higher level of WC is significantly associated with long-term cardiovascular death. WC may provide incremental prognostic value beyond traditional risks factors.


2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (3) ◽  
pp. 237-243
Author(s):  
Herma Uiterwijk ◽  
Casper F.M. Franssen ◽  
Johanna Kuipers ◽  
Ralf Westerhuis ◽  
Ferdau L. Nauta

Introduction: Loss of residual renal function (RRF) as well as high peritoneal glucose exposure are associated with increased peritonitis frequency in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients. Our objective was to investigate the contribution of RRF and peritoneal glucose exposure to peritonitis in PD patients. Methods: In this prospective longitudinal cohort study, 105 incident end-stage renal disease patients that started PD between January 2006 and 2015 were studied. Follow-up was 5 years with censoring at death or switch to another treatment modality. Cox regression models were used to calculate the association between glucose exposure, RRF, and peritonitis. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to examine the difference in occurrence of peritonitis between patients with high and low glucose exposure and between those with and without residual diuresis. Results: One hundred and five patients were followed for a mean of 23 months. Fifty-one patients developed a peritonitis. Cox regression models at 6 months showed that glucose exposure and not residual diuresis significantly predicted PD peritonitis. Kaplan-Meier analysis after 6 months of follow-up showed that time to first PD peritonitis was significantly longer in the low glucose exposure group. Similarly, patients with RRF had a significantly longer interval to first peritonitis compared to patients without RRF. Conclusion: A higher exposure to glucose rather than loss of RRF is associated with an increased risk of peritonitis. This confirms the detrimental effects of glycemic harm to the peritoneal host defense on invading microorganisms and argues for the use of the lowest PD glucose concentrations possible.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
S.O Troebs ◽  
A Zitz ◽  
S Schwuchow-Thonke ◽  
A Schulz ◽  
M.W Heidorn ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Global longitudinal strain (GLS) demonstrated a superior prognostic value over left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in acute heart failure (HF). Its prognostic value across American Heart Association (AHA) stages of HF – especially under considering of conventional echocardiographic measures of systolic and diastolic function – has not yet been comprehensively evaluated. Purpose To evaluate the prognostic value of GLS for HF-specific outcome across AHA HF stages A to D. Methods Data from the MyoVasc-Study (n=3,289) were analysed. Comprehensive clinical phenotyping was performed during a five-hour investigation in a dedicated study centre. GLS was measured offline utilizing QLab 9.0.1 (PHILIPS, Germany) in participants presenting with sinus rhythm during echocardiography. Worsening of HF (comprising transition from asymptomatic to symptomatic HF, HF hospitalization, and cardiac death) was assessed during a structured follow-up with subsequent validation and adjudication of endpoints. AHA stages were defined according to current guidelines. Results Complete information on GLS was available in 2,400 participants of whom 2,186 categorized to AHA stage A to D were available for analysis. Overall, 434 individuals were classified as AHA stage A, 629 as stage B and 1,123 as stage C/D. Mean GLS increased across AHA stages of HF: it was lowest in stage A (−19.44±3.15%), −18.01±3.46% in stage B and highest in AHA stage C/D (−15.52±4.64%, P for trend <0.0001). During a follow-up period of 3.0 [1.3/4.0] years, GLS denoted an increased risk for worsening of HF after adjustment for age and sex (hazard ratio, HRGLS [per standard deviation (SD)] 1.97 [95% confidence interval 1.73/2.23], P<0.0001) in multivariable Cox regression analysis. After additional adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, clinical profile, LVEF and E/E' ratio, GLS was the strongest echocardiographic predictor of worsening of HF (HRGLS [per SD] 1.47 [1.20/1.80], P=0.0002) in comparison to LVEF (HRLVEF [per SD] 1.23 [1.02/1.48], P=0.031) and E/E' ratio (HRE/E' [per SD] 1.12 [0.99/1.26], P=0.083). Interestingly, when stratifying for AHA stages, GLS denoted a similar increased risk for worsening of HF in individuals classified as AHA stage A/B (HRGLS [per SD] 1.63 [1.02/2.61], P=0.039) and in those classified as AHA stage C/D (HRGLS [per SD] 1.95 [1.65/2.29], P<0.0001) after adjustment for age and sex. For further evaluation, Cox regression models with interaction analysis indicated no significant interaction for (i) AHA stage A/B vs C/D (P=0.83) and (ii) NYHA functional class <II vs ≥II in individuals classified as AHA stage C/D (P=0.12). Conclusions GLS demonstrated a higher predictive value for worsening of HF than conventional echocardiographic measures of systolic and diastolic function. Interestingly, GLS indicated an increased risk for worsening of HF across AHA stages highlighting its potential value to advance risk prediction in chronic HF. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), Center for Translational Vascular Biology (CTVB) of the University Medical Center of the Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz


2020 ◽  
pp. postgradmedj-2019-137357
Author(s):  
Jiayi Huang ◽  
Lin Liu ◽  
Yu-Qing Huang ◽  
Kenneth Lo ◽  
Yu-Ling Yu ◽  
...  

BackgroundThe association between pulse pressure (PP) and the risk of first ischaemic stroke (IS) is inconsistent. Therefore, we evaluated the association between PP and the risk of first IS among elderly hypertensive population in China.MethodsThis was a retrospective cohort study. Patients with hypertension and aged ≥60 years were recruited. Multivariate Cox regression was performed to evaluate the association between PP and the risk of IS. We further stratified the regression models into subgroups and test for interaction to assess whether the associations were modified by other covariates.ResultsA total of 3315 patients with hypertension (44.49% male; mean age 71.41±7.20 years) were included, and 206 cases of IS occurred with a median follow-up of 5.5 years. The results showed that per SD mm Hg increment in PP was associated with a 17% (95% CI 1.05 to 1.40, p=0.0172) increased risk of IS. Moreover, the HR of IS for the highest quartile of PP was 1.46 (95% CI 1.18 to 1.73, p=0.0011, p for trend <0.001) comparing with the lowest quartile of PP. Subgroup analysis showed that population aged ≥70 years, male, patients with smoking or drinking habit, diabetes at baseline, being overweight, with uncontrolled blood pressure or did not take antihypertensive drugs have a higher risk for IS.ConclusionsWe found that PP was significantly associated with IS and was an independent risk factor for IS.


Neurology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 94 (9) ◽  
pp. e968-e977 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicolas Raposo ◽  
Andreas Charidimou ◽  
Duangnapa Roongpiboonsopit ◽  
Michelle Onyekaba ◽  
M. Edip Gurol ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo investigate whether acute convexity subarachnoid hemorrhage (cSAH) associated with acute lobar intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) increases the risk of ICH recurrence in patients with cerebral amyloid angiopathy (CAA).MethodsWe analyzed data from a prospective cohort of consecutive survivors of acute spontaneous lobar ICH fulfilling the Boston criteria for possible or probable CAA (CAA-ICH). We analyzed baseline clinical and MRI data, including cSAH (categorized as adjacent or remote from ICH on a standardized scale), cortical superficial siderosis (cSS), and other CAA MRI markers. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to assess the association between cSAH and recurrent symptomatic ICH during follow-up.ResultsWe included 261 CAA-ICH survivors (mean age 76.2 ± 8.7 years). Of them, 166 (63.6%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 57.7%–69.5%) had cSAH on baseline MRI. During a median follow-up of 28.3 (interquartile range 7.2–57.0) months, 54 (20.7%) patients experienced a recurrent lobar ICH. In Cox regression, any cSAH, adjacent cSAH, and remote cSAH were independent predictors of recurrent ICH after adjustment for other confounders, including cSS. Incidence rate of recurrent ICH in patients with cSAH was 9.9 per 100 person-years (95% CI 7.3–13.0) compared with 1.2 per 100 person-years (95% CI 0.3–3.2) in those without cSAH (adjusted hazard ratio 7.5, 95% CI 2.6–21.1).ConclusionIn patients with CAA-related acute ICH, cSAH (adjacent or remote from lobar ICH) is commonly observed and heralds an increased risk of recurrent ICH. cSAH may help stratify bleeding risk and should be assessed along with cSS for prognosis and clinical management.


Author(s):  
Marthe M de Jonge ◽  
Cornelis D de Kroon ◽  
Denise J Jenner ◽  
Jan Oosting ◽  
Joanne A de Hullu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Endometrial cancer (EC) risk in BReast CAncer gene 1/2 (BRCA1/2) mutation carriers is uncertain, therefore we assessed this in a large Dutch nationwide cohort study. Methods 5,980 BRCA1/2 (3,788 BRCA1, 2,151 gBRCA2, 41 both BRCA1/BRCA2) and 8,451 non-BRCA1/2 mutation carriers were selected from the HEBON-cohort. Follow-up started at date of nationwide PALGA coverage (January 1, 1989) or at the age of 25 years (whichever came last), and ended at date of EC diagnosis, last follow-up or death (whichever came first). EC risk in BRCA1/2 mutation carriers was compared to: 1) general population, estimating standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) based on Dutch population-based incidence rates; and 2) non-BRCA1/2 mutation carriers, using Cox-regression analyses, expressed as hazard ratio (HR). Statistical tests were two-sided. Results Fifty-eight BRCA1/2 and 33 non-BRCA1/2 mutation carriers developed EC over 119,296 and 160,841 person-years, respectively (SIR = 2.83, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.18–3.65; and HR = 2.37, 95% CI = 1.53–3.69, respectively). gBRCA1 mutation carriers showed increased risks for EC overall (SIR = 3.51, 95% CI = 2.61–4.72; HR = 2.91, 95% CI = 1.83–4.66), serous-like EC (SIR: 12.64, 95% CI = 7.62–20.96; HR = 10.48, 95% CI = 2.95–37.20), endometrioid EC (SIR = 2.63, 95% CI = 1.80–3.83; HR = 2.01, 95% CI = 1.18–3.45) and TP53-mutated EC (HR = 15.71, 95% CI = 4.62–53.40). For BRCA2 mutation carriers, overall (SIR = 1.70, 95% CI = 1.01–2.87), and serous-like EC risks (SIR = 5.11, 95% CI = 1.92–13.63) were increased when compared to the general population. Absolute risks by 75 years remained low (overall EC = 3.0%; serous-like EC = 1.1%). Conclusions BRCA1/2 mutation carriers have a 2- to 3-fold increased risk for EC, with highest risk observed for the rare subgroups of serous-like and p53-abnormal EC in BRCA1 mutation carriers.


2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eva Dybvik ◽  
Ove Furnes ◽  
Leif I. Havelin ◽  
Sophie D. Fosså ◽  
Clement Trovik ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Concerns have been raised that implants used in total hip replacements (THR) could lead to increased cancer risk. Several different materials, metals and fixation techniques are used in joint prostheses and different types of articulation can cause an increased invasion of particles or ions into the human body. Methods Patients with THR registered in the Norwegian Arthroplasty Register during 1987–2009 were linked to the Cancer registry of Norway. Patients with THR due to osteoarthritis, under the age of 75 at time of surgery, were included. Standardized incidence ratios (SIR) were applied to compare cancer risk for THR patients to the general population. Types of THR were divided into cemented (both components), uncemented (both components), and hybrid (cemented femoral and uncemented acetabular components). To account for selection mechanisms, time dependent covariates were applied in Cox-regression, adjusting for cancer risk the first 10 years after surgery. The analyses were adjusted for age, gender and if the patient had additional THR-surgery in the same or the opposite hip. The study follows the STROBE guidelines. Results Comparing patients with THR to the general population in Norway we found no differences in cancer risk. The overall SIR for the THR-patients after 10 years follow-up was 1.02 (95% CI: 0.97–1.07). For cemented THR, the SIR after 10 years follow-up was 0.99 (95% CI: 0.94–1.05), for uncemented, 1.16 (95% CI: 1.02–1.30), and for hybrid 1.12 (95% CI: 0.91–1.33). Adjusted Cox analyses showed that patients with uncemented THRs had an elevated risk for cancer (hazard ratio: HR = 1.24, 95% CI: 1.05–1.46, p = 0.009) when compared to patients with cemented THRs after 10 years follow-up. Stratified by gender the increased risk was only present for men. The risk for patients with hybrid THRs was not significantly increased (HR = 1.07, 95% CI: 0.85–1.35, p = 0.55) compared to patients with cemented THRs. Conclusions THR patients had no increased risk for cancer compared to the general population. We found, however, that receiving an uncemented THR was associated with a small increased risk for cancer compared to cemented THR in males, but that this may be prone to unmeasured confounding.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (24) ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Lukács Krogager ◽  
Peter Søgaard ◽  
Christian Torp‐Pedersen ◽  
Henrik Bøggild ◽  
Gunnar Gislason ◽  
...  

Background Hyperkalemia can be harmful, but the effect of correcting hyperkalemia is sparsely studied. We used nationwide data to examine hyperkalemia follow‐up in patients with hypertension. Methods and Results We identified 7620 patients with hypertension, who had the first plasma potassium measurement ≥4.7 mmol/L (hyperkalemia) within 100 days of combination antihypertensive therapy initiation. A second potassium was measured 6 to 100 days after the episode of hyperkalemia. All‐cause mortality within 90 days of the second potassium measurement was assessed using Cox regression. Mortality was examined for 8 predefined potassium intervals derived from the second measurement: 2.2 to 2.9 mmol/L (n=37), 3.0 to 3.4 mmol/L (n=184), 3.5 to 3.7 mmol/L (n=325), 3.8 to 4.0 mmol/L (n=791), 4.1 to 4.6 mmol/L (n=3533, reference), 4.7 to 5.0 mmol/L (n=1786), 5.1 to 5.5 mmol/L (n=720), and 5.6 to 7.8 mmol/L (n=244). Ninety‐day mortality in the 8 strata was 37.8%, 21.2%, 14.5%, 9.6%, 6.3%, 6.2%, 10.0%, and 16.4%, respectively. The multivariable analysis showed that patients with concentrations >5.5 mmol/L after an episode of hyperkalemia had increased mortality risk compared with the reference (hazard ratio [HR], 2.27; 95% CI, 1.60–3.20; P <0.001). Potassium intervals 3.5 to 3.7 mmol/L and 3.8 to 4.0 mmol/L were also associated with increased risk of death (HR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.23–2.37; P <0.001; HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.04–1.76; P <0.001, respectively) compared with the reference group. We observed a trend toward increased risk of death within the interval 5.1 to 5.5 mmol/L (HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 0.98–1.69). Potassium concentrations <4.1 mmol/L and >5.0 mmol/L were associated with increased risk of cardiovascular death. Conclusions Overcorrection of hyperkalemia to levels <4.1 mmol/L was frequent and associated with increased all‐cause and cardiovascular mortality. Potassium concentrations >5.5 mmol/L were also associated with an increased all‐cause and cardiovascular mortality.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 9049-9049
Author(s):  
Katherine G. Roth ◽  
Emily C. Zabor ◽  
Marta N. Colgan ◽  
Jedd D. Wolchok ◽  
Paul B. Chapman ◽  
...  

9049 Background: The natural history of BRAF and NRAS mutant (mut) melanoma (mel) has been described, but prognostic implications of KIT mut mel have not. Methods: We performed a single-center retrospective review of 180 patients (pts) enriched for mucosal, acral or chronic sun-damaged skin (CSD) mel and screened for KIT, BRAF, and NRAS mut from 4/07 - 4/10 as a part of a phase II imatinib study. Pt/disease characteristics were compared using the Kruskal-Wallis or Chi-square tests. Factors associated with outcomes were assessed by Kaplan-Meier methods and multivariable Cox regression. Results: Median age, 63.7 years; 54.4% male. Primary site: 40% mucosal, 29% acral, 22% CSD, 9% others. Mut rate: 18% KIT, 16% BRAF, 14% NRAS, 52% wild-type (wt). Pathologic subtype differed by genetic subgroup (p<.001) while age, gender, and stage did not (all p>0.05). 18/26 (69%) KIT mut pts received imatinib in the metastatic (met) setting; 6/18 received > 1 other KIT inhibitor. 3/25 (12%) BRAF mut pts received vemurafenib. 8/27 (30%) KIT mut, 4/27 (15%) BRAF mut, 6/20 (30%) NRAS mut, and 6/20 (30%) wt pts received ipilimumab. 149/180 (83%) pts developed mets at a median of 2.15 years (95% CI: 1.72, 2.72). Median follow-up (FU) of pts not developing mets was 3.91 yrs (range: 0.25, 14.34). Older age (HR: 1.02, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.03) and pathologic subtype (mucosal vs CSD HR: 1.70, 95% CI: 1.02, 2.84; non-CSD/unknown vs CSD HR: 2.05, 95% CI: 1.00, 4.21) were associated with increased risk of mets but not with time from mets to death. Of 149 pts who progressed, 123 (83%) died during FU. Median time from met to death was 1.21 years (95% CI: 0.91, 1.67). Median FU from time of mets among those alive at last FU was 2.53 yrs (range: 0.06, 6.85). Mut status including KIT mut was not associated with time to first met or time from met to death. Pts who received ipilimumab from time of first distant met had reduced risk of death (HR: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.36, 0.87) independent of mut status. No impact was observed with KIT inhibition. Conclusions: KIT mut status is not an independent predictor of time to mets or survival in pts with mets. Ipilimumab improved pt outcomes regardless of mut status. The lack of impact of KIT inhibitors is likely due to the heterogeneity of KIT mut in mel but does not preclude efficacy in appropriately selected pts.


Author(s):  
Mouaz H Al-Mallah ◽  
Kamal Kassem ◽  
Owais Khawaja ◽  
Thomas Song ◽  
Chad Poopat ◽  
...  

Background: Myocardial bridging (MB) is frequently seen on coronary CT angiography (CCTA). However, there has been conflicting data on the prognostic value of MB. The aim of this analysis is to determine the prognostic value of MB in patients without obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) (<50 diameter stenosis). Methods: We included patients with no known prior coronary artery disease (CAD) who underwent CCTA for various clincial reasons. Patients with obstructive CAD on CCTA were excluded. The study cohort was followed for all cause mortality or myocardial infarction (MI) (median follow-up 1.7 years). Group comparisons were made between patients with patients with or without MB. Results: A total of 715 patients were included in this analysis of which 68 patients had MB (10%). 73% of the bridges were in the mid LAD and 22% had bridging in the distal LAD. 48% of the study cohort had normal coronaries, while 52% had evidence of non obstructive CAD. There were no differences in the baseline characteristics, symptomatic status or prevalence of non obstructive CAD between the two groups (all p>0.5). After a median follow-up duration of 1.7 years, 23 patients died and 10 patients experienced myocardial infarction. There were no statistically significant differences in the rate of death/MI between the two groups (figure). Using multivariable Cox regression, the presence of MB was not associated with increased risk for death/MI (Adjusted HR 0.4, 95% confidence interval 0.1 -2.8, p=0.34) Conclusions: In patients with non-obstructive CAD, MB is not associated with increased risk for all cause death or MI.


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