scholarly journals Forecasting Daily Global Solar Radiation in Hot Semi-Arid Climate Using a Novel Hybrid Machine Learning Paradigm

Author(s):  
Mehdi jamei ◽  
Iman Ahmadianfar ◽  
Mozhdeh Jamei ◽  
Masoud Karbasi ◽  
Ali Asghar Heidari ◽  
...  

Abstract Solar energy is one of the most important renewable energy sources. Assessing the solar potential of area needs analyzed information about the dataset of the measured global solar radiation (GSR). Recently, researches detected the high potential of state-of-the-art artificial intelligence (AI) methods in estimating the GSR successfully. In this study, a novel hybrid AI-based tool consisting of least square support vector machine (LSSVM) integrated with improved simulated annealing (ISA) is proposed to predict the GSR over the Ahvaz synoptic station located in the South-West of Iran. The potential of the proposed hybrid paradigm so-called LSSVM-ISA was evaluated by using multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS), generalization regression neural network (GRNN), and multivariate linear regression with interactions (MLRI). For precise assessment of efficiency of the AI models, various statistical metrics and validation methods were used to assess the precision of the developed models. A comparison of the obtained results indicated that the LSSVM-ISA method performed better than the MARS, GRNN, and MLRI models. The achieved RMSE values of the MARS, GRNN, and MLRI models were decreased by 9%, 16%, and 30% using the LSSVM-ISA model. Finally, the results demonstrated that the LSSVM-ISA model could be successfully employed for accurately predicting GSR.

2011 ◽  
Vol 130-134 ◽  
pp. 2047-2050 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hong Chun Qu ◽  
Xie Bin Ding

SVM(Support Vector Machine) is a new artificial intelligence methodolgy, basing on structural risk mininization principle, which has better generalization than the traditional machine learning and SVM shows powerfulability in learning with limited samples. To solve the problem of lack of engine fault samples, FLS-SVM theory, an improved SVM, which is a method is applied. 10 common engine faults are trained and recognized in the paper.The simulated datas are generated from PW4000-94 engine influence coefficient matrix at cruise, and the results show that the diagnostic accuracy of FLS-SVM is better than LS-SVM.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bin Zhang ◽  
Jinke Gong ◽  
Wenhua Yuan ◽  
Jun Fu ◽  
Yi Huang

In order to effectively predict the sieving efficiency of a vibrating screen, experiments to investigate the sieving efficiency were carried out. Relation between sieving efficiency and other working parameters in a vibrating screen such as mesh aperture size, screen length, inclination angle, vibration amplitude, and vibration frequency was analyzed. Based on the experiments, least square support vector machine (LS-SVM) was established to predict the sieving efficiency, and adaptive genetic algorithm and cross-validation algorithm were used to optimize the parameters in LS-SVM. By the examination of testing points, the prediction performance of least square support vector machine is better than that of the existing formula and neural network, and its average relative error is only 4.2%.


Author(s):  
Zahraa E. Mohamed

AbstractThe main objective of this paper is to employ the artificial neural network (ANN) models for validating and predicting global solar radiation (GSR) on a horizontal surface of three Egyptian cities. The feedforward backpropagation ANNs are utilized based on two algorithms which are the basic backpropagation (Bp) and the Bp with momentum and learning rate coefficients respectively. The statistical indicators are used to investigate the performance of ANN models. According to these indicators, the results of the second algorithm are better than the other. Also, model (6) in this method has the lowest RMSE values for all cities in this study. The study indicated that the second method is the most suitable for predicting GSR on a horizontal surface of all cities in this work. Moreover, ANN-based model is an efficient method which has higher precision.


Energies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 3415 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muzhou Hou ◽  
Tianle Zhang ◽  
Futian Weng ◽  
Mumtaz Ali ◽  
Nadhir Al-Ansari ◽  
...  

Accurate global solar radiation prediction is highly essential for related research on renewable energy sources. The cost implication and measurement expertise of global solar radiation emphasize that intelligence prediction models need to be applied. On the basis of long-term measured daily solar radiation data, this study uses a novel regularized online sequential extreme learning machine, integrated with variable forgetting factor (FOS-ELM), to predict global solar radiation at Bur Dedougou, in the Burkina Faso region. Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) is applied to build the seven input combinations based on speed (Wspeed), maximum and minimum temperature (Tmax and Tmin), maximum and minimum humidity (Hmax and Hmin), evaporation (Eo) and vapor pressure deficiency (VPD). For the difference input parameters magnitudes, seven models were developed and evaluated for the optimal input combination. Various statistical indicators were computed for the prediction accuracy examination. The experimental results of the applied FOS-ELM model demonstrated a reliable prediction accuracy against the classical extreme learning machine (ELM) model for daily global solar radiation simulation. In fact, compared to classical ELM, the FOS-ELM model reported an enhancement in the root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) by (68.8–79.8%). In summary, the results clearly confirm the effectiveness of the FOS-ELM model, owing to the fixed internal tuning parameters.


Solar Energy ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 115 ◽  
pp. 632-644 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lanre Olatomiwa ◽  
Saad Mekhilef ◽  
Shahaboddin Shamshirband ◽  
Kasra Mohammadi ◽  
Dalibor Petković ◽  
...  

2012 ◽  
Vol 532-533 ◽  
pp. 1732-1735
Author(s):  
Ya Qin Li ◽  
Yang Hua Xu

In this paper, we proposed a novel filtering algorithm that using the Ricker wavelet kernel to reduce the noise. The algorithm based on Support vector machine (SVM) which is a machine learning method on the base of statistical learning theory. Those parameters of the new algorithm affect the rising edge, the band width and central frequency of passband. The experimental results of synthetic seismic data show that the filter with the Ricker wavelet kernel works better than other methods.


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