scholarly journals Reducing the Smoking-Related Health Burden in the US through Diversion to Electronic Cigarettes: A System Dynamics Simulation Study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arielle Selya
Keyword(s):  
Harm Reduction ◽  
Time Delays ◽  
Electronic Cigarettes ◽  
Dynamics Simulation ◽  
Political Resistance ◽  
Cigarette Use ◽  
Ideal Case ◽  
Implementation Challenges ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Ideal

Abstract Background: Electronic cigarettes (“e-cigarettes”) have altered tobacco use trends, and their impacts are controversial. Given their lower risk relative to conventional cigarettes, e-cigarettes have potential for harm reduction. This study presents a simulation-based analysis of an e-cigarette harm reduction policy set in the US. Methods: A system dynamics simulation model was constructed, with separate aging chains representing different stages of use for both cigarette smokers and e-cigarette users. These structures interact with a policy module to close the gap between actual (simulated) and goal numbers of cigarette smokers, chosen to reduce the tobacco-attributable death rate to that due to all accidents in the general population. The policy is two-fold, removing existing flavor bans and providing an informational campaign promoting e-cigarettes as a lower-risk alternative. Realistic practical implementation challenges are modeled in the policy sector, including time delays, political resistance, and budgetary limitations. Effects of e-cigarettes on conventional smoking occurs through three mechanisms: 1) diversion from ever initiating conventional smoking; 2) reducing progression to established smoking; and 3) increasing smoking cessation. An important unintended effect was included, which increases the tobacco-related mortality accordingly with an increase in nicotine users due to e-cigarettes. Results: The base-case model replicated the historical exponential decline in smoking and the exponential increase in e-cigarette use since 2010. The ideal-case policy was able to reduce conventional smoking to the goal level approximately 40 years after implementation. Implementation obstacles (time delays, political resistance, and budgetary constraints) delayed and weakened the effect of the policy by up to 95% in the worst case, relative to the ideal-case scenario; however, these discrepancies substantially decreased over time in dampened oscillations as negative feedback loops stabilize the system after the one-time “shock” introduced by policy changes. Conclusions: Current findings demonstrate that the promotion of e-cigarettes as a harm-reduction policy is a viable strategy, given current knowledge of e-cigarettes’ effects on conventional smoking. Given the strong effects of implementation challenges on policy effectiveness in the short term, accurately modeling such obstacles is essential in policy design. Ongoing research is needed with forthcoming data on e-cigarette use prevalence and possible effects on cigarette smoking.

scholarly journals Reducing the smoking-related health burden in the USA through diversion to electronic cigarettes: a system dynamics simulation study

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Arielle S. Selya
Keyword(s):  
Harm Reduction ◽  
Tobacco Smoking ◽  
Lower Risk ◽  
Time Delays ◽  
Electronic Cigarettes ◽  
Dynamics Simulation ◽  
Political Resistance ◽  
Cigarette Use ◽  
Implementation Challenges ◽  
The Usa

Abstract Background Electronic cigarettes (“e-cigarettes”) have altered tobacco smoking trends, and their impacts are controversial. Given their lower risk relative to combustible tobacco, e-cigarettes have potential for harm reduction. This study presents a simulation-based analysis of an e-cigarette harm reduction policy set in the USA. Methods A system dynamics simulation model was constructed, with separate aging chains representing people in different stages of use (both of combustible cigarettes and e-cigarettes). These structures interact with a policy module to close the gap between actual (simulated) and goal numbers of individuals who smoke, chosen to reduce the tobacco-attributable death rate (i.e., mostly combustible cigarette-attributable, but conservatively allowing e-cigarette-attributable deaths) to that due to all accidents in the general population. The policy is two-fold, removing existing e-liquid flavor bans and providing an informational campaign promoting e-cigarettes as a lower-risk alternative. Realistic practical implementation challenges are modeled in the policy sector, including time delays, political resistance, and budgetary limitations. Effects of e-cigarettes on tobacco smoking occur through three mechanisms: (1) diversion from ever initiating smoking; (2) reducing progression to established smoking; and (3) increasing smoking cessation. An important unintended effect of possible death from e-cigarettes was conservatively included. Results The base-case model replicated the historical exponential decline in smoking and the exponential increase in e-cigarette use since 2010. Simulations suggest tobacco smoking could be reduced to the goal level approximately 40 years after implementation. Implementation obstacles (time delays, political resistance, and budgetary constraints) could delay and weaken the effect of the policy by up to 62% in the worst case, relative to the ideal-case scenario; however, these discrepancies substantially decreased over time in dampened oscillations as negative feedback loops stabilize the system after the one-time “shock” introduced by policy changes. Conclusions The simulation suggests that the promotion of e-cigarettes as a harm-reduction policy is a viable strategy, given current evidence that e-cigarettes offset or divert from smoking. Given the strong effects of implementation challenges on policy effectiveness in the short term, accurately modeling such obstacles can usefully inform policy design. Ongoing research is needed, given continuing changes in e-cigarette use prevalence, new policies being enacted for e-cigarettes, and emerging evidence for substitution effects between combustible cigarettes and e-cigarettes.

scholarly journals Reducing the Smoking-Related Health Burden through Diversion to Electronic Cigarettes: A System Dynamics Simulation Study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arielle Selya
Keyword(s):  
Cigarette Smoking ◽  
Harm Reduction ◽  
Death Rate ◽  
Electronic Cigarettes ◽  
Dynamics Simulation ◽  
Cigarette Use ◽  
Ideal Case ◽  
Cigarette Smokers ◽  
Implementation Challenges ◽  
The Ideal

Abstract Background: Electronic cigarettes (“e-cigarettes”) have altered nicotine use trends, and their impacts are controversial. Given their reduced risk profile relative to conventional cigarettes, e-cigarettes have potential for harm reduction. The current study presents a simulation-based analysis of an e-cigarette harm reduction policy. Methods: A system dynamics simulation model was constructed, with separate aging chains for cigarette smokers and e-cigarette users. These structures work together with a policy module to close the gap between actual (simulated) and a goal number of cigarette smokers, chosen to reduce the nicotine-attributable death rate to the accidental death rate. The policy is two-fold, first removing existing regulations on e-cigarettes (e.g. flavor bans) and second providing an informational campaign promoting e-cigarettes as a lower-risk alternative. Realistic practical implementation challenges are modeled in the policy sector, including time delays, political resistance, and budgetary limitations. Effects of e-cigarettes on conventional smoking occurs through three mechanisms: 1) diversion from ever initiating conventional smoking; 2) reducing smoking behavior and thus progression to established smoking; and 3) increasing smoking cessation. An important unintended effect was included, which increases the nicotine-related mortality accordingly with an increase in nicotine users due to e-cigarettes.Results: The base-case model replicated the historical exponential decline in conventional cigarette smoking and the exponential increase in e-cigarette use since their introduction circa 2010. The ideal-case policy was able to reduce conventional smoking to the goal level approximately 40 years after implementation. Policy scenarios that included realistic, practical obstacles to implementation delayed and weakened the effect of the policy by up to 95% in the worst case, relative to the same time point in the ideal-case scenario; however, these discrepancies substantially decreased over time in dampened oscillations. Conclusions: Current findings demonstrate that the promotion of e-cigarettes as a harm-reduction policy is a viable strategy, given current knowledge of e-cigarettes’ effects on conventional smoking. Given the strong effects of implementation challenges on policy effectiveness in the short term, accurately modeling such obstacles is essential in policy design. Ongoing research is needed with forthcoming data on e-cigarette use prevalence and possible effects on cigarette smoking.

Should psychiatrists support the availability of nicotine e-cigarettes in Australia?

2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 392-395 ◽  
Author(s):  
James G Scott ◽  
Sarah Jhetam ◽  
Renee Chen ◽  
Mark Daglish
Keyword(s):  
Harm Reduction ◽  
Electronic Cigarettes ◽  
Position Statement ◽  
Cigarette Use ◽  
Physical And Mental Health ◽  
Limited Evidence ◽  
Tobacco Harm Reduction ◽  
People With Mental Illness ◽  
Potential Risks ◽  
Zealand College

Objective: To examine the position statement of the Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Psychiatrists (RANZCP) regarding the availability of electronic cigarettes in Australia. Conclusion: There is limited evidence supporting the efficacy of nicotine e-cigarettes as an effective tobacco harm-reduction or cessation strategy for people with mental illness. The recommendations to increase their availability under regulation must be balanced with the physical and mental health risks of vapour inhalation and nicotine use, particularly for youth. Future recommendations by the RANZCP in relation to e-cigarettes must consider both the available evidence for harm reduction and the potential risks associated with youth e-cigarette use.

Exposure to advertising and perception, interest, and use of e-cigarettes among adolescents: findings from the US National Youth Tobacco Survey

2017 ◽  
Vol 137 (6) ◽  
pp. 322-325 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jia Pu ◽  
Xiao Zhang
Keyword(s):  
High School Students ◽  
Electronic Cigarettes ◽  
The Internet ◽  
Retail Stores ◽  
Cigarette Use ◽  
School Students ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
The Us ◽  
Advertising Exposure ◽  
Different Sources

Objective: US adolescents are exposed to high levels of advertisements for electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes). This study aimed to examine the associations between exposure to e-cigarette advertisements and perception, interest, and use of e-cigarettes among US middle school and high school students. Methods: Data from the 2014 cross-sectional National Youth Tobacco Survey were used. Logistic regressions were conducted to model four outcomes, including perception of reduced harmfulness compared to regular cigarettes, perception of reduced addictiveness, intention to use, and current use of e-cigarettes. Main predictors were exposure to e-cigarette advertisements via four sources, including Internet, newspaper/magazines, retail stores, and TV. Results: When all the four sources of e-cigarette advertisements exposure were evaluated jointly, exposure via the Internet was associated with elevated likelihood of reporting all four outcomes related to e-cigarettes, while exposure via retail stores was associated with higher likelihood of current e-cigarette use and perception of reduced harmfulness of e-cigarettes compared to regular cigarettes ( p < .05). However, exposure via newspaper/magazines and TV was associated with lower likelihood of perceiving e-cigarettes to be less harmful or addictive ( p < .05). Conclusion: Exposure to e-cigarette advertisements via the Internet and retail stores may play a significant role in adolescents’ use and perception of e-cigarettes. The results call for more research on the influence of different sources of advertising exposure on e-cigarette use to help public health programmes curtail the fast growing use of e-cigarette products among youth.

scholarly journals E-cigarette Usage Is Associated With Increased Past-12-Month Quit Attempts and Successful Smoking Cessation in Two US Population–Based Surveys

2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (10) ◽  
pp. 1331-1338 ◽  
Author(s):  
Linda Johnson ◽  
Yinjiao Ma ◽  
Sherri L Fisher ◽  
Alex T Ramsey ◽  
Li-Shiun Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Smoking Cessation ◽  
Electronic Cigarettes ◽  
Population Level ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cigarette Use ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Quit Attempts ◽  
The Us ◽  
Interview Survey ◽  
Demographic Shifts

Abstract Introduction We examined past-12-month quit attempts and smoking cessation from 2006 to 2016 while accounting for demographic shifts in the US population. In addition, we sought to understand whether the current use of electronic cigarettes was associated with a change in past-12-month quit attempts and successful smoking cessation at the population level. Methods We analyzed data from 25- to 44-year-olds from the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) from 2006 to 2016 (N = 26,354) and the Tobacco Use Supplement to the Current Population Survey (TUS-CPS) in 2006–2007, 2010–2011, and 2014–2015 (N = 33,627). Data on e-cigarette use were available in the 2014–2016 NHIS and 2014–2015 TUS-CPS surveys. Results Past-12-month quit attempts and smoking cessation increased in recent years compared with 2006. Current e-cigarette use was associated with higher quit attempts (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 2.29, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.87 to 2.81, p < .001) and greater smoking cessation (aOR = 1.64, 95% CI = 1.21 to 2.21, p = .001) in the NHIS. Multivariable logistic regression of the TUS-CPS data showed that current e-cigarette use was similarly significantly associated with increased past-12-month quit attempts and smoking cessation. Significant interactions were found for smoking frequency (everyday and some-day smoking) and current e-cigarette use for both outcomes (p < .0001) with the strongest positive effects seen in everyday smokers. Conclusions Compared with 2006, past-12-month quit attempts and smoking cessation increased among adults aged 25–44 in recent years. Current e-cigarette use was associated with increased past-12-month quit attempts and successful smoking cessation among established smokers. These findings are relevant to future tobacco policy decisions. Implications E-cigarettes were introduced into the US market over the past decade. During this period, past-12-month quit attempts and smoking cessation have increased among US adults aged 25–44. These trends are inconsistent with the hypothesis that e-cigarette use is delaying quit attempts and leading to decreased smoking cessation. In contrast, current e-cigarette use was associated with significantly higher past-12-month quit attempts and past-12-month cessation. These findings suggest that e-cigarette use contributes to a reduction in combustible cigarette use among established smokers.

scholarly journals E-Cigarette Use and Future Cigarette Initiation Among Never Smokers and Relapse Among Former Smokers in the PATH Study

2019 ◽  
Vol 134 (5) ◽  
pp. 528-536 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert McMillen ◽  
Jonathan D. Klein ◽  
Karen Wilson ◽  
Jonathan P. Winickoff ◽  
Susanne Tanski
Keyword(s):  
Cigarette Smoking ◽  
Harm Reduction ◽  
Electronic Cigarettes ◽  
Computer Assisted ◽  
Cigarette Use ◽  
Cigarette Smokers ◽  
Potential Harm ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Never Smokers

Objectives: Any potential harm-reduction benefit of electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes) could be offset by nonsmokers who initiate e-cigarette use and then smoke combustible cigarettes. We examined correlates of e-cigarette use at baseline with combustible cigarette smoking at 1-year follow-up among adult distant former combustible cigarette smokers (ie, quit smoking ≥5 years ago) and never smokers. Methods: The Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health Study, a nationally representative, longitudinal study, surveyed 26 446 US adults during 2 waves: 2013-2014 (baseline) and 2014-2015 (1-year follow-up). Participants completed an audio computer-assisted interview in English or Spanish. We compared combustible cigarette smoking at 1-year follow-up by e-cigarette use at baseline among distant former combustible cigarette smokers and never smokers. Results: Distant former combustible cigarette smokers who reported e-cigarette past 30-day use (9.3%) and ever use (6.7%) were significantly more likely than those who had never used e-cigarettes (1.3%) to have relapsed to current combustible cigarette smoking at follow-up ( P < .001). Never smokers who reported e-cigarette past 30-day use (25.6%) and ever use (13.9%) were significantly more likely than those who had never used e-cigarettes (2.1%) to have initiated combustible cigarette smoking ( P < .001). Adults who reported past 30-day e-cigarette use (7.0%) and ever e-cigarette use (1.7%) were more likely than those who had never used e-cigarettes (0.3%) to have transitioned from never smokers to current combustible cigarette smokers ( P < .001). E-cigarette use predicted combustible cigarette smoking in multivariable analyses controlling for covariates. Conclusions: Policies and counseling should consider the increased risk for nonsmokers of future combustible cigarette smoking use as a result of using e-cigarettes and any potential harm-reduction benefits e-cigarettes might bring to current combustible cigarette smokers.

Psychosocial Factors Associated With Adolescent Electronic Cigarette and Cigarette Use

2017 ◽  
pp. 141-153
Author(s):  
Jessica L. Barrington-Trimis ◽  
Kiros Berhane ◽  
Jennifer B. Unger ◽  
Tess Boley Cruz ◽  
Jimi Huh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Psychosocial Factors ◽  
Electronic Cigarettes ◽  
Strong Association ◽  
Health Study ◽  
Cigarette Use ◽  
Positive Attitudes ◽  
12Th Grade ◽  
The Us ◽  
Current Cigarette

BACKGROUND Use of electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes) among adolescents has increased since their introduction into the US market in 2007. Little is known about the role of e-cigarette psychosocial factors on risk of e-cigarette or cigarette use in adolescence. METHODS Information on e-cigarette and cigarette psychosocial factors (use and attitudes about use in the home and among friends) was collected from 11th- and 12th-grade participants in the Southern California Children’s Health Study during the spring of 2014. RESULTS Of 2084 participants, 499 (24.0%) had used an e-cigarette, including 200 (9.6%) current users (past 30 days); 390 participants (18.7%) had smoked a combustible cigarette, and 119 (5.7%) were current cigarette smokers. Cigarette and e-cigarette use were correlated. Nevertheless, 40.5% (n = 81) of current e-cigarette users had never smoked a cigarette. Psychosocial factors (home use of each product, friends’ use of and positive attitudes toward e-cigarettes and cigarettes) and participant perception of the harm of e-cigarettes were strongly positively associated both with e-cigarette and cigarette use. Most youth who reported e-cigarette use had friends who used e-cigarettes, and almost half of current users reported that they did not believe there were health risks associated with e-cigarette use. CONCLUSIONS Longitudinal studies of adolescents are needed to determine whether the strong association of e-cigarette psychosocial factors with both e-cigarette and cigarette use will lead to increased cigarette use or dual use of cigarettes and e-cigarettes, or whether e-cigarettes will serve as a gateway to cigarette use.

scholarly journals “It is the One Thing that has Worked”: facilitators and barriers to switching to nicotine salt pod system e-cigarettes among African American and Latinx people who smoke: a content analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kim Pulvers ◽  
Myra Rice ◽  
Jasjit S. Ahluwalia ◽  
Michael J. Arnold ◽  
Crystal Marez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
African American ◽  
Health Disparities ◽  
Harm Reduction ◽  
Ethnic Minority ◽  
Kansas City ◽  
Electronic Cigarettes ◽  
Cigarette Use ◽  
Smoking Reduction ◽  
Facilitators And Barriers ◽  
Racial Ethnic

Abstract Background Electronic cigarettes are a harm reduction strategy for individuals who smoke cigarettes who cannot or do not want to quit using FDA-approved cessation methods. Identifying perceived facilitators and barriers to switching among people who smoke cigarettes is critical to optimizing health impact. This is particularly important for the most dominant e-cigarette device, nicotine salt pod electronic cigarettes. We investigate the experience using pod electronic cigarettes among African American and Latinx individuals who smoke, the two largest racial/ethnic minority groups who experience significant health disparities. Methods From July 2018 to May 2019, adults who smoked cigarettes, age 21 + (N = 114; M age = 44.6, 59.6% male, 52.6% African American from Kansas City, 47.4% Latinx from San Diego) received JUUL-brand electronic cigarettes (referred to hereafter as JUUL) for 6 weeks and answered interview questions at week six. We inquired what they liked and disliked about using JUUL, what helped with switching and made switching difficult, future intentions for continued JUUL use, and how JUUL compared to past smoking reduction methods. Responses were coded into themes by independent raters. Theme frequencies were analyzed separately by race/ethnicity and week 6 use trajectory (exclusive JUUL use, dual JUUL and cigarette use, exclusive cigarette use). Results Clean/smell was the aspect of using JUUL most commonly liked (23%), followed by convenience (19%). Coughing/harshness was a more common barrier to switching for African American (44%) than Latinx (9%), and for continuing cigarette use (56%) than for those who exclusively switched or dually used JUUL and combustible cigarettes (15–21%). Most (78% African American; 90% Latinx) reported that the benefits of using JUUL outweighed barriers, and this varied by JUUL use trajectory: 94% exclusive switch, 86% dual use, and 42% continued cigarette use. The majority said they would continue using JUUL to replace cigarettes (83% African American; 94% Latinx) and that JUUL worked better than other methods to reduce cigarettes (72%). Conclusion African American and Latinx individuals who smoked experience using pod electronic cigarettes was generally positive. Understanding facilitators and impediments to switching to electronic cigarettes among racial/ethnic minority people who smoke can inform harm reduction interventions and reduce tobacco-related health disparities. Trial Registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03511001 posted April 27, 2018.

scholarly journals Maxillofacial injury related to an exploding e-cigarette

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. e239677
Author(s):  
Angelo La Valle ◽  
Rory O'Connor ◽  
A Brooks ◽  
Ramzi Freij
Keyword(s):  
Harm Reduction ◽  
Tobacco Smoking ◽  
Electronic Cigarettes ◽  
Cigarette Use ◽  
Maxillofacial Injury ◽  
Dramatic Effect ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Media ◽  
Psychological Impairment ◽  
The Uk

Electronic cigarettes (also known as e-cigarettes or electronic nicotine delivery systems) were invented in China in 2003 then introduced to the British market in 2007. They remain popular among the public and are deemed to be effective in reducing tobacco smoking (the UK being one of the first countries to embrace them in a harm reduction policy). However, reports in the media of e-cigarettes exploding are of concern, considering the potential functional and psychological impairment that lifelong disfigurement will cause, especially given their uptake among people of any age. We present a case of this rare, but dramatic, effect of e-cigarette use as a warning to the public.

scholarly journals A pre-post pilot study of electronic cigarettes to reduce smoking in people with severe mental illness

2018 ◽  
Vol 49 (6) ◽  
pp. 1033-1040 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lauren M. Hickling ◽  
Rocio Perez-Iglesias ◽  
Ann McNeill ◽  
Lynne Dawkins ◽  
John Moxham ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Monoxide ◽  
Pilot Study ◽  
Harm Reduction ◽  
Psychotic Disorder ◽  
Electronic Cigarettes ◽  
Mental Illnesses ◽  
Cigarette Use ◽  
Smoking Cigarette ◽  
Harm Reduction Intervention ◽  
Serious Mental Illnesses

AbstractBackgroundSmoking is the largest single contributor to poor physical health and increased mortality in people with serious mental illnesses. The aim of the study was to investigate the utility of electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes) as a harm reduction intervention in this population.MethodFifty tobacco smokers with a psychotic disorder were enrolled onto a 24-week pilot study (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02212041) investigating the efficacy of a 6-week free e-cigarette intervention to reduce smoking. Cigarette and e-cigarette use was self-reported at weekly visits, and verified using carbon monoxide tests. Psychopathology, e-cigarette acceptability and adverse effects were assessed using standardised scales.ResultsThere was a significant (⩾50%) reduction in cigarettes consumed per day between baseline and week 6 [F(2.596,116.800) = 25.878, p < 0.001], and e-cigarette use was stable during this period [F(2.932,46.504) = 2.023, p = 0.115]. These changes were verified by significant carbon monoxide reductions between these time points [F(3.335,126.633) = 5.063, p = 0.002].ConclusionsThe provision of e-cigarettes is a potentially useful harm reduction intervention in smokers with a psychotic disorder.

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