Probable Event Analysis (PEA): A Proposed Structured Analysis Methodology

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeremy Lee Pennington
Author(s):  
Daniil Andreevich Phedotov ◽  
Maksim Yuryevich Shcheglov

The subject of this research is the escalation of Turkey-Syria conflict in February–March 2020. The authors explore the prerequisites of the conflict, development stages, escalation factors, and consequences of confrontation. Description is given to the positions of the three opposing actors: Syrian-Russian, Turkish, and NATO bloc. The methodology of event analysis methodology is applied to the conflict. Emphasis is placed on the course of events reflected in charts. Use of the method of event analysis allows tracing the key vectors and their intersection: escalation – peacemaking. The author employs media reports of all parties to the conflict for demonstrating the peculiarities of escalation of the confrontation. The novelty lies in application of the method of event analysis method for assessing the specifics of escalation of the Spring Shield military operation in the conditions of modern hybrid warm, which provides different perspectives on the conflict. The conclusion is made on interaction of the actors and their impact upon escalation and peacemaking. It is established that Syria and Turkey exerted major impact upon escalation of the conflict, while Russia acted as the arbiter and the main force of moderation. Conflict potential of the Idlib crisis remains high and characterized as protracted semi-frozen conflict.


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 ◽  
pp. 32-47
Author(s):  
Jeetendra Dangol ◽  
Ajay Bhandari

The study examines the stock returns and trading volume reaction to quarterly earnings announcements using the event analysis methodology. Ten commercial banks with 313 earnings announcements are considered between the fiscal year 2010/11 and 2017/18. The observations are portioned into 225 earning-increased (good-news) sub-samples and 88 earning-decreased (bad-news) sub-samples. This paper finds that the Nepalese stock market is inefficient at a semi-strong level, but there is a strong linkage between quarterly earnings announcement and trading volume. Similarly, the study provides evidence of existence of information content hypothesis in the Nepalese stock market.


1995 ◽  
Vol 22 (6) ◽  
pp. 1224-1234 ◽  
Author(s):  
Azza Abou-Zeid ◽  
Jeffrey S. Russell ◽  
Awad S. Hanna ◽  
Sang C. Park

The construction industry is highly fragmented. A large number of diverse organizations participate in the planning, design, and construction of each constructed project. Cooperation between project participants necessitates the transfer of large quantities of project information. Communication, in many forms, is the means for data exchange among participants. Availability and timeliness of the data needed to perform different project tasks may decrease the potential for project delay(s) and rework, thus increase productivity. This paper discusses the use of the "structured analysis" methodology to document the communication process. The paper also discusses the use of a shared-data resource to solve some of the communication and standardization problems in the construction industry. An overview of the structured analysis methodology is provided. Data flow diagrams, a data dictionary, and transform descriptions comprise the tools for implementing structured analysis. Each tool is briefly described with emphasis given to data flow diagrams. Portions of the communication process documented for a highway bridge project administered by Wisconsin Department of Transportation are provided as an example to illustrate the use of data flow diagrams for information flow identification. The example also presents the use of the data dictionary as a supplementary document to provide composition and definition of data elements. Selected communication difficulties among project participants as well as potential areas of modifications and (or) automation in the current system are highlighted. This paper provides a framework for tracking and documenting the information flow between project participants. Key words: data flow model, data flow diagram, bridge construction, structured analysis, communication.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 96-125
Author(s):  
Gustavo Gomes da Costa Santos

In 2018, Jair Bolsonaro, a former captain and congressman known for his racist, sexist, and homophobic remarks, was elected president of Brazil. His election shocked political analysts, representing the major setback in the Brazilian democracy since the end of the military rule in the 1980’s.  The present work analyses the social actors and the political processes behind the rise of Bolsonaro to power. It focuses on the role of anti-gender politics in the recent authoritarian turn. Borrowing some insights from the Protest Event Analysis methodology, the work explores the dynamics of the anti-gender protest events, their main social and political actors, repertoires of actions and demands. It also review the recent debate on the crisis of democracy and the rise of extreme right-wing movements and parties, focusing on the centrality of opposition to gender equity and LGBTQI+ rights in the rhetoric and action of conservative and far-right groups.


2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 70-81
Author(s):  
Azrul Azlan Iskandar Mirza ◽  
Asmaddy Haris ◽  
Ainulashikin Marzuki ◽  
Ummi Salwa Ahmad Bustamam ◽  
Hamdi Hakiem Mudasir ◽  
...  

The soaring housing prices in Malaysia is not a recent issue. It is a global phenomenon especially in developing and developed countries, driven by factors including land price, location, construction materials cost, demand, and speculation. This issue demands immediate attention as it affects the younger generation, most of whom could not afford to buy their own house. The government has taken many initiatives and introduced regulations to ensure that housing prices are within the affordable range. This article aims to introduce a housing price control element from the Shariah perspective, as an alternative solution for all parties involved in this issue. It adopts content analysis methodology on policy from Shariah approved sources.


2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 216-226
Author(s):  
Guaracy Carlos Da Silveira ◽  
◽  
Fernando Augusto Carvalho Dineli Da Costa ◽  

: This paper considers Relationship Marketing as a business strategic tool and seeks to verify the existence of Benefit Clubs and their structure offered by the major insurance companies in Brazil, analyzing the presence and formatting of the programs. Through the content analysis methodology, we seek to infer its uses for the strengthening of the positioning of these companies. At the end of the paper we compare the best practices identified. The result of the analysis considers the differential obtained by the employment of programs that seek to create brand value and loyalty.


2008 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 69-91 ◽  
Author(s):  
Woojong Suh ◽  
Daeseok Kang ◽  
강용원 ◽  
Jinwon Hong

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document