Simulation of Scenarios for Using Iran Oil Revenues Based on Advanced Econometric Model

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shahabeddin Shahlaei ◽  
Ali Mohammad Kimiagari
2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 192 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanaa Abdelaty Hasan Esmail

Saudi Arabia follows a development strategy depending on many factors generating income, such as increasing non-oil investments, production and manufacturing for exports. Investing contributes mainly to diversify sources of income and generate more jobs where it is expected that the contribution of the private sector will enhance productivity in all sectors. These increased business productivities will increase the percentage annual growth rate to 5.2% in addition to increasing the added value of the oil sector. Saudi Arabia implemented a lot of policies to be out of the oil control on their economies and this is taken up in the previous papers of growth factors in Saudi Arabia until 2014. But due to the need of less dependence on oil revenues and the need to diversify sources of income, especially in the period following the drop-in oil prices, it’s necessary to create added value to the economy of Saudi Arabia, through an econometric model that illustrates oil alternatives income. This paper is based on the analysis of different growth factors after exclusion of oil revenues using the Weighted Least Square.


1985 ◽  
Vol 24 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 531-550 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suleiman I. Cohen ◽  
Ivo C. Havinga ◽  
Mohammad Saleem

The macro-econometric model of Pakistan's economy by Naqvi et al. (3) is the first completed work in a renewed effort to model significant economic and social activities and issues in Pakistan. One of the current modelling efforts in which the authors are participating aims at combining elements from the macro-econometric model, inter-industry relations, factor market relations, and social accounting frameworks. This effort is now made possible by the compilation of the relevant statistics relating to an input-output table and the social accounting matrix ....................................................................................................


Author(s):  
Vahid Yücesoy

Oil-rich countries have oftentimes been confronted with the challenge of diversifying their economies away from oil dependence given the exhaustible nature of these fossil fuels. Investing in sovereign wealth funds has been one of the most ubiquitous ways of preparing for the post-oil period. Investing in sovereign wealth funds rather than directly injecting the oil revenues in the economy not only precludes the outbreak of the Dutch Disease (which is known for giving rise to an exchange rate appreciation, crowding out non-oil industries and keeping the economy reliant on oil), but it also saves for future generations. Yet, in the case of Azerbaijan, the Sovereign Wealth Fund of Azerbaijan (SOFAZ), founded in 1999, has only increased this reliance on oil. Using the rentier states theoretical framework, this paper will argue that the direct control over SOFAZ exercised by the president and the lack of consultation with the NGOs have made corruption easier, making the task of economic diversification more difficult. This has been possible because through corruption the president has often resorted to oil money to buy peace rather than invest it in economic diversification. As a result, since the foundation of SOFAZ, the country is more reliant, not less, on oil.   Full text available at: https://doi.org/10.22215/rera.v8i1.223  


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