scholarly journals Retrospective epidemiological analysis of SARS-CoV-2 wastewater surveillance and case notifications data – New South Wales, Australia, 2020

Author(s):  
H. S. Camphor ◽  
S. Nielsen ◽  
Z. Bradford-Hartke ◽  
K. Wall ◽  
R. Broome

Abstract This epidemiological study analysed SARS-CoV-2 wastewater surveillance and case notifications data to inform evidence-based public health action in NSW. We investigated measures of association between SARS-CoV-2 RNA fragments detected in wastewater samples (n=100) and case notifications (n=1,367, as rates per 100,000 population) within wastewater catchment areas (n=6); and evaluated the performance of wastewater testing as a population-level diagnostic tool. Furthermore, we modelled SARS-CoV-2 RNA fragment detection in wastewater given the case notification rate using logistic regression. The odds of a viral detection in wastewater samples increased by a factor of 5.68 (95% CI: 1.51–32.1, P=0.004) with rates of one or more notified cases within a catchment. The diagnostic specificity of wastewater viral detection results was 0.88 (95% CI: 0.69–0.97); the overall diagnostic sensitivity was 0.44 (95% CI: 0.33–0.56). The probability of a viral detection result in wastewater exceeded 50% (95% CI: 36–64%) once the case rate within a catchment exceeded 10.5. Observed results suggest that in a low prevalence setting, wastewater viral detections are a more reliable indicator of the presence of recent virus shedding cases in a catchment, than non-detect results are of the absence of cases in a catchment.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alicia Arnott ◽  
Jenny Draper ◽  
Rebecca J Rockett ◽  
Connie Lam ◽  
Rosemarie Sadsad ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective: To adapt ‘fishplots’ to describe SARS-CoV-2 genomic cluster evolution. Results: This novel analysis adapted the fishplot to depict the size and duration of circulating genomic clusters over time in New South Wales, Australia. It illuminated the effectiveness of interventions on the emergence, spread and eventual elimination of clusters and distilled genomic data into clear information to inform public health action.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joshua Fuqua ◽  
Eric Rouchka ◽  
Sabine Waigel ◽  
Kevin Sokoloski ◽  
Donghoon Chung ◽  
...  

The successful viral detection of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) RNA in wastewater at various pooled scales (1-4) and discovery in the USA of B.1.1.7 , B.1.351 and P.1 variants (5), has led to an interest in developing reliable population-level wastewater viral genomic surveillance. The diversity of SARS-CoV-2 sequences reported to be circulating in the USA, have been determined by sequencing clinical samples; however, these variants can also be surveilled by sequencing wastewater samples (6-9). As of March 2021, the variants of concern - B.1.1.7, B.1.351, and P.1 have been widely detected in clinical samples from 47 states in the USA. In Kentucky, only five clinical cases have been linked to the presence of these variants (5),which could indicate incomplete surveillance. Broadening the application of genomic surveillance using wastewater in the community could enhance SARS-CoV-2 variant population monitoring. In this communication, we report on the genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 using wastewater samples in Jefferson County, KY. Samples were collected from manholes and treatment facilities, covering populations of 8,000 to 350,000 people (Table 1). RNA isolated from wastewater samples was used to quantify SARS-CoV-2 and analyze the genetic variation through high-throughput sequencing (See Supplementary Methods). Bioinformatics approaches were used to rapidly identify single nucleotide genetic alterations, which were compared with known variants of interest and concern. In February 2021, we analyzed seven wastewater samples for SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance (Figure 1). We did not detect genetic variations indicative of any current variant of concern, beyond the widespread D614G spike protein mutation (Supplementary Methods Tables 2-5). In all samples, we identified at least four of ten mutations consistent with the presence of the variant of interest B.1.429, and one sample contained seven of ten mutations (Table 2). The B.1.429 variant was confirmed in patient samples in Kentucky in January 2021 (10), and a single patient in the study area was reported to be positive for B.1.1.7 on February 9, 2021 (11). With our current metrics we flagged sites 833, 891, and Treatment plant #2 for potential presence of variant B.1.429 (3/7 sites). Differences in the scale of sample pooling in the community revealed unanticipated inconsistencies in variant representation. Specifically, variants observed in smaller catchment areas, such as neighborhood manhole locations, were not observed in downstream treatment plants, suggesting catchment size or population could impact the ability to detect diversity. Given the highly variable viral genome sequence coverage recovered from wastewater samples, there is an urgent need to develop a set of consistent thresholds constituting positive/negative presence of a variant. Monitoring SARS-CoV-2 variants in wastewater may warn of an emerging variant of concern and identify variant dominance occurring when a new variant is introduced in a community. Wastewater genetic monitoring may be particularly useful in the context of limited clinical sample sequencing capacity because a broad perspective on the genetic diversity can be obtained from a few samples. To develop comprehensive epidemiological frameworks required to guide policy, population-level wastewater surveillance of viral genetic diversity should be complemented by clinical sample testing.


Author(s):  
Fanny Janssen ◽  
Shady El Gewily ◽  
Anastasios Bardoutsos ◽  
Sergi Trias-Llimós

Although alcohol consumption is an important public health issue in Europe, estimates of future alcohol-attributable mortality for European countries are rare, and only apply to the short-term future. We project (age-specific) alcohol-attributable mortality up to 2060 in 26 European countries, after a careful assessment of past trends. For this purpose we used population-level country-, sex-, age- (20–84) and year-specific (1990–2016) alcohol-attributable mortality fractions (AAMF) from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study, which we adjusted at older ages. To these data we apply an advanced age-period-cohort projection methodology, that avoids unrealistic future differences and crossovers between sexes and countries. We project that in the future, AAMF levels will decline in all countries, and will converge across countries and sexes. For 2060, projected AAMF are, on average, 5.1% among men and 1.4% among women, whereas in 2016 these levels were 10.1% and 3.3%, respectively. For men, AAMF is projected to be higher in Eastern and South-western Europe than in North-western Europe. All in all, the share of mortality due to alcohol is projected to eventually decline in all 26 European countries. Achieving these projected declines will, however, require strong ongoing public health action, particularly for selected Eastern and North-western European countries.


Author(s):  
Rebecca J Rockett ◽  
Alicia Arnott ◽  
Connie Lam ◽  
Rosemarie Sadsad ◽  
Verlaine Timms ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTCommunity transmission of the new coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 is a major public health concern that remains difficult to assess. We present a genomic survey of SARS-CoV-2 from a during the first 10 weeks of COVID-19 activity in New South Wales, Australia. Transmission events were monitored prospectively during the critical period of implementation of national control measures. SARS-CoV-2 genomes were sequenced from 209 patients diagnosed with COVID-19 infection between January and March 2020. Only a quarter of cases appeared to be locally acquired and genomic-based estimates of local transmission rates were concordant with predictions from a computational agent-based model. This convergent assessment indicates that genome sequencing provides key information to inform public health action and has improved our understanding of the COVID-19 evolution from outbreak to epidemic.


2006 ◽  
Vol 30 (4) ◽  
pp. 458 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bradley Forssman ◽  
Leena Gupta ◽  
Graham Burgess

Large public health interventions to control infectious disease outbreaks are common, but rigorous evaluation to improve the quality and effectiveness of these is rarely undertaken. Following a large community-based clinic to prevent a hepatitis A outbreak, a multifaceted and multidisciplinary evaluation was conducted involving consumers, health professionals and industry partners. The results of this evaluation were used to produce practical operational guidelines for the planning and conduct of future interventions. These guidelines have been distributed to all public health units in New South Wales and may be included in the next edition of the NSW Health notifiable diseases manual. The evaluation approach can be applied to all public health interventions across NSW and Australia to assist in the development of operational guidelines, in order to increase the quality of public health action in outbreak prevention.


2017 ◽  
Vol 145 (10) ◽  
pp. 2062-2071 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. K. THOMPSON ◽  
Q. WANG ◽  
S. K. BAG ◽  
N. FRANKLIN ◽  
C. T. SHADBOLT ◽  
...  

SUMMARYDuring May 2015, an increase inSalmonellaAgona cases was reported from western Sydney, Australia. We examine the public health actions used to investigate and control this increase. A descriptive case-series investigation was conducted. Six outbreak cases were identified; all had consumed cooked tuna sushi rolls purchased within a western Sydney shopping complex. Onset of illness for outbreak cases occurred between 7 April and 24 May 2015.Salmonellawas isolated from food samples collected from the implicated premise and a prohibition order issued. No further cases were identified following this action. Whole genome sequence (WGS) analysis was performed on isolates recovered during this investigation, with additionalS.Agona isolates from sporadic-clinical cases and routine food sampling in New South Wales, January to July 2015. Clinical isolates of outbreak cases were indistinguishable from food isolates collected from the implicated sushi outlet. Five additional clinical isolates not originally considered to be linked to the outbreak were genomically similar to outbreak isolates, indicating the point-source contamination may have started before routine surveillance identified an increase. This investigation demonstrated the value of genomics-guided public health action, where near real-time WGS enhanced the resolution of the epidemiological investigation.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Walter W. Betancourt ◽  
Bradley W. Schmitz ◽  
Gabriel K. Innes ◽  
Kristen M. Pogreba Brown ◽  
Sarah M. Prasek ◽  
...  

AbstractThe University of Arizona utilized wastewater-based epidemiology paired with clinical testing as a surveillance strategy to monitor COVID-19 prevalence in a dormitory community. Positive SARS-CoV-2 RNA detection in wastewater led to prompt testing of all residents and the identification and isolation of three infected individuals which averted potential disease transmission.TextWastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) utilizes concentrations of SARS-CoV-2 in sewage to monitor population-level COVID-19 infections (1–3). Currently, WBE is a promising indicator to support public health decisions (3,4). In this case study, WBE was used to detect a COVID-19 outbreak in a student dormitory (henceforth Dorm A) at the University of Arizona (UArizona).The StudyUArizona incorporated wastewater surveillance as a potential early-warning tool for COVID-19 outbreaks on campus. Grab samples (1L) were collected from a sewer manhole specific to Dorm A, between August 18-31 to monitor SARS-CoV-2 RNA in wastewater. Upon positive detection of viral RNA in wastewater samples, clinical testing was conducted on every individual living in the dorm. UArizona performed two clinical testing modalities, antigen (1 hour turnaround) test via anterior nasal swab and RT-PCR (48-72 hour turnaround) via nasopharyngeal swab samples. Individuals were subject to clinical testing via two routes: Campus Health Services (CHS) if experiencing symptoms or Test All Test Smart (TATS) regardless of symptoms. Refer to Appendix for method details.Article Summary LineWastewater-based epidemiology with subsequent clinical testing identified individuals infected with COVID-19 living in a dormitory and further spread of disease was prevented with public health action.


2019 ◽  
Vol 42 (3) ◽  
pp. 542-549 ◽  
Author(s):  
D J Roberts ◽  
Helen Crabbe ◽  
Tayo Owodunni ◽  
Harriet Gordon-Brown ◽  
Rebecca Close ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Children incur lead toxicity even at low blood-lead concentrations (BLCs), and testing in England is opportunistic. We described epidemiology of cases notified to a passive laboratory-based surveillance system (SS), the Lead Poisoning in Children (LPIC) SS to inform opportunities to prevent lead exposure in children in England. Methods Surveillance population: children <16 years of age and resident in England during the reporting period September 2014–17. Case definition: children with BLC ≥0.48 μmol/l (10 μg/dl). We extracted case demographic/location data and linked it with laboratory, area-level population and socio-economic status (SES) data. We described case BLCs and calculated age-, gender- and SES-specific notification rates, and age-sex standardised regional notification rates. Results Between 2014 and 2017 there were 86 newly notified cases, giving an annual average notification rate of 2.76 per million children aged 0–15 years. Regionally, rates varied from 0.36 to 9.89 per million. Rates were highest in the most deprived quintile (5.38 per million), males (3.75 per million) and children aged 1–4 years (5.89 per million). Conclusions Males, children aged 1–4 years, and children in deprived areas may be at higher risk, and could be targeted for primary prevention. Varied regional notification rates suggest differences in clinician awareness of lead exposure and risk factors; guidelines standardising the indications for BLC-testing may assist secondary prevention.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alicia Arnott ◽  
Jenny Draper ◽  
Rebecca J. Rockett ◽  
Connie Lam ◽  
Rosemarie Sadsad ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective To adapt ‘fishplots’ to describe real-time evolution of SARS-CoV-2 genomic clusters. Results This novel analysis adapted the fishplot to depict the size and duration of circulating genomic clusters over time in New South Wales, Australia. It illuminated the effectiveness of interventions on the emergence, spread and eventual elimination of clusters and distilled genomic data into clear information to inform public health action.


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