scholarly journals Budget and Tax Policy and the Public Debt Market in the First Half of 2020

Federalism ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 169-187
Author(s):  
I. S. Bukina
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Government Bonds ◽  
The Public ◽  
Debt Burden ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Debt Market ◽  
Coronavirus Infection ◽  
Restrictive Measures

The pandemic of a new coronavirus infection for the Russian economy was a double shock: against the background of the spread of COVID-19, oil prices fell sharply. This was a serious shock for the economy and budget revenues. However, it was the budget expenditures that played a major role in supporting output. In addition, monetary policy was expansionary. Thus, in the first half of 2020, a combination of stimulating fiscal and expansionary monetary policies was observed. This combination increased the demand for government bonds. During the periods of the next decrease in the key rate of the Central Bank, an increase in the yield of OFZ was observed. Despite the fact that the level of Russia’s debt burden is low, there are specific risks that limit the possibilities for increasing debt. These include possible sanctions, a weakening of the ruble, falling incomes of the households and a high probability of an increase in bankruptcies of those organizations that will not be able to survive the consequences of the introduction of restrictive measures. Given these risks, it is necessary to consider mechanisms to support the economy using debt instruments and quantitative easing policies.

PROSPECTS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE OVDP MARKET IN UKRAINE AS AN ALTERNATIVES TO EXTERNAL BORROWING

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oleksandra Vіvchar ◽  
◽  
Solomiia Papirnyk ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Bond Market ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Securities Market ◽  
Government Bond ◽  
Government Bonds ◽  
The Public ◽  
Long Run ◽  
External Borrowing ◽  
Domestic Economies

The article provides an applied analysis of Ukraine's public debt, in particular in the context of the feasibility of optimizing its structure. The comparison of internal and external borrowings is made, the main shortcomings and advantages of each of these ways of mobilization of financial resources are revealed. Given the hypothesis of the need to increase domestic public debt compared to external, special attention is paid to the study of the main financial instrument through which the state raises funds in the domestic market - domestic government bonds of Ukraine. The dynamics of data volumes of debt securities with an emphasis on crisis periods in both the world and domestic economies was also studied. In addition, the structure of domestic government bonds of Ukraine in circulation was considered on the basis of the owner. This made it possible to identify the main players in the domestic government bond market, as well as the motives that motivate them to increase their own portfolio of domestic government bonds of Ukraine. In order to determine the prospects for increasing the volume of output of these instruments of the Ukrainian stock market, their comparative analysis with alternative types of investments. Particular attention in this aspect is paid to the comparison of IGLBs with deposits, which today are considered the simplest, clearest and most proven way to invest money for individuals. An important role in this study is given to the analysis of key problems of the domestic government bond market, which have haunted the domestic economy since the independence of Ukraine. The main successes achieved in recent years by the Public Debt Management Office of Ukraine with the support of representatives of international financial organizations in terms of optimizing the domestic securities market are presented. The main steps that need to be taken for further real transformation of the debt securities market in Ukraine and which in the long run will reduce Ukraine's financial dependence on external creditors, in particular their requirements in the political and economic arena, are also outlined.

scholarly journals The Public Debt of Ukraine and the Budget Expenditure for Its Service

2018 ◽  
Vol 80 (1) ◽  
pp. 30-39 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. H. Bondaruk ◽  
O. S. Bondaruk ◽  
N. Yu. Melnychuk
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Public Budget ◽  
Sharp Drop ◽  
The Public ◽  
Debt Burden ◽  
Debt Dynamics ◽  
External Sources ◽  
Public Debt Management ◽  
Made In

the public debt is deepened, the visions of the public debt as a phenomenon burdening the national economy, found in various schools of economics, are reviewed. It is demonstrated that the high internal and external dept in parallel with the respectively growing expenditure for its service is a pressing problem for Ukraine, calling for an urgent solution. This raises the need for seeking ways to improve the public debt management mechanisms. The article’s objective is to deepen the theoretical and methodological framework for assessment of the public debt in Ukraine and the budget expenditures for its service. It is demonstrated that the public debt in Ukraine results from the public budget deficit, high sovereign borrowing from internal and external sources. The econometric assessment of the time series on budget expenditures for debt service and repayment in Ukraine is given. The analysis of the public debt dynamics in Ukraine shows that not only the increasing volume of public debt and State-guarantee debt, but also the increasing budget expenditures on its service and repayment are dangerous. The high deficit of public budget is persisting, which growth is caused, inter alia, by the payment commitments. The expenditures on service and repayment of public debt constitute a large share in the public budget expenditures. Forecasting calculations made in the article demonstrate the upward tendency in the public budget expenditures on repayment and service of the public debt of Ukraine, thus signaling the growing threats to the budget security of Ukraine. The main factors for the rapidly increased debt burden in Ukraine over the latest years are identified: the considerable devaluation of domestic currency (Hryvnya), sharp drop in GDP, the shrinking internal consumer demand, etc.    It is demonstrated that the risk of the increasing payments for service of public debt is an essential and chronic factor generating problems in public finances and affecting the budget security of Ukraine.  

IMF will worry about Cairo's debt burden later

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Fiscal Year ◽  
Indirect Taxation ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Public ◽  
Debt Burden ◽  
The Government ◽  
Domestic Interest Rate

Significance The review will take into account the effects of measures taken thus far, in particular the flotation of the Egyptian pound, and will assess the government’s budget for the 2017-18 (July-June) fiscal year. Impacts The government will struggle to reduce the deficit because of the scale of public debt and the record high domestic interest rate. Government expenditure on wages will rise at a much lower rate than inflation. The public will also face further rises in indirect taxation, revenue from which is projected to rise by 40%. The IMF is unlikely to raise any serious objections to the government’s plans.

scholarly journals Relationship between Public Debt Burden and Health Expenditure in Sub-Saharan African Countries: The Role of Institutional Quality

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rusmawati Said ◽  
Abdullahi Sani Morai
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Health Expenditure ◽  
Institutional Quality ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
African Countries ◽  
The Public ◽  
Debt Burden ◽  
Sub Saharan ◽  
The Relationship

The historically lower level of public health expenditure of sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries could be partly explained by the mounting debt burden of this region. This consumes a sizable proportion of their domestic resources to debt servicing and potentially decreases their overall budgetary allocations to various sectors in the economy and health expenditure in particular. Using the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) approach on a sample of 43 sub-Saharan African countries, we examined the relationship between the public debt burden and health expenditure highlighting the role of institutional quality for the period 2000 – 2014. The empirical result confirms that the relationship between public debt burden and health expenditure in sub-Saharan Africa is negative. Interestingly, however, the marginal effect of the relationship between the public debt burden and health expenditure has shown that such a negative relationship turns out to be positive when the quality of the institutions is at maximum. This suggests that the relationship between the public debt burden and health expenditure in sub-Saharan Africa is a function of institutional quality.  Therefore, to minimize the negative impact of public debt on health expenditure in sub-Saharan Africa, governments should take determine stand to minimize its debt accumulation and intensify efforts toward the improvement of institutional quality in the region comprehensively.

scholarly journals Internal public debt and economic growth: the case study of Ukraine

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 23-32 ◽  
Author(s):  
Serhii M. Shvets
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Scenario Modeling ◽  
The Public ◽  
Debt Burden ◽  
Threshold Ratio ◽  
Near Future ◽  
The Given ◽  
Recent Tendency

The paper addresses an estimation of public debt-to-GDP threshold ratio in the developing economy encountered with an excessive public debt impact on macro dynamics. An active field of the study focuses on the internal public debt due to a recent tendency of external share substitution in the developing economies. Among a lot of publications dedicated to the public debt, the study object usually focuses on an array of countries using the same method to evaluate the threshold ratio. Analyzing behavior specifics concerning economy in crises and thereafter, there is a need to carry out the public debt study for the particular economy as well. The research suggests an algorithm for determining internal public debt-to-GDP threshold ratio by applying a scenario modeling tool. Taking into account a growing burden of public debt in Ukraine, the authors have elaborated an econometric macro model operated through fiscal-monetary interaction. The model was used to evaluate the internal public debt-to-GDP threshold ratio in Ukraine. The threshold ratio proves to be 40% of GDP, while the similar result for the total amount of public borrowings is about twice as high. Although the given ratio remained below the estimated threshold as of the mid-term of 2017, a space degree is small and going to collapse soon. Considering sluggish economic recovery following the last recession took place in 2014–2015, Ukraine will face the challenge of reopening the agenda of growing debt burden in a near future.

Pressures on embattled Zambian government will grow

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
World Bank ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
External Debt ◽  
The United States ◽  
Bank Loans ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Public ◽  
Currency Depreciation ◽  
Debt Burden ◽  
The Government

Subject Zambian debt crises. Significance Both the IMF and World Bank have cut their growth projections for Zambia, compounding concerns about currency depreciation, inflation and escalating external debt. Amid public anger at worsening corruption, the government and President Edgar Lungu are struggling to contain mounting dissent. Impacts Lusaka’s ties to China, and criticism from the United States, could undermine future access to concessional IMF and World Bank loans. An opposition alliance will struggle to stay united and withstand authoritarian pressures from the government in advance of the 2021 polls. Growth will be slower than expected this year and next, and currency depreciation will continue to exacerbate the public debt burden.

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