MOMENTUM OSCILLATORS - A TOOL TO PREDICT STOCK PRICE BEHAVIOUR

Author(s):  
Shishir Kumar Gujrati

Stock markets are always taken as the barometer of the economy. The price movement of their indices reflects every ups and downs of the economy. Although seem to be random, these price movements do follow a certain track which can be identified using appropriate tool over long range data. One such method is of Technical Analysis wherein future price trends are forecasted using past data. Momentum Oscillators are the important tools of technical analysis. The current paper aims to identify the previous price movements of sensex by using Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) tools and also aims to check whether these tools are appropriate in forecasting the price trends or not.

Author(s):  
Koushal Saini

Predicting stock price of any stock is a challenging task because the Volatility of stock market the nature of stock price is dynamic, chaotic, noisy and sometimes totally unexpected. The other most difficult task is to analyze and decide financial time series data that improves investment returns and help in minimizing losses. Technical analysis is a method that help in analyzing a stock and predict its future price via evaluating securities. There are already many Indicators and other tools for technical analysis in stock market. Some famous indicators such as SMA (Simple Moving Average), EMA (Exponential Moving Average), WMA (Weight Moving Average), VWMA (Volume Weight Moving Average), DEMA (moving averages), MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence), ADX (Average Di- reactional Movement Index), TDI (Trend Detection Index), Arun, VHF (trend indicators), stochastic, RSI (Relative Strength Index), SMI(Stochastic Momentum Index, volume indicators are also available for technical analysis. Here, we have used the LSTM Model to predict future price of some big companies of stock market in NSE.


2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 231-242
Author(s):  
Sharmila R ◽  
Kavitha R ◽  
Ananthi S

Technical Analysis is the forecasting of future financial price movements based on an examination of past price movements. Like weather forecasting, technical analysis does not result in absolute predictions about the future. Instead, technical analysis can help investors anticipate what is “likely” to happen to prices over time. Technical analysis uses a wide variety of charts that show price over time. This study is based on the analysis of four Nifty Bank Index stocks namely Axis Bank, Bank of Baroda, State Bank of India and ICICI bank listed in National Stock Exchange. Technical indicators such as Relative strength index (RSI), Rate of change (ROC) and Moving Average (MA) are used in the study. This paper aims at carrying out Technical Analysis of the securities of the selectedbanking stocks and to assist investment decisions in this Indian Market.


2012 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 59-65
Author(s):  
M. Gomathi ◽  
Dr.S. Nirmala

This study aims at analyzing and predicting the price movements of construction companies stocks contributing to the NIFTY50 Index. To analyze the volatility of telecom stock and understand the behavior of stock prices in construction sector stocks i.e. (JP ASSOCIATES LIMITED, DLF LIMITED, GAMMON INDIA LIMITED, PUNJ LLOYD LIMITED, HCC LIMITED). The data for these stocks are collected from magazines, newspaper and websites. The stocks are analyzed by monitoring their respective price movements using technical tools. The technical tools used in this study are Exponential moving average, Relative strength index, Rate of change, MACD. Using these tools the trend over the recent past was deciphered. The expected trend in the immediate future was also predicted. Technical Analysis studies the price and volume movement in the market and predicts the future. It helps in identifying that the best time to buy and sell equity. Technical Analysis is a method of evaluating equities by analyzing the statistics generated by market activity, such as past prices and volume.


Author(s):  
Mehmet F. Dicle

Technical analysis is an important part of financial industry, research, and teaching. The methodology has two parts: i) calculation of the individual tools and ii) visual representations. In this article, I provide a community-contributed command, candlechart, to draw the most common technical analysis charts. My intent is to draw these charts similarly to industry examples. The popular candle price chart is combined with charts for volume, moving-average convergence divergence, relative strength index, and Bollinger bands.


2014 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 143-156 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maciej Janowicz ◽  
Arkadiusz Orłowski ◽  
Franciszek Michał Warzyński

Abstract Application of simple prescriptions of technical analysis on the Warsaw Exchange Market (GPW) has been analyzed using several stocks belonging to WIG20 group as examples. Only long positions have been considered. Three well-known technical-analysis indicators of the market have been investigated: the Donchian channels, the Relative Strength Index, and Moving Average Convergence-Divergence indicator. Optimal values of parameters of those indicators have been found by „brute force“ evaluation of (linear) returns. It has been found that trading based on both Donchian channels and Relative Strength Index easily outperform the „buy and hold“ strategy if supplied with optimal values of parameters. However, those optimal values are by now means universal in the sense that they depend on particular stocks, and are functions of time. The optimal management of capital in the stock market strongly depends on the time perspective of trading. Finally, it has been argued that the criticism of technical analysis which is often delivered by academic quantitative financial science is unjustified as based of false premises.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3.21) ◽  
pp. 109
Author(s):  
Kelvin Lee Yong Ming ◽  
Mohamad Jais

Technical analysis is an analysis that widely applied by the investor in the stock market. However, various corporate announcements could cause the market to react, and the most significant corporate announcement is the earnings announcement (1). Thus, this study examines the effectiveness of technical analysis signals around the earning announcements dates in Malaysian stock market. In doing so, this study applied and tested four technical indicators, namely Simple Moving Average (SMA), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic (K line), and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) in Malaysian stock market. The sample of this study consisted of 30 largest capitalization companies from the main market of Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange (KLSE). Meanwhile, the sample period covered from 2nd January 2014 to 31st March 2016. This study found that Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) significantly produced higher returns as compared to the other technical indicator before the earning announcement dates in financial year 2014 and 2015. The combined indicator of MA-MACD also found to have higher return in financial year 2015. The findings conclude that the technical analysis signals can be used to generate returns before earning announcement dates.  


Author(s):  
Mehmet F. Dicle ◽  
John D. Levendis

In this article, we provide four financial technical analysis tools: moving averages, Bollinger bands, moving-average convergence divergence, and the relative strength index. The tftools command is used with four subcommands, each referring to a technical analysis tool: bollingerbands, macd, movingaverage, and rsi. We provide examples for each tool. tftools allows researchers to backtest their own investment strategies and will be of interest to investors, researchers, and students of finance.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 36-40
Author(s):  
Rahini M ◽  
Vivek Prabu M

The Banking industry plays a very significant role in the economy and the development of a country. It is important to our nation’s economy as it caters to the need of credit for all the section of the nation. In this paper, we are focusing on the stocks of Yes Bank Limited, Axis Bank Limited and ICICI Bank Limited and analyze them technically. Using technical analysis, we could predict the future price movements of stocks by examining the present and the past price movements of stocks.  It has many tools and indicators like SMA, EMA, RSI, MACD and P&L which are used for forecasting the future stock price and also identify the pattern, trend and it directs when to buy and sell stocks.


Author(s):  
Shalini Singh ◽  
Anindita Chakraborty

<em>Technical analysis forecasts the future asset prices with the use of their historical prices, trading volumes, market action and primarily through the uses of charts that predicts the future price trends. Technical analysis guides the investor to track the market with different indicators which is convenient for their study. Technical indicators aids to analyse the short-term price movement of the shares, most importantly it indicates the turning point and helps in projecting the price movement. This paper is prepared to employ the technical analysis tool to IT index companies. Indicators have been analysed using share prices of companies for 1 years, i.e., from January 2015- December 2015. Study is performed using secondary data, which has been collected from NSE website. The Technical Indicators used for the study are Bollinger Bands and MACD (Moving Average Convergence and Divergence). The purpose of the study is to find the best technical indicator to analyse the share prices.</em>


2010 ◽  
Vol 16 (57) ◽  
pp. 17
Author(s):  
هشام طلعت عبد الحكيم

The research takes a well-Known technique used for individual stocks (or industries),which is the relative strength analysis. In order to validate the Hypothesis of research, the Iraq stock exchange has been selected for this purpose. Asample consisted of (13) firms has selected . The research reached to many conclusions, the most important one among them is agreed upon the possibility of utilizing the relative strength to Identify Industry sectors that look attractive prior to selecting individual stocks.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document