Are Indian Investors Return Chasers? An Anatomy of their Trading Behavior

2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Bernard ◽  
Malabika Deo
Keyword(s):  
Equity Returns ◽  
Trading Behavior ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Momentum Strategy ◽  
Price Momentum ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
Indian Context ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Monthly Return ◽  
Indian Stock Market

Momentum has remained an unanswered anomaly in finance literature. Researchers have pointed out two arguments, whether the source of prior return anomalies are rational or behavioral. In this paper, we examined return chasing tendency investors and the profitability of probable price momentum strategy in Indian equity market using the monthly return data of equities represented in BSE-500 index encompassing the time period from July 2004 to Jun 2014. Study is an attempt to analyze momentum effect before, during and after the financial crisis of 2007–2009 to check whether investors continue to follow the same strategy during crisis or their behavior undergoes any change. Also study examined the adequacy of rational CAPM models to explain momentum profits. The result evidenced a strong presence of economically and statistically significant momentum profit in Indian stock market equity returns. Therefore return chasing tendency of Indian investors is found to be persistent in the intermediate horizon in Indian context. Closer observation of the results reveals that, Indian investors are winners chasers rather than investor in past losers. Study also confirmed that investors sentiments are volatile according to general market environment and inadequacy of rationalist equilibrium model to explain momentum profits.

Are Indian Investors Return Chasers? An Anatomy of their Trading Behavior

GIS Business ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 32-44
Author(s):  
Martin Bernard ◽  
Malabika Deo
Keyword(s):  
Equity Returns ◽  
Trading Behavior ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Momentum Strategy ◽  
Price Momentum ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
Indian Context ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Monthly Return ◽  
Indian Stock Market

Momentum has remained an unanswered anomaly in finance literature. Researchers have pointed out two arguments, whether the source of prior return anomalies are rational or behavioral. In this paper, we examined return chasing tendency investors and the profitability of probable price momentum strategy in Indian equity market using the monthly return data of equities represented in BSE-500 index encompassing the time period from July 2004 to Jun 2014. Study is an attempt to analyze momentum effect before, during and after the financial crisis of 2007–2009 to check whether investors continue to follow the same strategy during crisis or their behavior undergoes any change. Also study examined the adequacy of rational CAPM models to explain momentum profits. The result evidenced a strong presence of economically and statistically significant momentum profit in Indian stock market equity returns. Therefore return chasing tendency of Indian investors is found to be persistent in the intermediate horizon in Indian context. Closer observation of the results reveals that, Indian investors are winners chasers rather than investor in past losers. Study also confirmed that investors sentiments are volatile according to general market environment and inadequacy of rationalist equilibrium model to explain momentum profits.

Are Indian Investors Return Chasers? An Anatomy of their Trading Behavior

GIS Business ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 32-44
Author(s):  
Martin Bernard ◽  
Malabika Deo
Keyword(s):  
Equity Returns ◽  
Trading Behavior ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Momentum Strategy ◽  
Price Momentum ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
Indian Context ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Monthly Return ◽  
Indian Stock Market

Momentum has remained an unanswered anomaly in finance literature. Researchers have pointed out two arguments, whether the source of prior return anomalies are rational or behavioral. In this paper, we examined return chasing tendency investors and the profitability of probable price momentum strategy in Indian equity market using the monthly return data of equities represented in BSE-500 index encompassing the time period from July 2004 to Jun 2014. Study is an attempt to analyze momentum effect before, during and after the financial crisis of 2007–2009 to check whether investors continue to follow the same strategy during crisis or their behavior undergoes any change. Also study examined the adequacy of rational CAPM models to explain momentum profits. The result evidenced a strong presence of economically and statistically significant momentum profit in Indian stock market equity returns. Therefore return chasing tendency of Indian investors is found to be persistent in the intermediate horizon in Indian context. Closer observation of the results reveals that, Indian investors are winners chasers rather than investor in past losers. Study also confirmed that investors sentiments are volatile according to general market environment and inadequacy of rationalist equilibrium model to explain momentum profits.

Are Indian Investors Return Chasers? An Anatomy of their Trading Behavior

GIS Business ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 32-44
Author(s):  
Martin Bernard ◽  
Malabika Deo
Keyword(s):  
Equity Returns ◽  
Trading Behavior ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Momentum Strategy ◽  
Price Momentum ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
Indian Context ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Monthly Return ◽  
Indian Stock Market

Momentum has remained an unanswered anomaly in finance literature. Researchers have pointed out two arguments, whether the source of prior return anomalies are rational or behavioral. In this paper, we examined return chasing tendency investors and the profitability of probable price momentum strategy in Indian equity market using the monthly return data of equities represented in BSE-500 index encompassing the time period from July 2004 to Jun 2014. Study is an attempt to analyze momentum effect before, during and after the financial crisis of 2007–2009 to check whether investors continue to follow the same strategy during crisis or their behavior undergoes any change. Also study examined the adequacy of rational CAPM models to explain momentum profits. The result evidenced a strong presence of economically and statistically significant momentum profit in Indian stock market equity returns. Therefore return chasing tendency of Indian investors is found to be persistent in the intermediate horizon in Indian context. Closer observation of the results reveals that, Indian investors are winners chasers rather than investor in past losers. Study also confirmed that investors sentiments are volatile according to general market environment and inadequacy of rationalist equilibrium model to explain momentum profits.

Are Indian Investors Return Chasers? An Anatomy of their Trading Behavior

GIS Business ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 32-44
Author(s):  
Martin Bernard ◽  
Malabika Deo
Keyword(s):  
Equity Returns ◽  
Trading Behavior ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Momentum Strategy ◽  
Price Momentum ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
Indian Context ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Monthly Return ◽  
Indian Stock Market

Momentum has remained an unanswered anomaly in finance literature. Researchers have pointed out two arguments, whether the source of prior return anomalies are rational or behavioral. In this paper, we examined return chasing tendency investors and the profitability of probable price momentum strategy in Indian equity market using the monthly return data of equities represented in BSE-500 index encompassing the time period from July 2004 to Jun 2014. Study is an attempt to analyze momentum effect before, during and after the financial crisis of 2007–2009 to check whether investors continue to follow the same strategy during crisis or their behavior undergoes any change. Also study examined the adequacy of rational CAPM models to explain momentum profits. The result evidenced a strong presence of economically and statistically significant momentum profit in Indian stock market equity returns. Therefore return chasing tendency of Indian investors is found to be persistent in the intermediate horizon in Indian context. Closer observation of the results reveals that, Indian investors are winners chasers rather than investor in past losers. Study also confirmed that investors sentiments are volatile according to general market environment and inadequacy of rationalist equilibrium model to explain momentum profits.

Market Liquidity and Momentum Profits : Evidence from the Korean Stock Market

2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 497-524
Author(s):  
Changha Kim ◽  
Changjun Lee
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Liquidity Risk ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Momentum Strategy ◽  
Full Sample ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Korean Stock Market ◽  
The Difference

Previous literature in the Korean stock market has shown that the momentum effect is not observed during pre-2000 period while it is observed during post-2000 period. Given that market illiquidity has substantially decreased during post-2000 period, we examine whether the level of market illiquidity affect the momentum profits. The central findings are summarized as follows. First, our full-sample analysis shows that market liquidity is positively associated with momentum profits, meaning that the observed momentum effect during post-2000 period is related to the decrease in market illiquidity. Second, during pre-2000 period, when the market illiquidity is very high, the illiquidity of past losers is extremely high compared to that of past winners. However, there is no significant difference in illiquidity between winners and losers during post-2000 period. Third, based on this result, we conjecture that the momentum effect is related to the different compensation for liquidity risk between past losers and winners, and test whether this is indeed the case. We find significant momentum profits over the whole period when we consider the compensation for the liquidity risk of past losers and winners. In addition, during pre-2000 period, the return on momentum strategy that controls the liquidity risk is substantially higher than the actually observed momentum profits. In sum, our study suggests that the difference in compensation for liquidity risk between past losers and winners is very important in understanding the momentum effect in the Korean stock market.

Momentum anomaly: evidence from the Indian stock market

2017 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
Supriya Maheshwari ◽  
Raj Singh Dhankar
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Investment Strategy ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Momentum Strategies ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Indian Stock Market

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to provide insights into the profitability of momentum strategies in the Indian stock market. This study further evaluates whether the momentum effect is a manifestation of size, value or an illiquidity effect. Design/methodology/approach Monthly stock return data of 470 BSE listed stocks over the sample period from January 1997 to March 2013 were used to create extreme portfolios (winner and loser). The returns of extreme portfolios were evaluated using t-statistics and a risk-adjusted measure. Further checks were imposed by controlling for other potential sources of risk including size, value and illiquidity. Findings The study provides support in favor of momentum profitability in the Indian stock market. In contrast to the literature, momentum profitability is driven by winning stocks, and hence, buying past winning stocks generates higher returns than shorting loosing stocks in the Indian stock market. Strong momentum profits were observed even after controlling for size, value and trading volume of stocks. This suggests that the momentum effect in the Indian stock market is not a manifestation of small size effect, value effect or an illiquidity effect. Practical implications From the practitioner’s perspective, the study indicates that a momentum-based investment strategy in the short run is still persistent and can generate potential profits in the Indian stock market. Originality/value There is little empirical evidence on the momentum profitability, especially in the Indian stock market. The study contributes toward the literature by analyzing the momentum profitability even after controlling for size, value and an illiquidity effect. Some aspects of the momentum effect were observed to be dissimilar from those observed in literature for the USA and other countries. Such findings justify the need for testing the momentum profitability in stock markets other than the USA.

scholarly journals The Impact Of Trading Volume On Portfolios Effective Time Formation/Holding Periods Based On Momentum Investment Strategies

2011 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Tov Assogbavi ◽  
Martin Giguere ◽  
Komlan Sedzro
Keyword(s):  
Trading Volume ◽  
Selection Process ◽  
High Volume ◽  
Investment Strategies ◽  
Momentum Strategy ◽  
Holding Period ◽  
Effective Time ◽  
Price Momentum ◽  
Time Period ◽  
The Impact

This paper analyzes momentum investment strategies based on past market data to evaluate the impact of trading volume on price momentum for the Canadian Stock Market. Utilizing variant models of Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) and Lee and Swaminathan (2000), we evaluate the effective time formation/holding periods of portfolios using both past price and trading volume. The findings suggest that taking high trading volume into consideration in momentum investment strategies on the TSX between 1996 to 2004 generally outperformed a strictly price-based momentum strategy for both winners (t= 2.118, p< .05) and losers (t= 2.174, p< .05). The most effective time period for a winning-high-volume portfolio was nine months of formation, starting in April and a 3-month holding period. The holding period is shorter by six months compared to what is suggested by Assogbavi, et al. (2008). In addition, high-volume portfolios consistently bettered low-volume portfolios for both winners (t= 4.121, p< .001) and losers (t= 3.956, p< .001). For investors who base their portfolio construction on momentum investment strategies, these findings suggest that it would be wise to incorporate past trading volume in their selection process.

scholarly journals The Profitability of Momentum Strategies: Empirical Evidence from Damascus Securities Exchange (DSE)

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 16-29
Author(s):  
Oubay Mahmoud ◽  
Almougheer I Wardeh
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Market Risk ◽  
Trading Strategies ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Momentum Strategy ◽  
Momentum Strategies ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Contrarian Strategy ◽  
Momentum Profits

The purpose of this study is to examine the profitability of Momentum based- trading strategies and investigate the causes of such profitability in Damascus Securities Exchange (DSE) market. The study analyzed 16 Momentum strategies based on full rebalancing and equally weighted techniques using monthly data from January 2010 to December 2016. The findings of the study showed low but significant Momentum effect, where the returns of Momentum portfolios were statistically positive only in 1 out of 16 strategies. Our findings suggest that Momentum strategy is applicable for winner portfolios whereas contrarian strategy is more appropriate for loser portfolios. We also adopted Market Model in order to investigate the possible risk-based explanations of Momentum profits, but we found that market risk is unable to explain the Momentum profitability in DSE market.

The Effect of Global Crises on Momentum Profitability: Evidence from the Indian Stock Market

2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Supriya Maheshwari ◽  
Raj S. Dhankar
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Crises ◽  
Convincing Evidence ◽  
Momentum Strategy ◽  
Momentum Strategies ◽  
Crisis Period ◽  
Holding Period ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
International Stock Markets ◽  
Indian Stock Market

There is a plethora of research that suggests profitability of momentum strategies in international stock markets. The current study adds to the existing literature by exploring the same in the Indian stock market over the more recent years. In addition, the study aims to test whether the momentum strategy performs persistently and remains consistent even during financial crises periods, emphasizing on the recent global meltdown of 2008. Eight momentum strategies were investigated with different combinations of formation and holding period and the study adds convincing evidence in favour of Indian momentum profitability. Statistically as well as economically significant momentum returns were observed that remained statistically significant even after risk adjustment. However, the financial crisis induced significant changes in the Indian momentum profitability. The momentum returns were observed to be positively high during pre-crisis period that turn negative during crisis period and again reverse to generate high momentum returns during the post-crisis period. The evidence indicates non-stability of momentum profits wherein momentum strategies crash during the financial crises periods.

Risk-Managed Momentum: An Evidence from Indian Stock Market

2021 ◽  
pp. 231971452110230
Author(s):  
Simarjeet Singh ◽  
Nidhi Walia ◽  
Pradiptarathi Panda ◽  
Sanjay Gupta
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Asset Management ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Sharpe Ratio ◽  
Relative Momentum ◽  
Extended Time ◽  
Momentum Strategies ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
Time Frames

Relative momentum strategies yield large and substantial profits in the Indian Stock Market. Nevertheless, relative momentum profits are negatively skewed and prone to occasional severe losses. By taking into consideration 450 stocks listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange, the present study predicts the timing of these huge momentum losses and proposes a simple risk-managed momentum approach to avoid these losses. The proposed risk-managed momentum approach not only doubles the adjusted Sharpe ratio but also results in significant improvements in downside risks. In contrast to relative momentum payoffs, risk-managed momentum payoffs remain substantial even in extended time frames. The study’s findings are particularly relevant for asset management companies, fund houses and financial academicians working in the area of asset anomalies.

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