scholarly journals The Profitability of Momentum Strategies: Empirical Evidence from Damascus Securities Exchange (DSE)

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 16-29
Author(s):  
Oubay Mahmoud ◽  
Almougheer I Wardeh
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Market Risk ◽  
Trading Strategies ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Momentum Strategy ◽  
Momentum Strategies ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Contrarian Strategy ◽  
Momentum Profits

The purpose of this study is to examine the profitability of Momentum based- trading strategies and investigate the causes of such profitability in Damascus Securities Exchange (DSE) market. The study analyzed 16 Momentum strategies based on full rebalancing and equally weighted techniques using monthly data from January 2010 to December 2016. The findings of the study showed low but significant Momentum effect, where the returns of Momentum portfolios were statistically positive only in 1 out of 16 strategies. Our findings suggest that Momentum strategy is applicable for winner portfolios whereas contrarian strategy is more appropriate for loser portfolios. We also adopted Market Model in order to investigate the possible risk-based explanations of Momentum profits, but we found that market risk is unable to explain the Momentum profitability in DSE market.

scholarly journals Do momentum strategies perform better for Islamic stocks than for conventional stocks across market states?

2019 ◽  
Vol 64 (221) ◽  
pp. 107-129
Author(s):  
Lain-Tze Tee ◽  
Si-Roei Kew ◽  
Soo-Wah Low
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Equity Market ◽  
Trading Strategies ◽  
Risk Compensation ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Stock Trading ◽  
Momentum Strategies ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
State Dependent ◽  
Market State

This study compares the momentum profitability of Islamic and conventional stocks in Malaysia and examines whether the presence of momentum profits is market-state dependent. Winner portfolios are shown to outperform loser portfolios, suggesting that a momentum effect exists in the equity market. Islamic stocks exhibit stronger momentum than conventional stocks. Interestingly, although pursuing profit is not the primary goal of Islamic stock investors, the findings indicate that momentum profits for all Islamic stock trading strategies are higher than those for conventional stocks. The profits from momentum strategies for both stocks are market-state dependent. In all trading strategies, while there are significant positive momentum profits following market upturns, there is no evidence of profits subsequent to market downturns. Overall, Islamic stocks yield higher momentum profits than conventional stocks across market states. These findings are robust to using various measures of the state of the market. While the presence of momentum profits is also robust to the inclusion of Fama-French?s (1993) risk factors, the risk factors are unable to explain momentum profits, suggesting that the risk-adjusted momentum profits are not due to risk compensation. Rather, the profitability is evidence of stock mispricing.

Are Indian Investors Return Chasers? An Anatomy of their Trading Behavior

GIS Business ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 32-44
Author(s):  
Martin Bernard ◽  
Malabika Deo
Keyword(s):  
Equity Returns ◽  
Trading Behavior ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Momentum Strategy ◽  
Price Momentum ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
Indian Context ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Monthly Return ◽  
Indian Stock Market

Momentum has remained an unanswered anomaly in finance literature. Researchers have pointed out two arguments, whether the source of prior return anomalies are rational or behavioral. In this paper, we examined return chasing tendency investors and the profitability of probable price momentum strategy in Indian equity market using the monthly return data of equities represented in BSE-500 index encompassing the time period from July 2004 to Jun 2014. Study is an attempt to analyze momentum effect before, during and after the financial crisis of 2007–2009 to check whether investors continue to follow the same strategy during crisis or their behavior undergoes any change. Also study examined the adequacy of rational CAPM models to explain momentum profits. The result evidenced a strong presence of economically and statistically significant momentum profit in Indian stock market equity returns. Therefore return chasing tendency of Indian investors is found to be persistent in the intermediate horizon in Indian context. Closer observation of the results reveals that, Indian investors are winners chasers rather than investor in past losers. Study also confirmed that investors sentiments are volatile according to general market environment and inadequacy of rationalist equilibrium model to explain momentum profits.

scholarly journals Contrarian and Momentum Strategies in the Indian Capital Market

2002 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sanjay Sehgal ◽  
I Balakrishnan
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Indian Market ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Momentum Strategy ◽  
Momentum Strategies ◽  
Holding Period ◽  
The Us ◽  
One Year

The study attempts to evaluate if there are any systematic patterns in stock returns for the Indian market. The empirical findings reveal that there is a reversal in long-term returns, once the short-term momentum effect has been controlled by maintaining a one year gap between portfolio formation period and the portfolio holding period. A contrarian strategy based on long-term past returns provides moderately positive returns. Further, there is a continuation in short-term returns and a momentum strategy based on it provides significantly positive payoffs. The results in general are in conformity with those for developed capital markets such as the US.

Profit Analysis of Short Term Weekly Momentum Strategy in the Korean Stock Market

2015 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 543-569
Author(s):  
Jun Ho Hwang
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Momentum Strategy ◽  
Momentum Strategies ◽  
Price Limit ◽  
Holding Period ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
Korean Stock Market

This paper shows the momentum strategies that selected stocks based on their returns from a past 1 week generate long lasting significant abnormal returns. I observe the negative momentum profit from 1 week momentum portfolio and it disappears when the holding period is longer than 22 week. In addition, I empirically shows that the weekly momentum strategies are able to generate negative profits also after the financial crisis. it is opposite result with literature, reported positive momentum after the financial crisis, I realize this result due to the characteristic of short term weekly momentum and market adjust returns. The price limit is one of the big features of Korean stock market. I consider the set of sample period by change of price limit. I find the positive momentum profits only in the period of narrow price limit range. For the check on the relation between liquidity and profit of momentum strategy, I employ the illiquid measure of Amihud (2002). I find that the strong and long lasting negative momentum profit from illiquid stock portfolio. This result implied that liquidity enhances the profit of momentum.

Delisted stocks and momentum: Evidence from a new Australian dataset

2016 ◽  
Vol 42 (1) ◽  
pp. 140-160 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thanh D Huynh ◽  
Daniel R Smith
Keyword(s):  
Trading Strategy ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Momentum Strategies ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
Momentum Trading ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The U.S

We explore the impact of delisting on the performance of the momentum trading strategy in Australia. We employ a new dataset of hand-collected delisting returns for all Australian stocks and provide the first study outside the U.S. to jointly examine the effects of delisting and missing returns on the magnitude of momentum profits. In the sample of all stocks, we find that the profitability of momentum strategies depends crucially on the returns of delisted stocks, especially on bankrupt firms. In the sample of large stocks, however, the momentum effect remains strong after controlling for the effect of delisted stocks, in contrast to the U.S. evidence in which delisting returns can explain 40% of momentum profits. As these large stocks are less exposed to liquidity risks, the momentum effect in Australia is even more puzzling than in the U.S.

Market Liquidity and Momentum Profits : Evidence from the Korean Stock Market

2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 497-524
Author(s):  
Changha Kim ◽  
Changjun Lee
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Liquidity Risk ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Momentum Strategy ◽  
Full Sample ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Korean Stock Market ◽  
The Difference

Previous literature in the Korean stock market has shown that the momentum effect is not observed during pre-2000 period while it is observed during post-2000 period. Given that market illiquidity has substantially decreased during post-2000 period, we examine whether the level of market illiquidity affect the momentum profits. The central findings are summarized as follows. First, our full-sample analysis shows that market liquidity is positively associated with momentum profits, meaning that the observed momentum effect during post-2000 period is related to the decrease in market illiquidity. Second, during pre-2000 period, when the market illiquidity is very high, the illiquidity of past losers is extremely high compared to that of past winners. However, there is no significant difference in illiquidity between winners and losers during post-2000 period. Third, based on this result, we conjecture that the momentum effect is related to the different compensation for liquidity risk between past losers and winners, and test whether this is indeed the case. We find significant momentum profits over the whole period when we consider the compensation for the liquidity risk of past losers and winners. In addition, during pre-2000 period, the return on momentum strategy that controls the liquidity risk is substantially higher than the actually observed momentum profits. In sum, our study suggests that the difference in compensation for liquidity risk between past losers and winners is very important in understanding the momentum effect in the Korean stock market.

Are Indian Investors Return Chasers? An Anatomy of their Trading Behavior

GIS Business ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 32-44
Author(s):  
Martin Bernard ◽  
Malabika Deo
Keyword(s):  
Equity Returns ◽  
Trading Behavior ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Momentum Strategy ◽  
Price Momentum ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
Indian Context ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Monthly Return ◽  
Indian Stock Market

Momentum has remained an unanswered anomaly in finance literature. Researchers have pointed out two arguments, whether the source of prior return anomalies are rational or behavioral. In this paper, we examined return chasing tendency investors and the profitability of probable price momentum strategy in Indian equity market using the monthly return data of equities represented in BSE-500 index encompassing the time period from July 2004 to Jun 2014. Study is an attempt to analyze momentum effect before, during and after the financial crisis of 2007–2009 to check whether investors continue to follow the same strategy during crisis or their behavior undergoes any change. Also study examined the adequacy of rational CAPM models to explain momentum profits. The result evidenced a strong presence of economically and statistically significant momentum profit in Indian stock market equity returns. Therefore return chasing tendency of Indian investors is found to be persistent in the intermediate horizon in Indian context. Closer observation of the results reveals that, Indian investors are winners chasers rather than investor in past losers. Study also confirmed that investors sentiments are volatile according to general market environment and inadequacy of rationalist equilibrium model to explain momentum profits.

Momentum anomaly: evidence from the Indian stock market

2017 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
Supriya Maheshwari ◽  
Raj Singh Dhankar
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Investment Strategy ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Momentum Strategies ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Indian Stock Market

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to provide insights into the profitability of momentum strategies in the Indian stock market. This study further evaluates whether the momentum effect is a manifestation of size, value or an illiquidity effect. Design/methodology/approach Monthly stock return data of 470 BSE listed stocks over the sample period from January 1997 to March 2013 were used to create extreme portfolios (winner and loser). The returns of extreme portfolios were evaluated using t-statistics and a risk-adjusted measure. Further checks were imposed by controlling for other potential sources of risk including size, value and illiquidity. Findings The study provides support in favor of momentum profitability in the Indian stock market. In contrast to the literature, momentum profitability is driven by winning stocks, and hence, buying past winning stocks generates higher returns than shorting loosing stocks in the Indian stock market. Strong momentum profits were observed even after controlling for size, value and trading volume of stocks. This suggests that the momentum effect in the Indian stock market is not a manifestation of small size effect, value effect or an illiquidity effect. Practical implications From the practitioner’s perspective, the study indicates that a momentum-based investment strategy in the short run is still persistent and can generate potential profits in the Indian stock market. Originality/value There is little empirical evidence on the momentum profitability, especially in the Indian stock market. The study contributes toward the literature by analyzing the momentum profitability even after controlling for size, value and an illiquidity effect. Some aspects of the momentum effect were observed to be dissimilar from those observed in literature for the USA and other countries. Such findings justify the need for testing the momentum profitability in stock markets other than the USA.

scholarly journals International Real Estate Review

2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 235-266
Author(s):  
Yuming Li ◽  
◽  
Jing Yang ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Single Family ◽  
Price Indices ◽  
Momentum Strategy ◽  
Momentum Strategies ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
Stock Portfolios ◽  
Construction Methods ◽  
Asset Portfolio

We investigate the profitability of momentum strategies in the market for single-family homes by using 10 city-level Case-Shiller home price indices (HPIs). Compared with the momentum strategies based on the Fama-French 10-industry portfolios of stocks, the profits from the single-family HPIs are more statistically significant, less sensitive to the construction methods of the momentum strategies and more correlated across different strategies. The momentum profits from the HPIs tend to be counter-cyclical, unlike the pro-cyclical behaviors of the momentum profits from stock portfolios. The differences in the momentum profits with HPIs and stocks indicate that a momentum strategy with the former can help diversify the risk in the asset portfolio of investors.

scholarly journals Momentum effect in stocks’ returns between the rational and the behavioural financial theories

2013 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Faten Zoghlami
Keyword(s):  
Size Effect ◽  
Excess Return ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Excess Returns ◽  
Momentum Strategy ◽  
Momentum Strategies ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Result Show ◽  
Full Rationality

The puzzling momentum strategies’ payoffs are defying the rational financial theory asserting the stocks returns’ unpredictability. Moreover, the momentum effect persist the main stocks returns’ anomaly escaping any risk-based explanation. The resilience of this phenomenon had favoured the development of behavioural financial field, which breaks with the investor’ full rationality hypothesis. This paper attempts to reconcile between the rational and behavioural financial theories, through the introduction of the progressive rationality concept. Especially, we argue that recognizing the temporary inappropriate investors’ reactions; can resolve the puzzling momentum anomaly.  To fulfil our objective, first we correct the monthly returns inherent to 56 stocks listed on the Tunisian stocks market from January 1998 to December 2011, from the related serial autocorrelations involved by the investors’ over and under reactions. Then, we examine the 6/6 momentum strategy’ excess returns before and after the monthly returns serial autocorrelations’ corrections. The result show that the momentum strategy is still profitable but no longer puzzling, since the related excess return is henceforth fully captured by a β and a size effect..

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