scholarly journals Predicting Appropriate Hospital Admission of Emergency Department Patients with Bronchiolitis: Secondary Analysis (Preprint)

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gang Luo ◽  
Bryan L Stone ◽  
Flory L Nkoy ◽  
Shan He ◽  
Michael D Johnson

BACKGROUND In children below the age of 2 years, bronchiolitis is the most common reason for hospitalization. Each year in the United States, bronchiolitis causes 287,000 emergency department visits, 32%-40% of which result in hospitalization. Due to a lack of evidence and objective criteria for managing bronchiolitis, clinicians often make emergency department disposition decisions on hospitalization or discharge to home subjectively, leading to large practice variation. Our recent study provided the first operational definition of appropriate hospital admission for emergency department patients with bronchiolitis and showed that 6.08% of emergency department disposition decisions for bronchiolitis were inappropriate. An accurate model for predicting appropriate hospital admission can guide emergency department disposition decisions for bronchiolitis and improve outcomes, but has not been developed thus far. OBJECTIVE The objective of this study was to develop a reasonably accurate model for predicting appropriate hospital admission. METHODS Using Intermountain Healthcare data from 2011-2014, we developed the first machine learning classification model to predict appropriate hospital admission for emergency department patients with bronchiolitis. RESULTS Our model achieved an accuracy of 90.66% (3242/3576, 95% CI: 89.68-91.64), a sensitivity of 92.09% (1083/1176, 95% CI: 90.33-93.56), a specificity of 89.96% (2159/2400, 95% CI: 88.69-91.17), and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.960 (95% CI: 0.954-0.966). We identified possible improvements to the model to guide future research on this topic. CONCLUSIONS Our model has good accuracy for predicting appropriate hospital admission for emergency department patients with bronchiolitis. With further improvement, our model could serve as a foundation for building decision-support tools to guide disposition decisions for children with bronchiolitis presenting to emergency departments. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPOR RR2-10.2196/resprot.5155

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gang Luo ◽  
Michael D Johnson ◽  
Flory L Nkoy ◽  
Shan He ◽  
Bryan L Stone

BACKGROUND Bronchiolitis is the leading cause of hospitalization in children under 2 years of age. Each year in the United States, bronchiolitis results in 287,000 emergency department visits, 32%-40% of which end in hospitalization. Frequently, emergency department disposition decisions (to discharge or hospitalize) are made subjectively because of the lack of evidence and objective criteria for bronchiolitis management, leading to significant practice variation, wasted health care use, and suboptimal outcomes. At present, no operational definition of appropriate hospital admission for emergency department patients with bronchiolitis exists. Yet, such a definition is essential for assessing care quality and building a predictive model to guide and standardize disposition decisions. Our prior work provided a framework of such a definition using 2 concepts, one on safe versus unsafe discharge and another on necessary versus unnecessary hospitalization. OBJECTIVE The goal of this study was to determine the 2 threshold values used in the 2 concepts, with 1 value per concept. METHODS Using Intermountain Healthcare data from 2005-2014, we examined distributions of several relevant attributes of emergency department visits by children under 2 years of age for bronchiolitis. Via a data-driven approach, we determined the 2 threshold values. RESULTS We completed the first operational definition of appropriate hospital admission for emergency department patients with bronchiolitis. Appropriate hospital admissions include actual admissions with exposure to major medical interventions for more than 6 hours, as well as actual emergency department discharges, followed by an emergency department return within 12 hours ending in admission for bronchiolitis. Based on the definition, 0.96% (221/23,125) of the emergency department discharges were deemed unsafe. Moreover, 14.36% (432/3008) of the hospital admissions from the emergency department were deemed unnecessary. CONCLUSIONS Our operational definition can define the prediction target for building a predictive model to guide and improve emergency department disposition decisions for bronchiolitis in the future.


Blood ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 132 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 4695-4695
Author(s):  
Mohamed Mokhtar Bakr ◽  
Umar Zahid ◽  
Pavan Tenneti ◽  
Alsadiq Waleed Al-Hillan ◽  
Faiz Anwer

Abstract National Trends in Leukemia Related Emergency Department Visits, Health Care Burden and Disposition Rate in the United States, 2010-2014. Background: Recently emergency department (ED) utilization has been increasing for the management of acute conditions. Utilization of ED healthcare services by hematology and oncology patients have been documented previously. Cancer patients frequently visit the EDs with acute symptoms, that may require further assessment, management, and even hospitalization. Whether the incidence of leukemia related ED visits has altered is unknown. The aim of this study was to analyze the trend of leukemia related ED visits, healthcare cost associated with the visit and the discharge disposition from ED. Methods: We utilized Nationwide Emergency Department Sample (NEDS) dataset for this study. NEDS is a part of the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP) database and contains the information of more than 950 United States (US) hospitals that is weighted to the national estimates. We used five years of data from 2010 to 2014 to examine the trends in prevalence and rates of ED visits, cost, and disposition (such as admission, discharge and death in ED). We defined patients with leukemia (acute myeloid, chronic myeloid, acute lymphocytic, and chronic lymphocytic leukemias) by using the international classification of disease, 9th revision, clinical modification (ICD-9-CM) codes. Cochrane-Armitage test was used to assess the trend of leukemia ER visits over five years. We used estimated US census population to calculate the rate of leukemia related ED visits. Furthermore, we assessed the predictors of hospital admission by using multivariable logistic regression model. Results: Between 2010 to 2014, a nationally weighted estimate of 771,510 patients visited ED with leukemia. The frequency of leukemia related ED visits increased 21.7% from 138,038 to 167,935 during this period that accounted for 0.12% of all ED visits. The rate of leukemia related ED visits increased 20.5% from 44 to 53 per 100,000 census population, which was statistically significant (p=0.04) on a trend test. The total national cost of leukemia related visit increased by 81% from $544 million in 2010 to $984 million in 2014 (p-value<0.001). While the mean cost of each leukemia related ED visit increased 50.7% from $2367 in 2010 to $3566 in 2014 (p-value <0.001). Rate of discharge to home from ED for leukemia related visits increased 31.6% (from 22.88% in 2010 to 30.12% in 2014) (p<0.05). Similarly, the rate of in hospital admission decreased 9% from 2010 to 2014. The rate of death in a leukemia related visit remained same (0.17%) from 2010 to 2013 but in 2014 death rate increased from 0.17% to 0.23% (p-value >0.05). In an adjusted multivariable logistic regression analysis, increasing age (OR 1.02 95% CI 1.024, 1.027), male gender (OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.114, 1.188), patient location in metropolitan area (OR 2.08, 95% CI 1.88, 2.22) and northeast location (OR 1.16, 95% CI 1.03, 1.32) were found to be significantly associated with the higher odds of in hospital admission following leukemia related ED visits. While few other variables like residents of higher income quartile and those holding Medicaid, insurance were also found to be positively associated with the hospitalization but were not statistically significant (OR>1.00, p>0.05). Conclusions: There is an increasing trend of leukemia related ED utilization and associated total and mean/median costs over time, while the rate of hospitalization for leukemia associated visit from ED have decreased. Oncology providers need to plan care accordingly to reduce ER visits and hospital admission for patients with leukemia. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 1076-1085
Author(s):  
Xingyu Zhang ◽  
Ningyuan Wang ◽  
Fengsu Hou ◽  
Yaseen Ali ◽  
Aaron Dora-Laskey ◽  
...  

Introduction: We aimed to characterize emergency department (ED) utilization and clinical characteristics of patients with substance use disorder (SUD) seeking emergency care for all reasons. Methods: Using 2016–2017 ED data from the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey, we investigated demographics, ED resource utilization, and clinical characteristics of patients with SUD vs those without SUD. Results: Of all adult ED visits (N = 27,609) in the US in 2016–2017, 11.1% of patients had SUD. Among ED patients with SUD, they were mostly non-Hispanic White (62.5%) and were more likely to be male (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.80 confidence interval [CI], 1.66-1.95). Emergency department patients with SUD were also more likely to return to the ED within 72 hours (aOR 1.32, CI, 1.09-1.61) and more likely to be admitted to the hospital (aOR 1.28, CI, 1.14-1.43) and intensive care unit (aOR 1.40, CI, 1.05-1.85). Conclusion: Patients with SUD have specific demographic, socioeconomic, and clinical characteristics associated with their ED visits. These findings highlight the importance of recognizing co-existing SUD as risk factors for increasing morbidity in acutely ill and injured patients, and the potential role of the ED as a site for interventions aimed at reducing harm from SUD.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joan Papp ◽  
Mayur Vallabhaneni ◽  
Ariel Morales ◽  
Jon W. Schrock

Abstract Background Opioid overdoses are at an epidemic in the United States causing the deaths of thousands each year. Project DAWN (Deaths Avoided with Naloxone) is an opioid overdose education and naloxone distribution program in Ohio that distributes naloxone rescue kits at clinics and in the emergency departments of a single hospital system. Methods We performed a retrospective analytic cohort study comparing heroin overdose survivors who presented to the emergency department and were subsequently discharged. We compared those who received a naloxone rescue kit at discharge with those who did not. Our composite outcome was repeat opioid overdose related emergency department visit(s), hospitalization and death at 0–3 months and at 3–6 months following emergency department overdose. Heroin overdose encounters were identified by ICD- 9 or 10 codes and data was abstracted from the electronic medical record for emergency department patients who presented for heroin overdose and were discharged over a 31- month period between 2013 and 2016. Patients were excluded for previous naloxone access, incarceration, suicidal ideation, admission to the hospital or death from acute overdose on initial emergency department presentation. Data was analyzed with the Chi- square statistical test. Results We identified 291emergency department heroin overdose encounters by ICD-9 or 10 codes and were analyzed. A total of 71% of heroin overdose survivors received a naloxone rescue kit at emergency department discharge. Between the patients who did not receive a naloxone rescue kit at discharge, no overdose deaths occurred and 10.8% reached the composite outcome. Of the patients who received a naloxone rescue kit, 14.4% reached the composite endpoint and 7 opioid overdose deaths occurred in this cohort. No difference in mortality at 3 or 6 months was detected, p = 0.15 and 0.36 respectively. No difference in the composite outcome was detected at 3 or 6 months either, p = 0.9 and 0.99 respectively. Conclusions Of our emergency department patients receiving a naloxone rescue kit we did not find a benefit in the reduction of repeat emergency department visits hospitalizations, or deaths following a non-fatal heroin overdose.


2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (suppl_1) ◽  
pp. S333-S334
Author(s):  
So Lim Kim ◽  
Angela Everett ◽  
Susan J Rehm ◽  
Steven Gordon ◽  
Nabin Shrestha

Abstract Background Outpatient parenteral antimicrobial therapy (OPAT) carries risk of vascular access complications, antimicrobial adverse effects, and worsening of infection. Both OPAT-related and unrelated events may lead to emergency department (ED) visits. The purpose of this study was to describe adverse events that result in ED visits and risk factors associated with ED visits during OPAT. Methods OPAT courses between January 1, 2013 and December 31, 2016 at Cleveland Clinic were identified from the institution’s OPAT registry. ED visits within 30 days of OPAT initiation were reviewed. Reasons and potential risk factors for ED visits were sought in the medical record. Results Among 11,440 OPAT courses during the study period, 603 (5%) were associated with 1 or more ED visits within 30 days of OPAT initiation. Mean patient age was 58 years and 57% were males. 379 ED visits (49%) were OPAT-related; the most common visit reason was vascular access complication, which occurred in 211 (56%) of OPAT-related ED visits. The most common vascular access complications were occlusion and dislodgement, which occurred in 99 and 34 patients (47% and 16% of vascular access complications, respectively). In a multivariable logistic regression model, at least one prior ED visit in the preceding year (prior ED visit) was most strongly associated with one or more ED visits during an OPAT course (OR 2.96, 95% CI 2.38 – 3.71, p-value &lt; 0.001). Other significant factors were younger age (p 0.01), female sex (p 0.01), home county residence (P &lt; 0.001), and having a PICC (p 0.05). 549 ED visits (71%) resulted in discharge from the ED within 24 hours, 18 (2%) left against medical advice, 46 (6%) were observed up to 24 hours, and 150 ED visits (20%) led to hospital admission. Prior ED visit was not associated with hospital admission among patients who visited the ED during OPAT. Conclusion OPAT-related ED visits are most often due to vascular access complications, especially line occlusions. Patients with a prior ED visit in the preceding year have a 3-fold higher odds of at least one ED visit during OPAT compared with patients without a prior ED visit. A strategy of managing occlusions at home and a focus on patients with prior ED visits could potentially prevent a substantial proportion of OPAT-related ED visits. Disclosures All authors: No reported disclosures.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 232596712097540
Author(s):  
Jessica M. Zendler ◽  
Ron Jadischke ◽  
Jared Frantz ◽  
Steve Hall ◽  
Grant C. Goulet

Background: Non-tackle football (ie, flag, touch, 7v7) is purported to be a lower-risk alternative to tackle football, particularly in terms of head injuries. However, data on head injuries in non-tackle football are sparse, particularly among youth participants. Purpose: To describe the epidemiology of  emergency department visits for head injuries due to non-tackle football among youth players in the United States and compare the data with basketball, soccer, and tackle football. Study Design: Descriptive epidemiology study. Methods: Injury data from 2014 to 2018 were obtained from the National Electronic Injury Surveillance System database. Injury reports coded for patients aged 6 to 18 years and associated with basketball, football, or soccer were extracted. Data were filtered to include only injuries to the head region, specifically, the head, ear, eyeball, mouth, or face. Football injuries were manually assigned to “non-tackle” or “tackle” based on the injury narratives. Sports & Fitness Industry Association data were used to estimate annual sport participation and calculate annual injury rates per 100,000 participant-years. Results: A total of 26,770 incident reports from 2014 to 2018 were analyzed. For head region injuries in non-tackle football, the head was the most commonly injured body part, followed by the face; the most common diagnosis was a laceration, followed by concussion and internal injury (defined as an unspecified head injury or internal head injury [eg, subdural hematoma or cerebral contusion]). The most common contacting object was another player. The projected national rate of head region injuries was lowest for non-tackle football across the 4 sports. In particular, the projected rate of injuries to the head for non-tackle football (78.0 per 100,000 participant-years) was less than one-fourth the rates for basketball (323.5 per 100,000 participant-years) and soccer (318.2 per 100,000 participant-years) and less than one-tenth the rate for tackle football (1478.6 per 100,000 participant-years). Conclusion: Among youth in the United States aged 6 to 18 years who were treated in the emergency department for injuries related to playing non-tackle football, the most common diagnosis for injuries to the head region was a laceration, followed by a concussion. Head region injuries associated with non-tackle football occurred at a notably lower rate than basketball, soccer, or tackle football.


2015 ◽  
Vol 25 (4) ◽  
pp. 521 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gary A. Puckrein ◽  
Brent M. Egan

<p class="Pa7">Cardiometabolic diseases, including diabetes and heart disease, account for &gt;12 million years of life lost annually among Black adults in the United States. Health disparities are geographically localized, with ~80% of health disparities occurring within ~6000 (16%) of all 38,000 US ZIP codes. Socio-economic status (SES), behavioral and environmental fac­tors (social determinants) account for ~80% of variance in health outcomes and cluster geographically. Neighborhood SES is inversely associated with prevalent diabetes and hyper­tension, and Blacks are four times more likely than Whites to live in lowest SES neighbor­hoods. In ZIP code 48235 (Detroit, 97% Black, 16.2% unemployed, income/capita $18,343, 23.6% poverty), 1082 Medicare fee-for service (FFS) beneficiaries received care for type 2 diabetes (T2D) and coronary artery disease (CAD) in 2012. Collectively, these beneficiaries had 1082 inpatient admissions and 839 emergency department visits, mean cost $27,759/beneficiary and mortality 2.7%. Nationally in 2011, 236,222 Black Medicare FFS beneficiaries had 213,715 inpatient admissions, 191,346 emergency department visits, mean cost $25,580/beneficiary and 2.4% mortality. In addition to more prevalent hypertension and T2D, Blacks appear more susceptible to clinical complications of risk fac­tors than Whites, including hypertension as a contributor to stroke. Cardiometabolic health equity in African Americans requires interven­tions on social determinants to reduce excess risk prevalence of risk factors. Social-medical interventions to promote timely access to, delivery of and adherence with evidence-based medicine are needed to counterbal­ance greater disease susceptibility. Place-based interventions on social and medical determi­nants of health could reduce the burden of life lost to cardiometabolic diseases in Blacks. <em>Ethn Dis. </em>2015;25(4):521-524; doi:10.18865/ ed.25.4.521</p>


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