Primary Factors Influencing the Decision to Vaccinate Against COVID-19 in the United States: A Predictive Analytics Approach (Preprint)

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Serkan Varol ◽  
Serkan Catma ◽  
Diana Reindl ◽  
Elizabeth Serieux
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Predictive Analytics ◽  
The United States ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Vaccine Hesitancy ◽  
Willingness To Accept ◽  
Perceptions And Attitudes ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Vaccine Decision Making

BACKGROUND Vaccine refusal still poses a risk to reaching herd immunity in the United States. The existing literature focuses on identifying the predictors that would impact the willingness to accept (WTA) vaccines using survey data. These variables range from the socio-demographic characteristics of the participants to the perceptions and attitudes towards the vaccines so each variable’s statistical relationship with the WTA a vaccine can be investigated. However, while the results of these studies may have important implications for understanding vaccine hesitancy by offering interpretation of the statistical relationships, the prediction of vaccine decision-making has rarely been investigated OBJECTIVE We aimed to identify the factors that contribute to the prediction of COVID-19 vaccine acceptors and refusers using machine learning METHODS A nationwide survey was administered online in November, 2020 to assess American public perceptions and attitudes towards COVID-19 vaccines. Seven machine learning techniques were utilized to identify the model with the highest predictive power. Moreover, a set of variables that would contribute the most to the predictions of vaccine acceptors and refusers was identified using Gini importance based on Random Forest structure RESULTS The resulting machine learning algorithm has better prediction ability for willingness to accept (82%) versus reject (51%) a COVID-19 vaccine. In terms of predictive success, the Random Forest model outperformed the other machine learning techniques with a 69.52% accuracy rate. Worrying about (re) contracting Covid 19 and opinions regarding mandatory face covering were identified as the most important predictors of vaccine decision-making CONCLUSIONS The complexity of vaccine hesitancy needs to be investigated thoroughly before the threshold needed to reach population immunity can be achieved. Predictive analytics can help the public health officials design and deliver individually tailored vaccination programs that would increase the overall vaccine uptake.

The Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool (START2) using machine learning techniques to support disposition decision‐making

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 429-435 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kathryn Rendell ◽  
Irena Koprinska ◽  
Andre Kyme ◽  
Anja A Ebker‐White ◽  
Michael M Dinh
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Learning Techniques

scholarly journals Decision making via semi-supervised machine learning techniques

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ευτύχιος Πρωτοπαπαδάκης
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Learning Techniques

Ο όρος μάθηση με μερική επίβλεψη αναφέρεται σε ένα ευρύ πεδίο τεχνικών μηχανικής μάθησης, οι οποίες χρησιμοποιούν τα μη τιτλοφορημένα δεδομένα για να εξάγουν επιπλέον ωφέλιμη πληροφορία. Η μερική επίβλεψη αντιμετωπίζει προβλήματα που σχετίζονται με την επεξεργασία και την αξιοποίηση μεγάλου όγκου δεδομένων και τα όποια κόστη σχετίζονται με αυτά (π.χ. χρόνος επεξεργασίας, ανθρώπινα λάθη). Απώτερος σκοπός είναι η ασφαλή εξαγωγή συμπερασμάτων, κανόνων ή προτάσεων. Τα μοντέλα λήψης απόφασης που χρησιμοποιούν τεχνικές μερικής μάθησης έχουν ποικίλα πλεονεκτήματα. Σε πρώτη φάση, χρειάζονται μικρό πλήθος τιτλοφορημένων δεδομένων για την αρχικοποίηση τους. Στη συνέχεια, τα νέα δεδομένα που θα εμφανιστούν αξιοποιούνται και τροποποιούν κατάλληλα το μοντέλο. Ως εκ τούτου, έχουμε ένα συνεχώς εξελισσόμενο μοντέλο λήψης αποφάσεων, με την ελάχιστη δυνατή προσπάθεια.Τεχνικές που προσαρμόζονται εύκολα και οικονομικά είναι οι κατεξοχήν κατάλληλες για τον έλεγχο συστημάτων, στα οποία παρατηρούνται συχνές αλλαγές στον τρόπο λειτουργίας. Ενδεικτικά πεδία εφαρμογής εφαρμογής ευέλικτων συστημάτων υποστήριξης λήψης αποφάσεων με μερική μάθηση είναι: η επίβλεψη γραμμών παραγωγής, η επιτήρηση θαλάσσιων συνόρων, η φροντίδα ηλικιωμένων, η εκτίμηση χρηματοπιστωτικού κινδύνου, ο έλεγχος για δομικές ατέλειες και η διαφύλαξη της πολιτιστικής κληρονομιάς.

Predicting Diabetes Mellitus With Machine Learning Techniques Using Multi-Criteria Decision Making

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 38-52
Author(s):  
Abhinav Juneja ◽  
Sapna Juneja ◽  
Sehajpreet Kaur ◽  
Vivek Kumar
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Healthy Lifestyle ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Multi Criteria Decision Making ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Supervised Learning Algorithms ◽  
Unsupervised Algorithms ◽  
Early Diagnosis Of Diabetes

Diabetes has become one of the common health issues in people of all age groups. The disease is responsible for many difficulties in lifestyle and is represented by imbalance in hyperglycemia. If kept untreated, diabetes can raise the chance of heart attack, diabetic nephropathy, and other disorders. Early diagnosis of diabetes helps to maintain a healthy lifestyle. Machine learning is a capability of machine to learn from past pattern and occurrences and converge with experience to optimise and give decision. In the current research, the authors have employed machine learning techniques and used multi-criteria decision-making approach in Pima Indian diabetes dataset. To classify the patients, they examined several different supervised and unsupervised predictive models. After detailed analysis, it has been observed that the supervised learning algorithms outweigh the unsupervised algorithms due to the output class being a nominal classified domain.

Machine Learning Techniques to Identify and Characterize Sleep Disorders Using Biosignals

2021 ◽  
pp. 136-160
Author(s):  
Mercedes Barrachina ◽  
Laura Valenzuela López
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Sleep Disorders ◽  
Adult Population ◽  
The United States ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Research Directions ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Control And Prevention ◽  
Future Research Directions

Sleep disorders are related to many different diseases, and they could have a significant impact in patients' health, causing an economic impact to the society and to the national health systems. In the United States, according to information from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention, those disorders are affecting 50-70 million in the adult population. Sleep disorders are causing annually around 40,000 deaths due to cardiovascular problems, and they cost the health system more than 16 billion. In other countries, such as in Spain, those disorders affect up to 48% of the adult population. The main objective of this chapter is to review and evaluate the different machine learning techniques utilized by researchers and medical professionals to identify, assess, and characterize sleep disorders. Moreover, some future research directions are proposed considering the evaluated area.

scholarly journals Machine learning analysis of lifeguard flag decisions and recorded rescues

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (11) ◽  
pp. 2541-2549
Author(s):  
Chris Houser ◽  
Jacob Lehner ◽  
Nathan Cherry ◽  
Phil Wernette
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
The United States ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Public Health Issue ◽  
Rip Currents ◽  
Effective Strategies ◽  
Wave Forcing ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Yellow Flag ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Rip currents and other surf hazards are an emerging public health issue globally. Lifeguards, warning flags, and signs are important, and to varying degrees they are effective strategies to minimize risk to beach users. In the United States and other jurisdictions around the world, lifeguards use coloured flags (green, yellow, and red) to indicate whether the danger posed by the surf and rip hazard is low, moderate, or high respectively. The choice of flag depends on the lifeguard(s) monitoring the changing surf conditions along the beach and over the course of the day using both regional surf forecasts and careful observation. There is a potential that the chosen flag is not consistent with the beach user perception of the risk, which may increase the potential for rescues or drownings. In this study, machine learning is used to determine the potential for error in the flags used at Pensacola Beach and the impact of that error on the number of rescues. Results of a decision tree analysis indicate that the colour flag chosen by the lifeguards was different from what the model predicted for 35 % of days between 2004 and 2008 (n=396/1125). Days when there is a difference between the predicted and posted flag colour represent only 17 % of all rescue days, but those days are associated with ∼60 % of all rescues between 2004 and 2008. Further analysis reveals that the largest number of rescue days and total number of rescues are associated with days where the flag deployed over-estimated the surf and hazard risk, such as a red or yellow flag flying when the model predicted a green flag would be more appropriate based on the wind and wave forcing alone. While it is possible that the lifeguards were overly cautious, it is argued that they most likely identified a rip forced by a transverse-bar and rip morphology common at the study site. Regardless, the results suggest that beach users may be discounting lifeguard warnings if the flag colour is not consistent with how they perceive the surf hazard or the regional forecast. Results suggest that machine learning techniques have the potential to support lifeguards and thereby reduce the number of rescues and drownings.

scholarly journals Predictive Modeling for Occupational Safety Outcomes and Days Away from Work Analysis in Mining Operations

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (19) ◽  
pp. 7054
Author(s):  
Anurag Yedla ◽  
Fatemeh Davoudi Kakhki ◽  
Ali Jannesari
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Data Augmentation ◽  
Predictive Analytics ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Mine Safety ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Health Administration ◽  
Tabular Data ◽  
Mining Operations ◽  
Learning Techniques

Mining is known to be one of the most hazardous occupations in the world. Many serious accidents have occurred worldwide over the years in mining. Although there have been efforts to create a safer work environment for miners, the number of accidents occurring at the mining sites is still significant. Machine learning techniques and predictive analytics are becoming one of the leading resources to create safer work environments in the manufacturing and construction industries. These techniques are leveraged to generate actionable insights to improve decision-making. A large amount of mining safety-related data are available, and machine learning algorithms can be used to analyze the data. The use of machine learning techniques can significantly benefit the mining industry. Decision tree, random forest, and artificial neural networks were implemented to analyze the outcomes of mining accidents. These machine learning models were also used to predict days away from work. An accidents dataset provided by the Mine Safety and Health Administration was used to train the models. The models were trained separately on tabular data and narratives. The use of a synthetic data augmentation technique using word embedding was also investigated to tackle the data imbalance problem. Performance of all the models was compared with the performance of the traditional logistic regression model. The results show that models trained on narratives performed better than the models trained on structured/tabular data in predicting the outcome of the accident. The higher predictive power of the models trained on narratives led to the conclusion that the narratives have additional information relevant to the outcome of injury compared to the tabular entries. The models trained on tabular data had a lower mean squared error compared to the models trained on narratives while predicting the days away from work. The results highlight the importance of predictors, like shift start time, accident time, and mining experience in predicting the days away from work. It was found that the F1 score of all the underrepresented classes except one improved after the use of the data augmentation technique. This approach gave greater insight into the factors influencing the outcome of the accident and days away from work.

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