scholarly journals OPTIMIZATION RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELING FOR CIUJUNG RIVER USING BACK PROPAGATION METHOD

SINERGI ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 193
Author(s):  
Ika Sari Damayanthi Sebayang ◽  
Agus Suroso ◽  
Alnis Gustin Laoli

The rainfall-runoff model is required to ascertain the relationship between rainfall and runoff. Hydrologists are often confronted with problems of prediction and estimation of runoff using the rainfall date. In actual fact the relationship of rainfall-runoff is known to be highly non-linear and complex. The spatial and temporal precipitation patterns and the variability of watershed characteristics create a more complex hydrologic phenomenon. Runoff is part of the rain water that enters and flows and enters the river body. Rainfall-runoff modeling in this study using Artificial Neural Network, back propagation method and sigmoid binary activation function. This model is used to simulate single or long-term continuous events, water volume, making it very appropriate for urban areas. Back propagation is an inherited learning algorithm and is commonly used by perceptron with multiple layers to change the weights associated with neurons in the hidden layer. Back propagation algorithm uses output error to change the values of its weight in the backward direction. The location of the review is the Ciujung River Basin (DAS), the data used are rainfall and debit data of Ciujung River from 2011-2017. Based on training and simulation results, obtained R2 value: 2012 = 0,85102; 2013 = 0,78661; 2014 = 0,81188; 2015 = 0,77902; 2016 = 0,7279. on model 2 = 0,8724. On model 3 R2:  January = 0,96937; February = 0,92984; March = 0,90666; April = 0,92566; May = 0,9128; June = 0,87975; July= 0,85292; August = 0,95943; September = 0,88229; October = 0,90537; November = 0,93522; December = 0,9111. with MSE (Mean Squared Error) of 0,0018479. The closer value of MSE to 0 and the value of R2 close to 1 then the better designed artificial neural network. If the data used for training more, the artificial neural network will produce a larger R2 value.

2009 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 94-106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Duc Van Le

Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model along with Back Propagation Algorithm (BPA) has been applied in many fields, especially in hydrology and water resources management to simulate or forecast rainfall runoff process, discharge and water level - time series, and other hydrological variables. Several researches have recently been focusing to compare the applicability of ANN model with other theory-driven and data-driven approaches. The comparison of ANN with M5 model trees for rainfall-runoff forecasting, with ARMAX models for deriving flow series, with AR models and regression models for forecasting and estimating daily river flows have been carried out. The better results that were implemented by ANN model have been concluded. So, this research trend is continued for the comparison of ANN model with Tank, Harmonic, Thomas and Fiering models in simulation of the monthly runoffs at Dong Nai river basin, Viet Nam. The results proved ANN being the best choice among these models, if suitable and enough data sources were available.


2010 ◽  
Vol 39 ◽  
pp. 555-561 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qing Hua Luan ◽  
Yao Cheng ◽  
Zha Xin Ima

The establishing of a precise simulation model for runoff prediction in river with several tributaries is the difficulty of flood forecast, which is also one of the difficulties in hydrologic research. Due to the theory of Artificial Neural Network, using Back Propagation algorithm, the flood forecast model for ShiLiAn hydrologic station in Minjiang River is constructed and validated in this study. Through test, the result shows that the forecast accuracy is satisfied for all check standards of flood forecast and then proves the feasibility of using nonlinear method for flood forecast. This study provides a new method and reference for flood control and water resources management in the local region.


Algorithms ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 195
Author(s):  
Shiping Zhao ◽  
Yong Ma ◽  
Dingxin Leng

Recently, magnetorheological elastomer (MRE) has been paid increasingly attention for vibration mitigation devices with the benefits of low power cost, fail safe performances, and fast responses. To make full use of the striking advantages of MRE device, a highly precise model should be developed to predict its dynamic performances. In the work, an MRE isolator in shear–squeeze mixed mode is developed and tested under dynamic loadings. The nonlinear performances in various displacement amplitude and currents are shown. An artificial neural network model with a back-propagation algorithm is proposed to characterize the nonlinear hysteresis of MRE isolator for its implementation in vibration control applications. This model utilized the displacement, velocity, and applied current as inputs and output force as output. The results show that the proposed model has high modeling accuracy and can well portray the complicated behaviors of MRE isolator with different excitations, which shows a fundamental basis for structural vibration control.


Author(s):  
Mustafa Ayyıldız ◽  
Kerim Çetinkaya

In this study, an artificial neural network model was developed to predict the geometric shapes of different objects using image processing. These objects with various sizes and shapes (circle, square, triangle, and rectangle) were used for the experimental process. In order to extract the features of these geometric shapes, morphological features, including the area, perimeter, compactness, elongation, rectangularity, and roundness, were applied. For the artificial neural network modeling, the standard back-propagation algorithm was found to be the optimum choice for training the model. In the building of the network structure, five different learning algorithms were used: the Levenberg–Marquardt, the quasi-Newton back propagation, the scaled conjugate gradient, the resilient back propagation, and the conjugate gradient back propagation. The best result was obtained by 6-5-1 network architectures with single hidden layers for the geometric shapes. After artificial neural network training, the correlation coefficients ( R2) of the geometric shape values for training and testing data were very close to 1. Similarly, the root-mean-square error and mean error percentage values for the training and testing data were less than 0.9% and 0.004%, respectively. These results demonstrated that the artificial neural network is an admissible model for the estimation of geometric shapes using image processing.


2017 ◽  
Vol 43 (4) ◽  
pp. 26-32 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sinan Mehmet Turp

AbstractThis study investigates the estimated adsorption efficiency of artificial Nickel (II) ions with perlite in an aqueous solution using artificial neural networks, based on 140 experimental data sets. Prediction using artificial neural networks is performed by enhancing the adsorption efficiency with the use of Nickel (II) ions, with the initial concentrations ranging from 0.1 mg/L to 10 mg/L, the adsorbent dosage ranging from 0.1 mg to 2 mg, and the varying time of effect ranging from 5 to 30 mins. This study presents an artificial neural network that predicts the adsorption efficiency of Nickel (II) ions with perlite. The best algorithm is determined as a quasi-Newton back-propagation algorithm. The performance of the artificial neural network is determined by coefficient determination (R2), and its architecture is 3-12-1. The prediction shows that there is an outstanding relationship between the experimental data and the predicted values.


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