scholarly journals Life insurance, financial development and economic growth in South Africa: An application of the autoregressive distributed lag model

2014 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 81-90 ◽  
Author(s):  
Athenia Bongani Sibindi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Life Insurance ◽  
Insurance Sector ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Insurance Development

The life insurance sector may contribute to economic growth by its very mechanism of savings mobilisation and thereby performing an intermediation role in the economy. This ensures that capital is provided to deficient units who are in need of capital to finance their working capital requirements and invest in technology thereby resulting in an increase in output. In this way, it could be argued that life insurance development spurs financial development. In this article we investigate the causal relationship between the life insurance sector, financial development and economic growth in South Africa for the period 1990 to 2012 by applying the ARDL bounds testing procedure. We make use of life insurance density as the proxy for life insurance development, real per capita growth domestic product as the proxy for economic growth and real broad money per capita as the proxy for financial development. We test for cointegration amongst the variables by applying the bounds test and then proceed to test for Granger causality based on the error correction model. Our results confirm that the variables are cointegrated and move in tandem to each other in the long-run. The results also indicate that the direction of causality runs from the economy to the life insurance sector in the short-run which is consistent with the “demand-following” insurance-growth hypothesis. There is also evidence of bidirectional Granger causality running from the economy to financial development and vice versa, both in the long-run and short-run. The results also reveal that life insurance complements financial development in bringing about economic growth further lending credence to the “complementarity” hypothesis.

scholarly journals Life insurance, financial development and economic growth in South Africa

2014 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 7-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Athenia Bongani Sibindi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Life Insurance ◽  
Capital Requirements ◽  
Insurance Sector ◽  
Insurance Density ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Insurance Development ◽  
Growth Hypothesis

The life insurance sector may contribute to economic growth by its very mechanism of savings mobilisation and thereby performing an intermediation role in the economy. This ensures that capital is provided to deficient units who are in need of capital to finance their working capital requirements and invest in technology thereby resulting in an increase in output. In this way, it could be argued that life insurance development spurs financial development. In this article we investigate the causal relationship between the life insurance sector, financial development and economic growth in South Africa for the period 1990 to 2012. We make use of life insurance density as the proxy for life insurance development, real per capita growth domestic product as the proxy for economic growth and real broad money per capita as the proxy for financial development. We test for cointegration amongst the variables by applying the Johansen procedure and then proceed to test for Granger causality based on the vector error correction model (VECM). Our results confirm the existence of at least one cointegrating relationship amongst the variables. The results indicate that the direction of causality runs from the economy to the life insurance sector which is consistent with the “demand-following” insurance-growth hypothesis. There is also evidence of causality running from the economy to financial development which is consistent with the “demand following” finance-growth hypothesis. The results also reveal that life insurance complements economic growth in bringing about financial development further lending credence to the “complementarity” hypothesis.

The relationship between financial development and economic growth in Eswatini (formerly Swaziland)

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Siphe-okuhle Fakudze ◽  
Asrat Tsegaye ◽  
Kin Sibanda
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship

PurposeThe paper examined the relationship between financial development and economic growth for the period 1996 to 2018 in Eswatini.Design/methodology/approachThe Autoregressive Distributed Lag bounds test (ARDL) was employed to determine the long-run and short-run dynamics of the link between the variables of interest. The Granger causality test was also performed to establish the direction of causality between financial development and economic growth.FindingsThe ARDL results revealed that there is a long-run relationship between financial development and economic growth. The Granger causality test revealed bidirectional causality between money supply and economic growth, and unidirectional causality running from economic growth to financial development. The results highlight that economic growth exerts a positive and significant influence on financial development, validating the demand following hypothesis in Eswatini.Practical implicationsPolicymakers should formulate policies that aims to engineer more economic growth. The policies should strike a balance between deploying funds necessary to stimulate investment and enhancing productivity in order to enliven economic growth in Eswatini.Originality/valueThe study investigates the finance-growth linkage using time series analysis. It determines the long-run and short-run dynamics of this relationship and examines the Granger causality outcomes.

scholarly journals Financial Development, Financial Openness and Economic Growth in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian E. Bassey ◽  
Okoiarikpo Benjamin Okoi ◽  
Ikpe Kingsley Imoh
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Financial Openness ◽  
Insurance Sector ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This study examined the impact of financial development and financial openness on economic growth in Nigeria between 1981 and 2019. This was done through the use of the Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. In doing this, the ratio of credit to the private sector to the GDP and broad money to narrow money were used as measures of financial development and financial openness respectively. The study found that financial development has a positive and insignificant impact on economic growth in Nigeria in the long and short-run. The study also found that financial openness has a negative and insignificant impact on economic growth in Nigeria in the long-run. The results of the study further revealed that simultaneous existence of financial development and financial openness has an insignificant but positive impact on economic growth in Nigeria in the long-run. Based on the findings, the study recommended that the CBN should increase its efforts towards the regulation and supervision of the financial sector to reduce the incidence of financial distress. The study also recommended that efforts to develop the mortgage and insurance sector and the capital market should be intensified through regulatory improvements, improvements in the instruments in use in the market as well as public enlightenment programs to increase awareness of the potentials of the mortgage, insurance and capital markets. The final recommendation made by the study is that more restrictions should be placed on the inflow of capital in and out of the country to guard against sudden capital flow reversals.

Defence Spending and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence from Cointegration and Co-Feature Analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles Shaaba Saba
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Growth Series ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Defence Spending ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Business Cycle

Abstract The paper revisits the causality relationship between defence spending and economic growth for South Africa during the period 1960–2018. The results of our estimation show that defence spending and economic growth are cointegrated and that there is bidirectional Granger causality running between defence spending and economic growth in the long run. We then applied a Hodrick-Prescott filter to decompose the trend and the fluctuation components of the defence spending and economic growth series. The findings from the autoregressive distributed lag bounds test estimations show that in the long- and short-run, the trends and cyclicality of defence spending retard economic growth. The estimation results show that there is cointegration between the trends and the cyclical components of the two series, which suggests that the Granger causality possibly relates to the business cycle. This study suggests that investing more and reducing inefficiency spending in the defence sector during fluctuations can further stimulate economic growth in South Africa.

scholarly journals ON THE (NONMONOTONIC) RELATION BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND FINANCE

2018 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 93-112 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alberto Bucci ◽  
Simone Marsiglio ◽  
Catherine Prettner
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Nonlinear Models ◽  
Physical Capital ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Financial Depth ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Per Capita

We analyze the simplest possible model of endogenous growth to account for the role of financial development. In our setting, financial development affects productivity and determines the amount of resources subtracted to capital investment. We show that under very general assumptions, the relation between economic growth and financial depth is nonmonotonic, and eventually bell-shaped. We empirically assess our results in a framework that allows to distinguish between long-run and short-run effects. We establish a cointegrating relation and derive the long-run elasticities of per capita gross domestic product (GDP) with respect to employment, the physical capital stock, and financial depth–relying on linear as well as nonlinear models for the finance-growth nexus. We employ the results of the first step estimation to specify an error–correction model and find that there is strong evidence for a nonlinear relationship between financial depth and per capita GDP, consistently with what was predicted by our theoretical model.

Relationships between Financial Development, Trade Openness, and Economic Growth

2015 ◽  
pp. 183-196
Author(s):  
Fahri Seker ◽  
Murat Cetin ◽  
Birol Topcu ◽  
Gamze Yıldız Seren
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

The aim of this chapter is to investigate the cointegration and causal relationship between financial development, trade openness, and economic growth in Turkey for the period of 1980-2012. To analyze the data, the bounds testing and Johansen-Juselius approaches to cointegration and Granger causality test based on vector error-correction model are employed. The cointegration tests suggest that there is a long-run relationship between the variables. The Granger causality test reveals long-run bidirectional causality between trade openness and economic growth. The findings also indicate unidirectional causality running from financial development to trade openness and economic growth in the long run as well as a bi-directional causality between financial development and economic growth in the short run. The results support supply-leading and trade-led growth hypotheses. Therefore, it can be suggested that Turkey can accelerate its economic growth by improving its financial systems and encouraging foreign trade.

scholarly journals Finance-Growth Nexus Revisited: Empirical Evidence from Six Countries

2018 ◽  
Vol 65 (3) ◽  
pp. 247-268 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sheilla Nyasha ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Feedback Loop ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Study Results ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Uk

Abstract This paper investigates the dynamic causal relationship between bank-based financial development and economic growth, and between market-based financial development and economic growth in six countries during the period from 1980 to 2012. The causal relationship was found to vary largely across countries and over time. In general, bank-based financial development seems to Granger-cause economic growth in the UK and only in the long run in Australia. However, there is a feedback loop in Brazil and Australia, but only in the short run for the latter. In Kenya, South Africa and USA, the results support the neutrality hypothesis. The study results further indicate short-run unidirectional causality from market-based financial development to economic growth in the USA. Evidence of the feedback loop was found in Kenya, while the demand-following hypothesis found support only in South Africa and Brazil. However, the neutrality view was supported in Australia and the UK.

scholarly journals The Relationship Between Financial Development and Economic Growth in The United Kingdom: A Granger Causality Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-71
Author(s):  
Samuel Wesiah ◽  
Sixtus Cyprian Onyekwere
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Cointegration Test ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Uk

This study aims to investigate the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth in the UK using quarterly data from 1963q1 to 2015q1. Three variables were used as proxies for financial sector development, namely, ratios of broad money supply to GDP, ratios of private sector credit to GDP and the ratios of stock market capitalization to GDP.  Economic growth was measured using real GDP per capita. In order to achieve stated aim, the study employed the Johansen Cointegration test and the Granger causality test within a vector error correction framework (VEC) to test for the existence (or not) of a long run relationship as well as the direction of causality between financial development and economic growth. The result from the Cointegration test indicates that there is a stable long run equilibrium relationship between financial development and economic growth in the UK. The Granger causality test presents evidence of a bidirectional causality. This suggests that financial development and economic growth are mutually causal, that is, causality runs from both side which is in line with the feedback hypothesis in the literature which argue that financial development and economic growth exhibits a two-way causal relationship. In terms of each individual variable, the study finds that while bank credit to the private sector and stock market capitalisation Granger cause GDP per capita, GDP per capita on the other hand, Granger causes broad money supply.

scholarly journals The Relationship between Financial Development and Energy Consumption in South Africa

Economies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 158
Author(s):  
Palesa Milliscent Lefatsa ◽  
Kin Sibanda ◽  
Rufaro Garidzirai
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship

This paper examines the nexus between financial development and energy consumption in South Africa. To determine the long run and short run relationship between financial development and energy consumption in South Africa, the paper uses an Auto Regressive Distributed Lag bounds test (ARDL) and Granger causality test to establish the type of correlation between 1980 and 2018. ARDL bounds testing method offers concrete long-run estimates and t-statistics as it is flexible whether the adopted variables are I(0) or I(1).The study used per capita (kilogram, kg of oil equivalent) to measure total energy consumption, domestic credit to the private sector (percentage of gross domestic product, GDP) to measure financial development, real GDP growth (to capture economic growth), industrial value added (percentage of GDP) to measure industrialization, and urban population (percentage of total population) to capture urbanization. Results from ARDL showed that the relationship between financial development and energy consumption is positive in nature both in short-run and long-run. Granger causality test results revealed unidirectional causality from financial development to energy consumption. Policymakers need to formulate policy reforms that channels more credit to private sector development in order to bolster more energy use in South Africa. There ought to be proper balance between financial development and energy consumption to avoid electricity crisis.

scholarly journals AID AND GROWTH IN BANGLADESH: A REASSESSMENT

2018 ◽  
pp. 422-440
Author(s):  
Sharif Hossain ◽  
Rajarshi Mitra ◽  
Thasinul Abedin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Real Income ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Per Capita

Although the amount of foreign aid received by Bangladesh as a share of GDP has declined over the years, Bangladesh remains one of the heavily aiddependent countries in Asia. The results of most empirical studies that have examined the effectiveness of foreign aid or other forms of development assistance for economic growth have varied considerably depending on the econometric methodology used and the period of study. As the debate and controversy over aid-effectiveness for economic growth continue to grow, this paper reinvestigates the short-run and long-run effects of foreign aid received on percapita real income of Bangladesh over the period 1972–2015. A vector error correction model is estimated. The results indicate lack of any significant short-run and long-run relation between foreign aid and per-capita real income. Results further indicate short-run unidirectional causalities from per-capita real GDP to domestic investment (in proportion to GDP), from government expenditure (in proportion to GDP) to inflation rate, from inflation rate to domestic investment (in proportion to GDP), and from domestic investment to foreign aid (as percentages of GDP). Short-run bidirectional causality is observed between per-capita electricity consumption and per-capita real GDP, and between per-capita real GDP and government expenditure (in proportion to GDP).

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document