scholarly journals Spatial Prediction of the Forest Soil Water Holding Capacities in Temperate Region on a National Scale With Random Forest Models

Author(s):  
Hyunje Yang ◽  
Honggeun Lim ◽  
Hyung Tae Choi

Soil water holding capacities (SWHCs) is important input factor in hydrological simulation models for sustainable water management. Forests that covered 63% of South Korea are the main source of clean water, and it is essential to estimate SWHCs on a nationwide scale for effective forest water resources management. However, there are a few studies estimating SWHCs on a nationwide scale in the temperate regions especially in South Korea. Fortunately, forest spatial big data have been collected on a national scale, and the nationwide prediction of the SWHC can be possible with this dataset. In this study, spatial prediction of forest SWHCs (saturated water content, water content at pF1.8 and 2.7) was conducted with 953 forest soil samples and forest spatial big dataset. 4 soil properties and 14 environmental covariates were used for predicting SWHCs. Simple linear regression and random forest model were compared for selecting the optimal predictive model. From the variable importance analysis, environmental covariates had as big importance as soil properties had. And prediction performance of the model with environmental covariates as the input data was higher than that of the model with soil properties. Comparing two models, the random forest model could accurately and stably predict SWHCs than the simple linear model. As a result of spatial prediction of SWHCs at the national scale through the random forest model and the forest spatial big dataset, it was confirmed that higher SWHCs were distributed along with the Baekdudaegan, the watershed-crest-line in South Korea.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
B Kalaiselvi ◽  
S. Dharumarajan ◽  
M. Lalitha ◽  
R. Sriniv ◽  
R. Vasundhara ◽  
...  

Abstract Knowledge on spatial distribution of soil depth, coarse fragments and texture are crucial for land resource management and environmental soil modeling. Digital soil mapping approach helps in prediction of spatial soil information by establishing the relationship between soil and environmental covariates. In the present study, we assessed spatial distribution of soil depth, coarse fragments (CF) and soil textural classes over 0.13 M sq.km area of Tamil Nadu state. About 2100 samples were used for the prediction of soil properties using random forest model (RF). Out of which, 80 per cent samples were used for training and 20 percent samples were used for testing. Different environmental covariates such as digital elevation model outputs, landsat data and bioclimatic variables were related to predict the soil properties. The predicted soil depth and CF ranged from 46-200 cm and 1-42 per cent respectively. The RF model performed well by explaining the variability (R 2 ) of 43% for soil depth and 21% for coarse fragments with RMSE of 38 cm and 13%, respectively. The RF classifier classified the soil textural classes with 64% overall accuracy and 43% kappa index. Variable importance ranking of Random forest model showed that elevation, MrVBF are the important predictors used for prediction of soil depth and CF, whereas remote sensing vegetation indices such as NDVI, EVI were acted as primary variable for prediction of soil textural classes. In this study, 250 m resolution detailed soil depth, CF and textural class maps were prepared which will be useful for different environmental modeling and proper agricultural management purposes.


Forests ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 583 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dae-Seong Lee ◽  
Yang-Seop Bae ◽  
Bong-Kyu Byun ◽  
Seunghwan Lee ◽  
Jong Kyun Park ◽  
...  

Invasive species cause a severe impact on existing ecosystems. The citrus flatid planthopper (CFP; Metcalfa pruinosa (Say, 1830)) is an invasive species in many countries. Predicting potential occurrence areas of the species related to environmental conditions is important for effective forest ecosystem management. In this study, we evaluated the occurrence patterns of the CFP and predicted its potential occurrence areas in South Korea using a random forest model for a hazard rating of forests considering meteorological and landscape variables. We obtained the occurrence data of the CFP in South Korea from literature and government documents and extracted seven environmental variables (altitude, slope, distance to road (geographical), annual mean temperature, minimum temperature in January, maximum temperature in July, and annual precipitation (meteorological)) and the proportion of land cover types across seven categories (urban, agriculture, forest, grassland, wetland, barren, and water) at each occurrence site from digital maps using a Geographic Information System. The CFP occurrence areas were mostly located at low altitudes, near roads and urbanized areas. Our prediction model also supported these results. The CFP has a high potential to be distributed over the whole of South Korea, excluding high mountainous areas. Finally, factors related to human activities, such as roads and urbanization, strongly influence the occurrence and dispersal of the CFP. Therefore, we propose that these factors should be considered carefully in monitoring and surveillance programs for the CFP and other invasive species.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (18) ◽  
pp. 3657
Author(s):  
Chau-Ren Jung ◽  
Wei-Ting Chen ◽  
Shoji F. Nakayama

Satellite-based models for estimating concentrations of particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 μm (PM2.5) have seldom been developed in islands with complex topography over the monsoon area, where the transport of PM2.5 is influenced by both the synoptic-scale winds and local-scale circulations compared with the continental regions. We validated Multi-Angle Implementation of Atmospheric Correction (MAIAC) aerosol optical depth (AOD) with ground observations in Japan and developed a 1-km-resolution national-scale model between 2011 and 2016 to estimate daily PM2.5 concentrations. A two-stage random forest model integrating MAIAC AOD with meteorological variables and land use data was applied to develop the model. The first-stage random forest model was used to impute the missing AOD values. The second-stage random forest model was then utilised to estimate ground PM2.5 concentrations. Ten-fold cross-validation was performed to evaluate the model performance. There was good consistency between MAIAC AOD and ground truth in Japan (correlation coefficient = 0.82 and 74.62% of data falling within the expected error). For model training, the model showed a training coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.98 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.22 μg/m3. For the 10-fold cross-validation, the cross-validation R2 and RMSE of the model were 0.86 and 3.02 μg/m3, respectively. A subsite validation was used to validate the model at the grids overlapping with the AERONET sites, and the model performance was excellent at these sites with a validation R2 (RMSE) of 0.94 (1.78 μg/m3). Additionally, the model performance increased as increased AOD coverage. The top-ten important predictors for estimating ground PM2.5 concentrations were day of the year, temperature, AOD, relative humidity, 10-m-height zonal wind, 10-m-height meridional wind, boundary layer height, precipitation, surface pressure, and population density. MAIAC AOD showed high retrieval accuracy in Japan. The performance of the satellite-based model was excellent, which showed that PM2.5 estimates derived from the model were reliable and accurate. These estimates can be used to assess both the short-term and long-term effects of PM2.5 on health outcomes in epidemiological studies.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Thiele ◽  
Gerrit Hirschfeld ◽  
Ruth von Brachel

AbstractRegistries of clinical trials are a potential source for scientometric analysis of medical research and serve important functions for the research community and the public at large. Clinical trials that recruit patients in Germany are usually registered in the German Clinical Trials Register (DRKS) or in international registries such as ClinicalTrials.gov. Furthermore, the International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP) aggregates trials from multiple primary registries. We queried the DRKS, ClinicalTrials.gov, and the ICTRP for trials with a recruiting location in Germany. Trials that were registered in multiple registries were linked using the primary and secondary identifiers and a Random Forest model based on various similarity metrics. We identified 35,912 trials that were conducted in Germany. The majority of the trials was registered in multiple databases. 32,106 trials were linked using primary IDs, 26 were linked using a Random Forest model, and 10,537 internal duplicates on ICTRP were identified using the Random Forest model after finding pairs with matching primary or secondary IDs. In cross-validation, the Random Forest increased the F1-score from 96.4% to 97.1% compared to a linkage based solely on secondary IDs on a manually labelled data set. 28% of all trials were registered in the German DRKS. 54% of the trials on ClinicalTrials.gov, 43% of the trials on the DRKS and 56% of the trials on the ICTRP were pre-registered. The ratio of pre-registered studies and the ratio of studies that are registered in the DRKS increased over time.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 503
Author(s):  
Hang Liu ◽  
Riken Homma ◽  
Qiang Liu ◽  
Congying Fang

The simulation of future land use can provide decision support for urban planners and decision makers, which is important for sustainable urban development. Using a cellular automata-random forest model, we considered two scenarios to predict intra-land use changes in Kumamoto City from 2018 to 2030: an unconstrained development scenario, and a planning-constrained development scenario that considers disaster-related factors. The random forest was used to calculate the transition probabilities and the importance of driving factors, and cellular automata were used for future land use prediction. The results show that disaster-related factors greatly influence land vacancy, while urban planning factors are more important for medium high-rise residential, commercial, and public facilities. Under the unconstrained development scenario, urban land use tends towards spatially disordered growth in the total amount of steady growth, with the largest increase in low-rise residential areas. Under the planning-constrained development scenario that considers disaster-related factors, the urban land area will continue to grow, albeit slowly and with a compact growth trend. This study provides planners with information on the relevant trends in different scenarios of land use change in Kumamoto City. Furthermore, it provides a reference for Kumamoto City’s future post-disaster recovery and reconstruction planning.


2021 ◽  
pp. 100017
Author(s):  
Xinyu Dou ◽  
Cuijuan Liao ◽  
Hengqi Wang ◽  
Ying Huang ◽  
Ying Tu ◽  
...  

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