scholarly journals Public service privatization and crisis in Argentina

2005 ◽  
Vol 48 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 97-113
Author(s):  
Leopoldo Rodnguez-Boetsch

This article discusses the privatization of public services in Argentina in light of the severe crisis that afflicted the country between 1999 and 2002. An inadequate regulatory framework and the absence of effective regulatory agencies resulted in the exercise of monopolistic power over public service fees. The emergence of a series of external shocks, starting in 1997 with the SE Asia crisis, weakened the country's external accounts. In the context of a strict fixed exchange rate regime-rising public service fees and overseas obligations contracted by the privatized firms placed growing pressure on the balance of payments. Even though privatized firms were not directly responsible for the four-year recession or the balance of payments crisis, their actions contributed to the onset and prolongation of the difficulties faced by Argentina.

2016 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 76 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oghenovo Adewale Obrimah

Relative to free floating exchange rate regimes, I find the adoption of a hybrid exchange rate regime induces alternate monetary policy responses within the context of new Keynesian theory. Specifically, while the efficiency with which an economy is managed can be derived from comparisons of effects of inflation or balance of payments on exchange rates within a cross-section of countries that run free floating exchange rate regimes, this is not the case within a cross-section of countries that operate hybrid exchange rate regimes. In countries that operate hybrid exchange rate regimes, the efficiency with which an economy is managed is derived from comparisons of the effects of exchange rates on inflation or balance of payments situations. In so far as measurement of economic distortions are concerned, while relations between deposit or lending interest rates and inflows of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) into countries with hybrid exchange rate regimes yield insights into the extent to which inflows of foreign capital induce distortionary effects on price equilibriums, these relations do not yield similar insights within a cross-section of countries that run free floating exchange rate regimes. These findings, generated within the context of new Keynesian theory, identify theoretically appropriate differences in benchmarking of economic efficiency conditional on differences in exchange rate regimes.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alex Carrasco ◽  
David Florián Hoyle

This paper discusses the role of sterilized foreign exchange (FX) interventions as a monetary policy instrument for emerging market economies in response to external shocks. We develop a model for a commodity-exporting small open economy in which FX intervention is considered as a balance sheet policy induced by a financial friction in the form of an agency problem between banks and their creditors. The severity of banks agency problem depends directly on a bank-level measure of currency mismatch. Endogenous deviations from the standard UIP condition arise at equilibrium. In this context, FX interventions moderate the response of financial and macroeconomic variables to external shocks by leaning against the wind with respect to real exchange rate pressures. Our quantitative results indicate that, conditional on external shocks, the FX intervention policy successfully reduces credit, investment, and output volatility, along with substantial welfare gains when compared to a free-floating exchange rate regime. Finally, we explore distinct generalizations of the model that eliminate the presence of endogenous UIP deviations. In those cases, FX intervention operations are considerably less effective for the aggregate equilibrium.


Important aspect of ongoing discussions on the choice of exchange rate regime is its reaction to crisis as a strong and unexpected external shock; such was the case of Great Recession from 2008.-onwards. It is generally accepted that pegged exchange rate regimes are more sensitive to external shocks that might cause their long-term destabilization. Still, the soft pegged regimes (also entitled intermediate regimes) have fewer limits, with rules that allow more maneuver space for national strategy. The group of soft pegged regimes is wider, both in structure and scope, then those of hard pegged regimes. While countries with more flexible regimes might use exchange rate fluctuations as automatic stabilisator, (hard and/or soft) pegs impose some limitations. In the first place, there is stability goal that, in combination with strict regulatory rules, limits the monetary and exchange rate policy, demanding the use of other strategies, such is the internal devaluation. Secondly, these countries do not use wide scope of instruments and their crisis strategy is more rigid than those of other regimes. Finally, there are dilemmas on the optimality of exchange rate strategy during the pre-eurozone membership period, including the euro introduction strategy. These dilemmas deepen in terms of crisis. This paper focuses on comparison of hard and soft pegged regimes (the latter also entitled intermediate regimes) in selected European union accession countries, using „de facto“classification scale developed by International Monetary Fund. Despite the crisis, there have not been dramatic turbulences in terms of exchange rate policy in observed countries, but the general economic indicators clearly show the real depth of crisis and slow recovery. The question open for further discussion is whether such regimes should be obtained or abandoned during the crisis and what is their contribution to national economy. Furthermore, there are pros and cons of possible strategies, considering the European integration process.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 (4) ◽  
pp. 99-121
Author(s):  
Sergey Dubinin ◽  
Nina Miklashevskaya ◽  
Sofya Karlovskaya ◽  
Petr Patron

The paper analyzes the Bank of Russia’s policy during its transition to the floating exchange rate regime. We show that this transition logically follows the general regulation strategy towards price stability. After thorough study of reasons and consequences of the transition, we conclude that internal and external shocks to Russian economy in 2014 accelerated the shift to the flexible exchange rate. We emphasize the assessment of stabilization policy at the foreign exchange market.


Economies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 6
Author(s):  
Stefano D’Addona ◽  
Lilia Cavallari

This paper studies the role of the exchange rate regime for trade of new products. It first provides VAR evidence that a rise in external productivity shifts trade away from new products and more so in fixed regimes. Then, it presents a model with firm dynamics in line with this evidence. We argue that exchange rate policy can affect firms’ entry decisions with consequences for the competitiveness of a country’s exports well beyond the short run. In our setup, fixed exchange rates can foster the competitiveness of firms that trade new products, while flexible rates favor firms that produce mature products.


Author(s):  
Jeffrey A. Frankel

This chapter proposes an exchange rate regime for oil-exporting countries, designed to deliver monetary policy that accommodates rather than exacerbates the effects of oil market swings, yet offers the transparency and predictability of a currency peg. The proposal is called currency-plus-commodity basket (CCB). The plan is to peg the national currency to a basket that includes not only the currencies of major trading partners but also the export commodity (oil). The chapter provides evidence from six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries that times when their currencies were “undervalued” relative to the CCB alternative were periods of overheating, as reflected in high inflation, and external imbalance, as reflected in high balance-of-payments surpluses. Conversely, periods when the currencies were “overvalued” featured unusually low inflation and low balance of payments. This suggests the economy would have been more stable under CCB. Finally, the chapter offers a practical blueprint for implementation of the proposal.


2015 ◽  
pp. 51-68 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Andryushin

The paper discusses the target guides and the Bank of Russia’s monetary policy operational instruments. Events of 2014-2015 showed that the inflation targeting regime is not an effective target guide of the Bank of Russia’s monetary policy. The key interest rate fails to reflect the proper price of holding and using of financial resources of households, financial and non-financial organizations. The floating exchange rate regime has not become an automatic mechanism of external shocks absorption, but intensifies the exchange rate volatility instead. The exchange rate management is the only effective regime for the current Bank of Russia’s monetary policy.


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (12) ◽  
Author(s):  
Aleksandar Gajić ◽  
Radica Pavlović

In the era of globalization and international flows that carry the liberalization,deregulation and increased impact of international monetary institutions, as well asthe general macroeconomic environment and economic policies of the nationaleconomy have been crucial to the economic competitiveness in the internationalmarket. Exchange rate policy, as one of the factors of economic policy, has significantimplications for competitiveness, balance of payments and indebtedness. In thisregard, the purpose of this paper is to point out the exchange rate regime of theRepublic of Serbia, which has, by appreciation of currency reduced thecompetitiveness of domestic product, balance of payments deficit and a high level ofindebtedness. The work methodology is based on the processing of secondary datapublished in public sources for the period 2001-2012 of the Republic of Serbia inorder to obtain a representation of the analyzed data. The research results indicate thatthe real exchange rate of the dinar is almost double the official rate, and there is noparticular interest in exporting local products. Therefore, the monetary and foreignexchange as well as the overall economic policy appears as a catalyst for thedevelopment of Serbia's competitiveness in the international market, and it can beconcluded that the monetary-and-foreign exchange policy has not achieved economicobjectives although the stability of the exchange rate as a positive measure isconstantly emphasized by economic policy makers. The alleged stability cost Serbia alot, as evidenced by data from the balance of payments: a high deficit, high externaldebt and consequential debt slavery of Serbia.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 161-175
Author(s):  
Marina Jerinić ◽  

One of the most important economic policy issues, especially in the post-transition countries, is exchange rate regime (ERR), i.e. the question of optimal exchange rate regime that would stimulate economic growth and propagate macroeconomic stability. For small and EU-oriented countries like Bosnia and Herzegovina (B&H), the EU accession processes and character of countries' economic cycle phase are usually highlighted among many factors. The choice of the appropriate exchange rate system is determinated by the specific characteristics of individual countries, time moment and the characteristics of the external shock occurrence. It is generally accepted that monetary instabilities are treated by fixation and real economic shocks by exchange rate fluctuations. An important criterion for assessing the adequacy of the current exchange rate regime is its response to external shocks, such as the Great Recession in 2008. While flexible exchange rate regime is used as an automatic stabilizer, fixed exchange rates place certain restrictions. The process of macroeconomic adjustment in the Baltic States is an example of how large macroeconomic imbalances can be reduced without adjusting the nominal exchange rate and how the currency board can be successfully used as a stage in the euro introduction process. The aim of this paper is to give a comparative overview of the currency board introduction in Bosnia and Herzegovina and the Baltic countries, results achieved and reactions to external shocks (Great Recession in 2008) within this exchange rate arrangement, so conclusions that could be valuable in post-COVID 19 recovery can be drawn. Key words: exchange rates, currency board, external shocks


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