scholarly journals Analysis of the residential real estate market in St. Petersburg

Author(s):  
I. V. Drozdova ◽  

The article analyzes the state of the primary and secondary residential real estate markets in St. Petersburg for the period from 2016 to 2020. The rating of developers leading in St. Petersburg in terms of the housing commissioning volume has been compiled. There have been identified the factors (economic sanctions, quarantine restrictions, devaluation of the ruble, inflation, decrease in the level of income of the population) influencing a decrease in the volume of housing commissioning, an increase in the cost and decrease in the affordability of housing in the primary and secondary residential real estate markets in 2019-2020. The trends in the development of residential real estate markets in St. Petersburg in 2021-2022 have been revealed.

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 62-83
Author(s):  
E. V. Leontev ◽  
◽  
I. A. Mayburov ◽  

Currently, analysis of the impact of public transport on real estate and its value is widely demanded in the world. The analysis is used to plan investments in public transport and the efficiency of public transport networks. In Russia, such studies have been carried out mainly in the framework of the evaluation of specific properties, which does not make it possible to macroanalyze the urban public transport environment and compare them with each other. The aim of the work is to study the influence of the proximity of public transport infrastructure on the cost of urban residential real estate, to determine the average value of such an impact for Yekaterinburg. In this study, we intend to confirm the hypothesis about different influence of the proximity of a public transport stop on the cost of housing, taking into account the different set of attributes that characterize it. The calculations were carried out using the analysis of the supply of the real estate market, carried out with the method of multiple regression, simultaneously with the geo-positioning of real estate units on the map to calculate the distance of each object to the nearest public transport stop of a certain type. Based on the results of the calculations, a global tendency towards a higher cost of the properties that are close to tram stops or metro stations in Yekaterinburg is confirmed, and the share of the value of a property generated by the proximity of a public transport stop was calculated. The authors confirmed the hypothesis about varying sensitivity of residential real estate to the proximity of public transport stops. Newer homes have lower sensitivity to proximity to public transport stops than older ones. The obtained empirical evidence of the influence of public transport infrastructure on the value of residential real estate demonstrates the most significant contribution to the value of a real estate object, the proximity to the metro station in Yekaterinburg (3.0 – 12.0%). The tram infrastructure showed a slightly lower impact on the total cost of the facility (3.2 – 8.8%). The revealed interdependencies make it possible to apply the obtained data to forecasting the growth of the taxable base for property tax during the construction of new transport lines.


2014 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 13-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rafał Wolski

Abstract The beta coefficient is one of the most popular indices used in contemporary finances. Despite the fact that there are justified doubts connected with its application, it is currently difficult to imagine a situation in which the cost of capital would be calculated without the use of the CAPM model. Thus, an attempt at answering the question whether and to what degree beta may be used in the real estate market constitutes an interesting problem. This is because on the one hand, the formal structure suggests that beta should not be used for assets which are not included in the benchmark but, on the other hand, such a benchmark should, at least theoretically, contain all market assets. Therefore, a decision was made to have a closer look at this issue, with the analysis of the possibility of using the beta coefficient in the residential real estate market set as the objective. Using the database of prices in the direct real estate investment created by the NBP, a comparison was conducted with regard to features of undertaken investments on the basis of an analysis of systematic risk calculated using selected indices available on the Polish market.


2021 ◽  
Vol 59 (2) ◽  
pp. 281-296
Author(s):  
Mirela Mitrašević

Abstract The subject of this paper is the contemporary trend in residential real estate markets in European countries and their impact on the quality of banks’ housing loan portfolios. Due to the fact that these are the markets that still have not fully recovered from the previous financial crisis, and at the time of writing were exposed to significant uncertainty related to the effects of specific business conditions caused by COVID-19, the research on the risks related to these markets and tools which can mitigate their consequences are of paramount importance. Given the fact that the importance of monitoring the emergence of systemic risks in the financial system and the design of macroprudential tools for Bosnia and Herzegovina is yet to come, one of the aims of the paper is to present the results of the research on the effectiveness of certain macroprudential policy measures for mitigating the impact of price fluctuations in residential real estate markets. A special attention is paid to the challenges that the real estate market and mortgage loans have been facing during the crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. The paper provides a basis for future researches examining to which extent the applied macroprudential policy measures in some countries have been effective in hitherto unprecedented business conditions


The dynamics of the general price index and price index on the primary and secondary residential real estate market (2015–2019) for one-room, two-room and three-room apartments is constructed in the article. The state and tendencies of development of the residential real estate market are considered, which in turn is characterized by: imperfection, problems of uneven development of certain parts of the market, closeness, unreliability and insufficient information about: value, subjects, objects, real supply and demand in the given economic sphere of our country in the conditions of disintegration processes. The regulatory framework by which the control and regulation of this type of market is carried out is not perfect enough. Different scientists, both domestic and foreign, have conducted research and determined a set of factors and methods used in the study of real estate, its assessment, analysis of trends in a certain period of time. A map of Ukraine, containing data on the average price per square meter of housing in all regional centers as of September 2019 is presented and comparative analysis with September 2018 is done; the cities with the largest or smallest price change has occurred are identified. The dynamics of the construction price index (2015–2019) was analyzed; it characterizes the changes and has a significant impact on the final value of real estate in a certain period of time during the construction process, the factors that influence the change of this index are identified. The dynamics of the average price per square meter of residential real estate in different regions of Ukraine is also presented, the factors that determine this dynamics for 2012–2019 were identified – in such cities as Kiev, Lviv, Donetsk, Kharkiv, Odessa, Sevastopol, Simferopol. Psychological factors that influence rise or fall in the value of residential property in selected major cities of Ukraine and in the cities near hostilities (Severodonetsk, Lisichansk) during and after the pre-war period were also identified.


2018 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 12-23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming-Te LEE ◽  
Shew-Huei KUO ◽  
Ming-Long LEE

This study is the first to address the exposure of banking industry stock returns to both the commercial and residential real estate markets. The empirical findings show that U.S. banking industry stock returns are significantly sensitive to real estate market returns after controlling for stock market, interest rate, and exchange rate effects. Moreover, the commercial and residential real estate markets have very different effects on banking industry stock returns. Furthermore, the effects on banking industry stock returns are state-dependent. The findings have valuable implications for investors, managers and regulatory authorities.


Author(s):  
Boris Bedin

The housing problem is relevant for many countries, including Russia. The solution of this problem is impossible without active and meaningful participation by the state. The residential real estate market has specific characteristics that significantly distinguish it from other markets. The article highlights the features of the residential real estate market as an object of government regulation. The author describes specific features of the government as a subject of management of the residential real estate market, substantiates rationale for the active participation of the state in the management of the real estate market, and outlines possible directions of government regulation of the residential real estate market. The author also describes the Russian experience of implementing certain measures in the framework of direct and indirect forms of government regulation of the residential real estate market as well as the results of such events.


Author(s):  
D. Shteingauz ◽  
A. Kuznyetsova ◽  
D. Achimovich

Abstract. The state of financial support of seven state programs of housing affordability, which currently operate in Ukraine, has been studied and analyzed. As a result, the most effective programs in terms of state aid and the average amount of state aid per recipient were identified. The main significant shortcoming in the implementation of state programs for housing affordability is their constant underfunding from the state budget, which hinders the manifestation of a synergistic positive effect. Deficit of budget funds and restrictions or complete refusal to allocate budget allocations to finance state support for housing affordability programs for various categories of the population negatively affect the state of development of the residential real estate market in Ukraine. This constrains both the demand and the supply of housing due to the lack of financial resources to cover the existing investment needs both at the construction stage and during the sale of already built residential real estate. The multiplier effect from the implementation of state programs of housing affordability on the revival of the real estate market by attracting citizens’ own funds to the construction industry is determined. The priority mechanisms for providing housing to Ukrainians are outlined: mortgage loans at 7% per annum with a down payment of 15% of the cost of housing and financial leasing at 5% without down payment, which are aimed primarily at supporting the population of Ukraine and strengthen protection of interest’s citizens. There is a need to improve financial and credit instruments that overcome the problem of lack of financial resources for the real estate market and help to quickly create the necessary residential real estate, taking into account the strategic interests of all participants — individuals (investors), developers, banks and non-bank financial institutions, state and local authorities, as well as local communities. Keywords: financial support, state program, investment projects, financial and credit instruments, mortgage loans, financial leasing, residential real estate market. JEL Classification G21 Formulas: 0; fig.: 1; tabl.: 1; bibl.: 10.


2014 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 69-76
Author(s):  
Józef Hozer ◽  
Anna Gdakowicz

Abstract The average price of residential real estate offered on the housing market in Szczecin has been declining since 2008. Prices on both the primary and secondary markets were regularly adjusted, disregarding the fact that the cost of 1 square meter of newly built flats was rising. Therefore, the question of how low can prices fall for the market to remain profitable arises? The situation on the residential real estate market has been analyzed in four areas: on the primary and secondary market, as well as by offer and transaction prices. The study was conducted in Szczecin on a quarterly basis in the period of 2007-2012.


2013 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-48 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iwona Dittmann

Abstract The paper presents the results of a comparison of the development of mean offer and transaction prices per 1m2 in primary and secondary residential real estate markets in 16 provincial capital cities in Poland, during the time period from the 3rd quarter of 2006 to the 3rd quarter of 2012. The quarterly data came from the residential real estate price database of the National Bank of Poland (NBP). The research concerns the dependencies in the residential real estate market between the following four price categories: offer prices in the primary market, transaction prices in the primary market, offer prices in the secondary market and transaction prices in the secondary market. For each city, the dynamics of each price category per 1m2, the existence of a linear correlation between the individual mean price categories in chosen subintervals and their convergence and variability in time were studied and compared.


2020 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 100-111
Author(s):  
Rafal Wolski

AbstractThe integration of financial markets is an ongoing process throughout the world. Research shows that, from Australia through Europe to the United States, the capital and real estate markets are integrating, influencing each other. Although this process seems obvious, only research can show whether it actually occurs. Identifying these relationships is important for analyzing the entire market. Many methods, such as estimating the cost of equity, have been developed with the stock market in mind. Meanwhile, real estate valuation requires the cost of equity. Market integration is the rationale for using equity market methods on the real estate market.Aim of the work - the research is aimed at verifying whether there is cointegration between the secondary housing market and the stock market. A research hypothesis was put forward: the stock market and secondary housing market are integrated.Research methodology - the study used co-integration analysis using the Engle-Granger test. The study was conducted in the period from the third quarter of 2006 to the fourth quarter of 2018.Result - The tests carried out showed the existence of co-integration in one out of 36 cases for the explanatory variable - the delayed WIG index and the explained variable in the average price of residential real estate on the secondary market for the 7 largest Polish cities.Originality / Value - demonstrating the co-integration of markets justifies the use of analytical methods developed for stock markets on real estate markets. The research has no equivalent study on the Polish market. Similar analyses were carried out, but not for the stock and real estate market.


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