scholarly journals KAUSALITAS SERTA RESPONS PEREKONOMIAN, BELANJA PEMBANGUNAN TELEKOMUNIKASI PUBLIK DAN PENELITIAN PENGEMBANGAN DI INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Hafiz Zen ◽  
Hasdi Aimon
Keyword(s):  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Vector Autoregression ◽  
Processing Method ◽  
Research Development ◽  
Development Expenditure ◽  
Reverse Relationship ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
Spending Shocks ◽  
Development Spending

Abstract : This study aims to see causal relationship and response between the economy, public telecommunications development spending and research development expenditure in Indonesia. This study using a data starting from 1988-2019, using the Vector Autoregression (VAR) processing method. The results of this study indicate that: (1) There is no causality or reverse relationship between public telecommunications development spending and research development expenditure in Indonesia, (2) There is no causality relationship between research development expenditure and the economy in Indonesia, but there is a one-way relationship from the economy to research development expenditure in Indonesia, (3) There is a two-way causality relationship between public telecommunications development spending and economy in Indonesia, (4) There is an economic response due to public telecommunications development spending and research development expenditure shocks in Indonesia (5) There is a response to public telecommunications development spending due to economic and research development spending shocks in Indonesia (6) There is a response to research development spending due to economic and public telecommunications development spending shocks in Indonesia.Keyword : Economy, Public Telecommunications Development Spending and Research Development Expenditure

scholarly journals ANALISIS KAUSALITAS EKSPOR, OUTPUT MANUFAKTUR DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI NEGARA ASEAN

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 645
Author(s):  
Rany Febriyanti Ariska ◽  
Ariusni Ariusni
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Vector Autoregression ◽  
Manufacture Export ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
Asean Countries ◽  
Panel Vector Autoregression

This study examines the causal relationship between manufacture export, manufacture ouput and economic growth within a panel vector autoregression (PVAR) for ASEAN countries over the period 2008-2017. The results of this study indicate that the manufacture export and the manufacture output has a one-way causality relationship that is economic growth which affects the manufacture export, the manufacture output has a one-way causality relationship that is economic growth affects the manufacture output, the export and the output manufacture has no causality.

scholarly journals ANALISIS KAUSALITAS KETIMPANGAN PENDAPATAN, KORUPSI DAN KEMISKINAN DI NEGARA LOWER MIDDLE INCOME ASEAN

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Novilia Hartisa ◽  
Dewi Zaini Putri
Keyword(s):  
Income Inequality ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Processing Method ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Middle Income Countries ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
Vector Auto Regression ◽  
Asean Countries ◽  
Auto Regression

Abstract : This study is to see whether there is a causal relationship betweenincome inequality, corruption and poverty in ASEAN countries. This study uses apanel of data in five lower middle income countries in ASEAN from 2010-2018,using the Vector Auto Regression (PVAR) processing method. From the results ofthe investigation that: (1) There is a causality relationship between incomeinequality and corruption in the five lower middle income countries in ASEAN, (2)There is no causality relationship between income inequality and poverty in thefive lower middle income countries in ASEAN, but only there is a one-wayrelationship of income and corruption in five lower middle income countries inASEAN, (3) There is no causal relationship between corruption and poverty eitherone way or reciprocally in five lower middle income countries in ASEAN.Keyword: Income inequality, corruption and poverty.

scholarly journals Testing for Causality between Oil Prices and Money Supply in Saudi Arabia (Note 1)

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. p58
Author(s):  
Moayad Al Rasasi, PhD ◽  
John H. Qualls, PhD ◽  
Sultan Almutairi
Keyword(s):  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Saudi Arabian ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Price Shocks ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Fiscal And Monetary Policy

The impact of oil price shocks on a country’s economy has been well studied in the economic literature. However, until now, articles analyzing the impact of these shocks on the Saudi Arabian economy have been relatively sparse. This paper attempts to shed some light on this important topic by examining the causal relationship between oil prices and an important monetary variable, the M3 (broad-based) money supply. Monthly data going back to 1982 were used in this study, which employs unit root tests and Granger causality analysis to test whether there is a causal relationship or not. No discernable causality relationship was found; this lack of such link leads the authors to conclude that this may be due to the prudent and stable fiscal and monetary policy on the part of the Kingdom’s government and its central bank, the Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority (SAMA).

Macroeconomic Variables and Sukuk Outstanding in Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (6) ◽  
pp. 561-570
Author(s):  
Nur Habibah Asri ◽  
Dwi Wulandari
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
19Th Century ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Vector Autoregression ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Quantitative Descriptive ◽  
The 19Th Century ◽  
Descriptive Method

Sukuk or Sharia bonds are one of the investment instruments in Indonesia. Since the 19th century, Sukuk has become popular with investors. Several previous studies found contradictory results that macroeconomic variables have a relationship and influence on Sukuk by observing the year before the pandemic. This study uses a quantitative descriptive method with a Vector Autoregression (VAR) approach. Through the optimum lag value, namely, lag 3, statistically it was found that there was a significant relationship between the variables of GDP, interest rates, and the exchange rate on Sukuk. In addition, several analysis results found a causal relationship between these variables.

The Influence of International Tourism Receipts on Economic Development: Evidence from China’s 31 Major Regions

2017 ◽  
Vol 57 (7) ◽  
pp. 871-882 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tsung-Pao Wu ◽  
Hung-Che Wu
Keyword(s):  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
International Tourism ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Panel Granger Causality ◽  
Study Support ◽  
Reverse Relationship ◽  
Growth Hypothesis ◽  
Support Evidence

This study applies a bootstrap panel Granger causality test to examine the causal relationship between international tourism receipts and economic growth in China’s 31 major regions for the period from 1995 to 2015, accounting for both dependency and heterogeneity across regions. The empirical results of this study support evidence for the growth hypothesis in the regions, such as Anhui, Henan, Jiangxi, Jilin, Fujian, Jiangsu, Shandong, Tianjin, Chognqing, Inner Mongolia, Qinghai, Tibet, and Yunnan. A reverse relationship supports evidence on the conservation hypothesis for the regions, such as Hubei and Hunan. A reciprocal causal relationship was found in Hebei and Shannxi, while the result of a neutrality hypothesis supported 14 of these 31 major regions (i.e., Heilongjiang, Shanxi, Beijing, Guangdong, Hainan, Liaoning, Shanghai, Zhejiang, Gansu, Guangxi, Guizhou, Ningxia, Sichuan, and Xinjiang). The empirical findings of this work provide important policy implications for China’s 31 major regions.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH PENDAPATAN PAJAK, PENDAPATAN RETRIBUSI, DAN PENDAPATAN ASLI DAERAH LAIN YANG SAH TERHADAP BELANJA PEMBANGUNAN PEMERINTA KOTA MANADO (2008-2014)

2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Avriano Rizky Tenda ◽  
Vekie Rumate ◽  
Daisy Engka
Keyword(s):  
Income Tax ◽  
Central Government ◽  
Least Square ◽  
City Government ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Local Revenue ◽  
Delegation Of Authority ◽  
Revenue Sources ◽  
Development Expenditure ◽  
Development Spending

ABSTRAK     Otonomi daerah sejatinya  merupakan pelimpahan wewenang dari sentralisasi ke desentralisasi, artinya kewenangan dari pusat sudah dilimpahkan ke daerah begitu juga dengan pengelolaan anggaran rumah tangganya sendiri. Kemandirian ekonomi sebuah daerah juga dinilai dari tingkat Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD) yang dimiliki dibandingkan dengan dana transfer dari pemerintah pusat. Sumber-sumber PAD terbesar datang dari pajak, retribusi dan PAD lain yang sah. Dalam penelitian ini digunakan metode Ordinary Least Square (OLS) untuk mengetahui seberapa besar sumber-sumber PAD yakni pendapatan pajak, pendapatan retribusi dan PAD lain yang sah mempengaruhi belanja pembangunan / belanja langsung kota Manado. Dalam pengujian didapatkan, angka R square sebesar 95,9 yang artinya tingkat pengaruh ketiga variable independen yang tergabung dalam PAD mempunyai tingkat pengaruh sebesar 95,9 persen terhadap belanja langsung/belanja pembangunan yang dilakukan oleh pemerintah kota Manado, hal ini tentu sejalan dengan peraturan pemerintah yang mengharuskan belanja pembangunan diambil dari PAD. Melihat hal ini pemerintah kota Manado tentu harus terus meningkatkan kemampuan PAD nya dan semakin menurunkan tingkat ketergantungan terhadap dana transfer dari pemerintah pusat yang artinya tingkat pembangunan yang dilakukan di Manado akan terus meningkat.   Kata kunci : PAD, Pendapatan Pajak (PP), Retribusi,PAD Lain,  Belanja Langsung (BL. ABSTRACT   Regional autonomy is a true delegation of authority from centralization to decentralization, meaning that the authority of the center has been delegated to the regions as well as managing their own household budget. Economic independence of a region also assessed on the level of local revenue (PAD) owned compared to transfer funds from the central government. The largest sources of revenue came from taxes, fees and other legitimate PAD. This study used a method of Ordinary Least Square (OLS) to determine how much revenue sources namely income tax, income levy and other legitimate PAD affects development spending / shopping directly Manado. In testing obtained, the numbers R square of 95.9, which means the level of influence of these three independent variables incorporated in the PAD has a level of influence for 95.9 percent of the direct spending / shopping development undertaken by the city of Manado, it is certainly in line with government regulations which requires the development expenditure is taken from the PAD. Seeing this Manado city government would have to continue to improve its revenue and further reduce the level of dependence on the transfer of funds from the central government, which means the level of development undertaken in Manado will continue to rise.   Keywords: PAD, Income Tax, Levy, Other Income, Direct Expenditure

scholarly journals HUBUNGAN KAUSALITAS KEMISKINAN, TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN, DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI PROVINSI SULAWESI SELATAN

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-23
Author(s):  
Akhmad Akhmad
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Vector Autoregression ◽  
Short Term ◽  
South Sulawesi ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short And Long Term

Economic development basically aims to increase economic growth, reduce poverty and unemployment. Therefore the research aims to find out the causal relationship between economic growth, unemployment and poverty in the Southern Province. This research used panel data of 24 districts / cities in South Sulawesi Province during 2007 to 2018, which was obtained from the Central Statistics Agency. Data were then analyzed using Vector Autoregression analysis. The results showed that shocks to economic growth have an impact on reducing unemployment and poverty rates both short and long term. Meanwhile shocks to unemployment, have an impact on increasing poverty rates in the short and long term, and have an impact on declining economic growth in the short term, but slowly economic growth returns to the balance point. Furthermore, the shock to poverty also has an impact on increasing unemployment in the short term, but slowly leads to a point of convergence in the long run. It is better to make economic growth decrease in the short term, but slowly towards the point of balance in the long run.

The link between tourism activities and economic growth: Evidence from China’s provinces

2016 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tsung-Pao Wu ◽  
Hung-Che Wu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Hunan Province ◽  
International Tourism ◽  
Empirical Results ◽  
Study Support ◽  
Reverse Relationship ◽  
Growth Hypothesis ◽  
Support Evidence

This study explores the causal relationship between international tourism receipts and economic growth in China’s eight central provinces (Shanxi, Jilin, Heilongjiang, Anhui, Jiangxi, Henan, Hubei and Hunan) by analyzing these provinces for the period from 1995 to 2014, accounting for both dependency and heterogeneity across provinces. The empirical results of this study support evidence for the growth hypothesis in Hunan Province. A reverse relationship supports evidence on the conservation hypothesis for the provinces, such as Shanxi, Jiangxi, and Henan. A reciprocal causal relationship was found for Jilin, Anhui, and Hubei, while the result of a neutrality hypothesis supported only one of the provinces in Heilongjiang. The empirical findings of this study provide important policy implications for China’s eight central provinces.

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