scholarly journals Price Clustering After the Introduction of Bitcoin Futures

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. 36-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed S Baig ◽  
Omair Haroon ◽  
Nasim Sabah
Keyword(s):  
Economic Theory ◽  
Asset Prices ◽  
Futures Contracts ◽  
Informational Efficiency ◽  
Underlying Asset ◽  
Price Clustering ◽  
The Impact

Economic theory suggests that introduction of derivative contracts can improve the informational efficiency of the underlying asset prices (Danthine, 1978). In this study, we examine the impact of the introduction of Bitcoin futures on price clustering in Bitcoin. Our findings suggest that price clustering in Bitcoin meaningfully decreases post the introduction of its futures contracts.

scholarly journals Coherent-Price Systems and Uncertainty-Neutral Valuation

Risks ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 98
Author(s):  
Patrick Beissner
Keyword(s):  
Economic Theory ◽  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Asset Pricing ◽  
Asset Prices ◽  
Martingale Measure ◽  
Capital Asset Pricing ◽  
Securities Markets ◽  
Capital Asset ◽  
Uncertainty Model ◽  
Economic Foundation

This paper considers fundamental questions of arbitrage pricing that arises when the uncertainty model incorporates ambiguity about risk. This additional ambiguity motivates a new principle of risk- and ambiguity-neutral valuation as an extension of the paper by Ross (1976) (Ross, Stephen A. 1976. The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing. Journal of Economic Theory 13: 341–60). In the spirit of Harrison and Kreps (1979) (Harrison, J. Michael, and David M. Kreps. 1979. Martingales and arbitrage in multiperiod securities markets. Journal of Economic Theory 20: 381–408), the paper establishes a micro-economic foundation of viability in which ambiguity-neutrality imposes a fair-pricing principle via symmetric multiple prior martingales. The resulting equivalent symmetric martingale measure set exists if the uncertain volatility in asset prices is driven by an ambiguous Brownian motion.

scholarly journals Tranching, CDS, and Asset Prices: How Financial Innovation Can Cause Bubbles and Crashes

2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 190-225 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ana Fostel ◽  
John Geanakoplos
Keyword(s):  
Asset Prices ◽  
Asset Price ◽  
Financial Innovation ◽  
Underlying Asset

We show how the timing of financial innovation might have contributed to the mortgage bubble and then to the crash of 2007–2009. We show why tranching and leverage first raised asset prices and why CDS lowered them afterward. This may seem puzzling, since it implies that creating a derivative tranche in the securitization whose payoffs are identical to the CDS will raise the underlying asset price, while the CDS outside the securitization lowers it. The resolution of the puzzle is that the CDS lowers the value of the underlying asset since it is equivalent to tranching cash. (JEL E32, E44, G01, G12, G13, G21).

scholarly journals The impact of Musharakah financing on the monetary policy in the Islamic economy

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (3/4) ◽  
pp. 139-152
Author(s):  
Hatem Adela
Keyword(s):  
Economic Theory ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Methodological Framework ◽  
Mathematical Methods ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Return Rates ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This paper aims to contribute to formulating the methodological framework for a paradigm of Islamic economics, using the development of the conventional economics, theoretical and mathematical methods. Design/methodology/approach The study based on the inductive and mathematical methods to contribute to economic theory within the methodological framework for Islamic Economics, by using the return rate of Musharakah rather than the interest rate in influence the economic activity and monetary policy. Findings Via replacement, the concept of the interest rate by the return rates of Musharakah. It concludes that the central bank can control the monetary policy, economic activity and the efficient allocation of resources by using the return rates of Musharakah through the framework of Islamic economy. Practical/implications The study is a contribution to formulate the methodological framework for a paradigm of Islamic economics, where it investigates the impact of return rates of Musharakah on the money market and monetary policy, by the mathematical methods used in the conventional economy. Also, the study illustrates the importance of further studies that examine the methodological framework for Islamic Economics. Originality/value The study aims to contribute to formulating the Islamic economic theory, through the return rate of Musharakah financing instead of the interest rate, and its effectiveness of the monetary policy. As well as reformulating the concepts of the investment function, the present value and the marginal efficiency rate of investment according to the Islamic economy approach.

scholarly journals Spillover Effect of Global Financial Cycle To Asset Markets in Asean-5 Countries: A Structural VAR Approach

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (02) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Sri Andaiyani ◽  
Telisa Aulia Falianty
Keyword(s):  
Risk Aversion ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
Asset Prices ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Structural Var ◽  
Asset Markets ◽  
Equity Prices ◽  
Financial Cycle ◽  
Property Prices ◽  
The Impact

<p><em>An upsurge and volatility of capital flows to Emerging Asian Economies indicated that there is the potential effect of global financial cycle to emerging market. It provides an overview of investor risk aversion in short term investment after financial crisis 2008. Global financial cycle could have a significant impact to asset prices, including equity prices and property prices. Rey (2015) has triggered an interesting discussion about global financial cycle. She found that there was a global financial cycle in capital flows, asset prices and credit growth. This cycle was co</em><em>‐</em><em>moves with the VIX, a measure of uncertainty and risk aversion of the markets. Therefore, this study attempts to analyze empirically global financial cycle shocks, measured by the VIX, on equity prices and property prices in ASEAN-5, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand and Philippines. We estimate quarterly frequency data from Q1 1990 to Q2 2016 with Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) approach. The result of this study showed that global financial cycle has a negative significant impact on the ASEAN-5 asset markets, in spite of the response of shock differs by country and size. This result is consistent with ASEAN-5 as small open economies that remain vulnerable to the global factor. This study contributes to the literature in several ways. First, we identify not only cyclical expansions or contraction in asset markets but also the impact of global financial cycle to asset markets in ASEAN-5 countries. Second, we investigate whether there are heterogeneous responses of ASEAN-5 countries to global financial cycle shocks. Third, we also identify the pattern of cycle in ASEAN-5 countries</em>.</p><p><strong><em>J</em></strong><strong><em>EL Classification: </em></strong>F30, F37, F42</p><strong><em>Keywords: </em></strong><em>ASEAN, Asset Markets, Global Financial Cycle, SVAR</em>

scholarly journals Macroeconomic assessment of possible Green Recovery scenarios in Visegrad countries

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bence Kiss-Dobronyi ◽  
Dora Fazekas ◽  
Hector Pollitt
Keyword(s):  
Economic Theory ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Three Dimensions ◽  
Economic Recovery ◽  
Keynesian Economic ◽  
Post Keynesian Economic ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Environmental Level ◽  
Visegrád Countries

AbstractThe article discusses how and why Green Recovery could be beneficial for the Visegrad countries based on a modelling exercise using the E3ME macroeconometric model. Green Recovery is defined as including policies in recovery plans that not only target economic recovery, but also contribute to environmental targets. The paper proposes that a Green Recovery could be valuable and suitable for the region contributing to both restoring employment and boosting economic activity as well as reaching climate goals. This is tested through a macroeconomic simulation, using the E3ME model. E3ME is built on Post-Keynesian economic theory and on econometric estimations of macroeconomic relationships. The results of the analysis focus on three dimensions: (1) social – employment, (2) environmental – level of CO2 emissions and (3) economic activity – gross domestic product (GDP). Outcomes indicate that a green recovery can shorten the time needed for employment and economic recovery as well as contributes to CO2 emission reductions. In Hungary, Czechia and Poland, the impact persists into the long-term; however, the paper also concludes that countries with high reliance on coal (e.g. Poland) could return to coal in the long term if no further policies are introduced.

scholarly journals The changing landscape of economy: social and technological progress in explaining the informational efficiency of capital markets

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 940-952
Author(s):  
Iuliana Ursu
Keyword(s):  
Market Efficiency ◽  
Capital Markets ◽  
Technological Progress ◽  
Bayesian Model Averaging ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Social Progress ◽  
Informational Efficiency ◽  
Market Mechanisms ◽  
The Impact

AbstractIn today’s ever-changing landscape of economy, one of the fundamental problems remains whether market mechanisms are functioning in an efficient way, and which are the variables impacting those levels of efficiency. The main objectives of the present paper are to contribute to a better understanding of market mechanisms, by testing the Efficient market hypothesis on its weak form at a macroeconomic level, and to assess the impact of technological and social progress, measured through different variables, on markets informational efficiency. We use an adapted version of L. Kristoufek si M. Vosvrda (L. Kristoufek, M. Vosvrda, 2013, 184) methodology for Efficiency Index, based on long term memory (using 2 estimators), fractal dimension (using 11 estimators), and entropy (estimated through the approximate entropy), in order to assess the levels of efficiency for 20 market indices from both developed and emerging or frontier economies, from the Eurasia region. Further on, by using the Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA), we study the impact of technological and social progress on markets informational efficiency. Main results of the study reveal the existence of a market dynamics characterized by areas with distinctive levels of “informational efficiency”, within both developed and emerging economies, encompassing a non-negligible link between past and present, persistence or anti-persistence, and a high data complexity. Moreover, while studying the relationship between market efficiency and social and technological progress, we observe that variables such as Government Effectiveness, or Control of Corruption, have a positive impact on the levels of efficiency of capital markets, while most of the technological progress estimators (amongst which Computer, communications and other services (% of commercial service exports), or Individuals using the Internet (% of population)), have a negative impact, translated into a decrease of informational market efficiency on the short run (the rise of high frequency trading).

The Extent of the Impact of Taxes on Financing Decisions and Control Processes in those Decisions

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (11) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fidaa Abid Al-Majid Sabbar ◽  
Hussein Ali Mohaisen ◽  
Thamir Mahdi Muhammed Sabri ◽  
Thamer Kadhim Al-Abedi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Theory ◽  
Research Methodology ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Tax Burden ◽  
Financing Decisions ◽  
Control Processes ◽  
Practical Reality ◽  
And Control ◽  
The Impact

The debates sparked by the tax treatment of realized, reinvested, and distributed profits led to various taxation techniques, concluding that, while economic theory claims that any company's goal is to maximize profit, the practical reality shows that some companies only want to make a satisfactory profit and thus pay as little tax as possible, In the context of accounting methods that allow businesses to show results that are more in accordance with their goals than with reality, within specified bounds. Based on a set of eight hypotheses that we will test on a sample of industry enterprises using the research methodology of panel-based models, we will try to argue the importance of managing the tax burden and highlight the tax repercussions on investment decisions, their financing methods, and the value of the company.

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