scholarly journals The Mesoscale Convective Systems with bow echo radar signatures as an example of extremely severe and widespread geohazard in Poland

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 10-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Artur Widawski ◽  
Wojciech Pilorz
Keyword(s):  
Radar Reflectivity ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Material Damage ◽  
Pressure System ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Radar Images ◽  
Bow Echo ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Strong Winds ◽  
Echo Radar

AbstractIn the last two decades we can notice a significant increase of severe anemological events, which are mostly connected with mesoscale convective systems and a cold front of a deep low-pressure system. One of them are very strong winds with speeds more than 25 m/s. They caused material damage and threatening people's lives. The most dangerous are winds generated by mesoscale convective systems where radar reflectivity signatures of bow echo/derecho appeared. In this paper the area of occurrence of such phenomenon in Poland are described and the features of bow echo signatures on radar images are presented and explained. Additionally one of the most severe event and still very weakly known episode of 11th August 2017 derecho in Poland is analysed. The damage data from European Severe Weather Database (ESWD) were analysed to confirm if the August 11th storm met derecho criteria. To identify the radar reflectivity signatures inside MCC the data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management shared on the radar-opadow.pl site were used. The CAPPI 1 km data were very useful to determine the convective forms. After that the data from synoptic station were examined for presenting the running of selected meteorological elements. Finally, some information about material damage in infrastructures and forests are mentioned.

Radar Reflectivity of Lightning Flashes in Stratiform Regions of Mesoscale Convective Systems

2019 ◽  
Vol 124 (24) ◽  
pp. 14114-14132
Author(s):  
Fei Wang ◽  
Hengyi Liu ◽  
Wansheng Dong ◽  
Yijun Zhang ◽  
Wen Yao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Radar Reflectivity ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective

scholarly journals Observations of Coastally Transitioning West African Mesoscale Convective Systems during NAMMA

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-25
Author(s):  
Bradley W. Klotz ◽  
Paul Kucera
Keyword(s):  
West African ◽  
Radar Reflectivity ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Environmental Stability ◽  
Tropical Cyclogenesis ◽  
Easterly Waves ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Maximum Reflectivity ◽  
Multidisciplinary Analysis ◽  
Mesoscale Convective

Observations from the NASA 10 cm polarimetric Doppler weather radar (NPOL) were used to examine structure, development, and oceanic transition of West African Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs) during the NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (NAMMA) to determine possible indicators leading to downstream tropical cyclogenesis. Characteristics examined from the NPOL data include echo-top heights, maximum radar reflectivity, height of maximum radar reflectivity, and convective and stratiform coverage areas. Atmospheric radiosondes launched during NAMMA were used to investigate environmental stability characteristics that the MCSs encountered while over land and ocean, respectively. Strengths of African Easterly Waves (AEWs) were examined along with the MCSs in order to improve the analysis of MCS characteristics. Mean structural and environmental characteristics were calculated for systems that produced TCs and for those that did not in order to determine differences between the two types. Echo-top heights were similar between the two types, but maximum reflectivity and height and coverage of intense convection (>50 dBZ) are all larger than for the TC producing cases. Striking differences in environmental conditions related to future TC formation include stronger African Easterly Jet, increased moisture especially at middle and upper levels, and increased stability as the MCSs coastally transition.

Mesoscale Convective Systems and Critical Clusters

2009 ◽  
Vol 66 (9) ◽  
pp. 2913-2924 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ole Peters ◽  
J. David Neelin ◽  
Stephen W. Nesbitt
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Critical Region ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Quantitative Prediction ◽  
Radius Of Gyration ◽  
Size Distributions ◽  
Onset Of Convection ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Radar Images ◽  
Mesoscale Convective

Abstract Size distributions and other geometric properties of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), identified as clusters of adjacent pixels exceeding a precipitation threshold in satellite radar images, are examined with respect to a recently identified critical range of water vapor. Satellite microwave estimates of column water vapor and precipitation show that the onset of convection and precipitation in the tropics can be described as a phase transition, where the rain rate and likelihood of rainfall suddenly increase as a function of water vapor. This is confirmed in Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission radar data used here. Percolation theory suggests that cluster properties should be highly sensitive to changes in the density of occupied pixels, which here translates into a rainfall probability, which in turn sensitively depends on the water vapor. To confirm this, clusters are categorized by their prevalent water vapor. As expected, mean cluster size and radius of gyration strongly increase as the critical water vapor is approached from below. In the critical region one finds scale-free size distributions spanning several orders of magnitude. Large clusters are typically from the critical region: at low water vapor most clusters are small, and supercritical water vapor values are too rare to contribute much. The perimeter of the clusters confirms previous observations in satellite, field, and model data of robust nontrivial scaling. The well-known area–perimeter scaling is fully compatible with the quantitative prediction from the plausible null model of gradient percolation, where the accessible hull is a fractal object with dimension 4/3.

scholarly journals Organization and Environmental Properties of Extreme-Rain-Producing Mesoscale Convective Systems

2005 ◽  
Vol 133 (4) ◽  
pp. 961-976 ◽  
Author(s):  
Russ S. Schumacher ◽  
Richard H. Johnson
Keyword(s):  
The United States ◽  
Radar Reflectivity ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Surface Boundary ◽  
Stratiform Rain ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Precipitation Total ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Extreme Rain ◽  
Reflectivity Data

This study examines the radar-indicated structures and other features of extreme rain events in the United States over a 3-yr period. A rainfall event is defined as “extreme” when the 24-h precipitation total at one or more stations surpasses the 50-yr recurrence interval amount for that location. This definition yields 116 such cases from 1999 to 2001 in the area east of the Rocky Mountains, excluding Florida. Two-kilometer national composite radar reflectivity data are then used to examine the structure and evolution of each extreme rain event. Sixty-five percent of the total number of events are associated with mesoscale convective systems (MCSs). While a wide variety of organizational structures (as indicated by radar reflectivity data) are seen among the MCS cases, two patterns of organization are observed most frequently. The first type has a line, often oriented east–west, with “training” convective elements. It also has a region of adjoining stratiform rain that is displaced to the north of the line. The second type has a back-building or quasi-stationary area of convection that produces a region of stratiform rain downstream. Surface observations and composite analysis of Rapid Update Cycle Version 2 (RUC-2) model data reveal that training line/adjoining stratiform (TL/AS) systems typically form in a very moist, unstable environment on the cool side of a preexisting slow-moving surface boundary. On the other hand, back-building/quasi-stationary (BB) MCSs are more dependent on mesoscale and storm-scale processes, particularly lifting provided by storm-generated cold pools, than on preexisting synoptic boundaries.

scholarly journals Microphysical and Thermodynamic Structure and Evolution of the Trailing Stratiform Regions of Mesoscale Convective Systems during BAMEX. Part II: Column Model Simulations

2009 ◽  
Vol 137 (4) ◽  
pp. 1186-1205 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph A. Grim ◽  
Greg M. McFarquhar ◽  
Robert M. Rauber ◽  
Andrea M. Smith ◽  
Brian F. Jewett
Keyword(s):  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Sharp Change ◽  
Melting Layer ◽  
Thermodynamic Structure ◽  
Column Model ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Stratiform Region ◽  
Bow Echo ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Microphysical Processes

Abstract This study employed a nondynamic microphysical column model to evaluate the degree to which the microphysical processes of sublimation, melting, and evaporation alone can explain the evolution of the relative humidity (RH) and latent cooling profiles within the trailing stratiform region of mesoscale convective systems observed during the Bow Echo and Mesoscale Convective Vortex Experiment (BAMEX). Simulations revealed that observations of a sharp change in the profile of RH, from saturated air with respect to ice above the melting layer to subsaturated air with respect to water below, developed in response to the rapid increase in hydrometeor fall speeds from 1–2 m s−1 for ice to 2–11 m s−1 for rain. However, at certain times and locations, such as the first spiral descent on 29 June 2003 within the notch of lower reflectivity, the air may remain subsaturated for temperatures (T) < 0°C. Sufficiently strong downdrafts above the melting level, such as the 1–3 m s−1 downdrafts observed in the notch of lower reflectivity on 29 June, could enable this state of sustained subsaturation. Sensitivity tests, where the hydrometeor size distributions and upstream RH profiles were varied within the range of BAMEX observations, revealed that the sharp contrast in the RH field across the melting layer always developed. The simulations also revealed that latent cooling from sublimation and melting resulted in the strongest cooling at altitudes within and above the melting layer for locations where hydrometeors did not reach the ground, such as within the rear anvil region, and where sustained subsaturated air is present for T < 0°C, such as is observed within downdrafts. Within the enhanced stratiform rain region, the air is typically at or near saturation for T < 0°C, whereas it is typically subsaturated for T > 0°C; thus, evaporation and melting result in the primary cooling in this region. The implications of these results for the descent of the rear inflow jet across the trailing stratiform region are discussed.

scholarly journals Thermodynamic Properties of Mesoscale Convective Systems Observed during BAMEX

2008 ◽  
Vol 136 (11) ◽  
pp. 4242-4271 ◽  
Author(s):  
James Correia ◽  
Raymond W. Arritt
Keyword(s):  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Lapse Rate ◽  
Spatiotemporal Variability ◽  
Cold Pool ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Stratiform Region ◽  
Bow Echo ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Lapse Rates

Abstract Dropsonde observations from the Bow Echo and Mesoscale Convective Vortex Experiment (BAMEX) are used to document the spatiotemporal variability of temperature, moisture, and wind within mesoscale convective systems (MCSs). Onion-type sounding structures are found throughout the stratiform region of MCSs, but the temperature and moisture variability is large. Composite soundings were constructed and statistics of thermodynamic variability were generated within each subregion of the MCS. The calculated air vertical velocity helped identify subsaturated downdrafts. It was found that lapse rates within the cold pool varied markedly throughout the MCS. Layered wet-bulb potential temperature profiles seem to indicate that air within the lowest several kilometers comes from a variety of source regions. It was also found that lapse-rate transitions across the 0°C level were more common than isothermal, melting layers. The authors discuss the implications these findings have and how they can be used to validate future high-resolution numerical simulations of MCSs.

scholarly journals Microphysical and Thermodynamic Structure and Evolution of the Trailing Stratiform Regions of Mesoscale Convective Systems during BAMEX. Part I: Observations

2009 ◽  
Vol 137 (4) ◽  
pp. 1165-1185 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea M. Smith ◽  
Greg M. McFarquhar ◽  
Robert M. Rauber ◽  
Joseph A. Grim ◽  
Michael S. Timlin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Life Cycle ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Melting Layer ◽  
Thermodynamic Structure ◽  
Stratiform Rain ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Horizontal Flight ◽  
Bow Echo ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Vortex

Abstract This study used airborne and ground-based radar and optical array probe data from the spiral descent flight patterns and horizontal flight legs of the NOAA P-3 aircraft in the trailing stratiform regions (TSRs) of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) observed during the Bow Echo and Mesoscale Convective Vortex Experiment (BAMEX) to characterize microphysical and thermodynamic variations within the TSRs in the context of the following features: the transition zone, the notch region, the enhanced stratiform rain region, the rear anvil region, the front-to-rear flow, the rear-to-front flow, and the rear inflow jet axis. One spiral from the notch region, nine from the enhanced stratiform rain region, and two from the rear anvil region were analyzed along with numerous horizontal flight legs that traversed these zones. The spiral performed in the notch region on 29 June occurred early in the MCS life cycle and exhibited subsaturated conditions throughout its depth. The nine spirals performed within the enhanced stratiform rain region exhibited saturated conditions with respect to ice above and within the melting layer and subsaturated conditions below the melting layer. Spirals performed in the rear anvil region showed saturation until the base of the anvil, near −1°C, and subsaturation below. These data, together with analyses of total number concentration and the slope to gamma fits to size distributions, revealed that sublimation above the melting layer occurs early in the MCS life cycle but then reduces in importance as the environment behind the convective line is moistened from the top down. Evaporation below the melting layer was insufficient to attain saturation below the melting layer at any time or location within the MCS TSRs. Relative humidity was found to have a strong correlation to the component of wind parallel to the storm motion, especially within air flowing from front to rear.

scholarly journals A Method for Identifying Midlatitude Mesoscale Convective Systems in Radar Mosaics. Part II: Tracking

2018 ◽  
Vol 57 (7) ◽  
pp. 1599-1621 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alex M. Haberlie ◽  
Walker S. Ashley
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Great Plains ◽  
Radar Reflectivity ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Minimization Procedure ◽  
Optimal Approach

AbstractThis research is Part II of a two-part study that evaluates the ability of image-processing and select machine-learning algorithms to detect, classify, and track midlatitude mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) in radar-reflectivity images for the conterminous United States. This paper focuses on the tracking portion of this framework. Tracking is completed through a two-step process using slice (snapshots of instantaneous MCS intensity) data generated in Part I. The first step is to perform spatiotemporal matching, which associates slices through temporally adjacent radar-reflectivity images to generate swaths, or storm tracks. When multiple slices are found to be matches, a difference-minimization procedure is used to associate the most similar slice with the existing swath. Once this step is completed, a second step combines swaths that are spatiotemporally close. Tracking performance is assessed by calculating select metrics for all available swath-building perturbations to determine the optimal approach in tracking. Frequency maps and time series generated from the swaths suggest that the spatiotemporal occurrence of these swaths is reasonable as determined from previous work. Further, these events exhibit a diurnal cycle that is distinct from that of overall convection for the conterminous United States. Last, machine-learning predictions are found to limit areas of high MCS frequency to the central and eastern Great Plains.

Composite In Situ Microphysical Analysis of All Spiral Vertical Profiles Executed within BAMEX and PECAN Mesoscale Convective Systems

2020 ◽  
Vol 77 (7) ◽  
pp. 2541-2565
Author(s):  
Daniel M. Stechman ◽  
Greg M. McFarquhar ◽  
Robert M. Rauber ◽  
Brian F. Jewett ◽  
Robert A. Black
Keyword(s):  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Squall Line ◽  
Vertical Profiles ◽  
Cloud Particle ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Microphysical Properties ◽  
Bow Echo ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Mass Dimension ◽  
Total Particle

AbstractVertical profiles of temperature, relative humidity, cloud particle concentration, median mass dimension, and mass content were derived using instruments on the NOAA P-3 aircraft for 37 spiral ascents/descents flown within five mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) during the 2015 Plains Elevated Convection at Night (PECAN) project, and 16 spiral descents of the NOAA P-3 within 10 MCSs during the 2003 Bow Echo and Mesoscale Convective Vortex Experiment (BAMEX). The statistical distribution of thermodynamic and microphysical properties within these spirals is presented in context of three primary MCS regions—the transition zone (TZ), enhanced stratiform rain region (ESR), and the anvil region (AR)—allowing deductions concerning the relative importance and nature of microphysical processes in each region. Aggregation was ubiquitous across all MCS zones at subfreezing temperatures, where the degree of ambient subsaturation, if present, moderated the effectiveness of this process via sublimation. The predominately ice-supersaturated ESR experienced the least impact of sublimation on microphysical characteristics relative to the TZ and AR. Aggregation was most limited by sublimation in the ice-subsaturated AR, where total particle number and mass concentrations decreased most rapidly with increasing temperature. Sublimation cooling at the surface of ice particles in the TZ, the driest of the three regions, allowed ice to survive to temperatures as high as +6.8°C. Two spirals executed behind a frontal squall line exhibited a high incidence of pristine ice crystals, and notably different characteristics from most other spirals. Gradual meso- to synoptic-scale ascent in this region likely contributed to the observed differences.

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