scholarly journals A Causality Analysis of the Relationships Between Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Economic Growth and Employment in South Africa

2019 ◽  
Vol 64 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-44 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Francois Meyer ◽  
Kaseem Abimbola Sanusi

Abstract In terms of macro-economic policy, gross fixed capital formation, which is the major component of domestic investment, is seen as an important process that could accelerate economic growth. This study re-examines the controversial issue of causality between domestic investment, employment and economic growth using South African data. The traditional assumption of causality running from investment to economic growth has remained inconclusive while empirical findings on the investment and employment growth nexus are also largely unsettled. The study makes use of quarterly data from 1995Q1 to 2016Q4 within the framework of the Johansen cointegration and Vector Error Correction Models (VECM). The empirical findings suggest that a long run relationship exists between domestic investment, employment and economic growth, with causality running from economic growth to investment and not vice versa. The results also demonstrate that investment has a positive long-run impact on employment. The empirical evidence further suggests bi-directional causality between employment and economic growth, while evidence of uni-directional causality, from investment to employment, is also found. The major implication of the study is that although there is bi-directional causality between economic growth and employment, economic growth does not translate to increased employment in the long run confirming “jobless growth”. Investment is found to be a positive driver of employment in the South African economy in the long-run. The study concludes that, in order to stimulate employment, investment enhancing policies, such as low interest rates and a favourable economic environment should be put in place to accelerate growth. Measures to promote economic growth, such as improved infrastructural facilities and diversification of the economy, should be further engineered so as to encourage increased investment.

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 206-224
Author(s):  
Shreezal G.C.

Background: Capital investment, financial and technological developments are essential drivers for the economic growth of developing countries like Nepal. These factors, directly and indirectly, contribute to the growth of the country. Technological factors such as FDI and trade allow technology and knowledge transfers to Nepal along with foreign investments, goods and services. The financial sector encourages investors by providing loans that further generates investment in the country. Similarly, the development of human capital further increases labor productivity. Nepal, being a developing country, lacks advanced infrastructure and technology, that are vital for pushing the economic growth in the country. Objective: This paper examined the effect of capital, labor, foreign direct investment, financial development and trade on the economic growth of Nepal using the endogenous growth model. Methods: The study employedthe ARDLboundstesting approach to test the long-run relationships introducing an error correction model to estimate both short and long-term relationships among the variables.The TY non-granger causality test was used to ensure robustness and check the direction of causality. Results: The results showed that gross fixed capital formation, population and financial development were significant and inducedpositive economic growth in the long run at a 1% level of significance whereas, the impact of FDI on economic growth was negative and significant at 1%. Conclusions: The study concludes that an increase in gross fixed capital formation, population and broad money supply positively impacts the economic growth of Nepal. However, technological factors such as FDI and trade do not adequately explain the economic growth due to low FDI inflows, political instability, poor infrastructure and import dependency. Implications: The study emphasized domestic investment and financial development of the country as they were found to be highly significant in the long run. Also, the human capital of the country should be developed by providing education and training as the population was found to be highly significant. The study also indicated that Nepal should push export as its share in the trade is very less. Moreover, policies such as legal reforms, incentives to foreign investors and infrastructural development to attract FDIs in Nepal should be formulated.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 25
Author(s):  
Masturah Ma’in ◽  
Siti Sarah Mat Isa

This study analyzes the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on economic growth in Malaysia. The Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method is used to investigate the long-run relationship between FDI and economic growth. The controlled variables are life expectancy, gross fixed capital formation and population growth. The bound test suggests that FDI, life expectancy, gross fixed capital formation and population growth have a long-run relationship with economic growth. This is supported by the significant correction term, which confirms the existence of a long-run relationship. However, as FDI, life expectancy and gross fixed capital formation have positive impact on Malaysia’s economic growth, population on the other hand, shows otherwise.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 769-778
Author(s):  
Nurul Anwar ◽  
Khalid Eltayeb Elfaki

This paper examines the relationship between energy consumption, economic growth, and environmental degradation in Indonesia in 1965-2018 with the inclusion of gross capital formation and trade openness as relevant factors. The autoregressive distributed lag model to cointegration, fully modified ordinary least squares, dynamic ordinary least squares, and canonical cointegrating regression approach applied to estimate this relationship. The result of cointegration confirms the existence of a cointegration relationship between energy consumption, economic growth, gross fixed capital formation, trade openness, and environmental degradation. The empirical result, in the long run, indicates that energy consumption, economic growth, and trade openness have a positive relationship with environmental degradation. However, the gross fixed capital formation was found to be negatively associated with environmental degradation. This implying that gross fixed capital formation plays a pivotal role to reduce environmental degradation in Indonesia.  The error correction model coefficient indicates that the deviation of CO2 emissions from its long run equilibrium will be adjusted by 0.53% through the short run channel per annual. The findings of this paper propose implementing an energy policy that focuses on energy from environmentally friendly sources. Reverse the effect of openness to the international markets to improve and facilitate access to advanced and environmentally friendly technologies to mitigate environmental degradation and improve environmental quality.


Author(s):  
Shikha Pokhrel ◽  
Chakra Bahadur Khadka

 This paper examines the long and short run relationship among selected macroeconomic variables and economic growth of Nepal. The objective of the research is to examine empirically the long and short run relationship among macroeconomic variables; gross fixed capital formation, human capital, government expenditure, foreign aid, and trade openness on economic growth of Nepal. The study period spanned from 1975 to 2016. The data has the annual frequency. The time series properties of the data were, first, analyzed using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test and then Auto-Regressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration is employed to assess the direction of impact and long-run relationships between the variables. Besides these, other diagnostic tests are also conducted. The ARDL bound test analysis depicts the presence of cointegration relationship between real GDP and employed macroeconomic determinants. The negative and significant error correction coefficient further provides substantial evidence that there is long-run association among real gross domestic product and selected macroeconomic variables. The ARDL model shows that Gross fixed capital formation and government expenditure have a significant positive relationship on economic growth in the long run while trade openness has a significant negative relationship on economic growth in the long run. Thus, the findings suggest that GFCF and GE are the major macro determinants to robust the economic growth of Nepal. In order to achieve the desired rate of economic growth it is suggested that there should be a continuous investment in gross fixed capital formation including plants, machinery, raw materials, industrial buildings and technology (research and development). It is also suggested that structural changes should be made in school institutions with the provision of providing quality education with cognitive skills and added resources through quality and skilled teachers. Nepal must have more effective trade openness, particularly by productively controlling import of consumption goods, and by introducing import substitution policies, in boosting their economic growth through international trade.


2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 295-310 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harishankar Vidyarthi

Purpose The purpose of the paper is to empirically examine the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth for a panel of five South Asian economies, namely, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Nepal over the period from 1971 to 2010 within a multivariate framework. Design/methodology/approach The study uses Pedroni cointegration and Granger causality test based on panel vector error correction model to examine long-run equilibrium relationship and direction of causation in the short and long run between energy consumption and economic growth using energy inclusive Cobb–Douglas production function for a panel of five South Asia countries, namely India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Nepal. Findings Pedroni’s panel cointegration test indicates the long-run equilibrium relationship between economic growth per capita, energy consumption per capita and real gross fixed capital formation per capita for panel. Further, 1 per cent increase in energy consumption per capita increases the gross domestic product (GDP) per capita by 0.8424 per cent for the panel. Causality results suggest bidirectional causality between energy consumption per capita, gross fixed capital formation per capita and GDP per capita in the long run and unidirectional causality running from energy consumption per capita and gross fixed capital formation per capita to GDP per capita in the short run. Practical implications These South Asian countries should implement an expansionary energy policies through improving the energy infrastructure, energy efficiency measures and exploiting massive renewables’ availability for low-cost, affordable clean energy access for all, especially in the yet unserved rural and remote areas for further stimulating economic growth. Originality/value Implementing energy efficiency measures and massive renewables development (wind, solar and hydropower) may help the affordable and clean energy access and reducing fossils fuel dependence and its associated greenhouse emissions in South Asia.


2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 404-417 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ömer Yalçınkaya ◽  
İbrahim Hüseyni ◽  
Ali Kemal Çelik

This article investigates the determinants of economic growth and also seeks to determine whether or not the impact of total factor productivity (TFP) changes with respect to the level of development for selected countries. In this manner, the present study examines the impact of gross fixed capital formation, employed labour and the TFP of G-7, G-12 and G-20 countries on real GDP per capita using second-generation panel data analyses over the period 1992–2014. The results reveal that TFP has a greater impact on economic growth than fixed capital formation and employed labour for all country groups. Furthermore, the impact of TFP on economic growth was found to be greater for developed countries than for emerging countries. JEL Classification: C21, C22, C23


2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 97-111 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew Phiri ◽  
Bothwell Nyoni

AbstractThis research study contributes to the ever-expanding literature by examining multivariate cointegration and causality relationships between electricity consumption, economic growth and other growth determinants for quarterly South African data collected between 1994/Q1 – 2014/Q4. The motivation behind this current research case study becomes apparent when taking into consideration that no previous studies have gone further than bivariate and trivariate analysis in investigating the electricity-growth nexus in South Africa. In conducting our empirical investigation, our obtained empirical results are two-fold in nature. Firstly, we find significant multivariate long-run cointegration relationships between economic growth, electricity consumption and other growth determinants. Secondly, our empirical analysis offers support in favour of the neutrality hypothesis, that is, the notion of no causal effects existing between electricity consumption and economic growth in the long-run. However, we find that exports directly cause electricity consumption whereas economic growth, domestic investment and employment levels causally flow to exports.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 101
Author(s):  
A. Abiola Oluwatobi ◽  
F. Adegbie Festus ◽  
O. Ogundajo Grace

Economic growth drivers aimed at stimulating and stabilizing the economies of the countries to engender sustainable growth. Studies have shown that Nigeria has been plagued with stunted and faltering economic growth over the years. Tax and other relevant macroeconomic policies are implemented by the government to smoothen out economic fluctuations but this has not been fully harnessed. A causal-effect study was conducted between tax revenue, gross fixed capital formation and economic growth using a 38-year time series data from 1981 to 2018 derived from CBN statistical bulletin. It was found that tax revenue (TR) had significant positive effect on Gross Domestic Product and Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) significantly controls the relationship between TR and GDP. It is evidenced that the country relied heavily on taxes as major source of revenue. The study recommended that government should widen its tax net, creates expansionary measures to enhance its tax revenue in order to boost its GDP. The government should also create an enabling environment for economy diversifications in order to increase revenue generated via other means than taxes in order to spur economic growth and avoid over-reliance on taxes.


2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-68
Author(s):  
Rashid Ahmad ◽  
Kashif Raza ◽  
Sobia Saher

Purpose: This paper estimates the impact of trade openness and economic growth in Pakistan by using time series data from period of 1975-2014. Econometric method was applied to estimate the impact of trade openness on economic growth. Gross fixed capital formation (proxy of investment), Foreign direct investment, Imports, Exports & trade openness (proxy of trade openness to check the volume of trade of a country) is used as explanatory variables while gross domestic product is treated as dependent variable in this study. Johansson co. integration approach developed by Johannes & Jeslius (1988) is used to evaluate the long run relationship among variables in this study. The results suggest that trade openness, imports, exports and foreign direct investment cast have positive impact on economic growth while on the other hand; gross fixed capital formation &labor force has negative impact on economic growth.


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